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willie82

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Everything posted by willie82

  1. 17/20 over 2.5 with hills is good enough for me in Morton v QOS. they shared a 3-3 draw in the cup and Morton score a lot of goals but also concede a lot of goals Elgin seem good odds at 31/20 to beat a poor Stirling. This however would be my least confident bet Fleetwood look a great price at 10/11 to beat a very poor Southend side. Sunderland@ 11/10 away to an Accrington side who have not had the best of starts look as good.
  2. Grimsby are form team. Cambridge on very poor run and have the injury crisis. Good price on Grimsby at 13/10
  3. Agree re Patrick thistle. I can see where you are coming from re Raith. Don't think it will be a victory by much as Raith have not been hammering teams. They can struggle to break teams down. The way Arbroath play (attacking) should suit them.
  4. Stevenage look too big at 16/5. They have won last 4 out of 6. Tranmere have lost last 2 at home to teams lower in the league than Stevenage.
  5. Team that have caught my eye recently that I don't think the bookies have caught up with yet are Carlisle. They are currently 2/1 to win away at Northampton who are in poor form although they do seem to be draw specialists. Carlisle are in 5th place and have won seven away league games so far this season and no other team in this league have won more. They are in good form with victories in all of their last six matches. I was more confident until I realised their manager resigned recently and they don't seem to have been as solid under their interim manager. Northampton have only won 3 home games this season & have not won any of their last five matches. Odds look wrong to me. 2/1 considering form is great price for Carlisle.
  6. Good write up stevieday1983. This fixture jumped out at me when I looked at the odds on the coupon (10/11) but now 4/5. Gillingham have been poor lately and I think Cardiff fringe players will be motivated enough and have enough to win at gillingham. Has Warnock said anything re team news?
  7. Watch new manager syndrome at Dundee. Not saying that they will win but new managers usually lead to positive result
  8. Queens park manager gus McPherson away to st mirren. Edinburgh are on fire and don't concede many. Queen's struggle to score a lot of goals. 9/5 for Edinburgh is good value
  9. Sunderland going well at home to Oxford who are poor away. Conversing 8 and scoring 1. Sunderland score a few and 1/2 looks a very fair price on Sunderland Portsmouth doing well and should beat Plymouth who have had a very poor start especially away.
  10. Annan got 7 points from first 3 league games plus beat Celtic Colts in league cup. Berwick won opening game but it's 3 defeats since then. Berwick were expected to be poor this season and that is proving the case after positive opening day. Evs for annan is a more than fair price
  11. Agree about Pompey going well and should beat an Oxford side that have offered little going forward and can't see them stopping pompy's good quality attack. I also like Barnsley as they have scored a lot and conceded none. Wimbledon are no mugs though and there is possibly little value on the 8/13
  12. Hearts Stirling Edinburgh and Plymouth are my 4 fold. Hearts have been hammered into 5/6 and should beat a poor Hamilton team that will struggle to score goals. Berwick are very poor and Stirling have solid squad so 6/5 looks a very good price. Edinburgh have bought a few decent players for this level whereas Albion look like they could be whip boys this year. Plymouth have bought a lot of players but are building on a solid base. Walsall don't have a defence (signing defenders because only 1 centre back is fit) so 13/8 looks good price.
  13. Agree st mirren. They are in very good form and are definitely value. Inverness is a difficult place to go but st mirrens quality should shine through.
  14. Northampton look good price to beat a poor Rochdale team. Northampton picked up recently whereas Rochdale are one of the poorest if not the poorest away team in the league. I will take the 8/5 on Northampton.
  15. Peterborough look a bit of value at Evs. Their form is patchy but given Southend very poor season (last game aside) peterbrough need to win to close the gap on the play offs . Southend away for is particularly bad as well so I will take the Evs on the home win.
  16. Blackburn may well win but the odds are too skiny for me as Plymouth have been playing well and keeping it tight. I think it will be a tight game and maybe 0-0 or 1-0 either way.
  17. Plymouth are not conceeding many like they were early season. Blackpool have hit a bit if a stutter. I fancy argyle to get something and think just over evens for them +1 is a more than fair price which means the draw is on our side
  18. Hibs should beat Dundee.hibs are on a good run and have a good side. Dundee are now bottom and I'm not convinced McCann can turn it around. St Johnstone are in terrible form. Celtic should win with the quality they have
  19. ILivingston are strong at home and are doing better than expected for a promoted. Beach in have been dire and only have a few points. Although still getting beat they have conceded less lately. Livi should have more than enough to win at home. Forfar are dire and got beat 5-0 by Ayr last week. Raith and Ayr are really get and away the two best teams in the league. I cannot see anything other than raith win. Celtic will beat Kilmarnock. They are just a better team and killie are in poor form. Not a great treble price wise but should be a banker at Evs with paddy power
  20. Stirling Albion look a decent price at 10/11. They are top and appear to be better away from home. They average 2 goals per game. They do tend to let goals in but cowdenbeatj have not scored from open play on last 8 games and are bottom of the league. Both teams suffered cup defeats last week. Stirling defeat to a team 2 divisions was a big shock. Cowdens defeat was against a team that nearly beat them in a play off to get into the league so not such a big shock. The shock Round Stirling defeat in the cup is maybe why the price is bigger than I expected. Given league form Stirling averaging 2 goals per game and cowdenbeatj struggling to score I will take the 10/11 I strongly fancy Luton who are in great form away to Crawley who are in poor form. 19/20 is good price. I like tge look of boys Forrest at 4/5. They have started to hit a bit of form. Burton are poor Way from home. I expect Forrest to win Exeter are 19/20 at home. Having looked at the form Exeter have gone off the boil while port vale have won the last 2 games. I think I will probably leave this game alone. Ross county have improved their form since Coyle took over. Hamilton started season well but have hit a slump and cannot buy a win. It won't be easy but I expect county to win 19/20. I will prob do Forrest stirling and Luton treble but safest bet is Stirling Luton double.
  21. Chelsea Elgin Stirling peterhead spurs man city should all be bankers this weekend. Not great odds (around 11/8) but all should win. All the teams are far superior to opposition
  22. Purely on first look. In form Notts county to beat a poor Forrest green. 1/2 Not great odds but this should be a banker home win. Fleetwood are an up and down side but I think they should beat a poor Plymouth side. 11/10 is a fair price
  23. If you back a team -2 on the handicap they need to win by 3 goals to beat the handicap so why is +2 not the same? Are the bookies viewing a 2-0 Victory as a draw?
  24. Aberdeen are playing poorly at the moment although we won at Motherwell we looked clueless going forward and basically scored with our only chance. St Johnstone are a physical team and always cause us problems. There is no way they should be 5/1 to win. There is no chance Aberdeen will win by 3 goals so 4/9 for st Johnstone +2 goals on handicap betting is an absolute steal.
  25. Villa Rotherham and st mitten all look good for the win against opposition that are in poor form. That is just on first look