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Everything posted by York Carrsi
York City v Chorley Just putting this one up quite early as the price on Chorley has already shortened from 13/5 to 15/8. Now, whilst Chorley are not amazing on the road, equally York are pretty ordinary everywhere at the moment. The club is in disarray and the manager came out after they were comfortably outplayed by Gateshead on Tuesday and said that recruits are the only thing that will solve York's problems. To date it doesn't appear as though that will happen in time for Saturday. He also said booing from the fans will not help their cause. With ticket prices cut for Saturday there could be a large crowd but that is likely to be counter productive for City as the fans are getting very vocal in their displeasure at the level of performances they have seen this season and do not respond too well to being cajoled by the manager. 11th v 3rd, and the only reason York started as odds on favourites is their 'name'. Hereford and Kettering have already beaten City at home and 3 goals in the last 7 games isn't going to reduce the anxiety levels. I see this as 6/4 for both teams at best so I think there is still some value in taking Chorley.
@Teodore plenty of big prices on offer to choose from. I'm not betting on the FA Cup today but you might want to look at Buxton @ 2/1 at Kettering. The home team struggled to see off Spalding in the 3rd qualifying round and Buxton have hit 16 goals in the last 4 matches. I would also look at opposing my local team, York City. The 3-1 scoreline against bottom club Southport flattered them last weekend and the home fans are quick to jump on the teams back when things start to go wrong. Morpeth are @ 11/2 to beat them. Also, Guiseley @ 4/1 at fellow National League North rivals Brackley and Banbury @ 2/1 at home to Bath City. I haven't researched any of these but are worth considering.
Northern Premier League Division One East Dunston v Yorkshire Amateur Step 4 is a minefield but the bookies generally price up purely on league positions. These teams are currently fifth and tenth respectively so look evenly matched. The odds reflect this with Dunston @ 6/5 and Yorkshire Amateur @ 6/4. For me the current form of Dunston and home advantage should have them odds on. 5 straight wins, including a 1-0 win at Workington in the FA Trophy. 3 of their 4 league defeats have been against teams above them in the league. In contrast Amateur do not travel particularly well. Aside from an FA Trophy win at a weak Kendal side last weekend they have not won on the road since the opening day of the season. They've also shipped 4 goals on their 2 previous visits to the North East this season. The ex Northern League sides now playing in the Northern Premier League are tough to beat on their own patch and Dunston are no exception. 3 West Yorkshire teams have already visited this season and come back with zero points and 12 goals conceded.
Whitby Town v Scarborough Athletic Scarborough are priced up at 12/5 for this match, probably based on an inconsistent run of results, but there is very little between the teams in terms of ability. Apart from a 6-0 mauling at FC United, Scarborough have been excellent away from home this season - P5 W4 L1 F6 A1. It is their home form that has let them down. Whitby on the other hand are in a bit of a slump. They have lost their last 2 home games and the goals have dried up. Jacob Hazel has stopped scoring for Whitby and at the same time Nathan Cartman has started notching for Scarborough. Boro also have the added boost of the return of their talismanic captain, Michael Coulson. This has the makings of a tight game but Boro will have plenty of support for this local derby and look very good value at 12/5
Thanks as always @Darran. I would agree with your tip for Stalybridge. They have scored 13 in the last 4 matches, including an excellent 1-0 win at high flying Whitby. Warrington are a little bit inconsistent at the moment and had conceded 11 in their 4 matches prior to winning 1-0 at lowly Ashton. I am also liking Morpeth Town v Mickleover in the Northern Premier League. Morpeth are unbeaten since Craig Lynch took over 6 games ago and are playing a Mickleover side who have scored just once in their last 5. Morpeth have had a slow start to the season but have rattled in 14 goals in their last 5, and have the incentive of impressing the boss before a big FA Cup tie at York City next Saturday. Rather like Warrington I would make Mickleover slight favourites but Morpeth are widely available at 2/1. A draw/win on both matches should still get you a 2/1 double.