alexcaruso808

What a pity, I enjoyed following the bets.  

You're right again!  Something else, I didn't realise PSG were playing and Mbappe scored first, and he would have been a bet for me !!  😂.  
I'm gonna give this a break until after Christmas - too much going on at the minute trying to get things organised.  Good luck!

That was last time! I think he just assisted the ET winner last night.

Nott'ham Forest +0AH @2.00 taken. Not enough counter indications to cut them.

Bet 18 is Bellingham at 4/1 in a few places.
Shame none of them are e/w at that price but I'm on him anytime at 23/20 anyway. He's an absolute beast this season and I'm following him for the time being (anytime at least).

Nice one, Harry 👍

Thanks, Harry.  I fixed my figures...

No, (unless they've got a generous concession I'm unaware of). Bets are for 90 minutes only plus any added stoppage time but wouldn't extend to goals scored in extra time.

Bet 17 is Openda for RB Leipzig at 3/1 with 365
Same price and rationale as Salah, a push if he scores but not first.

A welcome winner. Also did Plea e/w at 7/1 (only allowed a modest stake and didn't follow in on 2/1 anytime) which I did intend to post but forgot; would've put the first, anytime and e/w in front.

Bet 65(In Play, 11 mns gone) 
Preston v QPR 
Over 5.5 Corners 
€[email protected]

Poor month on the BBs in the real world, just a couple of winners (at 9/2 and 11/1) from 27 bets for a loss of £67.71 with an ROI of -45.85%. Still just shy of £473 up for the season though.

Effectively a push on Salah (evens for the place covering the loss on 1st). Let's say room for improvement! Anytime the least worst performer so far.

Was going to back Immobile at 4/1 but, obviously, didn't with him not starting. Best price was with Sky Bet so wouldn't have been void if he didn't start. Right thing to do but still irritating that he comes on and scores!

I make it that’s he’s scored first in 5 of his 20 starts this season which I’d imagine would be loss making. I doubt you’d get 3/1 on average. You could see whether he hit a higher percentage last season.

tonight I have gone for Haaland and Mbappe.  
Haaland has scored first in his last 4 / 5 matches.   I wonder if you blindly bet him to score first in each game would you make or lose money over a season?  Maybe something to consider for 2024 / 2025 season!  
 
 

I've gone for Blackpool to beat Northampon Town and > 2.5 goals @ 2.32
Charlton to beat Cheltenham and > 2.5 goals @ 2.32
good luck!

3 from 9 since the last update for a small loss (McAtee, Omorodion and Isak). 5 straight losers took the sheen off this update somewhat.
99 winners from 267 bets so far for a profit of 461.9 points with an ROI of 16.13%.
18.6 points lost on 7 bets posted in error.
Current "target" ROI based on overall sample is 14.2% (now based on 669 bets from 3814 selections).

As a avid racing fan I am always running small systems in a note book I call Its Promising which is based on horse data and market views on a horse ie money for and tipsters views with in depth form  of a horse from Timeform.
 
These are lay bets   win market and the place market daily
This system is level stakes and has 2 banks of 100pts each 
Win lay bank 100pts - Place lay bank 100pts 
1pt a lay for each selection each race on each market win and place 
If horse selection is over 6/1 SP at the off no lay but any price under is ok 
All odds taken from Betfair/Smarkets  and 2% commission on winning lays 
 
Todays horses 
Exeter 
12.40 Raddon Top   *
13.15 Gidleigh Park *
13.50 King Turgeon *
14.25 Alfies Princess  *
15.00 Lady Adare 
16.00 Bond Broker 
------------------------------------
Leicester 
12.55 Royal Toast 
14.05 Crem Fresh 
14.40 Hasthing *
15.10 Impression  Chic *
---------------------------------
Plumpton 
12.30 Shanagh Bob *
13.05 Saligo Bay 
13.40 General Medrano 
14.15 Afta Party 
14.50 Stanley Pincombe *
15.20 No Risk With Lou *
-------------------------------------
Kempton 
16.30 Miss Dolly Rocker *
17.00 Royal Tapestry *
17.30 Sommelier *
18.00 Ezra Cee 
19.00 Perseus Way *
19.30 Harry The Haggler 
 
Good luck 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

I will take it over for December 2nd 9th 16th 30th + Boxing day  If anyone wants carry on, minimum 8 participants or sack it. Same format and post your returns (unlike me on sat)

Congrats @tonythepaint, well done mate.

Not exactly off to a flier. Son had a goal chalked off ("incredibly" according to Flashscore) for offside.

Congrats @tonythepaint, well done mate.

Cheers harry are we going again for December 👍

Bet 14 is Son at 11/2 with 365
Villa and Watkins both flattered (possibly) by being co-favourites with Spurs and Son in their respective markets.
13/8 Son close to being a system bet; place terms are better so seems a reasonable first scorer shout at the price.