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The Brigadier

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  1. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from calva decoy in Racing Chat - Saturday 16th October   
    A terrific days racing is in store at Ascot for Champions Day with the ground likely to ride on the soft side on the straight track and softer on the round course. Here’s my thoughts on the 6 races.
     
    Ascot 1.25
    The British Champions  Long Distance Cup is run over two miles and has attracted a quality field of twelve. Last years very easy winner Trueshan is back to defend his title and following a impressive win over Stradivarius in the Prix Du Cadran over 2 miles 4 furlongs will surely be hard to beat. The ground should be slow enough for Alan King’s stayer and he can confirm Paris form with the Gosden’s super stayer Stradivarius. Princess Zoe was behind that pair in Paris so is easily dismissed here. Hamish defied a long layoff when beating Hukum (winner since) on the all weather at Kempton but has to prove his stamina stepping up in trip. If he stays he could be a contender but without being boring this can go to Trueshan who’s easy win in this last year will live long in the memory. 
    TRUESHAN 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.00
    A maximum field of 20 go to post for the 6F Group one sprint and has an open look about it. Godolphin’s Creative Force has kept his form well throughout the season and should be thereabouts. Similar comments can be applied to Archie Watson’s Dragon Symbol. Minzaal is lightly raced and a possible also following a nice comeback Foy the Shadwell team of Owen Burrows. The one I like here is David Evan’s Rohaan who ran an astonishing race at The Curragh last time over 5F in the Flying Five. Watching the race back again you’ll see he was left at least ten lengths at the start but gradually made up the deficit to get within 3/4L of Dragon Symbol at the death. He’s two from two at the Berkshire track and Ryan Moore has been booked. He’ll do for me each way with enhanced place terms. 
    ROHAAN 1 1/2 points each way @ 5/1 1/5th 12345 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.35
    The third race on the card is the Group 1 Fillies And Mares Stakes and is the weakest Group race of the day. Aidan O’Brien’s super three year old filly Snowfall has been re-routed here following the defection of stablemate Love and has a banker look about her. On official ratings she is 10lb and upwards better than these and has beaten many of them comprehensively earlier in the season. As long as she’s got over her race in the Arc a fortnight ago surely she wins well here. She wasn’t disgraced that day when finishing 6th and with Ryan Moore on top I really can’t oppose her here. She’s the day’s best bet. Andrew Balding runs a couple and his Invite made a winning stable debut for him at Chester and is maybe the one to chase Snowfall home all be it at a comfortable distance. 
    SNOWFALL 4 points win 4/5 Bet365
     
    Ascot 3.10
    The Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is worth a guaranteed  £1.1 million and this one mile contest run on the straight track has ten quality animals entered this year. Palace Pier’s only defeat in his 10 race career came in this race last year but he had excuses as the ground was very soft and he lost a shoe. He’s bounced back from that blip to win all four of his contests this season and is without doubt the one they all have to beat for Messr’s Gosden’s and Dettori. It’s an intriguing contest because we have the unbeaten William Haggas trained Baaeed who brings into the race a perfect 5 from 5 starts. There’s only 4lb between the big two here and it’s without doubt a race to savour. There are some big prices about some smart horses with the chunk of the market taken up by the front pair including last years winner The Revenant who would of preferred it even softer and Alcohol Free who may not have stayed 10F last time and can be competitive. Charlie Appleby runs his smart three year old Master Of The Seas but the Breeders Cup Turf is his primary end of season target (I most certainly wouldn’t put anyone off taking the 12/1 about him before this contest for the Del Mar race) and won’t disgrace himself. It’s a tough call but Palace Pier has been there and done it and I expect him to confirm his position as champion miler of the world today. 
    PALACE PIER 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 3.50
    £1.2 million is there to be won in this 10F Group 1 Champion Stakes run over 10F and has attracted a quality field of 10. John and Thady Gosden’s Mishriff comes here following one of the most impressive wins of the season when scooting clear of his rivals in the Juddmonte International Stakes at York in August although it could be argued that beating Alenquer and Love who have both been beaten since with likely non stayer Alcohol Free further down the field wasn’t as impressive as first thought. He has met his main rival here previously over 2F further than today when chasing home Charlie Appleby’s Derby winner Adayar in the King George at Ascot. Mishriff will be 7lb better off today for 1 3/4L and should appreciate the shorter trip. Adayar missed work prior to his follow up run from the King George in the Arc De Triomphe a fortnight ago when racing a bit too keenly but not been disgraced in finishing 4th beaten some 3 3/4L. He’s dropping back in trip here and with his exuberant way of racing the trip may actually suit him and it would not be a surprise to see William Buick make plenty of use of him rather than restraining him as in previous starts. Last years winner Addeybb is back to defend his title and will not be disgraced though ideally could of done with softer conditions whilst Arc 5th Sealiway was only just behind Adayar that day so can’t be totally ruled out. The best outsider may be Haggas’s Al Aasy who may well be suited by a strong pace and is probably better than he’s shown in his last couple of runs. A cracking contest with slight preference for Mishriff to add to his career earnings of over £11 million here with regular rider David Egan in the saddle. 
    MISHRIFF 2 points win @ 7/4William Hill
     
    Ascot 4.30
    The card finishes with a cracking 1 mile handicap, The Balmoral Handicap with a maximum field of 20 going to post with John & Thady Gosden appearing to hold the key to the race with the front two in the market of Sunray Major to be ridden by Frankie Dettori and King Leonidas (James Doyle). The former impressed when winning at the track over a furlong shorter a fortnight ago and despite a 6lb penalty (which he needed to get a run here) is one pound well in. He must go close but at current prices of under 3/1 looks scant value now. Stable companion King Leonidas has by all accounts been working very well since his eye catching third at Newbury last month and each way is maybe the value call here.  Thought good enough to contest the Jersey Stakes at last year’s Royal Ascot (where he went off 9/4 fav.) he ran well following an absence of 457 days to finish third in a decent class 2 Newbury handicap and the reports are that he’s come forward for that run. Nugget comes here in good form but has avoided easy ground throughout his career and may just find the good to soft ground against him whilst Aldaary impressed last time and should be on the premises. A tough handicap with preference for the Gosden ‘2nd string’ in a race where he could too a good day but having the 1-2 here. 
    KING LEONIDAS 2 points each way @ 11/2 1/5th 1234567 Betfred
     
  2. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 16th October   
    A terrific days racing is in store at Ascot for Champions Day with the ground likely to ride on the soft side on the straight track and softer on the round course. Here’s my thoughts on the 6 races.
     
    Ascot 1.25
    The British Champions  Long Distance Cup is run over two miles and has attracted a quality field of twelve. Last years very easy winner Trueshan is back to defend his title and following a impressive win over Stradivarius in the Prix Du Cadran over 2 miles 4 furlongs will surely be hard to beat. The ground should be slow enough for Alan King’s stayer and he can confirm Paris form with the Gosden’s super stayer Stradivarius. Princess Zoe was behind that pair in Paris so is easily dismissed here. Hamish defied a long layoff when beating Hukum (winner since) on the all weather at Kempton but has to prove his stamina stepping up in trip. If he stays he could be a contender but without being boring this can go to Trueshan who’s easy win in this last year will live long in the memory. 
    TRUESHAN 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.00
    A maximum field of 20 go to post for the 6F Group one sprint and has an open look about it. Godolphin’s Creative Force has kept his form well throughout the season and should be thereabouts. Similar comments can be applied to Archie Watson’s Dragon Symbol. Minzaal is lightly raced and a possible also following a nice comeback Foy the Shadwell team of Owen Burrows. The one I like here is David Evan’s Rohaan who ran an astonishing race at The Curragh last time over 5F in the Flying Five. Watching the race back again you’ll see he was left at least ten lengths at the start but gradually made up the deficit to get within 3/4L of Dragon Symbol at the death. He’s two from two at the Berkshire track and Ryan Moore has been booked. He’ll do for me each way with enhanced place terms. 
    ROHAAN 1 1/2 points each way @ 5/1 1/5th 12345 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.35
    The third race on the card is the Group 1 Fillies And Mares Stakes and is the weakest Group race of the day. Aidan O’Brien’s super three year old filly Snowfall has been re-routed here following the defection of stablemate Love and has a banker look about her. On official ratings she is 10lb and upwards better than these and has beaten many of them comprehensively earlier in the season. As long as she’s got over her race in the Arc a fortnight ago surely she wins well here. She wasn’t disgraced that day when finishing 6th and with Ryan Moore on top I really can’t oppose her here. She’s the day’s best bet. Andrew Balding runs a couple and his Invite made a winning stable debut for him at Chester and is maybe the one to chase Snowfall home all be it at a comfortable distance. 
    SNOWFALL 4 points win 4/5 Bet365
     
    Ascot 3.10
    The Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is worth a guaranteed  £1.1 million and this one mile contest run on the straight track has ten quality animals entered this year. Palace Pier’s only defeat in his 10 race career came in this race last year but he had excuses as the ground was very soft and he lost a shoe. He’s bounced back from that blip to win all four of his contests this season and is without doubt the one they all have to beat for Messr’s Gosden’s and Dettori. It’s an intriguing contest because we have the unbeaten William Haggas trained Baaeed who brings into the race a perfect 5 from 5 starts. There’s only 4lb between the big two here and it’s without doubt a race to savour. There are some big prices about some smart horses with the chunk of the market taken up by the front pair including last years winner The Revenant who would of preferred it even softer and Alcohol Free who may not have stayed 10F last time and can be competitive. Charlie Appleby runs his smart three year old Master Of The Seas but the Breeders Cup Turf is his primary end of season target (I most certainly wouldn’t put anyone off taking the 12/1 about him before this contest for the Del Mar race) and won’t disgrace himself. It’s a tough call but Palace Pier has been there and done it and I expect him to confirm his position as champion miler of the world today. 
    PALACE PIER 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 3.50
    £1.2 million is there to be won in this 10F Group 1 Champion Stakes run over 10F and has attracted a quality field of 10. John and Thady Gosden’s Mishriff comes here following one of the most impressive wins of the season when scooting clear of his rivals in the Juddmonte International Stakes at York in August although it could be argued that beating Alenquer and Love who have both been beaten since with likely non stayer Alcohol Free further down the field wasn’t as impressive as first thought. He has met his main rival here previously over 2F further than today when chasing home Charlie Appleby’s Derby winner Adayar in the King George at Ascot. Mishriff will be 7lb better off today for 1 3/4L and should appreciate the shorter trip. Adayar missed work prior to his follow up run from the King George in the Arc De Triomphe a fortnight ago when racing a bit too keenly but not been disgraced in finishing 4th beaten some 3 3/4L. He’s dropping back in trip here and with his exuberant way of racing the trip may actually suit him and it would not be a surprise to see William Buick make plenty of use of him rather than restraining him as in previous starts. Last years winner Addeybb is back to defend his title and will not be disgraced though ideally could of done with softer conditions whilst Arc 5th Sealiway was only just behind Adayar that day so can’t be totally ruled out. The best outsider may be Haggas’s Al Aasy who may well be suited by a strong pace and is probably better than he’s shown in his last couple of runs. A cracking contest with slight preference for Mishriff to add to his career earnings of over £11 million here with regular rider David Egan in the saddle. 
    MISHRIFF 2 points win @ 7/4William Hill
     
    Ascot 4.30
    The card finishes with a cracking 1 mile handicap, The Balmoral Handicap with a maximum field of 20 going to post with John & Thady Gosden appearing to hold the key to the race with the front two in the market of Sunray Major to be ridden by Frankie Dettori and King Leonidas (James Doyle). The former impressed when winning at the track over a furlong shorter a fortnight ago and despite a 6lb penalty (which he needed to get a run here) is one pound well in. He must go close but at current prices of under 3/1 looks scant value now. Stable companion King Leonidas has by all accounts been working very well since his eye catching third at Newbury last month and each way is maybe the value call here.  Thought good enough to contest the Jersey Stakes at last year’s Royal Ascot (where he went off 9/4 fav.) he ran well following an absence of 457 days to finish third in a decent class 2 Newbury handicap and the reports are that he’s come forward for that run. Nugget comes here in good form but has avoided easy ground throughout his career and may just find the good to soft ground against him whilst Aldaary impressed last time and should be on the premises. A tough handicap with preference for the Gosden ‘2nd string’ in a race where he could too a good day but having the 1-2 here. 
    KING LEONIDAS 2 points each way @ 11/2 1/5th 1234567 Betfred
     
  3. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Racing Chat - Saturday 16th October   
    A terrific days racing is in store at Ascot for Champions Day with the ground likely to ride on the soft side on the straight track and softer on the round course. Here’s my thoughts on the 6 races.
     
    Ascot 1.25
    The British Champions  Long Distance Cup is run over two miles and has attracted a quality field of twelve. Last years very easy winner Trueshan is back to defend his title and following a impressive win over Stradivarius in the Prix Du Cadran over 2 miles 4 furlongs will surely be hard to beat. The ground should be slow enough for Alan King’s stayer and he can confirm Paris form with the Gosden’s super stayer Stradivarius. Princess Zoe was behind that pair in Paris so is easily dismissed here. Hamish defied a long layoff when beating Hukum (winner since) on the all weather at Kempton but has to prove his stamina stepping up in trip. If he stays he could be a contender but without being boring this can go to Trueshan who’s easy win in this last year will live long in the memory. 
    TRUESHAN 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.00
    A maximum field of 20 go to post for the 6F Group one sprint and has an open look about it. Godolphin’s Creative Force has kept his form well throughout the season and should be thereabouts. Similar comments can be applied to Archie Watson’s Dragon Symbol. Minzaal is lightly raced and a possible also following a nice comeback Foy the Shadwell team of Owen Burrows. The one I like here is David Evan’s Rohaan who ran an astonishing race at The Curragh last time over 5F in the Flying Five. Watching the race back again you’ll see he was left at least ten lengths at the start but gradually made up the deficit to get within 3/4L of Dragon Symbol at the death. He’s two from two at the Berkshire track and Ryan Moore has been booked. He’ll do for me each way with enhanced place terms. 
    ROHAAN 1 1/2 points each way @ 5/1 1/5th 12345 William Hill
     
    Ascot 2.35
    The third race on the card is the Group 1 Fillies And Mares Stakes and is the weakest Group race of the day. Aidan O’Brien’s super three year old filly Snowfall has been re-routed here following the defection of stablemate Love and has a banker look about her. On official ratings she is 10lb and upwards better than these and has beaten many of them comprehensively earlier in the season. As long as she’s got over her race in the Arc a fortnight ago surely she wins well here. She wasn’t disgraced that day when finishing 6th and with Ryan Moore on top I really can’t oppose her here. She’s the day’s best bet. Andrew Balding runs a couple and his Invite made a winning stable debut for him at Chester and is maybe the one to chase Snowfall home all be it at a comfortable distance. 
    SNOWFALL 4 points win 4/5 Bet365
     
    Ascot 3.10
    The Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is worth a guaranteed  £1.1 million and this one mile contest run on the straight track has ten quality animals entered this year. Palace Pier’s only defeat in his 10 race career came in this race last year but he had excuses as the ground was very soft and he lost a shoe. He’s bounced back from that blip to win all four of his contests this season and is without doubt the one they all have to beat for Messr’s Gosden’s and Dettori. It’s an intriguing contest because we have the unbeaten William Haggas trained Baaeed who brings into the race a perfect 5 from 5 starts. There’s only 4lb between the big two here and it’s without doubt a race to savour. There are some big prices about some smart horses with the chunk of the market taken up by the front pair including last years winner The Revenant who would of preferred it even softer and Alcohol Free who may not have stayed 10F last time and can be competitive. Charlie Appleby runs his smart three year old Master Of The Seas but the Breeders Cup Turf is his primary end of season target (I most certainly wouldn’t put anyone off taking the 12/1 about him before this contest for the Del Mar race) and won’t disgrace himself. It’s a tough call but Palace Pier has been there and done it and I expect him to confirm his position as champion miler of the world today. 
    PALACE PIER 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
     
    Ascot 3.50
    £1.2 million is there to be won in this 10F Group 1 Champion Stakes run over 10F and has attracted a quality field of 10. John and Thady Gosden’s Mishriff comes here following one of the most impressive wins of the season when scooting clear of his rivals in the Juddmonte International Stakes at York in August although it could be argued that beating Alenquer and Love who have both been beaten since with likely non stayer Alcohol Free further down the field wasn’t as impressive as first thought. He has met his main rival here previously over 2F further than today when chasing home Charlie Appleby’s Derby winner Adayar in the King George at Ascot. Mishriff will be 7lb better off today for 1 3/4L and should appreciate the shorter trip. Adayar missed work prior to his follow up run from the King George in the Arc De Triomphe a fortnight ago when racing a bit too keenly but not been disgraced in finishing 4th beaten some 3 3/4L. He’s dropping back in trip here and with his exuberant way of racing the trip may actually suit him and it would not be a surprise to see William Buick make plenty of use of him rather than restraining him as in previous starts. Last years winner Addeybb is back to defend his title and will not be disgraced though ideally could of done with softer conditions whilst Arc 5th Sealiway was only just behind Adayar that day so can’t be totally ruled out. The best outsider may be Haggas’s Al Aasy who may well be suited by a strong pace and is probably better than he’s shown in his last couple of runs. A cracking contest with slight preference for Mishriff to add to his career earnings of over £11 million here with regular rider David Egan in the saddle. 
    MISHRIFF 2 points win @ 7/4William Hill
     
    Ascot 4.30
    The card finishes with a cracking 1 mile handicap, The Balmoral Handicap with a maximum field of 20 going to post with John & Thady Gosden appearing to hold the key to the race with the front two in the market of Sunray Major to be ridden by Frankie Dettori and King Leonidas (James Doyle). The former impressed when winning at the track over a furlong shorter a fortnight ago and despite a 6lb penalty (which he needed to get a run here) is one pound well in. He must go close but at current prices of under 3/1 looks scant value now. Stable companion King Leonidas has by all accounts been working very well since his eye catching third at Newbury last month and each way is maybe the value call here.  Thought good enough to contest the Jersey Stakes at last year’s Royal Ascot (where he went off 9/4 fav.) he ran well following an absence of 457 days to finish third in a decent class 2 Newbury handicap and the reports are that he’s come forward for that run. Nugget comes here in good form but has avoided easy ground throughout his career and may just find the good to soft ground against him whilst Aldaary impressed last time and should be on the premises. A tough handicap with preference for the Gosden ‘2nd string’ in a race where he could too a good day but having the 1-2 here. 
    KING LEONIDAS 2 points each way @ 11/2 1/5th 1234567 Betfred
     
  4. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  5. Thanks
    The Brigadier got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  6. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  7. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from Tedthewolf in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  8. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  9. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from In Play Race Reader in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  10. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from peanut peanut in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  11. Thanks
    The Brigadier reacted to Catchy in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    You called it - Inpired 👏
  12. Thanks
    The Brigadier got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  13. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from calva decoy in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    A decent day with a final points profit of just over 20 points.
  14. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    We’re getting towards the end of the flat season now and Saturday’s racing very much has an end of season feel. The ground is drying but good at Newmarket and similarly drying but softer at York. Here’s my thoughts on the 7 ITV races :-
     
    Newmarket 1.45
    The 10F Zetland Stakes is a Group 3 contest for two year olds and has attracted a field of nine this year. Aidan O’Brien runs Bluegrass - a winner of A Curragh maiden in August and although stepping up in grade here shouldn’t be totally dismissed. His son Donnacha saddles Unconquerable who defied his 33/1 odds when finishing 3rd in the Royal Lodge over a mile a fortnight ago and should appreciate the step up in trip. He too has a chance but both may struggle to beat the Godolphin first string Hafit who cost a mere 2.1 million as a yearling. A winner on his debut on the July course he stepped up on that run when chasing home a well thought of Kevin Ryan trained colt at Haydock a month ago. He’ll appreciate the step up to 10F today and the reports are that he went clear of his stable mate and rival today Goldspur in a gallop earlier this week. William Buick has chosen him here and he has a big chance. 
    HAFIT 3 points win @ 2/1 Bet365
     
    York 2.02
    The 6F Rockingham Stakes is a listed race for two year olds run over 6F and has quite an open looks about it this year. Officially the best in are George Boughey’s Hellomydarlin and William Haggas’s Canonized. Both have had plenty of racing this season and it may pay to look beyond the pair and find something that may be more progressive. That one maybe Richard Hannon’s Witch Hunter who was unlucky not take the scalp of the 101 rated Ribhi at Salisbury last time when he was denied a clear run inside the final furlong. A reproduction of that run would put him in back in contention with the two aforementioned 100 rated horses and he maybe the value bet small each way. 
    WITCH HUNTER 1 point each way @ 5/1 1/5th 1234 William Hill
     
    Newmarket 2.20
    Charlie Appleby could be in for a big day with his juveniles at Newmarket today and his Coroebus will be hard to beat in this Group 3 Emirates Autumn Stakes run over a mile. He was matched for plenty at 1.01 when scooting clear with a couple to run in the Royal Lodge a fortnight ago over course and distance but was reeled in late on by Royal Patronage who got up in the final stride. He’ll no doubt be ridden with a bit more restraint by William Buick today but remains an exciting prospect and is the most likings winner here. Aidan O’Brien can never be dismissed in these races and he saddles three here with the pick being United Nations, a Naas maiden winner who is the pick of Ryan Moore. A lively outsider who is held in high esteem and worked well apparently in the week is the Frankie Dettori ridden Dirtyoldtown who I’m told won’t disgrace himself but this should be going to Coroebus. 
    COROEBUS 3 points win @ 4/5 William Hills
     
    York 2.37
    11 go to post for this 10F class 2 handicap with the likely favourite Bay Bridge trained by Sir Michael Stoute coming here on the back of a 147 day break and a 15lb rise in the weights. He looks worth taking on despite his connections. Second in is the John and Thady Gosden trained Faisal who’s latest form behind Cambridgeshire runner up Anmaat looks decent form now. The problem with him is he’s only raced on fast or artificial surfaces and there’s little soft ground form in his bloodline as well. I’m interested in the Roger Fell trained Cockalorum who’s disappointing effort at Ayr last time can be put down to the fast ground and the fact that this habitual front runner wasn’t able to lead. He had previously been a model of consistency hitting the frame in decent handicaps at Goodwood and twice here in the John Smiths Cup and Skybet Handicap off of the same mark as today’s. I’ll be backing him each way. 
    COCKALORUM 1 point each way @ 14/1 1/5th 1234 William Hill
     
    Newmarket 2.55
    This years Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes has attracted a field of 8 with another Charlie Appleby/William Buick favourite in Native Trail who will be hard to beat and could easily be the last leg of a winning Godolphin treble in the three Group two year old races today. He looked special when shooting 3 1/2L clear of his field headed by the previously unbeaten Point Lonsdale in the Group 1 National Stakes at the Curragh last month and with conditions to suit should confirm himself as the best two year old colt around by winning this. Ger Lyons sends over his Kodiac colt Straight Answer who is unbeaten in two starts and has to be respected although this is a big step up from listed company to Group 1 whilst Roger Varian saddles Bayside Bay who impressed when beating Reach For The Moon in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes last time at Doncaster and appeals as the biggest danger.  I can’t resist a small each way play though on the Hugo Palmer trained Dubawi Legend who was so impressive on his debut at Doncaster and although disappointing subsequently in the Acomb was found to be wrong after that run and at a big price I will back him small each way though the favourite as stated earlier will be tough to beat. 
    DUBAWI LEGEND 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 1/5 123 Paddy Power
     
    York 3.15
    A maximum field of 22 go to post for this 6F sprint handicap which as one could imagine at this time of year is wide open. Gulliver has won the last two renewals and if stall 21 doesn’t hinder his chances should be thereabouts whilst York special Copper Knight has obvious claims along with Mondammej who’s form ties in together. I like Jedd O’Keefe’s Air Raid at a big price here. It can’t be soft enough for him so a shower or two wouldn’t go amiss to be honest but he’s fallen back onto his last winning mark and has had wind surgery since we last saw him. I think he’s worth chancing at a big price. 
    AIR RAID 1 point each way @ 33/1 1/5th 123456 Paddy Power
     
    Newmarket 3.35
    A maximum turnout of 34 go to post for this famous handicap The Cesarewitch which is famous for starting in one county and finishing in another. Willie Mullins has won the last three renewals and saddles five including last year’s winner Great White Shark who has to race here off of a 10lb higher mark and doesn’t come into the race in the same form as last year. Likely favourite is M C Muldoon who was an unlucky loser of the Ascot Stakes at the Royal meeting and although 4lb higher stays well and has the assistance of Ryan Moore. He should be on anyone’s short list, as should the Nicky Henderson trained Buzz. He’s a very interesting runner who hasn’t been seen on the flat since September 2019 when trained by Hughie Morrison. He’s had a highly successful national Hunt career since with Henderson and has steadily risen through the ranks to warrant being called a serious Champion Hurdle contender with an official mark of 155. He has been away to Newbury for a racecourse gallop and Henderson has done well in this race before. He looks a very well handicapped horse and if he stays (he actually only ran up to 1m 4F on the flat when with Morrison) he should run a big race under Oisin Murphy from stall 3. The draw is interesting as the last three winners have all exited from a high number but I have always favoured a low number as there is a dog leg turn after a couple of furlongs which if forced wide can add yardage onto your journey. Buzz will be my main play although I can’t resist a small each way bet on the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Live Your Dream who did us a favour when winning in the Summer on the July course. He bumped into a plot horse of Charlie Byrne’s in Turnpike Trip in the Cesarewitch trial last time over course and distance finishing an honourable 2L runner up with daylight back to the remainder. He can race off of the same handicap mark here despite being put up 4lb by the assessor making him the best handicapped horse in the field. The icing on the cake is the booking of young apprentice Adam Farragher who is attached to the William Haggas stable and scored a remarkable four timer at Chester last Saturday on his first visit there. He has to come out of stall 35 so I’m happy to have one drawn high and one drawn low. 
    BUZZ 2 points each way @ 17/2 1/5th 1234567 William Hill
    LIVE YOUR DREAM 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234567 Paddy Power
     
  15. Like
    The Brigadier got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    We’re getting towards the end of the flat season now and Saturday’s racing very much has an end of season feel. The ground is drying but good at Newmarket and similarly drying but softer at York. Here’s my thoughts on the 7 ITV races :-
     
    Newmarket 1.45
    The 10F Zetland Stakes is a Group 3 contest for two year olds and has attracted a field of nine this year. Aidan O’Brien runs Bluegrass - a winner of A Curragh maiden in August and although stepping up in grade here shouldn’t be totally dismissed. His son Donnacha saddles Unconquerable who defied his 33/1 odds when finishing 3rd in the Royal Lodge over a mile a fortnight ago and should appreciate the step up in trip. He too has a chance but both may struggle to beat the Godolphin first string Hafit who cost a mere 2.1 million as a yearling. A winner on his debut on the July course he stepped up on that run when chasing home a well thought of Kevin Ryan trained colt at Haydock a month ago. He’ll appreciate the step up to 10F today and the reports are that he went clear of his stable mate and rival today Goldspur in a gallop earlier this week. William Buick has chosen him here and he has a big chance. 
    HAFIT 3 points win @ 2/1 Bet365
     
    York 2.02
    The 6F Rockingham Stakes is a listed race for two year olds run over 6F and has quite an open looks about it this year. Officially the best in are George Boughey’s Hellomydarlin and William Haggas’s Canonized. Both have had plenty of racing this season and it may pay to look beyond the pair and find something that may be more progressive. That one maybe Richard Hannon’s Witch Hunter who was unlucky not take the scalp of the 101 rated Ribhi at Salisbury last time when he was denied a clear run inside the final furlong. A reproduction of that run would put him in back in contention with the two aforementioned 100 rated horses and he maybe the value bet small each way. 
    WITCH HUNTER 1 point each way @ 5/1 1/5th 1234 William Hill
     
    Newmarket 2.20
    Charlie Appleby could be in for a big day with his juveniles at Newmarket today and his Coroebus will be hard to beat in this Group 3 Emirates Autumn Stakes run over a mile. He was matched for plenty at 1.01 when scooting clear with a couple to run in the Royal Lodge a fortnight ago over course and distance but was reeled in late on by Royal Patronage who got up in the final stride. He’ll no doubt be ridden with a bit more restraint by William Buick today but remains an exciting prospect and is the most likings winner here. Aidan O’Brien can never be dismissed in these races and he saddles three here with the pick being United Nations, a Naas maiden winner who is the pick of Ryan Moore. A lively outsider who is held in high esteem and worked well apparently in the week is the Frankie Dettori ridden Dirtyoldtown who I’m told won’t disgrace himself but this should be going to Coroebus. 
    COROEBUS 3 points win @ 4/5 William Hills
     
    York 2.37
    11 go to post for this 10F class 2 handicap with the likely favourite Bay Bridge trained by Sir Michael Stoute coming here on the back of a 147 day break and a 15lb rise in the weights. He looks worth taking on despite his connections. Second in is the John and Thady Gosden trained Faisal who’s latest form behind Cambridgeshire runner up Anmaat looks decent form now. The problem with him is he’s only raced on fast or artificial surfaces and there’s little soft ground form in his bloodline as well. I’m interested in the Roger Fell trained Cockalorum who’s disappointing effort at Ayr last time can be put down to the fast ground and the fact that this habitual front runner wasn’t able to lead. He had previously been a model of consistency hitting the frame in decent handicaps at Goodwood and twice here in the John Smiths Cup and Skybet Handicap off of the same mark as today’s. I’ll be backing him each way. 
    COCKALORUM 1 point each way @ 14/1 1/5th 1234 William Hill
     
    Newmarket 2.55
    This years Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes has attracted a field of 8 with another Charlie Appleby/William Buick favourite in Native Trail who will be hard to beat and could easily be the last leg of a winning Godolphin treble in the three Group two year old races today. He looked special when shooting 3 1/2L clear of his field headed by the previously unbeaten Point Lonsdale in the Group 1 National Stakes at the Curragh last month and with conditions to suit should confirm himself as the best two year old colt around by winning this. Ger Lyons sends over his Kodiac colt Straight Answer who is unbeaten in two starts and has to be respected although this is a big step up from listed company to Group 1 whilst Roger Varian saddles Bayside Bay who impressed when beating Reach For The Moon in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes last time at Doncaster and appeals as the biggest danger.  I can’t resist a small each way play though on the Hugo Palmer trained Dubawi Legend who was so impressive on his debut at Doncaster and although disappointing subsequently in the Acomb was found to be wrong after that run and at a big price I will back him small each way though the favourite as stated earlier will be tough to beat. 
    DUBAWI LEGEND 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 1/5 123 Paddy Power
     
    York 3.15
    A maximum field of 22 go to post for this 6F sprint handicap which as one could imagine at this time of year is wide open. Gulliver has won the last two renewals and if stall 21 doesn’t hinder his chances should be thereabouts whilst York special Copper Knight has obvious claims along with Mondammej who’s form ties in together. I like Jedd O’Keefe’s Air Raid at a big price here. It can’t be soft enough for him so a shower or two wouldn’t go amiss to be honest but he’s fallen back onto his last winning mark and has had wind surgery since we last saw him. I think he’s worth chancing at a big price. 
    AIR RAID 1 point each way @ 33/1 1/5th 123456 Paddy Power
     
    Newmarket 3.35
    A maximum turnout of 34 go to post for this famous handicap The Cesarewitch which is famous for starting in one county and finishing in another. Willie Mullins has won the last three renewals and saddles five including last year’s winner Great White Shark who has to race here off of a 10lb higher mark and doesn’t come into the race in the same form as last year. Likely favourite is M C Muldoon who was an unlucky loser of the Ascot Stakes at the Royal meeting and although 4lb higher stays well and has the assistance of Ryan Moore. He should be on anyone’s short list, as should the Nicky Henderson trained Buzz. He’s a very interesting runner who hasn’t been seen on the flat since September 2019 when trained by Hughie Morrison. He’s had a highly successful national Hunt career since with Henderson and has steadily risen through the ranks to warrant being called a serious Champion Hurdle contender with an official mark of 155. He has been away to Newbury for a racecourse gallop and Henderson has done well in this race before. He looks a very well handicapped horse and if he stays (he actually only ran up to 1m 4F on the flat when with Morrison) he should run a big race under Oisin Murphy from stall 3. The draw is interesting as the last three winners have all exited from a high number but I have always favoured a low number as there is a dog leg turn after a couple of furlongs which if forced wide can add yardage onto your journey. Buzz will be my main play although I can’t resist a small each way bet on the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Live Your Dream who did us a favour when winning in the Summer on the July course. He bumped into a plot horse of Charlie Byrne’s in Turnpike Trip in the Cesarewitch trial last time over course and distance finishing an honourable 2L runner up with daylight back to the remainder. He can race off of the same handicap mark here despite being put up 4lb by the assessor making him the best handicapped horse in the field. The icing on the cake is the booking of young apprentice Adam Farragher who is attached to the William Haggas stable and scored a remarkable four timer at Chester last Saturday on his first visit there. He has to come out of stall 35 so I’m happy to have one drawn high and one drawn low. 
    BUZZ 2 points each way @ 17/2 1/5th 1234567 William Hill
    LIVE YOUR DREAM 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234567 Paddy Power
     
  16. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Hotspur88 in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    All selections now done.
  17. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Zilzalian in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Good points you make @calva decoyThe Dewhurst is quite an interesting race and for me typical of overhype i notice topspeed in the RP have Native trail at 30points better than Straight answers so will beat it by around 7 lengths so it will be interesting but the biggie for me was the 8/11 v  6/1 in an 8 horse race? but i am not generally an EW backer. I also looked at the overall season and i really wouldnt be surprised if Berkshshire shadow and go bears go finished 1st and 2nd i can certainly see a shocker of a result, Now having said all that watch native trail win by a country mile.🤣😂 again looking at the season overall it appears that O'Brien is on the wain although tenebrism on the evidence of 2 races looks tasty on the surface of things my suspicion is that it may have been a freak result due to that days severe bias, time will tell.
    I didnt see weds thread on burning victory but it owes me nothing due to its 2 runs in france that really were or appeared to be quite impressive I backed it at big prices for one of the big staying races (i think the gold cup) but managed to cash out in time based on listening to a Mullins interview where he never mentioned it although it was declared.
  18. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to cannotbebeat in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Hexham
    1.00 Animore 3/1

    2.10 Real Armani 2/1

    3.20 Sounds Russian 15/8

    3.55 Graystown 9/2


    Chepstow
    2.25 Exelerator Express 4/1

    3.30 Proschema 5/1


    York
    2.37 Bay Bridge 5/2

    3.50 Speranzoso 100/30

    4.25 Eagle Court 11/2

    5.00 Tarroob 15/2


    Chelmsford City
    7.00 Crimson Sand 5/2

    7.30 Vincenzo Coccotti 100/30

    8.30 Global Art 11/2

    Good luck all CNBB.
  19. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    My Trixie today is:
    2.10 Hex Real Armani 5/2
    4.55 Chelm Crocodile Power 15/8
    7.00 Chelm Crimson Sand 3/1
    One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 poss return £75.81
    Singles:
    3.35 Nm Live Your Dream £1 win at 9/1
    4.45 Nm Barney ROy £2 win at 5.1 = £8.04 profit if it wins
    5.30 Chelm Brazilean Beach £1 win at 6/1
    6.30 Chelm Fox Leicester £2 win at 9/2
    Total stakes £10.00
     
  20. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Tedthewolf in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    3.15 york Up to 7 place being paid out in this my two e/w against the field  are 25/1 shotsc SNAZZY JAZZY & MR LUPTON
    3.35  newmarket Up to 8 places here i think 10/1 shot LIVE THE DREAM will be hard to beat e/w shots ELYSIAN FLAME 20/1 & 50/1 RESHOUN would be my outsiders worthy of  a few quid.
  21. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to fd1972uk in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Done quite a few bets today, quite a few free bets included too. 
    Singles
    1345 New Hafit (3) / Goldspur (4) - moneyback offer
    1402 Yor Canonized (2) - moneyback offer
    Few of the horses caught my eye at York, so used some freebies and hope ones comes off as their odds are decent. 
    1515 Yor - Laugh a Minute / Commanche Falls / Copper Knight
    1610 Yor Gale Force Maya
    1625 Yor Midraar
     
    Ew Treble
    1437 Yor Dark Jedi (4)
    1515 Yor Commanche Falls (6)
    1535 New Live Your Dream (7)
    Good luck all. 
     
  22. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to calva decoy in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Am with you on GOLDSPUR good win over 8f on soft @ Newbury so today's extra 2f on faster surface should suit , Appleby / Doyle have good % stats when teaming up I remember hearing .
    Can't see anything getting by 122 rated & Timeforms top rated 2 year old in the Dewhurst NATIVE TRAIL , despite being supplemened for £32k Straight Answers sectionals have came at 6 & not 7f & with a tough uphill finish today , 1 who could challenge the odds on favourite could be GLOUNTHUANE ,off track for 175 days since Curragh win over 6f on good , A.P.O'Brien has won 5 last 8 renewals of this race .
    With regards to BURNING VICTORY see Wednesdays thread & some of us got 12's with 54 still entered , good chance of each way money in what is a lottery race .
    W.Mullins 1,2,3 is 20/1 with Ladbrokes / Corals , not for me !
    Good luck with your bets for the day 🤞
     

     

  23. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Lanky Lad in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Chep.1.50 Galice Macalo. eachway 8/1
    Chep. 2.25 Exelerator Express eachway 5/1
    Chep. 3.30 Orbys Legend eachway 8/1
    Chep. 4.05 Manofthemountain eachway 9/2
    Chep.4.40 Great Heart’Jac eachway 13/2
    5x 1 point eachway singles
  24. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Hotspur88 in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    P/L = +21.1pts
    1402 York Witch Hunter 5/1 2pt win
    1425 Chepstow Court Master 11/1 1.5pt win
    1505 Fairyhouse Glan 2/1 2pt win
    1515 York Gulliver 10/1 1pt e/w (2pts total) (free 1pt bet staked as part of the bet so only 1pt of bank staked) *paying 6 places
    1530 Chepstow Glory & Honour 14/1 0.5pts e/w (1pt total) *paying 5 places
    1535 Newmarket Foveros 10/1 1pt e/w (2pts total), Platform Nineteen 18/1 0.5pts e/w (1pt total) & Takarengo 33/1 0.5pts e/w (1pt total) *paying 7 places
    1635 Limerick Spanish Tenor 8/1 1pt win
    1700 York Last Look 20/1 0.5pts e/w (1pt total) *paying 5 places
    ****The group have staked 16.5pts today with 1pt e/w on Last Look & 1pt e/w on Takarengo the missing points on the selections above. I have halved staked on both those selections because of the odds and I know that might bite me in the arse at some point, but so far I've reduced stakes on only losing horses at big odds. The group have also gone a straight win on Glory & Honour but I've backed it 0.5pts e/w as you can see above. Last Saturday was day two of the service and we staked and lost 17pts so I'm trying to be a bit more sensible on what is notoriously known as the trickiest racing day. I asked the group if anyone had tracked Saturday selections since the beginning of the group and they had and they were in profit for a Saturday overall. But they said Saturday's have been the most rewarding and most damaging to the P/L. Anyway, hopefully this Saturday is more fruitful. 
    13.5pts staked 🍀🍀🍀
     
  25. Like
    The Brigadier reacted to Zilzalian in Racing Chat - Saturday 9th October   
    Thoughts on the 2yo group races tomorrow
    133 chantilly             Bastogne
    250 chantilly             Dizzy Bizu
    145 NewM                Gold Spur
    220 NewM                ???? (too open no bet for me)
    255 NewM                Straight Answer (my highest speed figure of the year) the current 6/1 is far too big a price.
    202 York                   ???? (too open no bet for me)
    Additional observation-the Cesaravitch i have watched Burning Victory cruise to two wins over trips in France this year and was very impressed but as always with Mullins there are too may options although i think this is his best chance, (laid out)? I don't like the prices on this race at the moment, the bookies are giving nothing, in fact they are extracting the urine with this book.
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