dustbin2
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Posts posted by dustbin2
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Re: Dustys Aways Cheers Loon, good work again, its much appreciated. One game in Turkey today but its a no pick using my basic criteria. Will post my picks tomorrow.
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Re: Dustys Aways Top work as always Loon, F1 looks like the way ahead, you cant fail to be impressed with those stats. Im gona go out on a limb and include all British leagues in next weeks picks and see how we get on. engl 2, scots 2, scots 3 and the conference north and south will be included. :hope Loon, still appreciate it if you PM me the F1 picks to see how they differ from what I get. Its certainly still looking good.:clap Remember, still a paper trial at this stage.
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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss) :lol They probably didnt m8, Im just not that bright :lol
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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss) Top results Loon, very impressed with the orange system, :cow thought you meant you were opposing the AH bt didnt get on them as I was not sure.:loon Keep it up m8:ok
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Re: Dustys Aways Cheers Rich:ok thanks for the help with the backdated RFOs. The away stats keep getting better in league 2 , hopefully it will continue although I can see this thread going onto quite a few leagues after the Loon has a large sample size. :hope for the future.
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Re: Cavelloman's Ratings and Systems . Consistent as always cav. was on as usual, keep up the good work m8:clap
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Re: Dustys Aways Week three stats starting bank 100 pts current bank 112.74 pts profit +12.74 pts strike rate 48.8%( 21/43 ) Quite happy with todays results and the progress of the system, slow and steady profit. I am inexperienced with staking plans , all stakes have been level 1 pt so probably a potential for bigger profits with the results we've had so far. Onwards and upwards. :ok But of course it is still early days:unsure That makes the yield 29.6% , I think, which isnt bad in three weeks.
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Re: Dustys Aways
4/6, not a bad week at all, will up date stats shortly:dudeCurrent stats starting bank 100 pts current bank 107.64 pts profit +7.64 pts strike rate 45.9%( 17/37 ) Wed 27th Stranraer 1pt @ 2.4 :cow0-5 Sat 30th Notts County 1pt @2.8 :( 1-1 Grimsby 1pt @ 3 :nana 0-4 Shrewsbury 1 pt @ 2.75 :$ 4-1 Dag + Red 1pt @ 3.6 :clap 0-2 Stenhousmuir 1pt @ 2.1 :cow 3-4 6 bets , 6pts staked:hope Cum on! I am aware that adding merlins new criteria of home and away indexs would remove Shrewsbury and Dag+Reds from my picks. Should this prove you right this weekend Merlin, I WILL introduce it as criteria for my picks M8.:ok -
Re: Dustys Aways 38% of the games from that league this season have ended in away wins mate, it is that simple. That figure may have changed a little but it was the stat when I started this thread. These stats can be seen in the racing and football outlook every Tuesday:ok Obviously that is a high percentage, I pick my aways simply by picking away teams that are higher than the home team in the 6 match form league. We may be using other filters to increase the strike rate in the future, and also considering other leagues. Thanks for checking out the thread and your interest:clap
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Re: Dustys Aways Stranraer 1pt @2.4 :cow 0-5 ( 2.4 pts profit ) Lets hope thats a good sign for the weekend:ok
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Re: Dustys Aways Current stats starting bank 100 pts current bank 107.64 pts profit +7.64 pts strike rate 45.9%( 17/37 ) Wed 27th Stranraer 1pt @ 2.4 Sat 30th Notts County 1pt @2.8 Grimsby 1pt @ 3 Shrewsbury 1 pt @ 2.75 Dag + Red 1pt @ 3.6 Stenhousmuir 1pt @ 2.1 6 bets , 6pts staked:hope Cum on! I am aware that adding merlins new criteria of home and away indexs would remove Shrewsbury and Dag+Reds from my picks. Should this prove you right this weekend Merlin, I WILL introduce it as criteria for my picks M8.:ok
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Re: Dustys Aways
RFO figures would have meant I would not have backed Albion Rovers therefor would have reduced losses on the night. Not a great night but still paper trialling. Will update figures tomorrow and may well use index ratings for picks. First look suggest only 4 or 5 gamesfor the weekend though.:dudeWeek 3 bets Tues 26th Pboro 1 pt @ 2.1 :cow0-2 Hereford 1pt @ 2.1:cry1-0 Brentford 1pt @ 2.2:unsure 1-0 Stenhousmuir 1 pt @ 2s postponed Albion Rvrs 1pt @ 2.25:\ 1-0 5pt staked:hope 3.1 returned , loss of 1.9pts:sad Will keep an eye on the RFO index figures for these picks merlin and may use them as an additional filter for the weekend:ok -
Re: Dustys Aways Week 3 bets Tues 26th Pboro 1 pt @ 2.1 Hereford 1pt @ 2.1 Brentford 1pt @ 2.2 Stenhousmuir 1 pt @ 2s Albion Rvrs 1pt @ 2.25 5pt staked:hope Will keep an eye on the RFO index figures for these picks merlin and may use them as an additional filter for the weekend:ok
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Re: Dustys Aways I agree mate, gona keep on going with the paper trial , leagues 2 and sl3. When you think we have a good enough sample size we can decide on leagues and new name for the thread. ( something that credits all involved ) :okGona check out next weeks picks using merlins RFO index method, see if it increases the strike rate.:loon
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Re: Dustys Aways Great news loon, Div 2, SL3, Turk 1+2, and the two ryman leagues look very, very promising m8. Have had a few small singles on Turkish leagues over the last few weeks for interest and made a decent profit. When do you think we will have enough sample size to decide on leagues? Good work again m8:ok
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Re: Cavelloman's Ratings and Systems . Excellent Cavo man:clap I was on as per usual. :hope for Atalanta
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Re: Dustys Aways Cheers m8, will at least consider the away team must have a better away index than the home team. Still keeps the simple system I always aimed for, may take me ten minutes looking at the RFO rather than the five it took before:lol But it seems to significantly increase the strike rate. Excellent work:ok Better put this laptop away , the misssus getting cheesed off! and shes on the vodka tonight:loon
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Re: Dustys Aways Thats interesting to note mate, it also answers my question about the RFO indexs, difference between home and away right? What sort of difference would you consider to make it a bet situation? Well done on your own system as well:clap and thanks for the help on mine.:ok Yourself, goon and the loon are helping shape my initial idea into something that can hopefully start robbing the bookies of their ill gotten gains.:loon
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Re: Dustys Aways Can you just explain how I would introduce the RFO ratings to my system Merlin? Certainly worth checking out. Out of interest , how would it have effected my scottish picks m8. Loon, Ive been checking out some of the world leagues too, looking forward to your results:ok Not bad results from the basic system at all but Im excited about the possibilities of the advanced system currently under construction.:cow
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Re: Dustys Aways Sat( week 2 ) Grimsby 1pt @ 2.75 :(0-0 Hereford 1pt @ 2.6:clap1-2 Lincoln 1pt @ 3.75:eyes3-2 Wycombe 1pt @ 3.2:nana0-1 Pboro 1 pt @ 2:nana0-3 Brentord 1 pt @ 2.6:cry1-0 Darlington 1 pt @ 2.2:clap1-2 MK dons 1 pt @ 1.9 :clap0-2 ( included as available at evens and above elsewhere ) Stockport 1 pt @ 2.3:cow0-2 Arbroath 1 pt @ 2:wall2-1 E.Stirling 1 pt @ 2.37:(1-0 6 winners 5 losers today :\ profit +3.2 pts:clap Not quite dancing bananas but still doing okay I think. Small steady profit is the plan. Week2 stats Starting bank 100 pts Current bank 109.54 pts Profit +9.54 pts Strike rate 48% (16/33)
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Re: Dustys Aways [Reminder of system stats and the weekend picks. week 1 Stats Starting bank -100pts Current bank -106.34 pts Profit +6.34 pts Strike rate - 45% (10 wins/22 bets) Sat( week 2 ) Grimsby 1pt @ 2.75 Hereford 1pt @ 2.6 Lincoln 1pt @ 3.75 Wycombe 1pt @ 3.2 Pboro 1 pt @ 2 Brentord 1 pt @ 2.6 Darlington 1 pt @ 2.2 MK dons 1 pt @ 1.9 ( included as available at evens and above elsewhere ) Stockport 1 pt @ 2.3 Arbroath 1 pt @ 2 E.Stirling 1 pt @ 2.37 Total Bets 11/11 pts staked All odds from bet 365, PAPER TRIAL ONLY.:hope Odds may have changed slightly from Tuesday when picks originally posted. :\
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Re: Dustys Aways Woooooah boys, I go to work for one day and theres a difference of opinion.:rollin I appreciate everyones input into this thread, yeah its my thread but the way I look at it our enemey is the bookies right.:unsure I did start this system as a league two system but even Ive extended it a bit to include scottish three. I still want it simple but I have to agree with the Loon, if it works in some foreign leagues.. I'll bet on it! I would neither have the time or knowledge to apply the system to other leagues but the tech team do it for me( much appreciated:ok ) That way I post my British selections and the boys suggest some more remote leagues. At the moment, and for the systems stats it will be my picks which count in the stats. Remember its a paper trial. Once this thread has run for a while , should it be successful, I would hope to begin a new thread ( with help from my friends+perhaps a new name ) this would include picks from all round the world. I agree some picks may be remote but nobody has to bet on them, its the punters choice which picks they get on. Anyway, keep posting all, we are all in the same team, Merlin, keeping an eye on the the index stats at the weekend.:dude
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Re: Dustys Aways Your right merlin, it was always intended for this to be a quick and simple system ( check beginning of thread )that can find picks in about 10 mins from the RFO as time is tight for me due to work etc. I will be sticking to major leagues for now. This will be reviewed once we have a larger sample from other leagues. Back to work today after a week off:( Roll on the weekend:dude
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Re: Cavelloman's Ratings and Systems . Some more in the bank, cheers again Cav:nana
Dustys Aways
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Dustys Aways Week 4 bets ( Midweek ) League 2 Tues PBoro 1 pt @ 1.83 ( included as available at higher price elsewhere ) Bury 1pt @ 3.8 Frid Lincoln 1pt @ 3.3 3pts staked:hope Only Stranraer were a pick from the Scottish leagues midweek but too short at 1.66!:sad May be a few picks from conference North and South this week once Ive checked the stats. Southern premier not included as my bookies doesnt entertain it. Will amend picks tomorrow if need be.