Villa Chris

1.50 Newbury 
Southfield Harvest 4/1
Vive Le Roi 25/1 ew 
3.35 Newbury 
Buzz 10/1 ew
Shakem Up Arry 18/1 ew
Night Edition 25/1 ew

Everglow NR so VIVE LE ROI 28/1 instead

Hopefully we can all profit in some way. 

Well we usually go to shit when he’s out, but at least we’ve got off to a decent start so relegation is out of the question. Be a shame though, because we’ve got an outside chance of grabbing 6th if we can carry on way we are. Like him or hate him, the lad is a natural . Pure class. Surprised we’ve managed to keep hold of him , but I think the price tag put a few off. Bet they wished they would have paid it now, mind. My first game was in 1989, and the 90s was great, too. Unfortunately the game is unwatchable for me now. 
 

Still available at 28's with bet365 5places 1/4 odds.
I think there is some cracking e/w value  to be had in these 2 big handicaps at Newbury today some bookies paying 7places and for me i'm not interested in anything at a single figure price indeed  can't force myself to back Milkwood at 12's i do like it but would want 16's at least and 6or7 places to invest in it.
These 2 races are good testers for you guys  ratings.
On a football note Chris i see there are rumours Grealish is injured  probably slipped and fell on  the grease from his hair! 

Night Addition 18/1 now. He’s ran well in competitive races before and may have needed his last run.  Whoever gets the winner in this fair play to them. Worth pointing out that Buzz is actually a pound better off today for his superb run behind Not So Sleepy lto, so with his class you’d expect him to go very close. 

1.50 Newbury (16 runners)
Southfield Harvest 7.75, 4/1(9/1) no value 3rd 
Vive Le Roi 7.4, 25/1(10/1) value 6th
Dell Arca 7.25, 18/1(10/1) value 
Sirobbie 6.25, 14/1(11/1) value 
Tricky race where a few younger horses could quite easily run well upped in distance. Top rated looks a strong bet but skinny odds. Dell Arca looks a touch high on his mark and isn’t getting any younger. I think Vive still has the ability to win off 130 and looks a cracking ew play. 
 
 

150 newb sunday
Dell arca  8.8  420 8/1 28/1 excellent value 
Southfield harvest 7.7 380 10/1 4/1 poor value 
Everglow   7.5 400 12/1 16/1 value 
Polish   7.4 404 13/1 25/1 excellent value 
Limited reserve  7.2 380 13/1 25/1 excellent value 
Dunno what the hell has gone on here ......huge prices on offer on dell arca ....polish and everglow .....I'll try ew on all 3 ......if dell arca wins now I'll run for the hills lol 

Top rated wins, with others 2nd and 3rd and 5th.

Royal advice wins 4.73 For some small profit (3 picks) after all.
 
730 combo forecast lol. 
Won fashion advice 8.0 , with rockley 2nd and pearl 3rd ( pearl was marginal just cover)

Trends.
31 horses won last time out but none of these won. This reduces the field to 15.
73 horses ran more than 6 weeks ago and only 1 won. This reduces the field to 3.
FRIEND OR FOE (50/1), LIGHTLY SQUEEZE (40/1) and BALLINSKER (66/1).
54 horses have been 7 or older and all have lost. This removes Lightly Squeeze.
Friend or Foe ran today so may not run tomorrow which leaves BALLINSKER.
66/1 but last years winner had a BSP of 110 !
 

Shakem Up Arry 8.5, 16/1(17/1) Not far off 
Buzz 8.2, 10/1(18/1) no value 
Milkwood 7.5, 12/1(20/1) no value 
Mister Coffey 7.5, 17/2(20/1) no value 
For Pleasure 7.5, 18/1(20/1) no value 
Night Edition 7.45, 28/1(20/1) value 
Soaring Glory 7.2, 6/1(21/1) no value 
 
Top rated looks a good bet. Buzz seems a very classy horse. Night Edition looks a good bet . I’ll play all 3 ew .

Shakem Up Arry 8.5, 16/1(17/1) Not far off 
Buzz 8.2, 10/1(18/1) no value 
Milkwood 7.5, 12/1(20/1) no value 
Mister Coffey 7.5, 17/2(20/1) no value 
For Pleasure 7.5, 18/1(20/1) no value 
Night Edition 7.45, 28/1(20/1) value 
Soaring Glory 7.2, 6/1(21/1) no value 
 
Top rated looks a good bet. Buzz seems a very classy horse. Night Edition looks a good bet . I’ll play all 3 ew .

Bet fair Hurdle Newbury 3.35
Shakem Up Arry 8.5, 16/1(17/1) Not far off 8th
Buzz 8.2, 10/1(18/1) no value 5th
Milkwood 7.5, 12/1(20/1) no value 11th
Mister Coffey 7.5, 17/2(20/1) no value 7th
For Pleasure 7.5, 18/1(20/1) no value 14th
Night Edition 7.45, 28/1(20/1) value 15th
Soaring Glory 7.2, 6/1(21/1) no value won 
 
Top rated looks a good bet. Buzz seems a very classy horse. Night Edition looks a good bet . I’ll play all 3 ew .

1.50 Newbury (16 runners)
Southfield Harvest 7.75, 4/1(9/1) no value 3rd 
Vive Le Roi 7.4, 25/1(10/1) value 6th
Dell Arca 7.25, 18/1(10/1) value 
Sirobbie 6.25, 14/1(11/1) value 
Tricky race where a few younger horses could quite easily run well upped in distance. Top rated looks a strong bet but skinny odds. Dell Arca looks a touch high on his mark and isn’t getting any younger. I think Vive still has the ability to win off 130 and looks a cracking ew play. 
 
 

Captain Chaos wins.....just 

Captain Chaos wins.....just 

Can see Lord Du Mensil running a big race today from the front. Nice mark, everything to suit. Tough race to predict. Some good stayers racing.

Regal encore 2nd ...cobo 5th 

First win of the day after few nasty 2nds. Donny marlow. May post more up later for newcastle aw just doing my ratings and watching the videos etc

Nice one ..well rated 

yeah did very well to hold on. Great call on Captain Chaos Chris?

2.25 ASCOT-SUB LIEUTENANT 28/1
2.40 HAY- LORD DU MESNIL 17/2
3.00 ASCOT-KEPPAGE 10/1 & LA MI SERGE 25/1
3,50 HAY-LOOK MY WAY 15/2
3,,58  Win- HOGAN HIEGHT 66/1  & KANSAS CITY CHIEF 12/1
All e/w   lower prices more places available on some of them.

Ascot 2.25 
Captain Chaos 8.3, 7/1(9/1) no value 
Cobolobo 8.2, 6/1(9/1) no value 
Yalltari 7.7, 9/1(10/1) about right 
Not a lot of value in this at the top end of the ratings . Like the look of Notachance so will play him . 
 
Notachance 10 points win 11/2 providing he runs here and not Haydock . If so then I’ll play Captain Chaos e/w at 7/1, paying 4 places .

Ascot 2.25 
Captain Chaos 8.3, 7/1(9/1) no value 
Cobolobo 8.2, 6/1(9/1) no value 
Yalltari 7.7, 9/1(10/1) about right 
Not a lot of value in this at the top end of the ratings . Like the look of Notachance so will play him . 
 
Notachance 10 points win 11/2 providing he runs here and not Haydock . If so then I’ll play Captain Chaos e/w at 7/1, paying 4 places .

2.25 Ascot, Captain Chaos 8/1 ew
3.00 Ascot , Dans Le Vent 7/1 ew, Good Man Pat 12/1 ew 
2.40 Haydock , Notachance 4/1, The Two Amigos 6/1