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Posts posted by ProfessorMJ

  1. NHL Picks for Wednesday December 4

    Ouch. Tough day last night, as almost half of our yearly profit disappeared.

    That's ok. Gotta learn to cope with losing streaks when doing sports investments.


    • Bets won = 42
    • Bets lost = 45
    • Profit = +$6.35 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's system picks are:

    • 2 STARS = Senators (at +190 or 2.90) at Oilers
    • 2 STARS = Kings (at +121 or 2.21) vs Capitals

    The Los Angeles pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting angle:

    "Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."

    This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.

    Now, the Caps have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them.

    Professor MJ

  2. NHL Picks for Tuesday December 3


    • Bets won = 40
    • Bets lost = 38
    • Profit = +$11.12 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's system picks are (what??? 9 system picks out of 10 games, I've never seen that before!):

    • 5 STARS = Stars (at -109 or 1.92) at Jets
    • 4 STARS = Hurricanes (at +135 or 2.35) at Bruins
    • 4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at -114 or 1.88) at Flyers
    • 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +119 or 2.19) at Blue Jackets
    • 3 STARS = Lightning (at +104 or 2.04) at Predators
    • 2 STARS = Senators (at +145 or 2.45) at Canucks
    • 2 STARS = Sharks (at +107 or 2.07) vs Capitals
    • 1 STAR = Islanders (at +111 or 2.11) at Canadiens
    • 1 STAR = Devils (at +125 or 2.25) vs Golden Knights

    The Dallas pick is based on the following three betting systems: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Snapped Winning Streak". The latter goes like this:

    "Bet against a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if your team's money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."

    This betting strategy used over a nine-year period led to gains of $87.34 through 1045 bets.

    In this case, the Jets just got their three-game winning streak snapped, so we are fading them tonight.

    Professor MJ

  3. NHL Picks for Monday December 2


    • Bets won = 39
    • Bets lost = 37
    • Profit = +$11.36 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's system picks are:

    • 2 STARS = Golden Knights (at -132 or 1.76) at Rangers
    • 1 STAR = RedWings (at +177 or 2.77) vs Islanders

    The Detroit pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

    "Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."

    Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.

    The Wings have allowed 5 and 6 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight.

    It also fits my contrarian approach; they won't be a sexy pick considering they have lost their past nine games.

    Professor MJ

  4. Monday Night Football (Week #13)

    Written Tuesday November 28th, 2019 at 1 pm Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed)

    PICK: Minnesota Vikings +3 at Seattle Seahawks (rated 3 stars)

    After an ordinary 2-2 start, the Vikings have gone 6-1 since then. Their only loss during that seven-game stretch was a 26-23 defeat at the Chiefs, on a 44-yard field goal by Harrison Butker as time expired.

    If you have been following my work for a while, you know I value the “rest” and “revenge” factors in the NFL. In this case, both point in Minnesota’s direction.

    Indeed, the Vikings are coming off their bye week, which is a huge bonus prior to such a key game. Also, Mike Zimmer’s squad will be looking to avenge a 21-7 loss in Week #14 last year. Don’t be misled by the final score, though; the Seahawks were only up 6-0 with three minutes left in the game!

    There’s no denying Seattle is a good team; they still hold a 9-2 record! But they haven’t been crushing their opponents, as shown by the fact that 8 of their 9 wins were by one possession (i.e. 8 points or less). As a matter of fact, they have won four games by a margin of just 1-2 point(s), and they came on top on a couple of overtime games.

    Minnesota has a point differential of +84 versus +29 for Seattle. However, I’m a bit worried by Seattle having won the past five meetings with the Vikings.

    Still, I expect a hard-fought game and I believe the Seahawks have much less than a 50% chance of beating the Vikings by 4 points or more.

    Enjoy this great matchup!

    Professor MJ

  5. Week #13 (Sunday Games)

    Written Tuesday November 28th, 2019 at 11 am Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed)

    PICK #1: Los Angeles Chargers -3 at Denver Broncos (rated 4 stars)

    The Chargers have had plenty of time to reflect on their last two games, both losses to divisional rivals. Their bye week allowed them to game plan appropriately against the Broncos.

    L.A. won’t take Denver lightly, considering they were upset at home 20-to-13 in Week #5. They’ll be looking for payback, while the Broncos may not play as hard after a stinker in Buffalo.

    At the time of writing, Denver’s starting quarterback has yet to be decided. GM John Elway said Brandon Allen and Drew Lock will split the practice reps this week. A decision is expected to be made by Friday. No matter which one plays, he’ll face a tough task against strong pass rushers like Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram.

    Saftey Derwin James has a real shot to be in the lineup for the Chargers. That would be a huge boost to their defense since James was graded as the seventh-best safety in the league by ProFootballFocus.

    In my own opinion, the Chargers are a MUCH better team than their 4-7 record indicates. They have a lot more playmakers on both sides of the ball than the Broncos.

    Please note that the Chargers are 6-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven road games against teams with a losing record. Sounds good to me!

    PICK: Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 vs New York Jets (rated 2 stars)

    The Jets are all happy about their recent 3-game winning streak, in which Sam Darnold has thrown 7 TD passes versus just one interception. Facing the Bengals should be easy, right?

    I don’t think so. Cincinnati is looking for their first win of the season. They certainly want to give their head coach his first career NFL win. Andy Dalton will be back under center, which gives them a much better chance of winning since the Ryan Finley experiment failed.

    The Bengals will be at home for the fourth week out of the past five. In other words, they did not have to travel too much recently so they should be ready to roll.

    PICK: Indianapolis Colts -2.5 vs Tennessee Titans (rated 1 star)

    The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings with AFC South teams. They are 7-1 ATS when facing the Titans at home over their past eight meetings in Indy. Those are pretty stunning numbers!

    Indianapolis played last Thursday, so they’ll be well-rested.

    Ryan Tannehill has done a nice job since taking over the QB position for Tennessee. However, look at the road/home split: he has thrown 9 TD passes versus 1 interception at home, compared to 1 TD and 3 picks on the road. Facing a tough Colts defense on the road does not bode well for him!

    Sure, Marlon Mack is out for the Colts. I don’t want to imply that he is not a good player, but in my opinion most of the job is getting done through the strong play of their offensive line. Jonathan Williams and Nyheim Hines did very well replacing him last week, as the running game did not skip a beat in his absence.

    I hope you enjoyed this write up, and best of luck with your plays!

    Professor MJ

  6. NHL Picks for Thursday November 28

    3-2 last night despite picking 5 underdogs, so a good money making day (+1.80 units)!

    Both losses by a one-goal margin, so we had a legitimate shot at a perfect 5-0 record.


    • Bets won = 36
    • Bets lost = 34
    • Profit = +$10.97 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Just one game in the NHL today. My 10 betting systems recommend staying away from that game.

    I still wanted to wish a great Thanksgiving day to my American friends! Enjoy your day with your loved ones!

    Professor MJ

  7. NFL Games on Thanksgiving (Week #13)

    Written Tuesday November 26th, 2019 at 4 pm Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed)

    PICK: Buffalo Bills +6.5 at Dallas Cowboys (rated 3 stars)

    Both teams have had a similar path thus far this season, with the exception of Dallas running into more bumps. Indeed, Buffalo and Dallas have yet to beat a single winning opponent; the lone exception is the Bills getting the W against the 6-5 Tennessee Titans.

    However, Dallas is going to face A LOT more pressure in this game. Owner Jerry Jones spoke at length about his dissatisfaction with the team’s performance. I’m pretty sure head coach Jason Garrett is feeling the heat. Under such circumstances, playing at home may not be ideal. If things don’t go as plan, the boo birds will be quick to show up.

    The point spread is simply too big, in my opinion. It won’t be an easy game for the Cowboys. Buffalo’s defense seems to be back to its early season form.

    I expect a low-scoring game that will be decided in the final minutes of the game. I don’t know which team is going to win, but I certainly like the Bills to cover the 6.5 point spread. Buffalo definitely has a shot to win this game.

    PICK: Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions (rated 1 star)

    The revenge factor goes in favor of the Lions since they lost their Week #10 meeting with Chicago by a 20-to-13 score. But I’m still going to go with the Bears (even though they have burned me several times in 2019).

    The key thing is Jeff Driskel’s hamstring injury. Head coach Matt Patricia just said Driskel’s hamstring is pretty sore and he did not guarantee he’ll suit up this Thursday. If he cannot go, that would be a disaster for the Lions. They would need to turn to David Blough, a guy that is far from looking like a potential NFL starter.

    Even if Driskel plays, a big part of his game is his mobility. Being hurt will limit his ability to escape from Khalil Mack and his friends. Sounds like a disaster waiting to happen for Detroit. Driskel has only played three games this season, and the Bears were one of those opponents. They got a chance to play him, so they already have some knowledge about the way he plays.

    The Bears not only won the past three meetings with the Lions, but they also beat the spread in each of those games.

    I’m taking Da Bears to win big.

    Happy Thanksgiving to my American friends!

    Professor MJ

  8. NHL Picks for Wednesday November 27


    • Bets won = 33
    • Bets lost = 32
    • Profit = +$9.17 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are:

    • 5 STARS = Blues (at +138 or 2.38) at Lightning
    • 2 STARS = Panthers (at +138 or 2.38) at Capitals
    • 2 STARS = Golden Knights (at +117 or 2.17) at Predators
    • 2 STARS = Jets (at +125 or 2.25) at Sharks
    • 1 STAR = Ducks (at +127 or 2.27) at Coyotes

    The Blues pick is based on three betting systems at a time, including "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup", which goes like this:

    "Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight LOSSES when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight WINS. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 in decimal format."

    Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 42.69 units via 428 bets.

    In this case, St. Louis is undergoing a two-game losing skid, while Tampa is riding a three-game winning streak. Since the odds on the Blues are indeed larger than 2.25, we are betting them tonight!

    Have a nice day all!

    Professor MJ

  9. NHL Picks for Tuesday November 26


    • Bets won = 32
    • Bets lost = 32
    • Profit = +$8.29 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Just one system play today:

    • 1 STAR = Bruins (at -114 or 1.88) at Canadiens

    This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes like this:

    "Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against Team D whose money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format), bet Team D."

    The latter part allows us to avoid betting big favorites; past data suggest they are not good value bets under such circumstances.

    Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets.

    It is not one of my favorite betting angles for a few reasons, which is why such picks are rated just 1 star. This season thus far: +4.04 from 18 bets.

    Montreal was the victim of a fairly big upset in their last game; the Rangers beat them despite 2.98 odds. According to the criteria above, we are therefore betting against them tonight.


    Professor MJ

  10. NHL Picks for Monday November 25

    What's up hockey fans, I hope you had a nice weekend!

    Here are the plays recommended by my 10 betting systems for today.


    • Bets won = 31
    • Bets lost = 29
    • Profit = +$10.16 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are:

    • 5 STARS = Ducks (at +113 or 2.13) vs Islanders
    • 4 STARS = Golden Knights (at +112 or 2.12) at Stars
    • 3 STARS = Sabres (at +213 or 3.13) at Lightning
    • 3 STARS = Senators (at +143 or 2.43) at Blue Jackets

    The Anaheim pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria of three different betting angles.

    One of them is "The Cold Teams Matchup" strategy:

    "Bet a home underdog if it has lost at least 3 straight games and facing a team that has lost 1-2 game(s) in a row."

    This system led to 44.95-unit gains over a nine-year period (through 141 bets).

    Have a good Monday!

    Professor MJ


    Written Wednesday November 20th, 2019 at 2 pm Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed)

    PICK #1: Los Angeles Rams +3.5 vs Baltimore Ravens (rated 4 stars)

    Most sportsbooks have a 3-point spread, but MyBookie.ag offers an even more enticing line on the Rams at 3.5. I hesitated between rating this play 4 or 5 stars. Considering how unbelievably hot the Ravens have been of late, I opted to go with 4 stars.

    We all know how great Baltimore’s running game is. Good news for the Rams: their rush defense ranks second in the NFL in terms of yards allowed per rush and fifth in terms of rushing yards allowed per game. Overall, L.A.’s defense has been pretty stingy recently. Indeed, they have allowed just 12.8 points per game over their last five games.

    The most important source of concern about the Rams is their offensive line, which is in shambles after suffering many injuries. They held up fairly well last week against a solid Bears defense. The running game did okay and they did not allow a single sack.

    Speaking of injuries, wide receiver Brandin Cooks is expected to return to action, while Robert Woods is questionable for personal reasons.

    The Ravens will be traveling through three time zones for this game. This is also a non-conference road game and it might be hard to match last week’s level of intensity against the Texans.

    Sean McVay’s squad will be at home for a third time over the past four weeks.

    I am taking the Rams to either win this game, or to keep it close.

    PICK #2: Dallas Cowboys +6.5 at New England Patriots (rated 3 stars)

    My gut feeling tells me I should make the following bold call: the Cowboys are going to pull off the upset in New England this Sunday.

    Why am I only rating it three stars then? Because I am always worried when it comes to betting against the Patriots. Always.

    Based on each team’s rosters, I love this play. There is no doubt in my mind that the Cowboys can play with the Patriots. Dak Prescott has been playing at a very high level. Ezekiel Elliott has been more quiet in the last two games, but he rushed over 100 yards in the previous three.

    Meanwhile, New England keeps racking up the wins, but they have showed signs of weaknesses. Tom Brady has openly said he is frustrated with the way the offense is going. Dallas has an above-average defense, I seriously doubt they will get shredded by New England’s offense.

    Basically, all of the ingredients are there for a tight game and I can hardly see Dallas getting beaten up. I do feel an upset in the making.

    PICK #3: Detroit Lions -3.5 at Washington Redskins (rated 3 stars)

    How can I say this politely? The Redskins are bad. Very bad.

    Washington’s best performances this season were a 17-16 win over the Dolphins and a 5-point loss to the Eagles. Other than that, they lost all of their remaining eight games by at least 9 points! In this case, give me the Lions laying 3.5 points for sure!!!

    Sure, the Skins are at home for the third consecutive week. And this could be viewed as a sandwich game for the Lions, as they are coming off games against Chicago and Dallas, while awaiting meetings with Chicago and Minnesota.

    Still, I’m taking Detroit. I expect them to win easily.

    Quarterback Matthew Stafford is still out for the Lions, but that’s not a problem. Backup QB Jeff Driskel has done well throwing the ball so far, and his athleticism allows him to extend plays or make good runs.

    He has a good surrounding cast with Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola. Scoring 27 points against Dallas was a good output last week. The only problem was their defense who struggled to stop Prescott and company. No one is going to confuse Prescott with Dwayne Haskins, who is simply not good.

    The more I talk about this game, the more I like Detroit. Perhaps I should have rated it 4 stars? I’ll let you be the judge.

    PICK #4: Seattle Seahawks +1.5 at Philadelphia Eagles (rated 2 stars)

    The bye week gave plenty of time for Pete Carroll to come up with a sound plan against Philly. It also gave additional time for Seattle’s top target, Tyler Lockett, to heal his leg injury. He is good to go for Sunday. 

    Another key benefit was the extra time for newly acquired Josh Gordon to familiarize with his new offense. He picked up two big first downs in his first game with the Seahawks a couple of weeks ago against the Niners.

    I am a bit worried about the Eagles being at home for the fourth week in a row, though. Also, Seattle is a West Coast team that will need to play an early Sunday game on the East Coast.

    Alshon Jeffery was limited in practice Wednesday, but he should suit up for the game. However, right tackle Lane Johnson is less certain to play; that would be a big blow for Philadelphia because he’s the one who was supposed to face Clowney.

    The big gamblers seem to agree with me, as the average bet size on Seattle is $249 versus just $54 on Philly!

    In the end, in this key NFC matchup, I trust Russell Wilson more than Carson Wentz. Wilson is having a MVP year and he is simply hard to beat. Facing a suspect Eagles pass defense, I’ll go with the Seahawks.

    PICK #5: Cincinnati Bengals +7 vs Pittsburgh Steelers (rated 2 stars)

    The Bengals offense has not done well since they switched quarterbacks to see how Ryan Finley would do. They scored 13 points against the Ravens and just 10 in Oakland. Finley has completed less than 50% of his passes.

    At least, Joe Mixon did a nice job trying to give his QB some support. During those past two outings, he rushed 45 times for 200 yards (a nice 4.4 yards per rush average, which is awesome considering defenses are probably focusing on him).

    So why in the world should we pick Cincinnati? Well, I’m wondering if Pittsburgh’s offense is going to be any better than Cincinnati’s. They are severely banged up.

    Juju Smith-Schuster is a long shot to play, while their second-best wide receiver Diontae Johnson is also unlikely to play. He took a severe hit, and we could see some blood around his ear after the play. To make matters worse, running back James Conner is questionable.

    With a surrounding cast falling down, can Mason Rudolph be the savior? After watching his 4-interception performance last week, I doubt it.

    Sure, Pittsburgh gets three extra days of rest after playing last Thursday, but their meeting in Cleveland left many scars. It was a very physical game.

    I believe this game will be very low-scoring, in which case betting a seven-point underdog seems like the smartest move to do.


    Professor MJ

  12. NHL Picks for Thursday November 21

    Nice hit with the Rangers upsetting the top team in the league last night, yet another rewarding betting day!


    • Bets won = 29
    • Bets lost = 26
    • Profit = +$10.69 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are:

    • 5 STARS = Red Wings (at +151 or 2.51) at Blue Jackets
    • 4 STARS = Sabres (at +192 or 2.92) at Bruins
    • 4 STARS = Flyers (at +144 or 2.44) at Hurricanes
    • 4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +103 or 2.03) at Coyotes
    • 2 STARS = Flames (at +135 or 2.35) at Blues

    The Detroit pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria of three different betting angles: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team versus Hot Team matchup".

    Let's stay hot!

    Professor MJ

  13. NHL Picks for Wednesday November 20

    5 wins and 3 losses last night. Considering all 8 picks were on underdogs, we made a nice 3.15 unit profit.


    • Bets won = 28
    • Bets lost = 26
    • Profit = +$9.11 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Only one pick today (odds from Bookmaker):

    • 1 STAR = Rangers (at +158 or 2.58) vs Capitals

    The pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

    "Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."

    Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.

    The Rangers have allowed 4 and 9 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight at MSG.

    Good day!

    Professor MJ

  14. NHL Picks for Tuesday November 19

    For the second straight day, both picks lost.

    We knew a losing streak was bound to happen, eventually. Let's hope it does not last very long!


    • Bets won = 23
    • Bets lost = 23
    • Profit = +$5.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 5 STARS = Blues (at +106 or 2.06) vs Lightning
    • 2 STARS = Flyers (at +120 or 2.20) at Panthers
    • 2 STARS = Islanders (at +113 or 2.13) at Penguins
    • 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +107 or 2.07) vs Canadiens
    • 2 STARS = Canucks (at +130 or 2.30) at Stars
    • 2 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +131 or 2.31) at Golden Knights
    • 2 STARS = Oilers (at +123 or 2.23) at Sharks
    • 1 STAR = Jets (at +166 or 2.66) at Predators

    The Blues pick is based on three betting systems: "The Big Upset", "The Snapped Winning Streak" and "The Cold Teams Matchup".

    Here are the details of "The Big Upset" strategy:

    "Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 in decimal format (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C is its money line is greater than 1.667 in decimal format (i.e. -150 in American format, to avoid betting big favorites which did not prove to be profitable)."

    Tampa's last game was a 4-3 loss to Winnipeg, where the Jets' money line was 2.88. For this reason, we are going to bet AGAINST the Lightning tonight (since St. Louis is NOT a big favorite today).


    Professor MJ

  15. NHL Picks for Monday November 18

    Both picks lost yesterday (two underdogs), unfortunately. Still a good cushion in profit territory, let's rebound tonight!


    • Bets won = 23
    • Bets lost = 21
    • Profit = +$7.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 2 STARS = Kings (at +145 or 2.45) at Coyotes
    • 1 STAR = Ducks (at +194 or 2.94) at Capitals

    Good luck with your plays!

    Professor MJ

  16. NHL Picks for Sunday November 17

    The betting systems are still on fire, 4-1 over past two days with many underdogs hitting!


    • Bets won = 23
    • Bets lost = 19
    • Profit = +$9.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 2 STARS = Sabres (at +123 or 2.23) at Blackhawks
    • 2 STARS = Flames (at +136 or 2.36) at Golden Knights

    Good Sunday!

    Professor MJ

  17. NHL Picks for November 16

    I'm posting the Saturday picks in advance since I won't have time to do it then (we are Friday late afternoon at the time of writing).

    The system picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 4 STARS = Jets (at +188 or 2.88) at Lightning
    • 4 STARS = Flames (at -105 or 1.95) at Coyotes
    • 2 STARS = Hurricanes (at -116 or 1.86) at Wild

    The Friday night games might add more system plays for Saturday depending on how they play out, but as of now those are 3 picks that we are definitely taking (since the teams involved are not playing Friday night).

    Enjoy your weekend hockey fans!

    Professor MJ

  18. NHL Picks for November 15

    Dammit! Our unbelievable good streak ended last night.

    The Red Wings were just 2 minutes away from pulling off the upset in L.A., but the Kings tied the game late in the 3rd period before getting the W in overtime.

    Let's get back on our feet quickly!


    • Bets won = 19
    • Bets lost = 18
    • Profit = +$5.77 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +117 or 2.17) vs Blues
    • 2 STARS = Senators (at +128 or 2.28) vs Flyers

    Both picks are based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system.

    Professor MJ

  19. Week #11 Picks

    PICK: Houston Texans +4 at Baltimore Ravens (rated 4 stars)

    The Ravens have impressed a lot of people, including myself, with their three most recent wins: 30-16 in Seattle, 37-20 against the Patriots and an easy 49-13 victory in Cincinnati last week.

    Lamar Jackson is such a different animal. No other quarterback matches his elusiveness. He is a lot of fun to watch!

    However, I like the Texans to cover the spread here. DeShaun Watson is also very good and he can make plays out of nothing. Plus, he has more experience.

    The Texans are a very solid team and you couldn’t tell they had lost J.J. Watt after allowing just three points to the Jaguars in their last game.

    Obviously, I also like the fact that Houston is coming off its bye week. They have had plenty of time to analyze game tapes.

    PICK: Carolina Panthers -5 vs Atlanta Falcons (rated 3 stars)

    I tip my hat off to the Falcons for such an impressive performance in New Orleans last week. It must have been great relief for head coach Dan Quinn, who is certainly on the hot seat.

    With that win out of the way, I expect a letdown for Atlanta, especially against a team that simply cannot drop this game. The Panthers are sitting at 5-4, and with such a crowded playoff race in the NFC, this is a must-win game for Carolina. They won’t let their feet off the gas.

    The revenge factor comes into play since the Panthers lost both meetings to Atlanta last season. As a matter of fact, the Falcons won by a 7-point margin in Atlanta and by a 14-point margin in Carolina. That’s not gonna happen this year.

    LEAN: Jacksonville Jaguars +3 at Indianapolis Colts

    I’m really looking forward to seeing Nick Foles at quarterback for the Jaguars. He suffered a broken clavicle in Week #1 and had to be replaced by Gardner Minshew.

    The backup QB with the mustache did very well at times, and not so good at others. After a bad performance in London against Houston, Doug Marrone decided to make the switch.

    Both teams have very comparable defenses with 21 points allowed per game. Their offenses are similar too, maybe with a slight edge to Indy. But who knows what’s going to happen with Foles under center. Jacoby Brissett is expected to be back at quarterback, but his top target, T.Y. Hilton, seems like a long shot to suit up this Sunday.

    I expect a very tight divisional game, in which case I’ll go with the Jags as 3-point dogs.


    Professor MJ

  20. NHL Picks for November 14

    The free survivor pool with a $50 USD prize starts tonight. Submit your pick here!


    • Bets won = 19
    • Bets lost = 17
    • Profit = +$6.77 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 2 STARS = Red Wings (at +125 or 2.25) at Kings

    This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting angle, whose details were provided to you in an earlier post.

    Thus far in 2019, this strategy has generated a 1.42-unit profit over 43 bets (minimal gains, but still in positive territory!).

    Professor MJ

  21. NHL Picks for November 12

    Now 5 straight days with positive gains! Let's try to keep the ball rolling!


    • Bets won = 16
    • Bets lost = 16
    • Profit = +$3.84 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +145 or 2.45) at Blues
    • 3 STARS = Oilers (at +124 or 2.24) at Sharks
    • 2 STARS = Avalanche (at +103 or 2.03) at Jets
    • 1 STAR = Panthers (at +145 or 2.45) at Bruins

    Snow storm today in Quebec City, I hope you guys have a nice day...

    Professor MJ

  22. NHL Picks for November 11

    AWESOME!! The 5-star pick, was which a long shot, did win! The Red Wings did pull off a nice upset against the Bruins last Friday.


    • Bets won = 15
    • Bets lost = 15
    • Profit = +$3.19 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

    Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):

    • 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +165 or 2.65) at Capitals
    • 1 STAR = Senators (at +208 or 3.08) at Hurricanes

    The Ottawa pick is based on "The Blowout" betting system:

    Bet a team that blew out its previous opponent by a margin of 3+ goals. The team we bet must be on the road and its money line must be greater than 2.05 (which essentially means they must be underdogs).

    This betting angle generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets through a 9-year span.

    Good luck guys!

    Professor MJ

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