azzybear

there have only been 4 2yo (1 on turf) races here since opening day says everything.

Nnnooooooooo.....lol 🤣 ....like u said there's collateral form so over twice the price ... He's not half the horse lol so it's good value bet whatever happens 😁 

@richard-westwood Port Noir smashed into 10/3 in most places so strange A Pint Of Bear is around 15/2. I suppose it doesn't really matter either way but I thought it was interesting nonetheless.

3.20 newcastle - whisky mcgonagall 7/1
8.30 wolverhampton - kimifive 40/1 ew
2.00 lingfield - angel on high 22/1 ew with 4 places although i believe my brother mike 15/2 will win it 
2.20 newcastle - we still believe 5/1
Good day everyone !

5:30 Wolverhampton - Mumcat 9/1 EW

I can see why it's overpriced. Was beaten by Port Noir LTO after being slow out the gates and possibly could have won. Now reopposes on more favourable terms Port Noir is 11/2 2nd fav. Wouldn't be surprised to see Port Noir drift and A Pint of Bear backed in. 

@TheBrigadier was about to back the NAP for tomorrow and noticed Per Contra has been absolutely hammered in to jt fav. Any thoughts on the gamble? I'll likely back the NAP blind daily but would be interested to hear. 

830 wolv 
Very open race but computer is saying ...A pint of bear.... is overpriced here  at a generous looking  15/2 Ew  (estimated 9/2-5/1)....with 888 4 places so I'll try 5pts Ew 😀

AW selection
Lingfield 5.00
BELLEPLAINE

I like AW racing but start of the turf flat season and 3 flat meetings, all on the AW.

Hugh Taylor against the NAP today with Al Mootamarid. Think I'll take the nice drift on the NAP and take Hugh on, might regret it however 🤣. 

233 Bath Star Jasmine 3/1
G Boughey is 3 for 3 in last four seasons when racing here in 3yo+ maidens.

I would open as many as possible and take advantage of all the opening and ongoing offers, there's thousands to be made if you play it right. Certainly I would open all the ones that are listed on oddschecker, then you can make sure you get the best prices.

Macanudo                                                   3 08 Bth/            1/40th of a pt ew   22/1      - 3rd
Expressionless                                           4 53 Bth/             1/40th of a pt ew   16/1
Pedrito                                                         2 15 L/mp           1/40th of a pt ew   18/1 
Punchbowel Flyer                                      3 43 Bth/             1/40th of a pt ew   25/1

Morning everyone, 
As previously mentioned, I still get info from time to time and will pass on when I do. Obviously they don't all win but I've tracked it the past 4 years and it's been profitable each time. I'll make sure I pass any on I get 🙂.
Quick question re bookmakers, who would people recommend to use? Someone who also prices up Aus/US races early like Bet365 because at the moment I only have Betway and obviously it's good to have options. 
Just the NAP from the site for me today, backed Adaay in Devon 2/1 yesterday and it's been backed in nicely so here's hoping. 
Also going to have a look at the football now so will post in my football thread if I do feel confident with anything 👍🏼
Good luck 🐎

The racing gods/stupid decisions against me today. Capulet only 3rd meaning only the football can save me today. Stupidly didn't follow Richard in and now Capulet has lost me a single and double. If Devoted & Noble win the next two at Kempton that will land me leg 3 & 4 of my short odds acca but if I was you, with my luck today I'd back against them 🤣😭🤦🏼‍♂️

B/Fwd L15's -64.95 RC P/L B/fwd -87.85
Had 2 0.10 L15's on the daily = 3 points staked
2.05 Km Choisya 2 pts win at 3/1 with Bet365 = my nap today
Total staked = 5 points with 8 races covered

AW selection
Kempton 2.40
OLD HARROVIAN

Watchya                                                4 55 Kem/            1/40th  of  pt ew    28/1
Captain Wierzba                                  2 40 Kem/            1/40th of a pt ew   33/1
Bergamasco                                         3 30 Chl/               1/40th of a pt ew   20/1
 
 
 
P/L     + 177.15pts

Kempton 1.30 With Kelso unfortunately lost to the elements, the first of seven races on a rescheduled ITV schedule is this 6F novices stakes which has attracted ten runners and looks rather open. Clive Cox’s Sky Warrior is the only winner in the contest but a 7lb penalty for that Doncaster win last July may be his undoing here. Newmarket based trainer James Horton has had a horrendous year with his main owner John Dance leaving the game and he can strike with his Acclamation three year old Grandlad who gave odds on backers a scare when chasing home the 82 rated Run Boy Run at Newcastle on his racecourse debut last month and can be competitive and hopefully win at the second time of asking. There are others with chances including Harry Eustace’s Harry Did and Hugo Palmer’s Auric.   GRANDLAD 1 point each way @ 9/2 William Hill 1/5th 123   Kempton 2.05 Ten go to post for the 1M Virgin Bet Snowdrop Fillies’Stakes, a listed race for fillies and mares only. There’s no stand out bet in the contest with the two highest rated horses being Mystic Pearl and Choisya from the William Haggas and Simon & Ed Crisford Newmarket stables respectively. We haven’t seen the latter for 138 days when she defeated the re-opposing Julia Augusta over course and distance and is maybe the each way value in a race where several can be given a chance. The Crisford’s have won with three of their last ten runners so arrive in good form and as long as the chestnut filly is ready to go can enhance her good track record which reads 21. The Irish raider from the Joseph O’Brien stable Adelaise has to be respected and may be the biggest danger to the selection.   CHOISYA 1 point each way @ 9/2 Coral 1/5th 123     Kempton 2.40 The Virgin Bet Roseberry Handicap is a class 2 contest run over 1M 2F and 219 yards and has attracted a decent sized field of fourteen. Andrew Balding’s Old Harrovian is an interesting runner making his handicap debut having won both starts on a synthetic surface at Wolverhampton and Lingfield although has been priced accordingly. The Hollie Doyle ridden Intinso looked good when winning at Wolverhampton last March and despite a rise of 8lb can be competitive here and looks the pick. The grey appeared to show improved form there, his first since being gelded and from a favourable draw can run a big race.   INTINSO 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234   Curragh 2.55 Nine line up for this Group 3 Alleged Stakes which will be run on very soft ground. Last year’s Ballysax winner White Birch will have to be on the short list although his trainer John Joseph Murphy has only had one runner this year (back in January)and there would have to be questions over his fitness even if he did win first time out last season. In contrast we know that Joseph O’Brien has his string forward winning with 15 of his 46 runners this year at a win to run ratio of 33% and his representative here is his four year old filly Maxux who could be quite smart. A winner of two of her four starts as a three year old (she was unraced as a juvenile), she finished her season by taking a Group 3 at Fairyhouse by 4 1/4L from the right horses and although she has to prove herself on very soft ground appeals as one to be with.   MAXUX 1 point each way 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 123   Kempton 3.15 The 2M Virgin Bet Queen’s Prize Handicap has attracted a field of fourteen and has a very open look about it. Top weight Novel Legend has claims although I would like to see his trainer James Fanshawe in better form (although he did have a winner on Thursday) whilst the other market leader Sweet Fantasy will find these conditions rather different than when winning two juvenile hurdles in the mud this winter for his up and coming trainer James Owen. The pick for me has to be the bottom weight, Circuit Breaker. Formerly trained by Ralph Beckett he ticks many boxes here as he has won fresh before, stays the trip, handles the surface having won over course and distance and likes to be ridden forward with the plum draw in stall 1 to adopt those tactics. The booking of James Doyle is positive and this Jonjo O’Neill trained four year old looks excellent each way value having joined O’Neill for 260,000 guineas last October.   CIRCUIT BREAKER 2 points each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 1234   Chelmsford 3.30 An intriguing race for a Saturday afternoon at Chelmsford is the valuable Woodford Reserve Cardinal Conditions Stakes, a trial (usually in name only) for the Kentucky Derby. The fact that Aidan O’Brien sends over Capulet and maybe more interesting that Ryan Moore is here to ride points to the son of Justify as the most likely winner. A winner of a Dundalk maiden on his racecourse debut last August he followed that up with places in Group 2’s at Leopardstown and Newmarket the following month. As with, it seems, all of Aidan’s three year olds he has a stack of future group entries which include the 2000 Guineas and the English and Irish Derby. His main danger appears to be last weekend’s listed Burradon Stakes winner Cuban Tiger who had another of today’s opposition Orne (5lb better off for 3 1/4L and racing in first time cheek pieces) behind. This should be going to Ballydoyle and Capulet.   CAPULET 2 points win @ 11/10 William Hill   Kempton 3.45 Just five have declared for this Virgin Bet Fillies’ Conditions Stakes and we have a very warm favourite here in the Charlie Appleby trained Devoted Queen. She looked a smart sort when winning well on her racecourse debut at Newmarket on soft ground last October and this KIngman filly will be hard to beat and could even force her way into a run in the first classic of the season , the 1000 Guineas in a months time for which she is currently a 25/1 chance. She’s obviously been well found in the market here however but should be winning with the Richard Hughes trained Les Bleus looking the biggest danger having kept good company as a juvenile and placing in group company.  

jouster 4.15

Lakota brave 4.25

inisfree lad 4.10

star of lady m 3.50

chosen chant 3.40 ew