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danj2202

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Posts posted by danj2202

  1. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 1 pts Jose Abreu to hit a home run and Chicago White Sox to beat Detroit Tigers 11.00 Paddy Power Abreu has a home run against Greene in his career and hit a grand slam last night. Jose Quintana is one of the underrated pitchers in the league and while he had a rocky start to the year but bounced back against Cleveland. I Believe the sox have the pitching edge in this game and the Tigers offense has returned toward earth after the incredible start to the year and the White Sox have been trending the opposite way. With Abreu heating up this could be value if he hits one out

  2. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    4 pts Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros Over 8 total runs 1.83 Paddy Power:( 2 pts Houston Astros to beat Los Angeles Angeles and Over 7.5 runs in the game 3.10 Paddy Power:(
    3 pts double Chicago White Sox to beat Detroit Tigers & San Diego Padres to beat Chicago Cubs pays 4.10 Paddy Power:(
    4 pts Tyson Ross to record 6+ strikeouts and San Diego to beat Chicago Cubs 3.50 Paddy Power:(
    6 pts ?Chris Sale to record 7+ Strikeouts and Chicago White Sox to beat Detroit Tigers 3.60 Paddy Power:(
    Pretty much what pete said. Strikeouts in one winner in the other. One out of two the multi blah blah on to today 28-49 Total staked 241 pts Total returns 257.62 pts Profit 16.62 pts
  3. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    I think stunned is the word' date=' well - one of the words! 0-5 last night on a night where I should (in my biased opinion) have gone 5-0, and been 54.67pts better off [emoji14']uke So the White Sox smash the Tigers and Sale whiffs 6... when we needed 7! Braves, who we had on the moneyline, led 4-0 going into the bottom of the 7th, conceded runs in the 7th and 8th and ended up losing in extra innings. Both the Cubs (6-2) and the Mets (5-1), who we had on the -1.5 line, led by FOUR runs entering the ninth inning, and both ended up winning by just 1 run. Whilst on the whingepath - Bristol City's 95th minute (!) penalty cost me a 38pt return on my football acca, and... [emoji38] ... I had an nba double to return 29pts on the first 2 playoff matches last night, the Wizards leg won meaning I needed the Pelicans to cover a +11.5 line and for there to be under 204.5pts.... they lost 99-106 :/ A 122pt swing justifies a moan, yeah? [emoji38] :sad A pretty sickening day all told. Bounce back today? 19-34-1 Staked 184pts Returned 179.64pts P/L -4.36pts
    You meant sheffield wednesday right ;)
  4. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 4 pts Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros Over 8 total runs 1.83 Paddy Power 2 pts Houston Astros to beat Los Angeles Angeles and Over 7.5 runs in the game 3.10 Paddy Power The pitchers on display tonight - Keuchel (5.10 in 7 starts) and Wilson (10.57 in 4 meetings) have had their issues against their respective opponents tonight, while the two lineups are scuffling somewhat at this stage they both have power in an abundance and are capable of putting up a nig number in any frame, I have a lean that the Astros may get the win here so will double it up as they have plenty of players who can get on base and CJ Wilson is a real suck it and see type pitcher who you can have no confidence how he is going to pitch.

  5. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting I have added the first multiple of the season on the above games 3 pts double Chicago White Sox to beat Detroit Tigers & San Diego Padres to beat Chicago Cubs pays 4.10 Paddy Power see the above posts for reasoning There may be a couple more later but if that is it good luck if you play

  6. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 4 pts Tyson Ross to record 6+ strikeouts and San Diego to beat Chicago Cubs 3.50 Paddy Power Well, this is a strange moment for me. I think this line is worth taking because Tyson Ross is a good strikeout pitcher averaging near as damnit 1K per inning pitched and this Cubs lineup is very swing happy and will strikeout a lot. I believe myself to be the number 2 member of the Kyle Hendricks fan club (his mum is #1!!) but he wasnt good first time up against Colorado and this Padres batting lineup doesnt offer many places to hide if he has another inconsistent outing. There is a little cause to worry with our boy Kye in the more advanced metrics that he may have some bumps in the road compared to last year so while I like the kid I am waiting for him to show he has his touch back before wading in on him again and will for the first time in my life take the team facing Kyle Hendricks and the Cubs. Tyson Ross unsurprisingly has poorer numbers away from the ultra pitcher friendly PETCO Park but allowed 1 run through 6 in his only start against the Cubs which was at Wrigley, small sample size but its all we have to go on.

  7. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 6 pts ?Chris Sale to record 7+ Strikeouts and Chicago White Sox to beat Detroit Tigers 3.60 Paddy Power I really like the matchup and I like the chances of the Sox to beat the Tigers in Detroit, I may yet play the money line at 2.00 generally available. Anibal Sanchez will pitch for the Tigers tonight, and while I rate him, he wasnt very good his last start allowing 5 runs and he has never beaten the White Sox at Comerica Park while having a 5.87 ERA in those games. I am willing to bet the strikeout double on Paddy because Chris Sale who had 8 against Minnesota in his first start this season faced Detroit on three occasions last year and had at least ten punchouts in those games, he averages more than 1 K per inning pitched and it is far from unreasonable to expect 7 from the ace of the White Sox staff. Sale has a 1.71 ERA in his last 7 games against Detroit - one of the leagues most consistent lineups for offensive production.

  8. Re: Chelsea v Manchester United > Saturday April 18th I am not a regular poster in football largely because i am not usually profitable in the long run. I am as neutral as they come in this game but i do have a strong opinion about this game. Manchester United have been playing really well in recent weeks and the man who has been making it happen and een the strength and keystone of this side as I have watched them has been Michael Carrick. This United team is transformed when he is in the side, the popular public opinion is that Rooney going back up top has sparked the turnaround but I just dont see that as factual - its positive for sure but Carrick has been the difference. And thus my opinion is that Manchester United will lose the battle in midfield in this game and while I believe van Gaal will set up for a point and this wont be as drastic as last year when United got murdered in the middle of the park as Chelsea swarmed forward I cannot see any result other than a Chelsea win here. Maybe a sporting punt around Hazard scoring also. I am certain than Manchester United will not win this game

  9. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    4 pts Max Scherzer to have 8+strikeouts and Washington to beat Philadelphia 2.70:) 4 pts Boston Red Sox (-1.5) to beat Baltimore Orioles 2.38 Skybet:( 2 pts Boston Red Sox (-3.5) to beat Baltimore Orioles 4.75 Bet365:(
    28-44 Total staked 222 pts Total returns 257.62 pts Profit 35.62 pts
  10. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 4 pts Max Scherzer to have 8+strikeouts and Washington to beat Philadelphia 2.70 Scherzer has struck out at east 8 in each start for the Nats this year and I still believe Sean O'Sullivan to be a below average starter despite him costing us some cash last time our. It is reasonable to expect Scherzer to punch out this many and make a general 1.44 shot a far more attractive 2.70 4 pts Boston Red Sox (-1.5) to beat Baltimore Orioles 2.38 Skybet 2 pts Boston Red Sox (-3.5) to beat Baltimore Orioles 4.75 Bet365 Hard to trust Ubaldo Jiminez and he has struggled against Boston with a 9.37 career ERA and is winless at Fenway with an 8.00 ERA. Joe Kelly is a decent pitcher and should Ubaldos struggles continue against the Red Sox - there is no reason to expect them to cease, and the offense is scoring enough for the BoSox then Boston could win this fairly comfortably. Kelly allowed just the one against the Yankees first time up and split his starts against teh O's last season for Boston with a 3.38 ERA, I dont think these numbers lie!!

  11. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    5 pts Kansas City Royals (-1.5) to beat Minnesota Twins 2.30 bet365:(
    4 pts Arizona Diamondbacks to beat San Francisco Giants 2.60 Bet365:) 2 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat San Francisco Giants 3.65 Bet365:( 1 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat San Francisco Giants 9.00 Bet365:(
    5 pts David Price to record 8+ strikeouts and Drtroit Tigers to beat Chicago White Sox 3.10 Paddy Power:) 4 pts Detroit Tigers (-1.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 2.15 bet365:( 2 pts Detroit Tigers (-3.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 4.35 bet365:(
    27-42 Total staked 212 pts Total returns 246.82 pts Profit 34.82 pts
  12. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 5 pts David Price to record 8+ strikeouts and Drtroit Tigers to beat Chicago White Sox 3.10 Paddy Power 4 pts Detroit Tigers (-1.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 2.15 bet365 2 pts Detroit Tigers (-3.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 4.35 bet365 Now the basic thought process is that Price led MLB in strikeouts last year and the White Sox strike out a LOT. 8 is a large number but i cannot see why that isnt achievable considering he had 23 punch outs in 3 starts against these white sox last year. Samardzija will have to improve massively on his showings in the jersey this far to be competitive in this one having allowed at least 4 runs in each of his starts

  13. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting nice to see the royals game going to plan :\ That was meant to pay for this one but anyhow 4 pts Arizona Diamondbacks to beat San Francisco Giants 2.60 Bet365 2 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat San Francisco Giants 3.65 Bet365 1 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat San Francisco Giants 9.00 Bet365 I will start off by stating both that this is not a mistake and I am fully aware who is pitching. Madison Bumgarner, reigning World Series MVP is pitching for the Giants tonight, there are three things I want to express. Arizona have the better offensive players and I am far more confident in them scoring runs than I am the Giants offensive lineup which could be close to the leagues worst this season in terms of generating runs. Secondly, Bumgarner was not actually all that good at home last season, he had a 4.03 ERA at home and was only 7-6 in 15 starts and finally, he got shelled for 5 runs in 3 innings last time out. Granted his start was solid against Arizona in the opener, but if Archie Bradley shuts down the Giants like he did the Dodgers and make no mistake tonight should be easier, then we dont need too many runs for this to come in at a value price

  14. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 5 pts Kansas City Royals (-1.5) to beat Minnesota Twins 2.30 bet365 So the Royals suffered their first defeat last night but the matchuo looks a decent one for a bounce back tonight. Jason Vargas has dominated the Twins going 3-0 in 4 starts last year with a 0.96 ERA. He allowed two runs in his season debut and if he keeps the long ball out of the picture today has an excellent chance opposed by Tommy Milone. Milone has struggled with the Royals managing less than 7 innings over two starts last year with 11 runs scored. He had a ricky start to open his season and unless he turns it around the Royals who despite losing still managed to put the ball in play last night could well get the W here

  15. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    4 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 2.55 Bet365:) 2 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 5.00 Bet365:) 1 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 11.00 Bet365:( 6 pts San Diego Padres (-1.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 2.70 Bet365:( 3 pts San Diego Padres (-3.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 6.25 Bet365:( 6 pts Brandon Morrow to record 6+ strikeouts and San Diego Padres to win 3.75 Paddy Power:(
    That was a near miss, one less run by the Rays in the 9th, one more Padres run or one mor strikeout from Morrow and it was a really good night 25-37 Total staked 189 pts Total returns 220.92 pts Profit 31.92 pts absolutely superb from you Pete :notworthy
  16. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 4 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 2.55 Bet365 2 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 5.00 Bet365 1 pts Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5) to beat Tampa Bay Rays 11.00 Bet365 35 starts 7-12 record 4.72 ERA. These are not the numbers of a quality starter in MLB. These are the career numbers as a starter for Erasmo Ramirez who goes tonight for Tampa in his second start of the season following on from allowing 7 runs in two innings against a scuffling Marlins offense in his season debut. Anyone who has read my previews over the last year and a bit will know that I am not rational about Mark Buehrle, I love Mark Buehrle. There I said it. However he is the better pitcher in this matchup and he has the backing of an offense that is not performing to anywhere close to its potential with the struggles of Bautista and Encarnacion, but this team can score runs and Ramirez could well allow them to score a few runs tonight 6 pts San Diego Padres (-1.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 2.70 Bet365 3 pts San Diego Padres (-3.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 6.25 Bet365 6 pts Brandon Morrow to record 6+ strikeouts and San Diego Padres to win 3.75 Paddy Power I am a big Brandon Morrow fan, he pitched 7 scoreless innings in his first start for the Padres, after an injury riddled last couple of season, he is something of an enigma but on his day he is absolutely outstanding and the pitcher friendly arena that is PETCO park can only help him. San Diego were amongst the worst offenses in baseball last season and Chase Anderson who will oppose Morrow for the D-backs tonight had a 4.20 ERA in 3 starts against them. This improved unit should be able to continue the learning curve for a pitcher who is somewhat struggling to find his feet in the major leagues. I certainly think there is value in buying runs and siding with Brandon Morrow here best of luck if you are playing tonight and lets hope I have that Padres game right!!!

  17. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    Not followed baseball for the last 2 years because of Uni commitments but starting to get back into the loop. Probably start betting again in a few weeks time' date=' but in the meantime I look forward to following some of the bets on this forum.[/quote'] Welcome to the thread. Looking forward to increased discussion in the thread this year. All selections welcome!!
  18. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting not a massive amount I am in love with tonight. Have found a couple of daily doubles on Paddy that I am going to play though 1 pts Adam Jones to hit a home run and Baltimore Orioles to bt New York Yankees 11.00 Adam Jones has a great record against Sabathia having hit 3 home runs of the big lefty. CC has struggled at Camden Yards failing to win in his last 6 starts there and Adam Jones hits left handers really well and is on fire with 10 hits n his last 14 bats over 4 games with 3 home runs. I like the chances of him taking CC deep tonight and then we have to put our faith in Miguel Gonzalez having a good performance against the Yankees. He doesnt have a great record against them over his career but these are not the Yankees of old and I figure 10/1 looks massive if Jones hits a long ball 2 pts Odrisamer Despaigne to record 5+ strikeouts and San Diego to beat Arizona 4.00 I watched the game when Despaigne came in for the injured Kennedy and he looked in really good shape hitting his location with decent velocity. Arizona are a team who like to swing and you can record some strikeouts against them. 5 is a fairly low number and while the Padres lost last night, they are a stronger team than the Giants who had some success against Hellickson the first time out this year. good luck all having a play tonight - it looks difficult

  19. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    6 pts Kansas City Royals (-1.5) to beat Minnesota Twins 2.25 Skybet:) 2 pts Kansas City Royals (-3.5) to beat Minnesota Twins 4.25 Bet365:) 3 pts St Louis Cardinals (-1.5) to beat Milwaukee Brewers 2.35 Coral:(
    4 pts Under 7 total runs Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets 1.80 Bet365:) 2 Pts race to 3 runs - neither 6.00 bet365:)
    4 pts Cincinnati Reds to beat Chicago Cubs 2.20 Skybet:( 2 pts Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) to beat Chicago Cubs 3.05 Bet365:( 5 pts San Diego Padres (-1.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 2.60 Coral:( 2 pts San Diego Padres (-3.5) to beat Arizona Diamondbacks 5.50 Bet365:(
    Late games spoilt it a little but a solid day. Will update the numbers in a while 22-32 Total staked 164 pts Total returns 189.72 pts Profit 25.72 pts
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