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AussieDex

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Posts posted by AussieDex

  1. @StevieDay1983 that match is postponed over toxic pollution. I was looking forward to watch it and put a few coins on Real Sociedad to win. Instead, I'll go with a combination bet in Sevilla vs Espanyol game: over 4 cards in the game and Sevilla to win gives 2.55 total odds with Bet365. Both teams play pretty agressive, sometimes with 7+ cards given per game.

    For less stress there is another combo, over 3 cards + Sevilla to win @@ 2.05 with Bet365

  2. 1 hour ago, Charon84 said:

    Can't make up my mind. For sure I forfeit the Southampton +XXAH bets. Liverpool too strong, Southampton odds too low.

    And doubting about the Over also. My mind is going the other way now. Liverpool controls matches. And can Ings, one player, make the difference in this match against Gomez, Van Dijk and Alisson? Maybe the Under 3.00 and 3.25 and 3.5 is a better bet.

    Perhaps under 4 goals and Liverpool to win @@ 2.10 looks safer

  3. 8 hours ago, Charon84 said:

    Odds on Tottenham - Liverpool for Under 3.00 are 1.90 at my bookie. I think it's a good bet:

    1. Tottenham has many injuries and one of them is Kane (11 goals). Also, but far less important, Ndombele and Sissoko are out (both 2 goals). Liverpool also has some less important missings, but still they are missings;
    2. Liverpool hasn't allowed a goal in 9 out of 10 recent matches;
    3. I expect Mourinho to use a (very) defensive approach against Liverpool (as he normally does against stronger opponents, but surely if a key-striker is missing);
    4. If Tottenham takes the lead I expect a even more defensive approach. If Liverpool takes the lead maybe they will take the foot of the gaspedal, because next week Manchester United awaits.

    All-in-all I don't see many goals coming in. Why not Under 2.50? Well the possibility margin isn't huge as 1-2 / 0-3 (and even 1-3 [I think a Tottenham win is out of the question]) are also possible outcomes under these circumstances. I don't want to take that risk either and 1.90 is absolutely good enough for me.

    Agree!  btw Bet365 pays 2.30 under 3.00 and 2.50 under 3.5

    Other than that, Brighton can beat Everton (4.10 Bet365) but I'll play safe -- AH +0.75 @@ 2.30 Bet365

    Crystal Palace vs Arsenal, +2.5 under @@ 2.10 Bet365

  4. I'll combine a few singles and doubles

    Lyon vs RB Leipzig, Leipzig to win and BTTS @ 4.33 with Bet365, Over 2.5 and BTTS @ 1.8 with bet365

    Inter Milan vs Barcelona, 2:1 correct score @ 8.5 with Bet365, BTTS @1.66 with Bet365

    RB Salzburg vs Liverpool, over 3 goals + either team to win match by 1 goal @ 9 with Bet365, over 2.5 and BTTS @ 2.1 with Bet365

    Benfica vs Zenit, over 2.5 and BTTS @ 2 with Bet365, Zenit to win and BTTS @ 6 with Bet365

     

    btw bet365's dropping Leipzig's odds since this morning, started with 2.75 down to 2.62 now

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