K8a

Be careful with this one cause both players are in a bad form. When 2 players are in a bad form anything can happen. Personally, I will stay away from this match.

Yeah, that was crazy @darko08! From 1-5 to 7-5 there.
Sofia Kenin (-4) to beat Hailey Baptiste at 1.92 with Pinnacle
Despite Kenin's issues, she did fine in the first round and she's still well above Baptiste class-wise. Baptiste even folded against Zarazua recently, so it's hard for me to trust her here.
Jan-Lennard Struff (-1.5 sets) to beat Facundo Bagnis at 2.21 with Sbobet
The courts are definitely a bit faster than usual and Struff was bashing the ball nicely against Rublev. Picking the set handicap here due to the better price and due to the fact that Bagnis would have the fitness edge in the fifth set.

Hi and welcome to the forum @Lekker!

Quick introduction, I'm starting new on this forum and thought it would be a good place to share with my friends whatever knowledge I've acquired over the past so many years. I'm South African as my username indicates. Good Luck to us. 
 
Andujar to beat [email protected] on Bet365
Pablo on a high after beating Thiem and you just don't beat any version of Thiem by not playing well. He took the game on aggressively and went for his shots when the pressure was high in Set 5. Delbonis on the other hand is really not playing as well as he can, he struggled against Albot, possibly one of the worst clay court players on tour and kept choking time and again against Molcan in the Serbian tournament. Moreover the H2H is 6-1 in favour of Spanish Pablo. 
Opelka to beat [email protected] on Bet365
Medvedev made some interesting remarks about the balls and conditions here @RG 21. He said he can play like he does on a hard court and the balls are flying through. Opelka has been very impressive in the clay season surprisingly, made a very good run in Rome and historically the courts in Rome and RG are very similar. Also, one again Munar was very unconvincing in his win against a total no clay courter in the Australian Jordan. Opelka has a definite serve advantage and even in rallies, he's holding his own as seen against a very decent clay courter in Martin, striking the ball early and with confidence. 
Bencic to beat Kasatkina @1.72 on Bet365
Contrasting displays in Round 1 make me want to play Bencic here. Completely demolished last year finalist in her Round 1 while Kasatkina barely got through Doi in a very topsy turvy match. Kasatkina played with no confidence whatsoever and seems to have put on a few kilos. Although she's a more natural clay courter, I don't see form and confidence on her side. 
Kalinina to beat [email protected] on Bet365
Collins is back from a surgery and just about won R1. Kalinina on the other completed a demolition of Kerber, it's very rare to see Kerber getting demolished. Kalinina has been on quite some run, winning a lower level tournament and qualifying with ease. Form and confidence on her side, moreover willing to go against Collins because the lack of matches should be telling. 
 
 

Opelka to beat Munar at 1.80 with bet365
Opelka impressed all us with his run in Rome. He beat Gasquet, Musetti, Karatsev and Delbonis, all of them in straight sets. After that he lost against Cuevas in Geneva. Probably he was not interested on that small event after reaching the SFs in Rome. In his first match here he has destroyed Andrej Martin (6-3, 6-2, 6-4). Munar has played a lot of matches on clay this year (29-11) but only a few of them were against big players. He has suffered a lot against Thompson (6-7, 6-1, 7-6, 6-4) despite being a huge favorite (1.10). Probably we'll see some TBs here but I take Opelka anyways.

Yeah, Kenin looks like a decent combo material to me there.

Berankis to beat Duckworth at 1.57
Berankis has been playing decent tennis on clay this season and has only lost to guys who are having a great season: ramos vinolas, delbonis, ivashka (lajovic not having a good season but played well against berankis). He played another good match against Humbert, who's not very good at clay but played with good intensity. Duckworth on the other hand has been awful recently. he seems to have lucked out in finding the only opponent who has been more awful than him: caruso. imo, this should be easy peasy lemon squeezy for berankis.

you always do well in grandslams. gud luck

thiem is close to 1st round exit from the tournament. cant believe how he won the US open. had novak not being suspended he would have been the winner. in any case thiem wont survive for too long.
kerber has to retire now.

Amanda Anisimova to beat Veronika Kudermetova at 2.00 with bet365 
I think the young American girl has been immensely underestimated here. Yes, she has certainly failed to kick on since her breakthrough in 2019, but a very unfortunate event in her life affected her so much - the shock death of her father and long-time coach Anisimov, who suffered a heart attack just before the 2019 USO. This family tragedy, combined with the fact that we then entered the COVID-19 era stalled her further rise in women's tour. It seems that it's just a matter of time for Amanda to reach new highs and achieve big things in the sport. 
Last year she reached the 3R of the FO, losing to Halep (top seed) in straight sets. Recently in Parma, she won her first two matches (1R-Paolini, 2R-Smiedlova) in straight sets before losing to eventual champion Coco Gauff. Kudermetova looks to be in good form as well, as she defeated Mertens and Caroline Garcia before losing to Barty in straight sets in Rome. Veronika has respectable results on clay. She doesn't possess the same firepower on her shots as her opponent but she's solid from the baseline. The sensible thing for her to do will be to stay in the rallies as much as she can, forcing errors from Amanda's racquet. However, I feel that Anisimova will turn up very motivated and thirsty to win today, which might be enough to control the fate of this encounter. Her forehand is so versatile, it allows her to create all the angles she wants from the back of the court. Her recent losses to Sakkari in Madrid and Svitolina in Rome shouldn't disappoint her too much as they both are very strong players. I'm gonna go with Amanda in Paris guys.

Kerber...lol ?

Badosa (vs. Davis) + Sakkari (vs. Zavatska) + Mertens (vs. Sanders) + Fucsovics (vs. Simon) + Sinner (vs. Herbert) + Nishioka (vs. Tsonga) at 2.32 with bet365
Badosa is 13-2 on clay this year and she has beat big players as Bencic, Barty, Krejcikova, Teichmann or Sevastova. Davis is 3-3 and she has lost her last 2 matches (vs. Kovinic and Alexandrova). Both Sakkari and Mertens play against players who never have been inside the top 100 so I can't imagine them losing. Fucsovics is only 2-4 on clay this year but he plays against a player who is not competitive anymore. Simon is 1-5 on clay this year and he's on a 5 losing streak (Sonego, Andujar, Herbert, Bedene and P.Martinez). Tsonga is 0-2 on clay this year. He has lost against Gerasimov (7-5, 6-1) and Paul (6-3, 6-3). He is miles away from his best form. Maybe he can compete during a couple sets but I can't imagine him winning a 5 set match right now. Nishioka's best surface is hard but he has competed really well on clay this year (7-6). He has beat Cuevas, Krajinovic, Humbert, Monfils and Musetti so a fatty Tsonga should not be a problem. Sinner is 7-5 on clay this year and he has beat some really good players as RBA, Rublev and Karatsev. Herbert is 4-5 on clay this year. This is not his best surface and he's not in his best form so I can't see him winning against Sinner.

Tsitsipas to win the 4th quarter at 1.72 with bet365
 
Tsitsipas has very good draw. In his side, there is no player who can beat him. Also, I think he is in best form. So he can also see final round. This is very good odd for this selection.
 
Good luck to everyone
 

Tsitsipas to win the 4th quarter at 1.72 with bet365
Laaksonen to beat Hanfmann at 2.20 with bet365
Vesely vs Khachanov - Over 36.5 Games at 1.83 with bet365
Lepchenko (-2.5 Games) to beat Shuai Zhang at 1.83 with bet365
I think Tsitsipas has good draw. He will play Chardy in the 1st round and P.Martinez or Korda in the 2nd one. Isner is the most dangerous player he could face in the 3rd round. Raonic, Tiafoe or Busta in the 4th round. In the QFs he could face Dimitrov, Garin, Opelka or Medvedev. IMO, if Tsitsipas plays as he has done during this year he should beat all these players.
Laaksonen beat Van Assche, Varillas and JM Cerundolo in the qualification. I saw the last one and I really liked how Laaksonen played. IMO, both players have a similar level (their best ever ranking is exactly the same -93-) but Hanfmann's last results are not good. He retired from Munich due to a neck injury. After that, he won against Griekspoor but he lost against Menezes and Nakashima, both in straight sets. Laaksonen should be a slight favorite considering both players' last matches.
I think Khachanov shouldn't be with these odds against Vesely. He did not convince me at all this year and he was destroyed by Norrie in his last match (6-1, 6-1). The only time these players have played each other was here in 2020. It was in the 2nd round and Khachanov won, but it was a very tight match (6-1, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6). 
Lepchenko has beat Rakhimova, Barthel and Friedsam in the qualification. I'm surprised with how much ease she beat Barthel (6-1, 7-5) and Friedsam (6-1, 6-3) in her last 2 matches. Shuai's best surface is hard, by far, and he has a 1-6 record on clay this year. The only player she has beat is Doi, who has a negative record on clay (51-57). She comes from a heavy defeat against Cirstea in Strasbourg (6-2, 6-1).

Rafa's draw is tough... Federer could play Alcaraz in the first round ?  
Tsitsipas should reach SFs "without problems"

As for the Women....Maria Sakkari
Improving Greek player who though yet to make a big splash in one of the four slams has the tools to get the job done
Each Way @ 50-1 with  Boylesports

@lelit Yeah, you're right in that she's in with a shout. She's quite fragile health-wise, though. Obviously a lot depends on the draw as well, hard to find a bet before that.

I'd argue that Ash Barty is slowly becoming the dominant player in women's tennis - you may have noticed her making making every final this year? It's not luck.
Because a player is 50-1 or 500-1 does not make them automatic ''value'' at RG. There's a reason Donna Vekic or Jo Konta are 600-1 or whatever, and that reason is that they just aren't going to win a grand slam. It would be like North Macedonia (780.0s) winning Euro 2020. The players you've quoted - I mean, have you actually seen them play recently?
Finding value isn't as easy as ''well she's a big price, and 'Penko did win this that one time!''
I agree Swiatek odds seem short, but those odds based on how good her performances have been recently coupled with her dominance of RG less than a year ago. I do not think she's over-hyped at all. 
It takes a LOT for someone to get past Barty, Swiatek or a fired up Sabalenka nowadays. most players are drawing dead or close to, and most of the 'big names' are in horrible form (Karolina Pliskova, Serena, Osaka, Kenin).
I honestly don't know where the value lies is in terms of the long odds this year. I would have said Halep, but she's pulled out. I would suggest Kvitova at 32.0 or Badosa at 40.0 (based on their draws) as dark horses. 

Also think with no dominant player in the women's game, its worth chancing an outsider or two in the Grand Slams this year

Yeah, that definitely makes sense if you're willing to go outside the main bunch. Definitely has a much better chance than Medvedev, for example.

In the men's I quite like Andrey Rublev to make his slam breakthrough
The young Russian reached the quarter finals here last year , and indeed has reached that stage of the last three Grand slams
Each Way @ 40-1 with Ladbrokes

Thank you so very much on this one,Darko. Cheers

Paire is a real nutcase. Looks like he leaves his brains in his racket bag before his comes on court. Schoolboy player!!!

Di Giuseppe (+5.5 Games) to beat Qiang Wang at 1.74 with Pinnacle
Di Giuseppe to beat Qiang Wang at 4.1 with Pinnacle
I go against Wang again. Wang is in a bad shape right now (5-11). She has lost a lot of matches that she should have won. Besides, she has a very negative record on this surface (25-27). She has played 5 matches on clay this year and she only has won 2. She beat Gasanova in Istanbul in a 3 set match. After that, she has lost in straight sets against Konjuh, Muchova and Anisimova, which is totally understandable. In her first match here she has won in a 3 set match against Doi, who has a very negative record on this surface. Di Giuseppe is 30 years old and her best ranking ever is 149, but she's a pure clay court player with more than 500 matches played on this surface. She has beat Kawa, Bronzetti and Hibino here and she was priced at similar odds on all those matches.

I'm not sure that Stricker has what it takes to beat Cilic, but I can add that I saw Stricker twice in his run in Lugano and he was outplaying better-ranked opponents with ease (I saw him against Sugita and Sachko). A real talent I'd say. Obviously that means he can be a bit hit-or-miss, but he definitely has the game to beat Cilic if the Croat underperforms as he's used to doing now. Basically, my take on the match is that you take Stricker in some capacity or stay away.