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Monty Hall

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Posts posted by Monty Hall

  1. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) 5/8 Not good Lay draw picks for Friday July 20th Austria T-Mobile Bundesliga Sturm Graz v LASK Linz Croatia 1. NHL Inter Zapresic v Rijeka Hungary Borsodi League Vasas v Tatabanya Zalaegerszeg v Paks Irish Eircom Premier League Waterford v Sligo Rovers Irish 1st Div. Finn Harps v Shelbourne Limerick 37 v Athlone Russia Premier Liga Dinamo Moscow v Amkar Slovakia Corgon Liga Senec v FC Nitra Slovenia Prva Liga Interblock Ljubljana v Nafta Ukraine Vischya Liga Tavriya v Karpaty

  2. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) Right, today i cant reiterate this enough, be extra extra careful. Lay draw picks for Thursday July 19th UCup Qualification Dinamo Tbilisi v Vaduz Vojvodina v Hibernians MyPa v EB/ Streymur FK Aktobe v Mattersburg Metalurgs Liepaja v Dinamo Brest Buducnost Podgorica v Hajduk Split Brazil Campeonato Goias v Gremio Palmeiras v Santos

  3. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) Right, sorry then for posting in the wrong thread, but glory is not what im after, i know i can help people. No, i dont expect to lose but it happens dont it?!, they dont have to be rich but loosing a lay liability can be very very painful and you sometimes need to put in 10 times your stake, and punters need cash handy to take it..

    Admin note: if you copy & paste from other locations you need to remove the link references as they show up here as errors. You anticipate losing then ? No problem keeping the selection method to yourself but then the Glory Hunters Forum is the more appropriate Forum.
  4. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) Looking through all of yesterdays results there weren't too many draws, only 4 actually. Three in the Under 19 and one in the CL qualifiers Derry v Yerevan match. I still picked the Austria v Greece match not to draw, now i consider myself to be unlucky.. :lol

  5. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) Turns out matches in Brazil were played after all so my total is 14/15 U-19 Austria - Greece 1:1 From what i posted in this forum 12/13 :ok

    Well' date=' if the draw is a certain false... of course I would lay it. The question remains how to know that one of the options is a false :unsure[/quote'] Aaahh well, that's the big secret isnt it :dude
  6. Re: Monty Hall Paradox Lay (Draw) Cheers PAULM03, Monty Hall paradox is best explaned here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_Paradox In short it means that when confronted with 3 options similar to a 1X2, once a punter has made a choice for example 1, and then told that somehow one of the two remaining options is a certain false for exmaple X, than theres a 2/3 probability he'll succeed if he switches he's pick to the remaining option: 2.

  7. Right, i been doing this for a while and been pretty successful, well over 80%, but as you know, failing these Lay bets can be pretty painful as they carry a hefty liability fine, so this is recommended to the wealthier punters among us that can afford this type of bets. be careful! Lay draw picks for Wednesday July 18th AFC Saudi Arabia vs Baharain Malasya vs Iran Denmark SAS Ligaen AGF vs AC Horsens Esbjerg fB vs Brøndby IF Fifa PAG U-17 Jamaica vs Argentina Honduras vs Ecuador Uefa Champions League Qualification Pobeda vs Levadia Tallinn Dudelange vs Zilina Marsaxlokk FC vs FK Sarajevo Domzale vs KF Tirana EURO U-19 Russia vs Serbia Austria vs Greece Ukraine 1. Division Chernomorets O. vs FC Kharkiv

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