kroni
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Posts posted by kroni
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Re: Kroni's System Selections. going to start this up again for the new year, been playing around with the ratings and it seems best on the AW so ill stick to that for now with races up to 10 furlongs. 12:20 Southwell 1. Monte Cassino 2. Fluctuation - 2nd 3. Morermaloke Monte Cassino won lto at 40/1 and at 2/1 today to follow that up looks very short as hes inconsistent like most of these, Fluctuation looks the most likely to reproduce his form as he been pretty consistent apart from lto which can be excused and has been 2nd twice from 3 starts on fibresand. Morermaloke could go well at a price if he bounces back for the switch to fibresand for the first time. 5pts e-w - Fluctuation @ 4/1 1:25 Southwell 1. Great Expectations - 1st 2. Pulsatilla - 2nd From the horses that have raced Great Expectations looks the one to be with if taking to Fibresand, Pulsatilla recorded a decent enough figure on his penultimate but that race hasn't worked ou and he failed to get anywhere near that figure next time. 10pt win - Great Expectations @ Evens
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Re: 2011 Challenge - Multiples target 1000pt return e-w patent with bet365 Chepstow 1:00 - Monsiuer Cadou 1:30 - Cadoudalas 2:10 - Le Beau Bai These horses will apreciate the testing conditions today at Cheptow, all being sired by Cadoudal who has a 20% strike rate on heavy for his progeny and 19% on soft.
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Re: BBOTD - 27th Dec 1:30 Chepstow Cadoudalas @ 16/1 e-w VC All about the ground for this horse i think, heavy going today will suit much better than last 2 starts when hes been well beaten on good ground. Is on career high mark but could be more to come with condition in his favour.
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Re: 2012 PDC World Darts Championship Sounds like he had a bad back for afew days prior to the match, must of kept it quiet, i bet on Munch about 5 mins before it started and bet365 voided my bet but after emailing them have now payed out, it does state in their rules they pay out on pre-match bets, don't know about other bookies rules.
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Re: BBOTD Sat - 17th December 3:35 Ascot Marsh Warbler @ 14/1 Bet365 Conditions should suit this horse here today and doesn't look on a bad handicap mark to me. The Brian Ellison 4 year old has had 6 starts over hurdle, winning 3 and placed in 2 others including winning a grade 1 albeit not the stongest. Soft ground is what he needs imo so looks perfect for him today, should be more to come from him being only 4 yr old and jockey claims 7lb which is a bonus.
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Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 13th Dec 1:50 Catterick Quel Ballistic @ 7/2 Boylesports Eyecatcher last time when finishing strongly when stepped up to 2 miles 7 furlongs, was 2nd that day to Monsieur Jordain and is 7lb better off with that rival today. The extra few furlongs again today look sure to suit, is still open to improvement after only 3 chase starts and the trainer is in brilliant form recently. Was hoping for a better price but 7/2 seems fair about his chance.
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Re: BBOTD Saturday 10th of December 2:15 Doncaster Quicuyo @ 13/2 e-w Bet365 In good form last 3 starts with 2 wins and a 2nd and should run his race again today. Different ground today from recent efforts but has form with cut afew years ago. His win lto looked impressive and has gone up 8lb but he has improved last few starts and has every chnace again here
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Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 3;30 Cheltenham Bygones in Brid @ 16/1 e-w Bet365 Well beaten at 6/5 fav latest on hurdles debut returned from break, so got to think better was expected. Good form in bumpers previous to that gives him chance if better for the run last time. Yard in form and 16/1 looks decent each way bet against the favourite who looks hard to beat but 4/9 way to short in race like this.
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Re: BBOTD Knockout Competition ~ 1st Round Saturday Dec 3rd nearly forgot i was in this month, here goes. 2:40 Chepstow Monsieur Cadou @ 9/1 e-w Boylesports 3:20 Aintree The Sawyer @ 25/1 e-w Bet365 2:05 Chepstow Richards Sundance @ 8/1 e-w Bet365 Reserve: 3:40 Sandown Any Currency @ 11/2 Bet365
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Re: 2011 Challenge - Multiples target 1000pt return e-w lucky 15 1:25 Sandown On Borrowed Wings @ 40/1 e-w Bet365 Been abit dissapointing last few times but you can make excuses for those, maybe over fences at cheltenham didn't suit him and can be forgiven a poor effort lto when back from a break. Before that ran a game race at Ascot over hurdles when a close second and if reproducing that form 40/1 looks massive, cut in the ground should suit also. 3:40 Sandown Any Currency @ 11/2 Bet365 Been off for over a year with injury but if comes back in the same sort of form has a good chance. Looks well handicaped on his 2nd to Midnight Chase ground and trip just what he wants. 3:20 Aintree The Sawyer @ 25/1 e-w Bet365 I think this test could suit this horse today, has a good record on soft/heavy going so the forecast soft ground looks ideal. Slight worry that he hasn't got round here over these fences in 2 tries but 22/1 looks worth the risk. Was up againt it lto in grade 2 over inadequate trip and unsuitable ground, todays race looks right down his street. 12:35 Aintree Reindeer Dippin @ 6/1 e-w Bet365 Missed the price on this now was around 10/1 last night, but not a bad thing the money has come for it, excuses can be made for his last 2 runs one being his seasonal debut and next time maybe the 3 miles was too far, before that was a decent 2nd here to Russian War in a listed event which looks decent form still on same mark soft ground a plus.
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Re: 2011 Challenge - Multiples target 1000pt return e-w lucky 15 2:05 Chepstow Richards Sundance @ 8/1 e-w Bet365 Encouraging come back last time in listed race when 4th, won off 2lb higher last year on heavy ground, trainers horses running well. 2:40 Chepstow Monsieur Cadou @ 8/1 e-w Bet365 In decent enough form at the moment (2nd last 3 starts) is up 5lb from lto out but decent jockey claiming 7lb in the saddle today. The Heavy going suits judged on his form on soft and his pedigree. 3:15 Cheptow Oscar Gogo @ 11/1 e-w Bet365 Ran as though step up in trip will suit last time when staying on well at the finish for 3rd, going should suit and trainer in decent form recently 2:30 Sandown First Avenue @ 20/1 e-w Bet365 Was on this horse lto when it won and was impressed and thought won with abit in hand that day, is up 9lb for that but there could be more to come, has looked a better horse in his 3 hurdles starts since joining this yard and looks worth a bet at 20/1 e-w at this level.
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Re: BBOTD Saturday 3rd December 3:20 Aintree The Sawyer @ 22/1 e-w VC I think this test could suit this horse today, has a good record on soft/heavy going so the forecast soft ground looks ideal. Slight worry that he hasn't got round here over these fences in 2 tries but 22/1 looks worth the risk. Was up againt it lto in grade 2 over inadequate trip and unsuitable ground, todays race looks right down his street.
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 1st of December 7:00 Wolves Methaaly @ 18/1 e-w Boylesports Hasn,t won since this time last year off a 5lb higher mark, ran better last time though. Wide draw a slight worry but often slow away and held up so maybe won't be a bad thing
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Re: BBOTD - Wed 30th Nov. 1:00 Catterick Strathaird @ 9/2 Bet365 Ran nicely lto when 2nd on only second start over fences, had no chance with the winner but was clear of the 3rd who ran well nto. Step up in trip could suit today and can go well off a light weight.
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Re: BBOTD Sunday 27th of November 3:15 Leicester Lilac Belle @ 9/2 bet365 not disgraced lto on return from break and if building on that has great chance here, form of that race looks strong with afew horses winning nto.
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Re: BBOTD Friday 25th of November 2:35 Doncaster - Zorro De La Vega @ 9/1 E-W Bet365 Looks overpriced here, form of his last race when 4th has worked out well, that was on good to soft, i think hes better on a sound surface so should suit better today, trainer is in brilliant form 5 wins from 6 runners last 14 days.
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Re: 2011 Challenge - Multiples target 1000pt return 2 winners again last time so at least some returns, i'll try another for tommorrow E-W Lucky 15 2:35 Doncaster - Zorro De La Vega @ 9/1 Bet365 Looks overpriced here, form of his last race when 4th has worked out well, that was on good to soft, i think hes better on a sound surface so should suit better today, trainer is in brilliant form 5 wins from 6 runners last 14 days. 2:10 Newbury - Prince Buster @ 16/1 Bet365 Been off since Feb 2010 but showed some decent form then over hurdles, only had 4 starts under rules and if hes ready to go on chase debut today 16/1 looks decent. 2:45 Newbury - Sivola De Sivola @ 5/1 Bet365 Seemed abit outpaced then stayed on again lto so step up to 3 mile may suit, should find this abit easier, ran well prior to that race should be more to come and trainer in fair form. 3:15 Newbury - Rileyev @ 11/4 bet365 Good 2nd lto in hot race, this race looks abit easier and if reproducing lto form looks the one to beat here.
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Re: BBOTD - Weds 23 November 2:00 Wetherby Bocciani @ 7/1 e-w VC Ran in hot race lto at cheltenham, was well beaten in the end but he raced wide all the way and did travel well for a long way. He should find this much easier today and is still unexposed over fences, i just think theres more to come from this horse and hopefully will show that today with conditions to suit.
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Re: 2011 Challenge - Multiples target 1000pt return e-w lucky 15 3:00 Sedgefield Frontier Boy @ 4/1 Bet365 Good 2nd last time out, 4th won nto, open to improvemnt over fences after just 3 chase starts ground looks fine and no reason why he wont stay the 3m 3f. 2:30 Sedgefield Authentic Act @ 5/1 Bet365 Some good perfomances earier in the year including over c&d wasn't at his lto back from a break but may have needed it and should be better today. 3:30 Sedgefield Obara d'Avril @ 11/1 Bet365 Usually runs his race here including when 3rd 2 starts back, good ground suits sometihing not quite right lto when dismounted at the finish but still ran respectible race 2:50 Lingfield First Avenue @ 4/1 Bet365 Ran well last twice form looks strong, doubts about some of his rivals, ground suits, looks fair price at 4/1.
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Re: BBOTD - Tues 22 Nov 3:00 Sedgefield Frontier Boy @ 4/1 Bet365 Good 2nd last time out, 4th won nto, open to improvemnt over fences after just 3 chase starts ground looks fine and no reason why he wont stay the 3m 3f.
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Re: BBOTD Sunday 20th of November 3:00 Exeter Greywell Boy @ 5/1 VC Worth taking on the fav here on hurdle debut after an absence and at short odds. Greywell Boy ran well last time out on his hurdles debut and the form looks pretty good, the yard is in decent enough form and the ground similar to lto should be no problem
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Re: BBOTD Wednesday 16th of November 2:40 Hexham Matmata De Tendron @ 11/2 Hills This 4 miles is going to take some getting in the soft ground and the selection has won over C&D on heavy going, his run lto was poor but he may have needed it as it was his first run back from a break, has won previously on 2nd run after an absence and no reason why he cannot go well here today.
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Re: BBOTD Tuesday 15th of November 3:40 Fakenham Black Dragon @ 14/1 e-w PP Recieves weight all round being the only 3 year old in the field, had just 3 starts and not disgraced when 3rd at 100/1 on his second run, possible excuses last time on soft ground and the longer trip but did travel well for a long way and maybe just didn't stay the extra distance, back to 2 miles on good ground here today and i think the 14/1 represent value in this field. Most of his rivals are also unexposed but couldn't be taking the prices on offer for them in a race like this.
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Re: BBOTD Monday 14th of November 3:20 Leicester Katchmore @ 8/1 e-w PP Form of his 2nd back in April looks ok in the context of this race, was dissapointing nto in May when stepped up in trip but if putting a line through that looks to have a e-w chance here today. He has gone well after a break before when winning in March after just over 3 months off and has ran well on ground ranging from gs to gf.
Kroni's System Selections.
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Kroni's System Selections. 3:40 Southwell 1. Dancing Freddy 2. Rylee Mooch - 3rd 3. Triple Dream 5pt e-w Rylee Mooch @ 13/2 4:20 Kempton 1. Wicked Wench 2. Twightlight Allure 3. Bookiesindexdotnet 10pt win Bookiesindexdotnet @ 11/4