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danj2202

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Posts posted by danj2202

  1. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 5 pts Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies Under 7.5 Total runs 2.10 Bet365 I dont fully trust Aaron Harang, anyone who has read my stuff knows that, but it is hard to argue with his numbers at Citizens Bank Park whether in a Phillies uniform or as a visitor. he is 4-1 with a 1.26 ERA his last six in Philadelphia. It doesnt matter to me who is opposing the Phillies really as they are as poor an offensive lineup as you could hope to see, however Jorge de la Rosa gets some hate from Pete quite often but does have ability when he has his stuff going, this may occur more next year when he is fully healthy on a consistent basis, he has however been good enough to keeo his team in the game the last three he as started. If Harang continues in the same vein at home as he has been its hard to see 8 runs on the board in this game. 4 pts Washington Nationals (-1.5) to beat Cincinnati Reds 2.55 Coral Rasiel Iglesias the Cuban fireball thrower in his rookie year has had 2 starts, one good and one bad, he has the unenviable task of attempting to slow Bryce Harper and his Nationals teammates - without Jayson Werth tonight. I prefer everything about the Nats in this game and that is no knock on Iglesias but Gio Gonzalez is a solid pitching option, the Reds dont score and the Nats score in boatloads of runs and the back end relief pitching of the Nats is the area where its closest, thats only due to Aroldis Chapman who as closer is unlikely to see action for the Reds in this game. If Gonzalez pitches as well as he can, and the only reason this is only a 4pt bet is his consistency is the knock on him, you will know after 2 innings for sure, then I cannot see the Reds who have really struggled at the plate lately to keep up with Washington. Maybe one more, maybe good luck all

  2. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    4 pts Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs Under 7.5 Total runs 2.38 Skybet:( 4 pts Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies Under 6.5 total runs 2.10 Skybet:)
    69-131-5 Total staked 760 pts Total returns 824.30 Profit 64.30
    Unfortunately won't manage to get anything up today as am out at Magic Weekend all day :beer
    If ever there was a reminder you were northern :eyes 7 pts Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Under 8 total runs 1.80 bet365 3 pts Chicago White Sox Under 1.5 Total Runs 4.00 Skybet 2 pts Houston Astros to beat Chicago White Sox and Under 5.5 total runs 5.00 Skybet The White Sox do not hit left handers plain and simple, their team batting average drops a full quarter point against lefties, and the team have hit three of their 31 home runs against left handed pitchers this season (and Jose Abreu the teams best hitter and one of those three home runs will miss tonight with injury). Suffice to say I am not expecting the White Sox to trouble the scoreboard much against Dallas Keuchel who is 5-0 1.61 ERA in 8 home starts and has a 1.98 ER with only one defeat anywhere so far this season. I love Jose Quintana who pitches for the Sox tonight, he has been unlucky as the Sox have a habit of not scoring when he pitches (1 run or less in 6 of 9 starts this season) He doesnt allow a lot of home runs either which is a massive help against the Astros. I am expecting a fairly low scoring game unless Quintana has an off night so will play the various lines above and I have to give the edge to the Astros
  3. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 4 pts Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs Under 7.5 Total runs 2.38 Skybet This is a strong matchup for both pitchers. Volquez has pitched well the last twice and is unbeaten in 11 starts against the Cubbies. The Royals have been struggling lately to score runs and Arrieta will take the hill for the Cubs and he is unbeaten in a smaller sample size against the Royals. He also has been effective lately pitching three good starts in a row. Chicagos offense is also streaky having plated only 4 runs the last three games but both lineups are capable of putting a big number on the board I think the pitchers will dominate here, I would give the Cubs the edge in starters and the Royals in relief pitching, safest play is for a low scoring game in my book and I am happy to take an extra run off and play this line. 4 pts Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies Under 6.5 total runs 2.10 Skybet This is the perfect storm of a quality, in form starter in Cole Hamels being backed by a struggling offense. It will be a shock if either of these teams scores a lot of runs based on those two facts alone. Hamels started the year terribly but has improved steadily reducing the walks and home runs.Chad Bettis will oppose for Colorado, he has spent most of his career in relief and was solid in his only appearance at Citizens Bank Park. the Phillies, while strong at home are an offensive lineup with a power outage, they havent it a home run in 4 games and that will always lead to struggles with putting crooked numbers on the scoreboard. I think Hamels is the man to stump the Rox lineup and will take the under in this game also. Few other plays up in the air that I may come back for solid looking start to your tissues Pete :ok

  4. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting I have one more play I am going to make, speculative shall we call it 1 pts double @ 13.13 Skybet Cleveland Indians to beat Seattle Mariners & Under 6.5 runs 3.75 Pittsburgh Pirates to beat San Diego Padres & Under 6.5 runs 3.50 These games both look low scoring as I have not a lot of confidence in any of the lineups on display in these two games to score a lot of runs, I like the edge in the pitching for the Tribe and the Bucs as Burnett and Kluber have both been excellent recently and while their hometown opponents Ian Kennedy and James Paxton are both more effective at home and pitch in ball parks that are more favourable for the pitcher, I am doubling up the special prices that Sky do so in effect its a 4 fold but to sling a point at it its worth a shot good luck all :ok

  5. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 5 pts Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 2.20 BetVictor GAME TWO 2 pts Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) to beat Chicago White Sox 3.75 Skybet GAME TWO I shall start with full disclosure about this game, I have seen neither of these starting pitchers pitch. What I know is as follows, I have more confidence in the orioles lineup to score runs over the hugely ineffective and under achieving Chicago lineup that has exceeded 3 runs once in 9 games (10 if they dont trouble the scorer further in game one of the double header) Baltimore have plenty of hitters who can hot for power, though the ball doesnt appear to be carrying particularly well in the first game. Mike Wright will make his third start for the home town Orioles and has not given up a run at this point in his career lasting at least 7 innings against Miami and the Angels, its a small sample size and I havent seen him there isnt much more I can add. Chris Beck will debut for the White Sox, and this I can talk about some - those of you that havent been reading my stuff very long, I am a Chicago White Sox fan and I dont hide it. Once upon a time hopes were high for Chris Beck, he pretty much goes as well as his slider which was a wipeout strikeout pitch in college and has regressed year on year, Beck is the most experienced pitcher in the Sox farm system (not a compliment - if he were up to the job he would have started in the bigs already) and he relies on keeping hitters off guard as he doesnt have a fastball that blows hitters away. He has had command issues at times as well and one thing hitters at this level will do is make you hit your spots. I am far from enthused to see Beck starting for the White Sox and as I suspect his slider is more likely than not to have an off day I can see him struggling here. The fly in the ointment could be that with Chris Sale having pitched deep in game one that the White Sox will have some flexibility when it comes to using relief pitchers, but the O's have the bullpen edge in my opinion also so I really feel that the White Sox are in a rough spot in this game - though as I have stated, repeatedly, I am taking my opinion on Wright purely from the box scores so take from this what you will.........do you trust me? :lol good luck all

  6. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    7 pts Cincinnati Reds to beat Kansas City Royals 2.10 Skybet:(
    6 pts San Diego Padres to beat Los Angeles Angels 2.50 Bet365:) 3 pts San Diego Padres (-1.5) to beat Los Angeles 3.50 Skybet:( Good luck all:ok
    67-128-5 Total staked 744 pts Total returns 804.90 Profit 60.90
  7. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting ok, I was going to leave it having missed posting the indians but I keep coming back around to this one 6 pts San Diego Padres to beat Los Angeles Angels 2.50 Bet365 3 pts San Diego Padres (-1.5) to beat Los Angeles 3.50 Skybet I dont think the gulf between the pitching of these sides tonight is large enough to warrant these prices and while the Padres offense is somewhat inconsistent, the Angels are hardly tearing it up either and San Diego have scored more over the season. This is a fairly even matchup. Cashner will start for the friars and he may be 1-7 but has a nasty habit of pitching on a poor offensive night for his team as his season ERA is lower at 2.89 than his opponent Garrett Richards mark of 2.98, Richards is excellent usually at home but was not good the last time so I am willing to make a value play (even if this selection doesnt appear on Petes list above!!!!;)) I was going to put the Dodgers up as well but am leaving it, will update the numbers tomorrow Good luck all:ok

  8. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting In all honesty I am knackered and was going to leave tonight until I saw this price 7 pts Cincinnati Reds to beat Kansas City Royals 2.10 Skybet I simply must take Jonny Cueto pitching at odds against. I know there are question arks over the Reds offensive output, but that nasty little sh!t Yordano Ventura is pitching tonight and he hasnt performed on an sort of level since his suspension for starting the brawl with the White Sox going 0-2 in 3 starts with an ERA approaching 7, another start like that and Cueto just needs to remain consistent as he usually is with his 2.93 ERA on the season. Had to play this one anyway at the prices. Dodgers look a fairly solid proposition tonight also and I thought I would be playing the White Sox but at the price I think Cleveland are more the play in that game - St Louiis and teh Mets look set for another low scorer as well but I am easing my way back in with a single play good luck all

  9. Re: CYRIL - 7.45 Leicester

    Had a little word for this horse today' date=' unfortunately with 2 NR in the race it is only 2 places paid out and I was told to back each way. Staying on in his last race at 7f at the same track suggests the step up in trip will suit and should go very close. Will still be having a punt each way at 6/1[/quote'] thanks for sharing your info :eyes I suspect you have missed the point of the thread.....
  10. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    Bookkeeping is hard when there's so much red paint needed Should have stopped here, despite the Pirates pen dishing out walks like they were candy and gifting the Cubs another pair of runs to spoil the middle bet
    Thought of you as I was watching the seventh,balking the runner into third to enable the sac fly for the fourth run there seemed a certain determination to allow a 4th run I think I am going to take the night off, unless I see a particularly enticing daily double on PP. There are a few that are close to drawing me in but its a watching brief tonight
  11. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    5 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 2.38 Skybet:( 2 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 4.50 Skybet:( 4 pts Houston Astros (-1.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 2.38 Skybet:( our unluckiest bet of the night 2 pts Houston Astros (-3.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 5.75 Bet365:( 1 pts Houston Astros (-5.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 13.00 Bet365 :(
    10 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 1.95 Bet365:( 4 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 3.50 Skybet:( 2 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 8.50 Bet365:(
    66-126-5 Total staked 728pts Total returns 789.90 Profit 61.90 absolute total disaster, these seem to be coming along quite regularly at the moment!! still, the overall number is still ok
  12. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 10 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 1.95 Bet365 4 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 3.50 Skybet 2 pts Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5) to beat Colorado Rockies 8.50 Bet365 The Rockies have the worst record in MLB at 12-20, Jorge de la Rosa will pitch tonight and he has had awful struggles at Chavez Ravine winning only once in 11 appearances with a 4.84 ERA, he has struggled far more this season starting 0-2 9.56 including allowing 5 runs against these same Dodgers at home on Sunday. Zack Greinke what can you say, as if the stats I just laid oout didnt paint a bleak picture for the Rox tonight, Greinke routinely owns the NL West teams winning 4 straight against Colorado and owns a 5-0 record and 1.52 ERA this year. It is impossible for me to imagine a scenario where Colorado wins this game.......I really shouldnt have said that :\ good luck all

  13. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    6 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 2.38 Skybet:( 3 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 4.33 Skybet:(
    66-118-5 Total staked 698pts Total returns 789.90 Profit 91.90 Ok, anyone who has read my stuff for any length of time could probably predict my plays today with relative ease, firs up in a sense of dejavu 5 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 2.38 Skybet 2 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 4.50 Skybet Archie Bradley makes his return tonight from a fractured face (read sinus) after taking a ball off it last time we saw him. Prior to that the rookie phenom had lived up to the hype and even caused me and Kyle Hendricks to break up!! :rollin. Bradley is 2-0 1.80 thus far and gets the weakest offensive unit in the big leagues for his return. As stated yesterday, this Diamondbacks unit can score, three was a disappointing output against Chad Billingsley yesterday byt we get a crack at Jerome Williams tonight and my opinions of him are well documented on this thread and I have tried to get him.....and failed thus far through the season. A slight concern is the clear home/road split that Williams is exhibiting and he is better in Philly, that tempers the enthusiasm slightly and prevents this being a much bigger bet. 4 pts Houston Astros (-1.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 2.38 Skybet 2 pts Houston Astros (-3.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 5.75 Bet365 1 pts Houston Astros (-5.5) to beat Toronto Blue Jays 13.00 Bet365 This was clearly my most predictable pick of the day. Marco Estrada is up again for Toronto and his affinity for allowing a home run could be punished by a Houston lineup with a number of players who can hit the ball out the yard as evidenced by the fact that these Astros have the most home runs in the American League. Estrada has started twice and the ERA is 6.52 for those starts and the home run tendencies we identified last season have continued into this. Lets make money while the chance is still here!. Scott Feldman pitches for Houston, we just need a solid outing from him hopefully to send Toronto to their 7th straight defeat on their travels. That is where the gamble lies here, consistency has not been the strong point of Feldman, he has a 5.86 ERA at home, this is due to 2 starts with 6 and 7 runs allowed respectively so we are somewhat putting our hope in him having a going day with this play but I am hopeful that even if he doesnt have his best day that Houston will score a few here and still give us a shout I have one more play that I shall post later
  14. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    5 pts Chicago Cubs to beat Pittsburgh Pirates 1.80 Skybet:)
    3 pts Chicago Cubs (-1.5) to beat Pittsburgh Pirates 2.60 bet365:( 2 pts Chicago Cubs (-3.5) to beat Pittsburgh Pirates 4.90 bet365:(
    incredible that these handicaps didnt come in but then if you bet on a team that gives up 2 4 run frames what can you expect - feel a little hard done by 66-116-5 Total staked 689pts Total returns 789.90 Profit 100.90 lets hope arizona win comfortably!!
  15. Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 6 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 2.38 Skybet 3 pts Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) to beat Philadelphia Phillies 4.33 Skybet The difference between what is on offer here is massive, we have the D-backs lineup led by Goldschmidt and Trumbo can put a big number up on lots of starters, but particularly a struggling pitcher like Chad Billingsley whose long road back from injury has been fruitless thus far, he was a pretty solid pitcher back with the Dodgers but has an ERA of 9.00 on the season thus far and now faces Arizona who have scored 6 and 14 the last two games against excellent Washington pitching. Chase Anderson is up for Arizona and is a controlled pitcher who doesnt walk many and remains winless on the season despite allowing just a single run over his last 2 starts pitching 13 innings, I expect him to get some run support tonight so a continuation of his last two starts will surely see him post his first W this season think thats my lot, looked at a few others closely but not enough to pull the trigger really so best of luck all

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