Sporting Sam

All tipsters ( who hawk for punters money) lose short term and long term or they wouldn’t be asking money for their tips. The best tips are free. Many are found on this website. People on here put up tips for many reasons.
To show they are good.
To share their hard learned experience.
Out of the goodness of their heart.
It is up to the individual as to their reasons.
Black Rabbit puts up winners at the best prices daily.
Richard has a system that enables him to put up top rated horses with spectacular results.
Bhramin(s) get some excellent information from the horses mouth.
I put up runners at the post based on form, lifetime form and physics.
 I can’t prove it works, but my belief system means it works for me and I’ve posted 34 winners around the world for the current month. Latest one was stateside at woodbine and previous one at Kelso @ 4/1.
The worst type of poster is a troll who come onto forums claiming to be seeking information normally they have never posted ( or have less than six posts) and before long they are asking for money or trying to promote their failing business.
 I’m hoping you don’t fall into the above category.
But until you come up with a decent winner that we couldn’t have picked ourselves then you’d have nothing to offer.
 

All tipsters ( who hawk for punters money) lose short term and long term or they wouldn’t be asking money for their tips. The best tips are free. Many are found on this website. People on here put up tips for many reasons.
To show they are good.
To share their hard learned experience.
Out of the goodness of their heart.
It is up to the individual as to their reasons.
Black Rabbit puts up winners at the best prices daily.
Richard has a system that enables him to put up top rated horses with spectacular results.
Bhramin(s) get some excellent information from the horses mouth.
I put up runners at the post based on form, lifetime form and physics.
 I can’t prove it works, but my belief system means it works for me and I’ve posted 34 winners around the world for the current month. Latest one was stateside at woodbine and previous one at Kelso @ 4/1.
The worst type of poster is a troll who come onto forums claiming to be seeking information normally they have never posted ( or have less than six posts) and before long they are asking for money or trying to promote their failing business.
 I’m hoping you don’t fall into the above category.
But until you come up with a decent winner that we couldn’t have picked ourselves then you’d have nothing to offer.
 

Pontefract 1430
CATTON LADY
Win
the draw data horse and has a recent score and course form.
Beechwood star
each way
watch Validated closely as he was due to race in much better company on debut but was absent for first two appointments…..

ReportPHS • October 8, 2023 2:47 PM BST   Mon     FT HG        FT TT        Name        Time        Cse        From        To        From Strike        To Strike                        Cahersiveen         16:30        Pontefract        Condon, K J        Sangster, Ollie                        Y                Cash Out         15:20        Windsor        OBrien, Joseph Patrick        Hunt, Mitchell        3%        7%                        Sixties Chic        15:50        Windsor        Channon, M R        Channon, Jack        11%                                Chico Dulce        15:50        Windsor        Makin, Phillip        Woodman, Miss R        5%                                Smooth Ryder         17:00        Wolverhampton        Johnston, Charlie        Loughnane, David                16%                        Munasir         17:30        Wolverhampton        OBrien, Joseph Patrick        Varian, Roger                19%                        O Dells Star         18:30        Wolverhampton        Burke, K R        Dunn, Mrs Alex        7%        6%                        Gerrots         18:30        Wolverhampton        Wainwright, J S        Faulkner, Ms D C        3%                                Stryder         20:00        Wolverhampton        Walker, Ed        Attwater, M J        20%        7%                        Crystal Dawn         20:30        Wolverhampton        Thompson, Ronald        Macey, Jessica        0%        10%                        Top Cloud        14:05        Stratford        Grant, C        Llewellyn, Robert        6%                                Shetland Tony        15:10        Stratford        Elliott, Gordon        Twiston-Davies, N A                14%                        Schmilsson        15:10        Stratford        Balding, A M        Murphy, Olly        23%        17%                        Global Esteem         15:10        Stratford        Gallagher, J        OBrien, Fergal        0%        17%                        Dixie Flyer         15:10        Stratford        Bromhead, Henry De        Curran, S                10%                        Milan Bridge         16:45        Stratford        Nicholls, P F        Humphrey, Mrs S J        23%        10%                        Moon Chime

Kelso
2pm
BOIS GILBERT
Win
Darkest Day
each way

Kelso
2pm
BOIS GILBERT
Win
Darkest Day
each way

Madam  Ambassador                                        1 30 New/        1/40th of a pt ew     33/1           -    Won    
Ropey Guest                                                       3 35 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    44/1
Designer                                                               1 50 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    12/1
Happy Romance                                                 3 00 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
Commander Crouch                                           2 05 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    36/1            -   2nd
Love Billy Boy                                                       2 45 Red/          1/40th of a pt ew   36/1
Vultan                                                                    2 20 Cra/           1/40th of a pt ew   38/1
Bosh                                                                       7 30 Wol/           1/40th of a pt win  12/1
 
 
 
 
P/L   + 171.95 pts

Five winners  today and more to come at keenland hopefully. A hat trick at Wolverhampton. 
Madame Ambassador 10/1
Kaaress 6/1
sunday sovereign 9/1
james macCauley had this former 95 rated winner in England cosily smuggled into this race but DRAW DATA unearthed him.
change sings
pick that one out!!!!
chifa
32 (THIRTY TWO) winners in one week.
( in Keeneland Master of the seas was turned over in a headbobber to lose by a nose in a photo while newcomer was well beaten in second seconditis was the order across the pond as in Italian was turned over by a third string stablemate .)

Inches away from a win and a 50/1 third.
musnt be greedy doing well enough.
6:40 Belmont park America
Rebels Romance
Win
Rebels romance and war like goddess reverse forecast 
Seeks to complete again as the route to the breeders cup begins here. Unseated jockey last time and that means the horse has enjoyed a complete run weight free and horses invariably say thanks next time out ala Guineas and several races this summer.
William Buick on board and a big threat here is War like Goddess who won this race last year.
Add Stone Age and we have the breeders cup turf 123.

Newmarket 1:30
Draw data throws up two runners due to an anomaly in the four years of data. One is adjusted the other is without tasking the anomaly into account
whispering words
Queens Regent
both win 
horses don’t usually run green after winning as this one was reported to last time out
Madam Ambassador 
each way

30 - all selections online
LADY BOBA stands out as potentially the best-handicapped runner in the 1m2f fillies’ handicap at Newmarket (1.30), and she looks worth chancing on her return from a ten-week break.
She shaped really well when runner-up on her second start at Chelmsford in July, one of three that pulled a long way clear off a steady pace, producing an excellent time figure/sectional combination. The winner is now rated 102, and although Lady Boba was receiving 12lb from him, that was still a very promising performance.
She wasn’t asked to do much more than win in a steadily-run 1m4f event on soft ground at Ffos Las next time, easing to the lead and the winning margin in no respect a reflection of her superiority, her rider easing her as soon as she had gone two lengths ahead.
She won’t have been an easy filly for the handicapper to assess, the weight she was receiving from the two colts at Chelmsford and her narrow margin of victory at Ffos Las perhaps meaning he’s had to rate her at something like face value, whereas on each of her last two starts she might have been forced to run to a higher level granted a stronger pace.
The ground will be much faster than she has encountered on turf today, but her full brothers handle fats ground well.
Looking at her price history this morning, it would seem she’s available at around half the odds quoted yesterday afternoon, but as I’ve said many times in this column, those early prices merely seem to serve as an early guide for bookmakers and can’t be taken too seriously until the markets have settled down. I think there’s a chance that Lady Boba could prove capable of being a stakes filly in time, so off a mark of 82 she has to be worth chancing here, despite the slight concerns about her absence and the ground.
In the extended 1m nursery at Wolverhampton (5.30) it might be worth taking a chance on ROYAL EXPERT, now she steps up in trip and returns to the all-weather.
Confidence is tempered by the fact that she ran no sort of a race over 6f at Brighton last time in what looked a weak race, but she is bred to want much further, her dam having won over an extended 1m3f on testing ground.
Moreover, by some way her best effort to date came on her only all-weather start, which came when she finished strongly into third on her debut at Chelmsford over 6f in June.
Her stable has a good recent record in all-weather nurseries (four individual winners from just 13 total runs in the last two seasons), and it might be that the return to the all-weather and the step up in trip will see Royal Expert in a different light.
 
HUGH'S BEST BETS (1-5 POINTS):
1.30 NEWMARKET
1pt win LADY BOBA (13-2 Coral, William Hill, 6-1 general)
5.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
1pt win ROYAL EXPERT (14-1 general)

brookie 4.07 

Metal wins ....rule 4 20 or 30p but still a few quid 😀

Dundalk 2030
TIME TO BOOGIE 
Win
cursory exam
each way
Colonel Poppy
won stateside overnight on the USA thread to take the months winners to TWENTY
A few good winners today
Whistle stop tour 
Was highly impressive on rules debut for Lucinda Russell and the trip over the border was well worthwhile.
OCEANVIEW 28/1
NT FIELD MINNESOTA  3/1
ROHAAN  11/4
PIPSY
PANNING FOR GOLD
DANDYVILLE 
27 Winners since Sunday 
target for the month was forty.
Hopefully six more winners over the weekend. 

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

OCEANLINE ( each way)
SEA STONE
Ascot 4:30
NT FIELD MINNESOTA
Downpatrick 3:35

ROHAAN
Ascot 5:05
Beat the heat
Fontwell 5:15
As a winning pointer this trip will suit NT Minnesota for Willie Mullins has been found wanting over shorter.
Oceanline returns to the flat having been over jumps for in form David Pipe and is therefore a de facto stable switcher in this code. That said on reflection he’s an each way chance only given the presence of sea stone who replaces ocean line as a win bet.
Rohaan wins at least once a year and today with some give in the ground looks about right on a track where he has won four times. With Neil callan a top booking he must be primed to go for it today. I haven’t checked yet, but I’d say Hugh Taylor would be picking this one. Makes up ground hand over fist in all of his races and although down the field this season has been an eyecatcher. He has three wins in December and one on 1st October in his cv so today would be the latest autumn win. If he gets a clear run and does still retain ability. A horse who started out as a class six handicapper and ended up with group two glory and Royal Ascot and with a  controversial start in race where he returned lame this horse owes nothing to anyone. Except of course David Evans the maverick Trainer who has supplied me with lots of winners and continues to do so.
Beat the heat is a busy horse and bids to win at fontwell for the fourth visit on the trot.
it has been a long time since that last visit November, but that end a run of three wins in June and September. All runs at Fontwell yielded a return of 43111 with placed runs elsewhere. Beat the heat has just landed a 1 mile Six class four race at Bath so arrives locked and loaded.
oceanline is an each way bet as
Sea stone looks too good for these runners 
By Brasil is a second time runner for his new yard and career highlights for Joseph O’Brien was winning on debut and beating the mighty 158 rated jumper Zanahiyr  a notebook and watching brief is applied to this very interesting runner who is in first  time headgear.
All win singles and doubles and four timer.
 
 

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

OCEANLINE ( each way)
SEA STONE
Ascot 4:30
NT FIELD MINNESOTA
Downpatrick 3:35

ROHAAN
Ascot 5:05
Beat the heat
Fontwell 5:15
As a winning pointer this trip will suit NT Minnesota for Willie Mullins has been found wanting over shorter.
Oceanline returns to the flat having been over jumps for in form David Pipe and is therefore a de facto stable switcher in this code. That said on reflection he’s an each way chance only given the presence of sea stone who replaces ocean line as a win bet.
Rohaan wins at least once a year and today with some give in the ground looks about right on a track where he has won four times. With Neil callan a top booking he must be primed to go for it today. I haven’t checked yet, but I’d say Hugh Taylor would be picking this one. Makes up ground hand over fist in all of his races and although down the field this season has been an eyecatcher. He has three wins in December and one on 1st October in his cv so today would be the latest autumn win. If he gets a clear run and does still retain ability. A horse who started out as a class six handicapper and ended up with group two glory and Royal Ascot and with a  controversial start in race where he returned lame this horse owes nothing to anyone. Except of course David Evans the maverick Trainer who has supplied me with lots of winners and continues to do so.
Beat the heat is a busy horse and bids to win at fontwell for the fourth visit on the trot.
it has been a long time since that last visit November, but that end a run of three wins in June and September. All runs at Fontwell yielded a return of 43111 with placed runs elsewhere. Beat the heat has just landed a 1 mile Six class four race at Bath so arrives locked and loaded.
oceanline is an each way bet as
Sea stone looks too good for these runners 
By Brasil is a second time runner for his new yard and career highlights for Joseph O’Brien was winning on debut and beating the mighty 158 rated jumper Zanahiyr  a notebook and watching brief is applied to this very interesting runner who is in first  time headgear.
All win singles and doubles and four timer.
 
 

OCEANLINE ( each way)
SEA STONE
Ascot 4:30
NT FIELD MINNESOTA
Downpatrick 3:35

ROHAAN
Ascot 5:05
Beat the heat
Fontwell 5:15
As a winning pointer this trip will suit NT Minnesota for Willie Mullins has been found wanting over shorter.
Oceanline returns to the flat having been over jumps for in form David Pipe and is therefore a de facto stable switcher in this code. That said on reflection he’s an each way chance only given the presence of sea stone who replaces ocean line as a win bet.
Rohaan wins at least once a year and today with some give in the ground looks about right on a track where he has won four times. With Neil callan a top booking he must be primed to go for it today. I haven’t checked yet, but I’d say Hugh Taylor would be picking this one. Makes up ground hand over fist in all of his races and although down the field this season has been an eyecatcher. He has three wins in December and one on 1st October in his cv so today would be the latest autumn win. If he gets a clear run and does still retain ability. A horse who started out as a class six handicapper and ended up with group two glory and Royal Ascot and with a  controversial start in race where he returned lame this horse owes nothing to anyone. Except of course David Evans the maverick Trainer who has supplied me with lots of winners and continues to do so.
Beat the heat is a busy horse and bids to win at fontwell for the fourth visit on the trot.
it has been a long time since that last visit November, but that end a run of three wins in June and September. All runs at Fontwell yielded a return of 43111 with placed runs elsewhere. Beat the heat has just landed a 1 mile Six class four race at Bath so arrives locked and loaded.
oceanline is an each way bet as
Sea stone looks too good for these runners 
By Brasil is a second time runner for his new yard and career highlights for Joseph O’Brien was winning on debut and beating the mighty 158 rated jumper Zanahiyr  a notebook and watching brief is applied to this very interesting runner who is in first  time headgear.
All win singles and doubles and four timer.
 
 

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

Published 9.19, 9.30 & 9.59 - all selections online
SPIRIT GENIE has been given a chance by the handicapper and might be worth chancing in the 1m handicap at Newcastle (5.45) on his debut for connections who have already achieved plenty of success with a similar acquisition this year.
Spirit Genie had some useful form as a two-year-old, winning a Roscommon maiden, beaten half a length in a nursery off a mark of 87 on his next start, and then running as well as could have been expected when seventh in a Listed event at Dundalk on his only all-weather start to date.
He didn’t make much impact in his two runs earlier this year, but those were ultra-competitive early-season three-year-old handicaps, and having shown his hand as a two-year-old he faced a stiff task off marks in the low 90s.
He’s racing off a much more realistic mark of 85 here, and his profile does bear some similarities to that of Probe, who had also been struggling off marks in the low 90s in Ireland before winning on his debut for the same connections off a much-reduced mark at Wolverhampton.
His entry in the Balmoral Handicap on Champions’ Day later this month looks optimistic as he’s unlikely to get a run even with a penalty, but he might still be worth a speculative each-way bet here off his reduced mark.
ELEVEN ELEVEN shaped as if back in form last time following a break, and he might be able to confirm that he’s well handicapped at present in the 1m handicap at Newcastle (6.15), especially if he settles better than last time.
He was strong in the market for that latest start and arguably shaped best, leading going well despite having pulled hard in the early stages and still producing a good time figure for the grade in finishing second.
He runs off the same mark here, and with two wins (both off higher marks) and three seconds from just seven starts at Newcastle, he looks poised to add to his fine course record.
It’s no surprise to see Rohaan a strong favourite in the 6f handicap at Ascot (5.05), plenty in his favour apart from the price, but I’ve always thought YAASER’s running style would be well suited to this track and at much bigger odds he might be an each-way value alternative to the favourite.
Yaaser is a strong-travelling hold-up horse, just the type to go well on the straight track here, and although all his wins have come over 7f+ and all bar one of them round a bend, he certainly travels well enough to suggest a strongly-run 6f would suit him. He also does have plenty of form on a straight track too, such as when an unlucky-in-running second at Doncaster in August.
He has had one try here before, when he didn’t get the strong pace that suits despite the big field, and he was only beaten around three lengths despite racing off a mark of 85, fully 10lb out of the handicap that day.
He’s racing off 78 here, looked at the top of his game when winning at Southwell last time, and he looks overpriced this morning, having been just 10-1 when withdrawn after becoming upset in the stalls prior to his intended run in the Ayr Gold Cup a fortnight ago.
It’s possible that his low draw might be a disadvantage, but at the prices, he still looks worth chancing.
 
HUGH'S BEST BETS (1-5 POINTS):
5.05 ASCOT
1pt each-way YAASER (40-1 BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill - all paying 5 places - 33-1 Sky Bet - paying 6 places)
5.45 NEWCASTLE
1pt each-way SPIRIT GENIE (40-1 bet365, Betfair Sportsbook, Coral, 33-1 Sky Bet - all paying 4 places)
6.15 NEWCASTLE
1pt win ELEVEN ELEVEN (9-4 general

I came on for a few couple stateside last night and from three races land Colonel Poppy to make it 20 winners for the month here after six on Wednesday.
The Rugby Union World Cup has been the festival of free money as it seems firms are content to use football pundits as odds compilers and has been a useful supplement to funds. It has gone on a bit now but if they could extend it another month I’d be eternally grateful. I’m easily 8/12 winning outcomes with big teams comfortably covering handicap lines. New Zealand last night 73 nil (-66) 
France are being asked to concede just 27 tonight. Now that one could go either way but I’m with the french there. I know this a racing forum but I’m highlighting this because it really has supplemented my racing this last month.