azzybear

dark viper 5.00

122 W Wavering Down 5/1
Goes well fresh. 
Trainer jock. combo 2/4 here last four seasons with huge lsp+24
 
 
1.57 W Lutinebella 14/1 a quiet ew shout
Goes terribly well fresh 2121
OBrien and Brace are 3/9 here last 4 seasons, albeit lsp +1.73
Its speed figures when compared to market leaders aren't great but not the worst and it's on a handy mark.
 

B/Fwd L15's -65.52 RC P/L -89.92 (incl L15's)
Had 3 goes on the Daily (feel as if I'm competing volume-wise with @LEE-GRAYS = 4.50 pts
6.15 Muss Street Kid 0.75 ew at 6/1 & Toimy Son 0.75 ew at 15/2 (comes a long way for this race)
Tried to get 11/2 for Bell Shot in the 4.45 Muss for an ew nap but price was stuck at 5/1 so no official bet
= 6 points staked today
 

Morning all 👋🏼
Best of luck today 🐎💷
Two plays for me...

Bittaleman ew 12s
Haggas for owners 2023 8 from 21, 4 2nds, 4 3rds

Hi all, a successful 3 days of Newmarket racing for 'us' and especially our friends at HQ.  It has set them up for the next big meeting being the Guineas, which we will be at with them as their guests. Soooo a few selections at Newbury today to for us.......start off with 2 for Hannon who came good yday 👍 
 
1.42    Hawaiian  7/4     WON
2.12    Bosh  16/1 EW     3rd                             Gisburn  8/1 EW                                   Fresh  9/1 EW                                  b365  5 places
2.42    Seamore  6/1   EW                           Lasting Love  4/1 
3.12    Sam Hawkens  13/2    ( Daily Nap)                 Voyage  28/1 EW       WON       😂 nice surprise  2nd string won cruising looked like by 2L or so 👌
4.50     Star Style  9/2    WON                        Tarqeez   7/2           
       Last winner looked easy 5/6L so rounds off nice Hannon day for us 🥂 💷 .......and 😘 to HQ friends for saying about Hannon for last 2 days 👌    
 
nb....know we biased as love Newmarket as a town and the racing of course 🐎 as have our good friends there, so not have to fork out for hotels etc.... so big 👍 to Newmarket for the pricing for Guineas meeting ( which is high in demand friends say)  with Friday £12 for Grandstand / paddock and the Premier enclosure for us at £27......the weekend bit more at £18 Grandstand / paddock and the Premier enclosure £33
 

💩

Got bygrace and trevi could do with a winner 😂

1350 Ayr Shakeyatailfeather 2/1

Looks overpriced and I think it should be favourite. Will probably finish 2nd by a nostril hair so follow with caution 🤣

445 Newmarket 
Bolsena... has shown enough to suggest he could take a weakish looking race like this ....interesting that Ryan Moore takes the ride ....I'll try 5pts Ew 5/1 b365 (generally 7/2)

j.irai lion 11.52 France ew 

2030 Kempton Baroque Buoy 4/1 e/w (4 places)

1405 Cheltenham Sea Invasion 4/1 (don't like to go e/w under 5/1 but it's paying 5 places so will do for some security)

Wallop                                                     1 50 New/              1/40th of a pt ew     25/1          
Dark Thirty                                              1 50 New/              1/40th of a pt ew    16/1    - won
Lucid                                                        4 10 New/              1/40th of a pt ew    16/1

Yes I've rated all the races but only this one stands out .....there are some new horses ...and horses with potential in here so it's no shoe in by a long shot ....but he has a good rating and at 5/1 he's a shot to nothing Ew to break even if he places ....and Ryan Moore is good for a 5lb bonus so certainly looks interesting 🤔 

System mate? 
I am with Betway, Betfair & Betfred so will wait and see how they price up but hopefully they open around 5s 🤞🏼

Newmarket 1.50 Day Two of the Craven meeting starts with a maximum field of twenty for this class 2 6F handicap. The race was won last year by Charlie Hills’s Orazio and he’ll be tough to beat back to defend his title even though he will be 11lb higher than last year. He prepped for this by running a fine third in the listed Cammidge Trophy (beaten 1 1/2L by Montassib) at Doncaster (his first since being gelded) and the ground should be ideal for him today with William Buick back on board from a similar stall as last year. He’s the bet here with the likes of Significantly and Chipstead the types who could also run well.   ORAZIO 1 point each way @ 9/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345   Cheltenham 2.05 A maximum field of eighteen line up for the first of two races aired live by ITV in the shape of this 2M 4F 56 yard class 2 handicap hurdle. The race has an open look with amongst the front of the betting being the hat trick seeking Spring Note of Nicky Henderson’s and Chris Gordon’s easy Plumpton winner Sea Invasion. Both hold solid chances but I prefer the in form Robbie Llewelyn trained Titan Discovery who has been a revelation since going handicapping winning at Ascot and Sandown and going down by half a length to Boombawn at Kempton on the Saturday after Cheltenham. That form has already been boosted by the win of the fourth Dan Skelton’s Kateira at Aintree. He’s risen 20lb since going handicapping and is up another 3lb for that latest second. Llewelyn has won with 3 of his last 4 runners and he looks a good each way bet.   TITAN DISCOVERY 1 point each way @ 8/1 Coral 1/5th 12345   Newmarket 2.25 Ten promising three year olds go to post for this listed 9F Feilden Stakes which can throw up a nice type (Golden Horn won this in 2015). Andre Fabre is a rare visitor to these shores nowadays and anything he sends over has to be respected so the fact that Narkez is here, having won already in France 22 days ago, is highly significant. His two wins however have come on very soft ground so I’ll look elsewhere for the winner. Charlie Appleby’s El Córdobes who cost 2,000,000 guineas as a yearling being by Frankel out of a Sea The Stars mare improved to take a Kempton novice stakes over a mile on his second start at the turn of the year and looks a horse to follow. This represents a step up in class for him but he looks sure to be thereabouts and can run a big race. Aidan O’Brien also sends one over from Ireland in the shape of Group 2 Zetland Stakes runner up Gasper De Lemos and must also be given plenty of respect.   EL CORDOBES 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 123   Cheltenham 2.40 The valuable 2M 4F 127 yard Silver Trophy Handicap Chase has attracted a dozen chasers and has an open feel about it with Cheltenham’s Grand Annual Handicap Chase fifth In Excelsis Deo high on the shortlist. The ground will be better here now mind and that may play into course specialist Il Ridoto’s hands. Trained in Somerset by Paul Nicholls his course figures here read 844163238 and although theres just one victory there he’s been placed in many of the better 2M 4F handicap chases here over the past three years. He wasn’t disgraced when 8th in the Plate Handicap Chase at the Festival here in March and surprisingly the handicapper has dropped him 3lb putting him onto a mark that he was a short head second to Fugitif over course and distance in the December Gold Cup. He looks sure to run his race with Harry Cobden taking over from conditional Freddie Gingell.   IL RIDOTO 1 point each way @ 11/2 bet365 1/5th 1234   Newmarket 3.00 Ten have declared for the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes in which last year’s winner Ottoman Fleet, trained by Charlie Appleby, looks sure to go well and enhance his excellent course record of three wins from four starts. He may bump into one here mind in the shape of the Roger Varian trained Embesto who had a good first season last year as a three year old winning three of his five starts ending the season with 2 1/2L fourth in a Group 2 at Longchamp. The vibes are strong from Newmarket about this Roaring Lion colt and he looks the value bet in the contest. Royal Rhyme is a progressive horse of Karl Burke’s but seems best on very soft ground and is overlooked on that reason alone.   EMBESTO 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 123   Newmarket 3.35 A 1000 Guineas trial, the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes has attracted a field of eleven this year including representatives from Aidan O’Brien and Charlie Appleby. The warm favourite trained by the latter is Dance Sequence, who is only a 5/1 chance for the 1000 Guineas itself. She has looked a smart performer winning bath her starts as a juvenile, a maiden on the July course here and the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes over course and distance last October by a neck from Skellet. She has the highest official rating in the field and will be hard to beat although is no value at her current price. The Aidan O’Brien runner is Matrika who was last seen winning a Group 2 at the Curragh over 6F in July. Only rated 3lb behind Dance Sequence she maybe the value bet at the prices to beat the favourite. Best of the rest may well be the Roger Varian filly True Cyan who, like the two aforementioned fillies, holds a 1000 Guineas entry as well (currently a 66-1 chance).   MATRIKA 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 123  

althuraya 11.23 france

255 Newmarket 
Bopedro. 8.8 10/1 
Dutch decoy.  8.8 16/1 
Hafeet Alain. 8.5 14/1 
Tricky race this one ....I'm not a huge fan of backing older horses and all these are of the older generation but computer is saying to back these even though they haven't got brill form .....gonna be an interesting one ....5pt Ew top 2 .....forecasts all 3 

Gracious Leader 4:05 Newmarket (10/1 Bet365).  Taken some of the early price as probably won't get much bigger. 5/2 fav on debut back in October, promising run and should appreciate the better ground. Each way as there are some possibly decent rivals.
0.5 pts e/w 10/1 (bet365).
 
Tailed off 😬
 
P/L: -1.7pts.

Hi and good morning to all with the 3 day Craven meeting commencing today at Newmarket 🐎.......had a nice email from our friends in Newmarket who are going and have posted below some pointers from the message for the less knowledgeable ( which includes us ) that may help some......so good luck to all who will participate over the 3 days and also see how the 'wise owls and knowledgeable' who we do follow on here do to with their selections 🤞............   
 
Hello to 'Beauty and the Beast' 😂 a few reminders for the 1st meeting here, so thought would email them as the 'Bossy Blonde Beauty' will only ask me later for some finer details wont she as usual! ( wish could see her face when she reads this bit 😂 )
* these 3 days are run on the Rowley Mile Course. Remember it goes April / may (Rowley) then June / July / August ( July course) then back on Rowley to finish the season
* no tv coverage today, days 2 / 3 are
* remember has longest straight in UK over 1.2 Miles
* this undulating wide track suits gallopers, dropping down into the dip, before long uphill run in to finish line
* so generally horses that commit too early get caught on the uphill run to finish line remember
* speak to you both later from the course and also looking forward to seeing you both at Guineas meeting
 

🙄 picked wrong one again for Daily Nap competition!  ......Windsor 3.50 backed Champagne Sarah 20/1 ( daily nap) & Under the Twilight 14/1 to WIN as both like Good ground!
hey ho, however in 'real money' we well up with the 14/1 Winner 🐎 💷 .........
ps.... the 3 day Craven meeting starts tomorrow at Newmarket and if our friends hear / back anything of note, then will post it on here like last year with some nice big priced winners from them during the flat season 👌 
 
pps.... mite be worth having a small flutter on 2 in 4.20 Windsor....
Alcazan 9/1 ran in G1/2/3 last summer and Bishops Crown 4/1 WON  as always in the frame 🤞

Group 3 Chantilly 2.40 - GOT TO LOVE A GREY .
1 of 2 for K.Burke in race & rated 100 , has won 2 Listed races on fast & testing surfaces & won here a month a go , now the bad bit , was 4/1 with bet365 yesterday early evening , now 10/11 .
6th , drifted from odds on to 11/4 but best of the other UK raiders who finished 8th & 10th , glad I didn't back it , the price 4-1 to 10/11 put me off .

AW selection
Kempton 7.00
HAT TOSS

Alnilam 2:00 Kelso (8/11). Maybe slightly disappointing in a hot race last time but this is way easier and should win barring accidents. The 2nd fav looked a plodder when winning Hexham on heavy.
1pt win 8/11
 
Almost threw it away at the last but hung on. 2nd fav did better than I thought she would.
 
 
P/L: -0.7pts