calva decoy

Meatloaf for you so far 👏 2 out of 3 !

13:45 Il Etait Temps 1pt Win @11/4 Although Grey Dawning has been impressive this season and won well at Cheltenham i think there is an angle to take them on here. They are obviously the horse to beat however Il Etait Temps is where i will be siding. Grey Dawning has been known to have some jumping frailties and at odds of even money i think is very very short. Il Etait Temps was underwhelming at Cheltenham however they didnt really travel with any sort of intent and their jumping was uncharacteristically poor. If they can sharpen that back up the step up in trip could prove very effective as they stayed on strongly up the Cheltenham hill late in the day
14:55 Gerri Colombe 1pt win @9/4 As much as i love Shishkin im going to be backing elsewhere here as with the previous Nikki Henderson issues and the complexity of the horse being a major put off. I think the play here is Gerri Colombe who ran very well in the goldcup this year and we know will appreciate the ground and also the distance. These are not real doubts to Shishkin however I think Gerri Colombe could be a class above them and in this staying division they can continue to make a real mark.
16:40 Saint Roi 1pt E/W @11/2 (4 places)_nSaint Roi was mighty unlucky at Cheltenham the whole way round and can rewrite their wrongs here at Aintree. They were found short of room on multiple occasions and were found in an unideal position. This is a mighty competitive race with a few with chances. I think the best of the 2 skelton runners is Heltenham however u think both of them are a bit short in the market so ill be siding here!

Good luck & stay positive 👍

Hi Ladies and Gentlemen.
My name is Justin (and yes I'm very "Fat and Happy"). Been a passionate Horse Racing fan all my life (Great Uncle was a jockey, Grandparents were massive punters, Grandmother and her second partner were Bookmakers parents enjoy the game). Owned a small share in a Racehorse but love going Racing (especially Newbury). Love betting but find Online Betting worrying so a bit scared of that but wanting to try it. I am also passionate about Animal Welfare. I love racing people (I've met a number of lovely racing "personalities"). I also love my Horse Racing books and I am a huge fan of the great Alistair Down. I love a bit of writing myself. Too be honest I love everything "Horse Racing". I also enjoy Snooker and Rugby Union. Once I get the hang of this I can't wait to contribute! Justin. X. 🏇.

I like your 11st & under theory but will it be bottomless ground with 3 days of daytime temperatures of 13-17 degrees & with sunshine & a drying wind & only a slight chance of showers ? 
I'll also be following your 11st & under as well as 7-9 year olds & novices , good luck anyway 👍

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

I like your 11st & under theory but will it be bottomless ground with 3 days of daytime temperatures of 13-17 degrees & with sunshine & a drying wind & only a slight chance of showers ? 
I'll also be following your 11st & under as well as 7-9 year olds & novices , good luck anyway 👍

I've been pondering and discussing this race with my friends all week and we really think it's folly to choose a horse over 11st ...really on bottomless ground youll need the lower the better .....so I'm ripping the rating up and I'm going to set the rating limits to lower weights(under 11st but lower the better) with decent class ratings and good long distance form on heavy ground .....I think after re rating the race later that will give us the best chance of realistically finding the winner because the conditions for this national require some common sense filters 🤔....results later ....plus I need to make a donation to my holiday fund so I don't want a no chance  donkey running for me Saturday 🤣

2.55 Ahoy Senor 14/1 ( 3 places )
3.30 Luccia 9/1 ( 3 places ) 
4.05 Gaboriot 10/1 ( 5 places ) 
4.40 Whiskeywealth 6/1 ( 4 places ) 
10p eway lucky 15 bet365 with b.o.g.& extra places .

He's started on the beer & pregabalin earlier than usual 😆

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

Morning Mr Mclarke, I think you have repeated yesterday's results.

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

Hmmm , I loathe multis but did well at Cheltenham so i may do a fun 10p each way jobbie starting from tomorrow .

No rules as such but...
One lucky15 per day settled to 20p (either 20p win or 10p ew).
Cash out if you want Lee but for the comp your Original 4 will count.
Preferably bets would be real and not just paper picks.
Kudos and a big swede will be the only prize.
Wind ups allowed. Sensitive sorts need not apply.
Although there are no rules please abide by them. Good Luck everyone lets have a bit of fun.
Don't forget to do the Daily Aintree competition for real money run by @MCLARKE

I'm already on pregabalin which when mixed with beer gives a decent high !

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

1.45 Ginny's Destiny 
2.20 Sir Gino 
2.55 Ahoy Senor 
3.30 Marie's Rock 
4.05 Gaborist 
4.40 Sans Bruit 
5.15 Honky Tonk Highway 
Good luck to all , get those pro plus out the medicine cabinet @MCLARKE .

2.40 Wolves - ENCHANTING EMPRESS 7/1 eway bet365 ( 2 ) 1st , won well going away at the finish & looks like she'll be better over 6f . 👍
£62k purchase out of 1st season sire SERGEI PROKOFIEV whose progeny are tipped to go well this year albeit this one has drifted like a barge .
3 out of 3 for his progeny so far 2 of those for on the up Amo Racing .

2.40 Wolves - ENCHANTING EMPRESS 7/1 eway bet365 ( 2 ) 1st , won well going away at the finish & looks like she'll be better over 6f . 👍
£62k purchase out of 1st season sire SERGEI PROKOFIEV whose progeny are tipped to go well this year albeit this one has drifted like a barge .
3 out of 3 for his progeny so far 2 of those for on the up Amo Racing .

Aintree 1.45 Five line up for this Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase run over 2M 4F with the first and second from the Turners Novices’ Chase at Cheltenham back to renew rivalry. Dan Skelton’s Grey Dawning out stayed Paul Nicholls’s Ginny’s Destiny to the tune of 2L at the line and can confirm that form although it may be close between the pair. Willie Mullins saddles his Arkle third Il Etait Temps who is stepping up in trip today. It’s hard to fancy either Blow Your Wad and Colonel Harry who are safely held by Ginny’s Destiny so the selection here is Skelton’s exciting grey Grey Dawning who can confirm Cheltenham form and start the meeting off well for the Skelton camp who are keen to keep ahead of his old boss Paul NIcholls and Willie Mullins in the jumps trainers championship.   GREY DAWNING 2 points win @ Evens bet365   Aintree 2.20 Just six have declared for the Grade 1 2M 1F Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle including Nicky Henderson’s highly promising Sir Gino. Obviously we don’t know for certain what sort of form the stable are in as they’ve only had a handful of runners since Cheltenham and none of them where of much interest. If the stable was in top form Sir Gino would be a very strong fancy and he’s still has to be the pick here although it would of been nice to know for sure what form the Seven Barrows team are in. Willie Mullins saddles Kargese who was runner up in the Triumph Hurdle whilst Paul Nicholls runs his exciting unbeaten ex French gelding Kalif Du Berlais. He looks a proper horse having impressed twice at Kempton and may be the one to chase Sir Gino home.   SIR GINO 2 points win @ 10/11 Coral   Aintree 2.55 The 3m 1F Grade 1 Aintree Bowl Chase has attracted a field of seven. Cheltenham Gold Cup runner up Gerri Colombe is the form horse as he had Bravemansgame (5th) and Gentlemansgame (pulled up) behind that day and looks sure to run well at a track that he won at last season as a novice and may have most to fear from Nicky Henderson’s Shishkin. A good run from Sir Gino in the previous race would obviously be a major boost for him and likewise a poor run would see Shishkin’s odds lengthen. He won this last year from the re-appearing Ahoy Senor, who doesn’t look the same horse this year, and on his best form he’s a big player here. Corbetts Cross impressed at Cheltenham but this will be much tougher and the selection is Gordon Elliott’s Gerri Colombe who brings the best recent form to the table.   GERRI COLOMBE 1 point win @ 13/8 William Hill   Aintree 3.30 The Grade 1 2M 4F William Hill Aintree Hurdle sees eight runners line up with the top two rated both coming from Ireland. Henry De Bromhead’s Bob Olinger who’s looked back to his best this season, winning Grade 2 contests over 2M 4F at Navan and Cheltenham prior to a creditable 5 1/2L second in the Irish Champion Hurdle to State Man. He looks sure to run well but may struggle to fight off the Willie Mullins trained Impaire Et Passe who like Bob Olinger missed Cheltenham. A smart novice last season winning the Ballymore at Cheltenham and has placed behind Teahupoo and State Man this season. Today’s trip and ground look ideal and he can out stay Bob Olinger. Champion Hurdle third Luccia may have been flattered last time whilst Coral Cup winner Langer Dan has plenty more on his plate here.   IMPAIRE ET PASSE 1 point win @ 15/8 bet365   Aintree 4.05 A bumper field of twenty two will line up for the first race of the meeting over the Grand National fences the Randox Foxhunters’ Open Hunters’ Chase over 2M 5F. Cheltenham Foxhunters runner up Its On The Line will love the testing ground but didn’t really travel that well at Cheltenham and they may go a bit faster here so I’ll pass over him. Ante post gamble Spyglass Hill looks too short now despite winning one of the bigger hunter chases of the early part of the season at Haydock in the Walrus Hunters Chase. Hannah Roach’s Time Leader ran a blinder at 50-1 at Cheltenham finishing 5 1/2L behind Its On The Line and is also a player with the drop in trip a positive but the value may well be last years runner up Bennys King who’s looked in great form this season including when bolting up at Leicester last time when making all under today’s jockey Sean O’Connor for trainer Dan Skelton on ground that he’ll love.   BENNYS KING 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345   Aintree 4.40 Fifteen face the starter for the 2M Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase and has a very competitive look about it. The Grand Annual winner from Cheltenham, Unexpected Party, trained by Dan Skelton re-appears off of a 8lb higher mark with the third Path D’Oroux, sixth Saint Roi and eighth Triple Trade all taking him on again. One horse who catches my eye towards the bottom of the field is the Paul Nicholls trained Sans Bruit, an ex French performer who has plenty of smart form on heavy ground so should love the conditions. He’s had just the three runs for Nicholls, twice down the field in competitive handicap hurdles and a fine 3/4L second at Chepstow to an improver in Prince Quali. He’s 2lb out of the handicap here but as he actually goes up 3lb for that latest run in future handicaps is a pound well in here and has the assistance of Bryony Frost (presuming that Harry Cobden can’t do the weight of 10-2). In a wide open race the six year old mudlark could be the value play each way with additional places.   SANS BRUIT 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234 Coral   Aintree 5.15 The final race on day one of the Grand National meeting is the 2M 1F Goffs Nickel Coin Mares’ National Hunt Flat Race with several promising mares here. Willie Mullins saddles Baby Kate who’s not been seen since November when winning a listed bumper at Cheltenham and has to be on the short list. Dan Skelton will be desperate to secure more prize money at the meeting as he attempts to keep clear of the chasing Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins and saddles Honky Tonk Highway who’s unbeaten in a 3M maiden point to point and a listed bumper at Sandown when making his rules debut which takes some doing. There are many other potentially nice mares in the race but it’s the Skelton’s Honky Tonk Highway the one for me.   HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234  

Well here's the thing, these days there is so little between the bookies that it doesn't really matter in my view. I just use bet365 because i cant be arsed scrolling through loads of shite for the sake of the odd point. For what its worth my opinion is Hovland at 33/1 is a big price. Mcllroy at 10/1 is a shocking price. if Hovland cocks up in the first or second round go in again to small stakes at the huge price he will become, this bugger can put 9 birdies together at random times as he did on a good few occasions last year.

5.45 Thirsk - MISTER SOX 11/2 eway bet365 ( 5 places )  👎 race won won Highfield Viking the half brother of Highfield Princess who died recently so a bit of good news for the owners .
Out of Pivotal so should love the testing conditions as all best runs have came on soft & heavy , a 164 day break is a worry hence the each way .