nicolai89

With the sudden and shocking loss of Billy please bare with us whilst we sort things out going forward regarding the racing tips. Obviously everyone is free to carry on posting their tips and thoughts in the daily threads in the mean time and it is great to see so many people interacting and posting their thoughts on here so please keep it up!

To the Punters Lounge family,
It is with deep regret that we must share some tragic news with you all. BillyHills aka Graham Sarson sadly passed away over the weekend after suffering a heart attack. Graham was a hugely popular figure within the PL community and had become a much-loved person amongst the staff team.
Graham has been a part of Punters Lounge for a number of years and has played a key role in contributing quality content to the forum and site. His horse racing tips were the stuff of legend across the gambling industry and his management of the Last Man Standing and Tipster Competitions provided many of us with some fun and laughs over the years.
Since the devastating loss of Punters Lounge owner Paul Ross, Graham has played a pivotal role in helping the site to remain active and keep growing in the way Paul wanted. Our thoughts and love go out to Graham's wife Suzy, his family, and his friends at this awful time.

12.10 Warwick - 1pt e/w Some Might Say @ 10/1 Bet365
Ready winner of a bumper two starts back with the form working out and had clear excuses on hurdling debut. He was extremely novicey and pulled like a train throughout in a decent race. This easier test and sharper track will suit and his jumping did improve as the race went on that day so if racing more conservatively and putting his experience to good use, can go very close.
12.20 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Aleas @ 12/1 Bet365
The two with form towards the head of the market are respected but neither look unbeatable on the evidence of their debuts and I quite like the profile of Aleas. Bred to be useful and this one's dam won her first two starts as a 2 year old including a Group 3 and Aleas's only half sibling as also decent at 2. Any give in the ground won't inconvenience and Ralph Beckett's can go well first time out with the yard in form, so looks an interesting newcomer. 
2.08 Ffos Las - 1pt e/w Caviciana @ 8/1 Bet365
Favourite may well win again but I wouldn't be getting involved turning out again so quickly after a mammoth absence. Caviciana is relatively lightly raced and having been too keen last year appears to have learned to settle with experience and has run well the last twice over 2m4f. Is bred to stay however so the extra half mile here ought to suit so if conserving energy upped in trip, should go close.
2.43 Ffos Las - 2pts win Heavey @ 5/1 Bet365
Has been in really good form over hurdles but has also shaped as if he'd make a better chaser and had a chance when being brought down on his only previous start over fences. The favourite here won in a small field and also jumped right which he wouldn't want to do here and the second favourite returns after an absence so Heavey looks the solid option here. 
2.55 Warwick - 1pt e/w Givepeaceachance @ 12/1 Bet365
More unexposed than most having only run twice over hurdles and respectably on both occasions. Stays well on the flat so a steadily run race over 2 miles didn't suit last time when getting outpaced but wasn't beaten far and ought to enjoy this a bit more with a stronger gallop likely in a handicap and with the hood on first time.
3.05 Salisbury - 1pt e/w With Respect @ 9/1 Bet365
I'm hoping the positive market signals continue this afternoon for this one as he ran flat when weak in the betting at Ayr last time, albeit from a poor position. Was impressive on debut on his only previous effort over 6f and had excuses in a hot novice race at Lingfield and then when not staying a mile. Will need a good pace or a more prominent sit today back at this trip but still lightly raced and can hopefully bounce back under these conditions.
4.30 Ffos Las - 1pt e/w Giga White @ 20/1 Bet365
Have to take this one with a pinch of salt as is definitely a character but also has ability and shaped as if the return to hurdles would help when running over fences. Was badly hampered early on last time and that seemed to knock its confidence which resulted in a refusal at the second. Hopefully can get into the race today and if so, 20/1 could look overpriced. 

130 ayr 
Dark defender  366
John Kirkup 364 
These 2 are a touch clear of next horses with both 7/1 they look decent value 
2x 10pt wins 7/1 bet365 

12.30 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Quick Draw @ 8/1 Bet365
If fit enough for this (market vibes quite positive) then looks to hold sound each-way hopes having run well in two bumpers. Ran on well to be second on debut and then was a very respectable 7th in a listed bumper over 1m6f next time out. Wouldn't have the speed for that in good company and always looked like going hurdling over further would suit on pedigree and runs so far. Very unexposed still and conditions ought to suit here with an extra emphasis on stamina going hurdling over 2m4f. Open to plenty of improvement now and I'd be disappointed if he didn't make the first three.
1.30 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Very Intense @ 25/1 Bet365
Hasn't run since February when flopping on heavy ground but this should be more suitable and there are some promising signs returning from an absence given this one has plenty of good form when fresh. Was only narrowly denied at Fakenham two starts back (pair clear, winner went close off higher next time) and if returning with a run anything like that, would go close here with conditions to suit, so worth chancing at such a big price.
1.50 Newmarket - 1pt win Fooraat @ 15/2 Bet365
Unexposed type who hasn't quite built on its impressive win at Chelmsford earlier in the year but has had excuses - off the pace in a slowly run race at Epsom when not handling the track all that well and then ran on heavy ground last time, albeit respectably. His full brother Benbatl, who also runs today, has flopped on soft ground so very plausible he can bounce back on a sounder surface today and on a more galloping track.  
2.15 Haydock - 1pt e/w Mahanakhon Power @ 14/1 Bet365
Fair to say the market vibes are not strong for this one on handicap debut and it's probably the case that his handicap mark flatters him but does have 7lbs taken off his back here and this test should suit better. Not done a great deal in novices over shorter but did stay on to some effect last time out over the extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton and is very much bred to stay so the extra furlong here and a more testing surface should help. Drifted out to a big price so will have a tentative play. 
2.35 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Follow the Swallow @ 20/1 Bet365
Off a featherweight I think the 12yo in the field could go well at a big price having produced a more than satisfactory return to action last time, only fading on the run-in and this one has an excellent record second time out after an absence. Gets its ground today too and has place prospects at least.
3.00 Newmarket - 1pt win Santosha @ 17/2 Bet365
Santosha beat Isabella Giles two starts back over 6f yet that one is a 2/1 shot here and I think Santosha looks the value bet here. Had no chance after completely blowing the start last time out so can draw a line through that effort and should be absolutely fine going up to 7f today on both track evidence and pedigree so surprising to see such a big price here in a small field.

Nothing to get excited about