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gottogethelp

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  1. Sorry giraldi - I never got a notification for this. Thanks for trying to answer! In the end I found another Pinnacle article which gave me the solution...
  2. I've started building a system for betting on tennis and have been reading avidly through these forums and a few other sites for ideas on what to include. I've compiled the following list: Matches/games played (for experience, fatigue, match fitness) Match/game wins H2H record In-play stats, e.g. serve, return, break point record etc Upset liklihood Momentum Home advantage Elo / Glicko / other rating systems Player matchups, e.g. big server vs weak returner, leftie vs rightie etc Player specifics, e.g. don't play well in hot weather
  3. Hi all. I use the Kelly formula on Pinnacle's site to calculate my stakes: (BP - Q) / B B = the Decimal odds -1 P = the probability of success Q = the probability of failure (i.e. 1-p) https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/How-to-use-kelly-criterion-for-betting/2BT2LK6K2QWQ7QJ8 One scenario that often happens with me placing bets on Pinnacle in lower level events is that I use up the maximum stake at a given odds and they duly change. I want to be able to then rerun Kelly to work out the additional amount I should stake at the new odds (and so on
  4. Hi all. First post so be gentle :) I've developed a tennis betting strategy and back tested it to see its level of accuracy. I'd now like to understand the level of profit that could have been made on Pinnacle via a Kelly based staking approach. This will obviously depend signficiantly on the liquidity that was available on Pinnacle at the time certain odds were available. OddsPortal have historic odds at frequent time intervals but nothing on the liquidity that was available at that time. Does anyone know where I could lay my hands on odds and liquidity data? If not then does anyone have
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