Toples
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Posts
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Posts posted by Toples
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Hey people, more than 50% of leagues have games from spring still up
Ihope someone can fix it
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rating are not showing from 20th July forward
There are also some leagues that need a cleanup of past games (Ukraine,Russia)
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hehe, just wanted to post about this myself
but if you dont want to wait you can calculate it yourself for today
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sorry guys, you are right. Games are played on 14th and 15th FEBRUARY, not January
i was confused because odds are out on those leagues
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Rating for some leagues which have games tomorrow and the day after tomorrow are not showing at all. found these so far:
- Austria Bundes
- Bulgaria
- Czech
- Denamark
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there is a game on 1st December which was postponed still lingering
might be effecting further calculations
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its becoming a mess, please check the page
https://www.punterslounge.com/elo-football-ratings/england-league-1
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Danish League started after winter break but is not being updated
Also Sweden and Europe league are returning error when you click on them
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Re: Head-to Head Meetings thanx for this analysis now i have something to bet today:ok
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Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) sorry to report this but its even worse in NFL than in NBA 2+ ats Losing streak - 1,96 fair odds 2+ winning streak - 2,01 fair odds i suggest u try to find some system with dogs only, since they are 1,955 fair odds if u played ALL of them in last 10 seasons. home dogs even 1,94 :cheers
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Re: Contrary System (NBA 07/08)
well, GL then, it might be difficult to win, but u wont lose much either. linemakers have to make sure 50% of money goes on both sides, so fair line is usually driven towards good teams. its that way in most US sports... also noticed u have similar NFL trend thread and will take a look at the rules and backtest it....Hi Toples, :welcome Thanks for posting and sharing it. Much appreciated. I'm having fun with this win or lose so I guess I'll keep going with it for now. I'm surprised at the results for win/loss streaks as I thought that would have been a little more obvious and the line makers would have accounted for this. -
Re: Contrary System (NBA 07/08) hi i did a little check on 1995 to present season on ur system and u cant expekt much profit in long term. any way here are results: team on 2 ats WINNING streak vs team on 2 ats LOSING - fair odds 1,97 team on 3 or more ats LOSING streak - fair odds 1,965 team on 3 or more ats WINNING streak - fair odds 1,94 so u would have to get very good odds every time...u have the edge over the line, but with 1,96 avg odds its very difficullt to gain much if any profit. but there are some interesting turning points there i think u took a look form wrong side - no recreational punter is looking at ats streak...but W/L at thats when lines move if one team is on good or bad streak... if u look at SU streaks only, and only bet when BOTH teams are on 2 or more SU streaks (one on positive and other one on negative streak) fair odds turn to 1,92 - and since u can get 1,95 (or slightly better) nowdays on NBA, that one would be beatable i nthe long run... also if u take out game where team u put money on is on 0 days rest- u get 1,895 for fair odds... hope this helps... id be happy to backtest any other ideas in nba u might have just PM me
Slovakia issue
in ELO Ratings Discussion
Posted
Hey, i've noticed hen i go to todays mathes page https://www.punterslounge.com/elo-football-ratings/todays-elo-ratings, there is Slovakia ratings, but there is no Slovakia in menu where all the countries are. This posses an issue for anyone who wants to bet few days ahead.