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gruja

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  1. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Feb 25th & 26th   
    Great call yesterday Stevie, i am sad i didnt logged in since weekend, completely missed out on this round.
    Odds on Charlton really poked my eye. After i read some team news, i still dont understand and i expect as people start to bet more on Charlton odds will probably shift.
    https://footballleagueworld.co.uk/key-sheffield-wednesday-team-news-emerges/
    So basically, important players are playing through pain and list of injuries is even bigger actually. FFS, they didnt even scored at home this year LOL
    I mean, i like number games, that will probably change obviously, but Sheffield being dreadful host and Charlton being in okayish form (win against Forrest was kinda impressive especially as Forest beat Leeds three days before that) i really dont see why we shouldnt see upset on Hilsborough tonight. Sheff is allowing too much goals, not so much CS and i think they will try to be offensive from first minute as their fans are kinda annoyed by their form/football they are playing etc etc. I expect open game and Charlton able to win it and with odds this big, i think it is worth a punt. What is really interesting also about Charlton is that they pick their game when they are underdogs, i guess its some Lee Bowyer type of motivation that probably fire them up for those games (they won at Forrest, draw with Fulam and WBA in last 8 games).

    Charlton to win, odds 5.00. For those that like less hazardous bets, double chance around 2.2 is really juice IMHO.
    BTTS, odds 2.00 on pinnacle are gift in my eyes.
     
    Good luck to all who follows.

     
     
  2. Like
    gruja reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Feb 25th & 26th   
    Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest
    OK, so due to the midweek Championship games and a bit of value here I'm using one of my previews from this section for this week on this game between Cardiff and Nottingham Forest which kicks off at 7:45pm GMT from the Cardiff City Stadium later tonight. Why am I keen to cover it? Well, unfortunately, I think the away side are too generously priced to ignore.
    Cardiff suffered a demoralising yet unsurprising defeat away to Stoke on the weekend. I say unsurprising but I probably was a bit surprised. I thought we could get a point but the injury to Lee Tomlin, our best player this season by a country mile, has really changed expectations. Neil Harris will be without his star performer for the next month or so at least and it's got everyone's mood downbeat in the Welsh capital. We have won 9 of our last 10 matches against Forest but that feels irrelevant given our decreasing form and the absence of Tomlin. We have also drawn 5 of our last 6 home games so we're not exactly accustomed to winning at home right now.
    Nottingham Forest aren't without their own injuries worries coming into this match. The trio of Lewis Grabban, Samba Sow, and Sammy Ameobi are all doubts with Nuna Da Costa still out injured. Sabri Lamouchi will also be aware that he takes his team to Cardiff knowing they've only won 1 of their last 11 league trips to the city. All that being said, this is a new Forest side that are still in 5th place and only 6 points off the automatic promotion spots.
    I just have a really dour feeling about this game. We looked exactly as you'd expect us to be without Tomlin against Stoke. Flat. Lacking creativity. Impotent. I am worried it'll be the same here unless Harris does something drastic. He'll know that something needs to change but how does he address it exactly? It could take weeks before any changes have an impact so I'm pessimistic at best ahead of the next few games.
    Nottingham Forest to Win @ 3.25 with Sportingbet
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.78 with Marathonbet
  3. Like
    gruja reacted to allthethings in Non-League Predictions > February 25th   
    Ebbsfleet 4.31
    Somehow getting crushed by the top side has led to these odds, I guess, and I can't say I understand it These two sides are not as far apart as the odds would suggest, and Fleet's h2h with Maidenhead is dead even, home or away.
  4. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Feb 18th - 23rd   
    I hope your bet is winning one, i have antepost of Tranmere going down so just cheering for their relegation opponents:D
     
  5. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Feb 21st & 22nd   
    I grabbed Nott Forest at evens. I feel they are the only promotion fighter this week that actually offers some value. Really weird they lost against Charlton after Leeds game, but yeah, this is Championship, Fulham lost against Barnsley 3:0, like what the actual fcuk
    I really feel Forest and Fulham will play on Wembley in the end, if Leeds not decide to slip again
  6. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Feb 14th & 16th   
    I dont have much time as i am on airport, but i find it hard to believe that BTTS on Cambridge - Bradford game is 2.00. Cambridge is in form team and 3 wins in a row since they sacked their manager (to be honest, i thought they will be into relegation struggle at some point) but new caretaker did excellent job and know they are sure as Stevenage continues to be dreadful.
    At the same time, Bradford brought back their legend as coach and it is sad they didnt do that before winter break as he would probably level squad probably better and not allowing calibre of Vaughan and Doyle to leave the club. I dont like Garry Bowyer style of football and i think january slump is completely his fault as it was obvious that players tried to play for him, its not that they didnt run for him and anything like that. We know that he is offensive minded coach and his statements are also confirming that. He was unlucky in first game against Grimsby where in rather boring game they conceded equaliser at the death and afterward they managed to win against poor Stevenage after thrailing on the halftime. I am quite sure they will concede again, but i think Bradford have squad and ability to start firing on all cilinders as people expected before the season. Odds are drifting on a side of Cambridge as Bradford away record is woeful, but i will gladly take asian DNB with odds of 2.1.
     
    I think both teams are complete, so no big handicaps in teams.
     
    Cambridge - Bradford BTTS odds @ 2.00
    Bradford DNB odds @ 2.1.
     
    Good luck.
     
    P.s i see similar value in Peterborough, with Btts and DNB on away side.
  7. Like
    gruja reacted to BillyHills in Non-League Predictions > 11th January   
    Just have to say that Southport are clueless at the minute and the 4/5 about AFC Fylde looks a bargain on Saturday in the FA Trophy!!
    Now that will stop the rot😂
     
  8. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Dec 10th - 15th   
    While i aggree that Mansfield is completely clueless this season and they have squad to compete for playoffs at least, i dont see much value in home win and after all, its league two, super unpredictable. So when i have odds below 2.00 on two teams i find even strength, but for various reasons one perform better, i just stay away. I like your over 2.5, i am sure Mansfield will score at least once, so lets hope Crewe will score at least two times so both of your bets win!
     
    BTW, Bradford is getting a lot of their players back from injuries and Reeves is also one of them, he already had man of the match display, so i think i will follow them closely in next few weeks untill bookies start to acknowledge that, especially at home.
  9. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Dec 13th & 14th   
    @StevieDay1983 I was on your boys against Brentford, i am really not understanding the odds bookies put on Brentford at home. I caught Huddersfield at crazy odds, i've missed Cardiff, but i will continue to do so untill they are giving me crazy away odds on teams that are with same ambitions like them. Yeah, i like Brentford, i like their style, but i think they dont have this grinding mentality and home form confirms it to be honest, they are better as away when they dont have pressure of being favourites.
    We can aggree that Fulham have one, if not the expensiest team in the league, the thing how much this team really worth is question for their board Mitrovic can obviously score at any place, they have amazing offensive power but it looks like Scott Parker didnt learned anything from their time in Premier league as their defence is still the same and it is absolutely awful. I cant believe this guys still fucking playing on such a high professional level when its obvious they are not good enough. Le Marchand, Ream, Odoi, Mawson, all mediocre players completely.
    Still, they sit on third place, they can outscore any opponent that's sure and when i see odds on them around 3/1 (and still growing because of the sickness bug news), but i think they will not have any serious missings, so my money is on Fulham today.
    I think both to score is also great option, so i will have that bet to cover my stake for Fulham away win.
     
  10. Like
    gruja got a reaction from NoFear in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Dec 10th - 15th   
    While i aggree that Mansfield is completely clueless this season and they have squad to compete for playoffs at least, i dont see much value in home win and after all, its league two, super unpredictable. So when i have odds below 2.00 on two teams i find even strength, but for various reasons one perform better, i just stay away. I like your over 2.5, i am sure Mansfield will score at least once, so lets hope Crewe will score at least two times so both of your bets win!
     
    BTW, Bradford is getting a lot of their players back from injuries and Reeves is also one of them, he already had man of the match display, so i think i will follow them closely in next few weeks untill bookies start to acknowledge that, especially at home.
  11. Thanks
    gruja got a reaction from justice in Championship Predictions > Nov 1st - 4th   
    How on earth we still have odds on Huddersfield around 7.00, it is beyond my understanding. Since Danny Cowley took over Terriers are unbeaten and while i hate Brentford being in form, i just cant look past odds like this. I've expected Brentford to be around evens given the current form of Huddersfield and how much things changed in last 6 weeks there, they are tougher, they score more and i think tomorrow will be a long afternoon for Brentford, one of those that can lead to a frustration and mistakes which could be costly. Visitors are still without Kongolo, but his absence didnt affected defence of Huddersfield, though Alex Pritchard is coming back into squad.
     
    Brentford should field same 11 like in last game.
    So, my pick is Huddersfield @ 7.00 bwin. Away team over 1.5 @ 5.5
  12. Thanks
    gruja got a reaction from cluelessG in Championship Predictions > Nov 1st - 4th   
    How on earth we still have odds on Huddersfield around 7.00, it is beyond my understanding. Since Danny Cowley took over Terriers are unbeaten and while i hate Brentford being in form, i just cant look past odds like this. I've expected Brentford to be around evens given the current form of Huddersfield and how much things changed in last 6 weeks there, they are tougher, they score more and i think tomorrow will be a long afternoon for Brentford, one of those that can lead to a frustration and mistakes which could be costly. Visitors are still without Kongolo, but his absence didnt affected defence of Huddersfield, though Alex Pritchard is coming back into squad.
     
    Brentford should field same 11 like in last game.
    So, my pick is Huddersfield @ 7.00 bwin. Away team over 1.5 @ 5.5
  13. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Nov 1st - 4th   
    How on earth we still have odds on Huddersfield around 7.00, it is beyond my understanding. Since Danny Cowley took over Terriers are unbeaten and while i hate Brentford being in form, i just cant look past odds like this. I've expected Brentford to be around evens given the current form of Huddersfield and how much things changed in last 6 weeks there, they are tougher, they score more and i think tomorrow will be a long afternoon for Brentford, one of those that can lead to a frustration and mistakes which could be costly. Visitors are still without Kongolo, but his absence didnt affected defence of Huddersfield, though Alex Pritchard is coming back into squad.
     
    Brentford should field same 11 like in last game.
    So, my pick is Huddersfield @ 7.00 bwin. Away team over 1.5 @ 5.5
  14. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Oct 18th - 20th   
    There was so much talk about Mk Dons last week and i cant believe that odds are now below evens for Coventry away win, especially after they lost home against Tranmere and being trashed against Roterham so if there arent some team news out there that i didnt see, i see value on MK Dons side.
    I feel like we will see something like 1:1, so my tips would be MK Dons Double chance and both to score. 
  15. Like
    gruja got a reaction from Shep65 in Non-League Predictions > October 7th-9th   
    Yeah, people like this Bastardian deserve special ring of hell. Just ignore them Darran, at the end of the day you know who you are and what you gave to this community.🍻
  16. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Sep 7th   
    Northampton is having small injury crisis and they could be without as many as 6-7 players which struggle to be fit for away match against Bradford. I am not impressed with Bradford altough i have them to promote in antepost bet, but i guess they are slowly adapting to new environment and hopefully they will start winning game like this. If this was in august, i think we would see odds around 1.8, so against incomplete Northampton i would take Bradford on 2.1.
  17. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Last week it was probably brave and stupid to put faith in Bolton youth This week i see goals over place in Leyton - Crawley game. Crawley was one of relegation candidates this year but i've spoken with their u23 coach who told me they could probably sneak in battle for playoffs, team chemistry is great and it seems they are compact as a unit. He was even more sure after last week in that scenario. Leyton had crazy game with Mansfield who is leaking goals everywhere but they definitely have power to hurt anyone in this division and i feel the same about Crawley, especially because teams tend to underestimate them in beggining of this season so my bet would ve both teams to score and over 2.5. Good luck to everyone.
  18. Like
    gruja got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Aug 17th   
    Bolton youngsters have shown they can put up a fight by taking a point from Coventry side last weekend. It looks like takeover will finally get through soon and while we all understand that team is in huge turmoil, i still cant see why on earth odds on Tranmere can be so low as 1.28. They are one of biggest relegation candidates and if things werent so bad for Bolton and Bury, they would have even less chance of staying this season. I think some asian line present value for sure and maybe we would see few first teamers in squad this week as takeover deal is being finalized.
  19. Like
    gruja got a reaction from jakdhu in Non-League Predictions > Nov 24th - 26th   
    Hi guys, i am regular lurker on this forum and it is really enjoyable to follow all of you guys. The reason why i am "out of the closet"  is that i want to let you know that you have mertyr and dorchester with marathon and one more russian bookmaker called 1x. Altough i couldnt bet as much as i wanted on marathon, 1x didnt limited me at all. They are even getting odds higher on guests, i dont know why, are we missing something? Marathon was 1,64 on dorchester when i put my money, now they are 1,89? 1x are also over 1,80 for the guests...
  20. Like
    gruja reacted to Fader in Australian Open 2016   
    Cheers guys. Keep checking the tennis sections not long til the next one  
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