Dumyat

Hi Allen29,

Congrats on the IPREDICT thread - very interesting.

I wonder if you could improve profit performance by excluding longer odds selections. For example what are your returns if you exclude any matches where your estimated chance of the true odds is above a certain level.

I was calculating profits on all matches over the last few months where your prediction was 2.10 or less true chance. That was returning a 15% edge whereas your overall profit figure was negative in same period.

Of course this is a bit of "data mining" but I wonder if the more likely selections are also more likely to produce profit.

Yours in sport,

Dumyat

Hi,

You might recall we briefly corresponded some time ago when you had your very successful series of corner spread sells.

I recall a little while ago you were trying to set up a more extensive football database than the ones available at football-data.

I am interested in particular in goal times - primarily just for English matches would be sufficient to see if can develop any bet ideas. 

I used to type these in manually from Rothman's yearbooks but life is too short to persist with that idea. I was wondering if you could point me to any website which has goal times as part of their data and is available to download without typing.

yours in sport,

Dumyat