LEE-GRAYS

WON
today + 37.50
month + 290.17

405 chep
Just the one qualifier ULTRAMARINE ....11.88% EDGE 1.66 14/1
1PT EW 

Not bad start
out £1 in £2.53 💰
1 winner 25/1 last race uttoxeter 1 place 3 nr
out £756.50 in £770.53

twayblade 3.30

Current profit 114.33 points
COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES  Thirsk 1.52 Art Design 4.00 BETFAIR   Bath 2.30 Fregola 7.50 BETFAIR   Bath 3.30 Second Collection 9.00 BETFAIR   Thirsk 3.52 Vince Le Prince 6.00 LADBROKES   Bath 4.00 Malham Tarn Cove 4.00 BETFAIR   Thirsk 4.22 Lord Abama 8.00 BETFAIR   Bath 4.30 Beggarman 15.00 LADBROKES 4 Thirsk 4.55 Equity's Darling 13.20 BETMGM   Bath 5.00 Rita Rana 6.50 BET VICTOR   Yarmouth 5.07 Chola Empire 8.50 BETFAIR   Bath 5.30 My Ambition 2.50 BETFAIR   Yarmouth 8.10 Fletcher's Flight 4.00 BETFAIR   Ffos Las 8.30 Zambezi Magic 8.50 BETFAIR            

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER Beverley 3.30 Bay Dream Believer 7.50 LADBROKES Beverley 4.00 Spanish Angel 12.00 BETFAIR Beverley 5.00 Ugo Gregory 4.00 BETFAIR

4.00 bev
Ran this race through the edge calculation and the stand out results were 
2  7.8%.  12.75 tiss. 18.0 avail edge 1.4
6.11.76 %.  8.5 tiss.  15 avail  edge 1.76
14. 6.86%.  14.5 tiss. 19 avail. Edge 1.30 
Just the one qualifier ....horse 6 with 11.76 probability (over 10% cut off)...14/1 with bet365 so I'll back it Ew with 4 places on offer .....STALLONE  14/1 
Like I said it's the long term performance I'm interested in ...if your constantly backing horses at bigger odds than their implied chance then you should ALWAYS come out on top in the long run ....
this is a side project so doesn't effect my normal ratings which will be separate 
I mean that fav last night had a 6 % probability of winning 16/1 tiss and was available at 7/2 .....ridiculous ....and it finished 5th or 6th ....so it's a guide to whether the horse is purely value or not 
Anything over 1.2 is Interesting but purely for strike rate I'm only considering over 10% probability rated ....I might adjust that to 12 or even 14 later but like today if I set at 12 and today's 11.76 wins then you'd have scrubbed the bet and lost a good winner ....so I think the 10% is a good benchmark 

Dumfries                                                            5 00 Bev                     1/40th of a pt ew   33/1

Thank you so much for all your votes.
 
And the results are in ........
Punters Lounge finished 8th in the Best Betting Website with 4.58% of the vote. The winner was GeeGeez with 23.54%.
The Brigadier finished 9th in the Best Free Tipster with 4.67% of the vote. The winner was Betfair's Daryl Carter with 17.79%.
Respectable scores I thought for both.
Thanks again.

Day 157
+£27.80

1 winner 2 places 
+£1
+£27.80
day 156

1 winner 2 places 
+£1
+£27.80
day 156

I lost my oldest son at the begging of May he was only 44 Chris. Believe me i would swap all your problems x 10 for that one so don't despair too much and concentrate positively on getting back up, I know it is easy to say and harder to do but you will get there, it's only a matter of how quickly can you get there.➡️⬆️

Day 156 
+£26.80
 

There were four winners on the day, but not in the same L15.  I had two in a double, though. Total returns = 8.60 so 2.60 profit overall.  C/fwd - 84.36 L15's and RC P/L (incl L15's) = -139.04 
Highlights for me were Will Buick getting a 4 timer and Billy Loughnane getting the better of Will Buick in the 2.12 at Nm on Asian Daze at 9/1
Flop of the day has to be Inisherin, billed as Timeform star of the day and promoted on the Opening show as if it couldn't lose.   

And me 😂👍

Yes, I don't get too despondent when on a losing run or too excited when on a run like this although it obviously does give me a great deal of pleasure.

won - today + 16.00
month + 186.00

3 wins yesterday for a 3 point profit. That's now 9 winning days in a row.
Current profit 115.25 points.

+£0.10 😂
day 154
+£27.50

Day 155
+£27.50
 

+£0.10 😂
day 154
+£27.50