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Everything posted by AgaRadwanska

  1. oh look, it’s the same abusive, ignorant, small minded nonsense, different tournament. I stopped posting my thoughts on here because of the attacks at Sabalenka for being “fat”, the non-stop “Barty is overrated”, “Barty can’t serve” bs, and the abuse hurled at players because they lost a match YOU lost money betting on. grow up, grow a brain. sick of seeing this crap. (GL to Czech and the intelligent people that post regularly on here x)
  2. It's tough. We look at their H2Hs, and recent performances stick in our minds (KP's 6-0 6-0 double-bagel defeat at Rome for one). I did also think Sabalenka would win this one, albeit in a closer match. Sabalenka served well for most of the match and did actually save 8/10 BPs, but otherwise looked stuck for answers vs. Pliskova's serve. She just couldn't return the ball. KP was calmness personified, and didn't make costly errors. It could and perhaps should have been 2-0 Pliskova though, which the number of chances to break that she had. Sabalenka created just one break point across the 3 sets! The problem with comparing the ''Legends'' of women's tennis to today's top 10 crop is that you're thinking of them in their absolute prime, vs. current players who aren't necessarily in their prime right now. Coco Gauff has a very, very high ceiling, as does Iga Swiatek. They're 17 and 20 respectively. Barty is an incredible player and is only 25. Osaka (23) and Halep are great players, but are not currently at their best for obvious reasons. imo today the overall skill level is a lot more evened out across the top 20-30 players than 15+ years ago, meaning that we do tend to see a lot of different players running deep in Grand Slams/winning silverware. There's no one player in the women's game who's absolutely crushing and winning 3-4 grand slams each year like Serena, Venus, Graff, Seles, Martina etc once did. Maybe in a few years someone will emerge and be that crusher, but who knows.
  3. some (all) of your takes are genuinely horrific. she's the world number one for a reason. Luck didn't get her there. Graft did, and is why she'll be a multiple GS winner before long. I suppose she got lucky today too?
  4. ''Serve not particularly good?'' Who are you even comparing her too, Berrettini? Sampras? Serena? 8 aces today (to Kerber's zero) and a 1st points won of 88%. I watched both matches live (at center court) today. Ash deservedly won, by playing an outstanding all-round game. Kerber played well also btw, but Barty was just too good for too much of the match. Kerber had to work sooo hard to win points off Ash. Sabalenka on the other hand... has a very big serve, as you mentioned. That's kind of it though. She can't control a rally. She doesn't move well, and today she got massively outplayed, and didn't have an answer. Why? Because her game is built around keeping points as short as possible. When a point goes over 3 shots she can't really compete because she either over-hits, or the ball gets smashed into the net. it's fair to also say, this is as good as I've ever seen Karolina Pliskova play.
  5. Isn't Linette quite prone to losing matches from winning positions? Cirstea, Jabeur, Kvitova all spring to mind in past couple of months. Anyway lets all sit back and enjoy the tennis, as Viktorija Golubic somehow wins Wimbledon.
  6. ah, yes, a similar level of player; British #10, completely green, and an accomplished Czech multiple grand slam winner. Was it the win over Cirstea or the win over Voudrosova that made her a title contender?
  7. Isner isn't very good at tennis. He is however very good at hitting a ball very hard from serve. Nishioka outplayed him for most of the match, and fully deserved to win. Seems like a cool guy also.
  8. I've taken Badosa and Samsonova at very long odds.
  9. I have and he wasn't great in the grass warm up tourneys. He servebots sets but so many errors, vs. obscure opponents.
  10. Thanks, yeah wasn't aware of that. Odds make sense. Swerve!
  11. Side note: does anyone see value in backing Fritz (2.62) vs. Nakashima? Fritz hasn't played any of the grass warm-up tournaments. Nakashima has, but is still super young, and this is his first Wimbledon main draw, and he's mostly a hard court guy.
  12. Mikael Ymer to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 1.95 with William Hill Someone posted a little while ago how bad Tsonga has been since returning from injury, and in particular against Gerasimov (his only grass match since 2019). Ymer has played at a decent level recently, defeating Monfils and Carballes Baena at the French Open - before losing 3-0 to Sinner. Ymer will have a big fitness edge, and the confidence that comes from actually winning matches. Tsonga on the other hand has won 1 match since the end of 2019. In 2021 his win:loss is 1:6. He has won a total of 3/17 sets played.
  13. somewhat surprising that no-one nailed the Krejcikova vs. Pavlyuchenkova final pre-tournament really.
  14. 🦁 feel for Sakkari aka the lioness aka sakarakki. what a chance for her this was 😕
  15. p.s woah, Djokovic rage. any Serbian translators in the building?
  16. ''Where are they?'' ''Where is Barty?'' She pulled out with an injury, again. Fully fit Barty would likely still be involved. ''Where is Halep?'' She didn't attend due to an injury. ''Where is Ostapenko?'' Probably playing doubles and pulling funny faces somewhere, with Mattek-Sands? ''Where is Stephens?'' 🤷‍♂️ Sloane has been dreadful for a few years. Krejickova is better than her at the tennis. ''Where are tens of others?'' Preparing for Wimbledon? Retired? Too old? Clay isn't for them? ''Anyone can beat anyone'' - yes, because WTA is not best of 5 sets. 😎
  17. Kind of agree that Sakkari* will probably make it past Krej, if (big if) she continues to play at this level. She isn't always this good, and Krejickova's mental game seems a lot stronger. Krejickova did have some issues serving today - I think 8 DFs - which is unusual for her. Nerves will play a part for both, as this is uncharted territory for them.
  18. The only decent player Sakkari has come past so far is Elise Mertens. Kenin was utterly woeful. Yes this is a huge opportunity for her - as in, she may not come up against a weaker field than this deep in a grand slam, but I just can't envision her coming past Swiatek. If she does, somehow, then maybe it could be her year. Great potential for sure. As I said pre-tournament, my dark horse is Paula Badosa. I think she has the game to defeat Iga on her day, and her route to the final seems very possible. you only need to watch her 2-0 win vs. Barty in Charleston to see how good she can be. Pavs also very impressive to come from a set down to defeat Vika and Sabalenka - although Sabalenka did kind of defeat herself a bit. Her match vs. Rybakina will be a fun one.
  19. anyone noticed how this years women's RG is going down a very similar route to last years? Swiatek cruising, Kenin running deep, Badosa surprising people, most of the bigger names and early favorites either out or have withdrawn. Predicting a last 4 of Gauff vs. Swiatek and Badosa vs. Pavlyuchenckova Huge opportunity for the likes of Gauff, Jabeur, Sakkari, Rybakina etc to grab a first GS title.
  20. Are you basing this off of one match? Badosa should very much be favorite here.
  21. What do we think of Cillic's chances against Federer? 3.40 on most sites. 1.44 to win a set. This is only Roger's 3rd match on clay this year.
  22. I'd argue that Ash Barty is slowly becoming the dominant player in women's tennis - you may have noticed her making making every final this year? It's not luck. Because a player is 50-1 or 500-1 does not make them automatic ''value'' at RG. There's a reason Donna Vekic or Jo Konta are 600-1 or whatever, and that reason is that they just aren't going to win a grand slam. It would be like North Macedonia (780.0s) winning Euro 2020. The players you've quoted - I mean, have you actually seen them play recently? Finding value isn't as easy as ''well she's a big price, and 'Penko did win this that one time!'' I agree Swiatek odds seem short, but those odds based on how good her performances have been recently coupled with her dominance of RG less than a year ago. I do not think she's over-hyped at all. It takes a LOT for someone to get past Barty, Swiatek or a fired up Sabalenka nowadays. most players are drawing dead or close to, and most of the 'big names' are in horrible form (Karolina Pliskova, Serena, Osaka, Kenin). I honestly don't know where the value lies is in terms of the long odds this year. I would have said Halep, but she's pulled out. I would suggest Kvitova at 32.0 or Badosa at 40.0 (based on their draws) as dark horses.
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