Ulrik

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  1. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from BillyHills in New Players Registration for next TC - Starts December 28th   
    Me
  2. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 26th & 27th   
    Shahktar Donetsk are Ukrainian league leaders but have struggled in the Champions League and until the last match against Dinamo Kiev in the Ukrainian Cup, being in a group with Atalanta, Dinamo Zagreb was expected to qualify for Shahktar for the woods kills, but is fighting point to point with Dinamo Zagreb who will face Manchester City in the next round, and face Atalanta in Italy in that one.
    Manchester City have been dominant as always, but have struggled to score goals and put themselves in more favorable situations in the match, against Chelsea was a 2 to 1 where could have suffered a draw at any time. As much as the team has difficulties in the Premier League, in Champions in this group stage you face weaker teams than in the national league, and if even in Ukraine the City team managed to come out with a rout.
    The difference between the teams is abysmal, and even with Shahktar needing the win, they should not make it, it should be a very easy game and a possible defeat by Man City, which will not count on Aguero, but Gabriel Jesus this season has been in the same. Argentine level, two bad but the Brazilian is more likely to improve.
    Man City -2.5 @2.05 Pinnacle 10/10
  3. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 26th & 27th   
    Atletico Madrid is in the process of transition, it was Griezzman's team and is now becoming the team of João Félix and for the next few years will be so, in addition the defending Spanish defender left in weight keeping only Oblak.
    Juventus have Cristiano Ronaldo on a clear decline, although his decline is still greater than 99% of the world's players, but it is still less decisive than in previous seasons. Juventus have struggled to win games in the Italian league and even in the champions league, but they have won and that is how it has always been with the Italian team, a very slow pace and solid wins.
    If the game had a -0.75 here I would not go to Juventus because I find it very difficult for them to win by 2 goals, but with this team facing Atletico Madrid also very fickle in the Spanish league, I see this line a little short too -0.25, it's a much better team, a lot more experienced and maybe the only thing that looks like Atleti's side is Simeone x Sarri in the beginning, but I don't see that being enough to take Juventus's big favorites here .
    Juve -0,25 @2.05 Pinnacle 8/10
  4. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 26th & 27th   
    Paris Saint German thrashed Real Madrid on the way, where we went here, this PSG team is the best French team in recent times, although the popcorn labels that have no control over the team ended up creating fallacious analyzes, the PSG team He never lost because he was small or didn't have enough tradition, but because he had gaps that with a squad that spent a lot where it didn't need to end up missing at important moments.
    Real Madrid have had a lot of crises in the last two years, the last one being Bale saying that the team is in third place of their priorities, but despite all that, the team is getting better and has been playing a lot better with great evolution of Modric and of Hazard, besides Benzema being one of the best European strikers in a long time.
    It will be a balanced duel, but I see PSG winning and a more capable team having such a marker midfield with Gueye and Marquinhos against a much softer Real Madrid midfield that has Kross and Modric that should be a big factor. Having Neymar's option on the bench to take Di Maria's place and the clueless Mbappé is a big factor in this bet as well.
    PSG against Real is the perfect match for teams that have similar formations but different game styles, but I see it as a duel of generations despite having Hazard and Rodrygo, it's Real time and it's time for PSG to start winning. These big games.
    PSG DNB @2.30 Pinnacle 2 units
  5. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 26th & 27th   
    Dont make any sense but they are expecting a evolution in Leverkusen because of a win against Atleti
  6. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 26th & 27th   
    Tottenham switched coach who was 4 years at Mauricio Pocchetino and brought Mourinho, bringing a bit of antagonism, as Tottenham is the third best team in the Premier League in recent years and yet is a team seen as a small team not presents a great rivalry, having a cast of good guys players also helps with that, with Son, Kane and Dele Alli.
    Speaking of non-subjective things now, as much as the team is very swinging and bad in the Premier League, in champions the team has been different, and proves that a positive regression to the Tottenham team is very likely. Olympiakos no longer have a chance to qualify, the team only had a draw in this champions exactly against Tottenham, but it was in the first round and in a very complicated environment to play in Greece.
    I see Tottenham with great chances to beat here, is a much better team, comes with new coach who always gives a fresh gas, and has everything to improve and be a great team of previous seasons, the line is at -1.5 that makes it very valuable for the great possibility of the Spurs win by at least two goals.
     
    2 units Tottenham -1.5 Pinnacle @1.97 
  7. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from BillyHills in New Players Registration for next TC - Starts Oct 19th   
    Me
  8. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Sep 17th & 18th   
    Internazionale x Slavia Prague
    Internazionale were one of last season's disappointments, managed a heroic turn against Tottenham in the first round, and were able to pass even in a group with Barcelona, Tottenham and PSV. The team went to the last round needing only to beat PSV, but was eventually eliminated by Lucas Moura's draw in Barcelona.
    For this season the team lost some players with Perisic and Icardi, but under Conti's command the team already changes its threshold on the field and how it behaves. The Inter team has no desire to be mediocre another year and the 3 wins in the first three rounds, besides hiring Lukaku, Sanchez and Diego Godin proves it.
    Slavia Prague have won just 3 games in their last 17 Champions League games, all of them for Champions Qualify. It's a team that has beat Cluj by the minimum score and really should be the group's punching bag. If it were their house with this handicap I would understand, but at San Siro against a much stronger team and a handicap line so short that even returns if we win by only 1 goal is very worthwhile.
    Internazionale -1 @2.03 Pinnacle
    2 units
  9. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Sep 17th & 18th   
    Chelsea x Valencia
    Chelsea have shown little solidity this early in the season, which is normal for a team that loses its best player, and loses its coach who had only one season's job. With a team unable to hire having to give value to young people like Mason Mount and Tammy Abraham the team has fared better than expected, even in the rout against Manchester United.
    Valencia are beaten 5-0 by Barcelona, and the team fired their coach at the start of the season, who managed to win the Copa del Rey and still qualify for the Champions League, made very big for Valencia, as 3 places already are practically guaranteed, and in Spain as well as England there are several good teams able to fill the fourth wave.
    Valencia have scored just 4 points in their first 12 games, and Chelsea are routed against a team that is similar to Valencia in play style and of similar level as Wolverhampton. I consider this line wrong, but I understand that an international competition is difficult to evaluate momentum and a possible matchup, but I see value in the pure Chelsea win here with a great 1.85 odd at 1xbet
    Chelsea -0,5 @1.85 Pinnacle
  10. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Sep 17th & 18th   
    Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona
    Borussia Dortmund is one of the teams that never appears as a Champions League title contender and is totally overshadowed as if there were only Bayern in Germany, Bayern's dominance says more about the strength of the team than the weakness of its biggest rival. present. Borussia Dortmund do have one of the strongest teams in these champions, and I see them as a possible candidate to surprise and eventually win.
    With a strong quarterback, and an amazing mid-front team, especially with the signings of Thorgan Hazard and Brandt the best players from Leverkusen and Borussia Gladbach, joining them with great pieces like Reus, Witsel and Paco Alcacer, I see this team with a very well defined style of play and with total conditions to beat Barcelona, even more against the yellow wall and its stadium with a very strong field command.
    The Barcelona team has been having a lot of flaws at the beginning of the season, although they have hired Griezzman and De Jong the team will still depend a lot on Messi as last season, many players like Suarez, Arthur, Rakitc among others are still good players, but It's not like you could say that this Barcelona is an exquisite as many people think of the team and already remember the Barca de Guardiola, Xavi and Iniesta.
    I see Borussia at this start of season stronger than Barcelona who have a chance to count on Messi, but even if the greatest player of all time acts, he will not be 100% fit, so let Borussia Dortmund DNB pay 2.07.
     
    Borussia DNB @2.07 Pinnacle
    2 units 
  11. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from Ameer in Premier League Predictions > Aug 31st & Sep 1st   
    Southampton x Man United
    Manchester United comes from defeat to Crystal Palace at home where we hit the bet here, the team has a lot of difficulty against closed teams and I don't see it being the case of Southampton in today's game, which is a team that despite defending well, It has a style very similar to that of United itself, of building faster moves and fewer passes.
    The house is much more aware of the weakness of Manchester United and Chelsea that are giving ML line just away from home, and I think it's time to turn the key, the English teams do not have such a high field command, the fans they don't scream so much, and the crowds can make it, facing Southampton away is only worse because you're away from your fans, but otherwise it remains the same, I see United in a lot of conditions to win this game, despite finding a team too limited to do much this season, still has much better pieces than Saints, and has been playing much better than the table shows too, so I see value in Red Devils ML
    Man United -0,5 @2.05 2 units
     
  12. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Aug 24th & 25th   
    Swansea x Birmingham
    Swansea have been one of the coolest teams to follow in the Championship, after great work from Graham Potter in the off season, where the experienced players left the new players room to develop, so it was with McBurnie who went to Sheffield United and with Daniel James who is already taking place captive at Manchester United. In addition to these new players, the team keeps many players formed by the club in the team and are really promises with possible highlight if the team is promoted to the Premier League.
    The team, besides having a base with great names such as McRoberts, Grimes and George Byers, has hired Celina from Man City who is a great player despite the lack of goals, and has combined it with players who are down in the league. at the moment but has the potential to surrender a lot like Borja Baston (the biggest signing in club history) and Andre Ayew, who does many offensive functions and is also an excellent player.
    Birmingham lost their best players in Jota and Che Adams, who went to Aston Villa and Southampton respectively, and besides having a very weak team, they also have a squad that really doesn't seem to have much room for evolution.
    Swansea playing at home is a very good team, and it has appeared to be a team to fight for access this season, this one simple win line pleases me a lot, but I still find Swansea superior enough to be able to meet the - 0.75, so let's go.
    Swansea -0,75 @2.16 Pinnacle 3 units
  13. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from waynecoyne in Championship Predictions > Aug 24th & 25th   
    Swansea x Birmingham
    Swansea have been one of the coolest teams to follow in the Championship, after great work from Graham Potter in the off season, where the experienced players left the new players room to develop, so it was with McBurnie who went to Sheffield United and with Daniel James who is already taking place captive at Manchester United. In addition to these new players, the team keeps many players formed by the club in the team and are really promises with possible highlight if the team is promoted to the Premier League.
    The team, besides having a base with great names such as McRoberts, Grimes and George Byers, has hired Celina from Man City who is a great player despite the lack of goals, and has combined it with players who are down in the league. at the moment but has the potential to surrender a lot like Borja Baston (the biggest signing in club history) and Andre Ayew, who does many offensive functions and is also an excellent player.
    Birmingham lost their best players in Jota and Che Adams, who went to Aston Villa and Southampton respectively, and besides having a very weak team, they also have a squad that really doesn't seem to have much room for evolution.
    Swansea playing at home is a very good team, and it has appeared to be a team to fight for access this season, this one simple win line pleases me a lot, but I still find Swansea superior enough to be able to meet the - 0.75, so let's go.
    Swansea -0,75 @2.16 Pinnacle 3 units
  14. Like
    Ulrik reacted to ΤΗΕΟ-007 in Championship Predictions > Aug 24th & 25th   
    As a high performance hunter I have an obligation not to look at the classic elements of a race but to look for holes where a high performance team can win.  I will not agree with the older friend who spoke of weakening Birmingham. No team is based on two single players. Rather like a team of aggressors like Jutkevich. Perhaps some will laugh out loud as a hunter of great English returns that today Swansea will have an undefeated all-time opponent at home. He has not had a belly in any match so in the near future we will have a total loss of points with defeat. And with a Birmingham opponent with fast strikers I think losing points can come. After all, if I miss the match against Nottingham, we will see that the visitors have a good defensive line. For me the risk of going over double is worth a very significant rate and I will honor it.
    AWAY WIN - (4.33 @ bet365)

  15. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from i1_principe in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Tottenham x Newcastle 
    Tottenham have a very balanced team and have already established themselves as one of England's greatest and a team that really wins big games, it was against City, Ajax, and last season's Premier League, despite as many problems as the World Cup. from Asia, Kane injury, lack of stadium, the team still managed to be solid as far as possible, reaching the Champions League final.
    Newcastle have always had problems with Rafa Benitez, and the coach had a lot of prestige with the fans and you could clearly see why, since the team yielded a lot more than expected, and still without the coach who assembled this squad and rose with the team for the first division, to hire Steve Bruce, a very weak, underworked coach, who won't add anything to this weak team that still sold Ayoze Perez to Leicester.
    I see one more misguided line here. Newcastle must be a punching bag in this Premier League season, and unlike the team with Rafa Benitez who parked the bus, this team has conceded a lot of goals, and must suffer a lot here against such a strong Tottenham and at home. I see no way for Newcastle to hold a 1-0 loss here and I see a full-blown Spurs scenario.
    Tottenham -1.5 @1.85 Pinnacle 3 units
     
  16. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from i1_principe in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Bournemouth x Man City
    Bournemouth is a totally low profile team, nobody talks a lot about it, it doesn't have very trendy players, much less a stadium that fills the eyes. It's a very small team in a giant league like the Premier League, although it looks helpless, the Bournemouth team is a great team and really hard to play against, especially in their stadium.
    With Lerma and Billing in midfield, the team gains much more security in defense of the defense, and I find it difficult for the team to be scored by 3 goals right here with Manchester City on the other side. In such cases a bet is really quite difficult, because it is such a high handicap and such a discrepant difference between the teams, but I can see value here.
    With Fraser and Harry Wilson on the tip and King and Wilson on the offense they make a team, in addition to the midfielders already mentioned. I see Bournemouth a much better-balanced and better-trained team than many Premier League teams, such as West Ham, who at home were beaten and had no chance of a draw.
    I see this safe +2 line here, and a very possible push scenario, but on a shorter field, and with pieces that can protect well from the machine that is this Manchester City, I can see value in going lay on such a strong team. like Pep Guardiola's team here.
    Bournemouth +2 @2.05 Pinnacle 2 units
  17. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Sheffield United x Leicester City
    Leicester have to consider themselves unlucky not to have beaten Chelsea in the last match, even with a silly mistake by Ndidi, the team went after the score and got a draw with Ndidi himself, but it was very cheap for the Lampard team, which was well spaced and gave plenty of space to Vardy, Perez and especially Maddison who was in very bad match.
    For this game, I really don't understand why a -0.25 line here. It is a totally second tier team at the moment, although it is much better suited than teams like last season's Fulham that invested a lot and was downgraded. Sheffield United has a style of play with a lot of air ball and direct link, and should be one of the points for the team to embrace, despite having a good variation against Palace, it is a duel where the other team hardly attacked, so I don't see it happening here.
    I see Leicester as a much stronger team than Sheffield in every aspect of the game, and in order to level up, these teams need to beat teams that don't want much, and learn to win well. I see Brendan Rodgers as a great coach, and this new Leicester style of play is more suited to players than the old one where he had a lot of counterattack and little possession.
    With a team attacking from the front, and with pieces like Maddison who is an excellent player, Ayoze Perez who was the highlight of Newcastle also very dynamic, besides Tielemans who was bought by the Foxies and is already totally adapted, I see Leicester with condition to impose on this game here, and give the reality shock to the team that just climbed to the first division, so value at Leicester here.
    Leicester -0,25 @1.99 Pinnacle 3 units
  18. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Brighton x Southampton
    Brighton started the season surprisingly by beating Watford away from home 3-0, and it was better against West Ham and also deserved to win, but despite that, I can't see this team with enough gas to be a solid team, and win games or have good sequences. Graham Potter is a great coach and has had an immediate impact on the Brighton team, but the team still has a long way to go and become as strong a favorite as Southampton. I see the visiting team with much better pieces, and there is also a very good coach who has greatly improved the Saints since arriving.
    For this game, I see Southampton with full obligation to win right now so as not to look bad on the table and still try to fight for the seventh spot. The team created a lot against Sheffield United and failed to score, and against Liverpool took a great goal from Mané when it was better in the game, and an incredible chance missed by Ings to draw against the champions of Europe last Saturday. I was surprised by the very high level of gameplay presented and few teams usually give Liverpool trouble like that. With great pieces like Che Adams which is a great addition and Redmond, plus an extremely strong midfield that surpasses even big teams like United with Lemina, Ward Prowse and Hojberg.
    There is no shortage of pieces for Saints to fit in, and the team has had bad luck for the past two seasons, and it's about time to be a postulant again for the seventh wave. A well-structured game system, good plays and a team that can create many chances, the ball is missing. I hope this will happen in the next game as the team from the south of England succeeds.
    Southampton DNB @2.28 Pinnacle 2 units
  19. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Manchester United x Crystal Palace
    Manchester United are the biggest team in England, but far from being the best this season, even after beating Chelsea where they beat 4-0 at Old Trafford, the team went to visit Wolves and even away. home, played better than Nuno Espirito Santo's team, and just did not win by the penalty wasted by Pogba.
    United are usually a team that has a lot of bets in their favor, and last season this became very clear, as even in a clear bad phase, the odds always came with great value against, and always very aggressive handicaps. In this case here, it is very similar to that, Sheffield United's handicap at home against Palace was DNB, and in this game comes at a +1.5 side of the London side, something I consider very high for how Crystal Palace looks For the game, it's no use wanting to compare equal lines of teams with different characteristics. Palace are a few solid teams out of the top 6, and they have been using this form of having physically strong players and fast attacks against Zaha for a long time, and yet you can extract a lot of value.
    For this game, Max Meyer is doubtful, the German has a very different style of playing Palace and has not yet fully adapted, and maybe not go, I would rather see a Crystal Palace with a strong midfielder like Schlupp than see Meyer having to do what really isn't his.
    United have a lot of offensive pieces that can break Palace's defense, but against a close team, I think the Red Devils will have a hard time this season, as there is not much variation in play except a ball in the open to Rashford and Martial.
    I see United even managing to win here, but I would be surprised if it were for 2 goals difference, so value at +1.5 pro Palace.
    Crystal Palace +1.5 @1.86 2 units
  20. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Norwich x Chelsea
    Chelsea have had one of the worst performances in the Premier League so far, with a crushing 4-0 defeat against United and a draw against Leicester that they deserved to have missed out on their chances. Lampard is not a great coach, and he is nowhere near that, his path went well, going to Derby where he went well up to a point, but not up, and not worthy of going up so much in Derby's career to Chelsea. And the coach's task is not the easiest, as Chelsea could not sign in that window, and still lost players like David Luiz, Higuain, and the star who was very impactful all season in Hazard. Instead of them, with the restrictions, the team brought in Pulisic, who is a great player, but very far from the Belgian, and Mason Mount returned from Derby loan being a much more solid player.
    Despite having all this against Chelsea, I see that bookmakers have been having a hard time pricing, and I see a big mistake here, giving Chelsea a -0.75 line despite being away from home against Norwich who come, but still, Chelsea are a much superior team, and have great names in the squad, like Kante, Jorginho, Pulisic, Kovacic.
    Norwich tightened the game against Liverpool and were beaten, and beat Newcastle 3-1, but still, I don't think it's a solid team to have such a short line against Chelsea, and I can see the Blues winning that game. well, since he had 2 much harder opponents in the first two rounds, and did very poorly. With a team getting better every round, I see Chelsea well able to easily beat Norwich here and meet that -0.75 handicap.
    Chelsea -0,75 @1.97 Pinnacle 3units
     
  21. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Liverpool x Arsenal
    Arsenal has been a pleasant surprise in the transfer window, for me it was the one that hired the best from Tottenham, and the team really changed the level, besides a second year for a great coach like Unay Emery, having Pepe hired gives a absurd increase in offensive capability of this team, besides the great Dani Ceballos who came on loan and has also been very important. Combining these hires, with the development and adaptation of young people like Guendouzi and Maitland-Niles, I can see Arsenal far above United and Chelsea.
    For this match against Liverpool, it will be quite a test, last season at that same stadium the Arsenal team looked like children playing against adults and seeing Salah, Mané and Firmino completely humiliate you in prime time, but I can't imagine that happening here. Arsenal's defense with David Luiz who is a good defender after all and improves Arsenal's defense.
    Liverpool has not pleased me in any of the games so far, maybe the second half against Manchester City in the supercup was the best moment for the Reds, but it's still far from that whole dominance, and in my opinion they won't be, and This is where I will hug myself here. Liverpool are very regressive, and players like Salah and Mané shouldn't have seasons as good as top scorers again, besides. Alexander Arnold's level of improvement from season to season doesn't seem sustainable to me either.
    I see an Arsenal going up, and Liverpool falling a little bit, despite having a much better team than Arsenal yet, I find this line exaggerated, especially at the beginning of the season, and having such a strong opponent on the other side.
    Arsenal +1.25 @1.84 Pinnacle 1.5 units
  22. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from BobEire in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Norwich x Chelsea
    Chelsea have had one of the worst performances in the Premier League so far, with a crushing 4-0 defeat against United and a draw against Leicester that they deserved to have missed out on their chances. Lampard is not a great coach, and he is nowhere near that, his path went well, going to Derby where he went well up to a point, but not up, and not worthy of going up so much in Derby's career to Chelsea. And the coach's task is not the easiest, as Chelsea could not sign in that window, and still lost players like David Luiz, Higuain, and the star who was very impactful all season in Hazard. Instead of them, with the restrictions, the team brought in Pulisic, who is a great player, but very far from the Belgian, and Mason Mount returned from Derby loan being a much more solid player.
    Despite having all this against Chelsea, I see that bookmakers have been having a hard time pricing, and I see a big mistake here, giving Chelsea a -0.75 line despite being away from home against Norwich who come, but still, Chelsea are a much superior team, and have great names in the squad, like Kante, Jorginho, Pulisic, Kovacic.
    Norwich tightened the game against Liverpool and were beaten, and beat Newcastle 3-1, but still, I don't think it's a solid team to have such a short line against Chelsea, and I can see the Blues winning that game. well, since he had 2 much harder opponents in the first two rounds, and did very poorly. With a team getting better every round, I see Chelsea well able to easily beat Norwich here and meet that -0.75 handicap.
    Chelsea -0,75 @1.97 Pinnacle 3units
     
  23. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Sheffield United x Leicester City
    Leicester have to consider themselves unlucky not to have beaten Chelsea in the last match, even with a silly mistake by Ndidi, the team went after the score and got a draw with Ndidi himself, but it was very cheap for the Lampard team, which was well spaced and gave plenty of space to Vardy, Perez and especially Maddison who was in very bad match.
    For this game, I really don't understand why a -0.25 line here. It is a totally second tier team at the moment, although it is much better suited than teams like last season's Fulham that invested a lot and was downgraded. Sheffield United has a style of play with a lot of air ball and direct link, and should be one of the points for the team to embrace, despite having a good variation against Palace, it is a duel where the other team hardly attacked, so I don't see it happening here.
    I see Leicester as a much stronger team than Sheffield in every aspect of the game, and in order to level up, these teams need to beat teams that don't want much, and learn to win well. I see Brendan Rodgers as a great coach, and this new Leicester style of play is more suited to players than the old one where he had a lot of counterattack and little possession.
    With a team attacking from the front, and with pieces like Maddison who is an excellent player, Ayoze Perez who was the highlight of Newcastle also very dynamic, besides Tielemans who was bought by the Foxies and is already totally adapted, I see Leicester with condition to impose on this game here, and give the reality shock to the team that just climbed to the first division, so value at Leicester here.
    Leicester -0,25 @1.99 Pinnacle 3 units
  24. Like
    Ulrik got a reaction from Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Manchester United x Crystal Palace
    Manchester United are the biggest team in England, but far from being the best this season, even after beating Chelsea where they beat 4-0 at Old Trafford, the team went to visit Wolves and even away. home, played better than Nuno Espirito Santo's team, and just did not win by the penalty wasted by Pogba.
    United are usually a team that has a lot of bets in their favor, and last season this became very clear, as even in a clear bad phase, the odds always came with great value against, and always very aggressive handicaps. In this case here, it is very similar to that, Sheffield United's handicap at home against Palace was DNB, and in this game comes at a +1.5 side of the London side, something I consider very high for how Crystal Palace looks For the game, it's no use wanting to compare equal lines of teams with different characteristics. Palace are a few solid teams out of the top 6, and they have been using this form of having physically strong players and fast attacks against Zaha for a long time, and yet you can extract a lot of value.
    For this game, Max Meyer is doubtful, the German has a very different style of playing Palace and has not yet fully adapted, and maybe not go, I would rather see a Crystal Palace with a strong midfielder like Schlupp than see Meyer having to do what really isn't his.
    United have a lot of offensive pieces that can break Palace's defense, but against a close team, I think the Red Devils will have a hard time this season, as there is not much variation in play except a ball in the open to Rashford and Martial.
    I see United even managing to win here, but I would be surprised if it were for 2 goals difference, so value at +1.5 pro Palace.
    Crystal Palace +1.5 @1.86 2 units
  25. Like
    Ulrik reacted to dylanphan in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Been a pretty good start to the season for me.  Although I've been dead wrong on some teams, the bets I've put in have been so far, so good.
    early game, someone up top found Norwich +1 at evs and well, I need that line available to me because I've seen nothing close to that. I like Norwich and put a small play on them at +0.75 at -110.  Norwich seem to get goals for fun.  They led the championship in goals last year at just over 2gpg and seem to picked up right where they left off.  Chelsea a bit of a team in flux imo. Jury still out on Lamps as a manager and it's going to take him a bit to find his best 11.  I'll tell you right now, they have major questions at the back.  Seen both their games in full and they have issues.  Midfield is strong for Chelsea but I'm not convinced they have any finishing power up front to score goals.  I think Norwich hangs around and this one has 1-1, 2-2 written on it - I'm very happy taking the home team with +0.75 here.
    I'm not getting involved in the Brighton/Southampton game at all, but said it before, I've got Saints tipped for the drop, so I'd again back the home side gun to my head.  
    Leicester seems a good play to me at Sheffield, but tbh, I can't get a great read on them at all, and I have to think home team will be doing all it can to scrape for points here.  Pass again.
    I absolutely think United will win at home vs Palace, but that's a heavy price to pay there.  I wouldn't mind a United -1.25 at evs, but I'm not finding it, so I may play ingame with a slow start.  United start the season in good form and I just don't think Palace has the pieces to challenge them here.  I do like the 2-0 final score prop and may take a poke on that.
    West Ham been one of those teams I've been dead wrong on this year, and well, I'm going for it again.  It appears to me they should have a full roster to choose from and the talent they have I don't think I can pass them again getting +250 to win at +150 or so for DNB.  Fool me once, shame on you.  Fool me twice, shame on me but I'm on West Ham again here.  Watford is nothing special and there'll be pressure on both teams here to get a result. More pressure for the home side, I'll take + odds all day long.
    Game of the week is the late game Saturday, and unfortunately I'm not going to be around to watch or see lineups.  But, to me this game is all about goals and o3 is worth a punt.  Liverpool obviously has plenty of gk woes and that will be trouble.  VVD can only do so much, and in my eyes, Arsenal are exactly the kind of team that will give Liverpool fits in the back.  Massive pace in the likes of PEA and Pepe. Lacazette is a clinical finisher.  And Dani Ceballas has been just lights out terrific so far.  All that said, Liverpool is always a tough nut to beat at home and well, they still have a few great players in attack.  Arsenal's defense is suspect at best.  David Luiz certainly not the answer.  This one just screams end to end action with plenty of chances.  
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