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OyA OyA Oya

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  1. Sad
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - October 14 - October 20   
    ATP Antwerp
    Pablo Cuevas 3.80 Pinnacle 5/10
    I like Cuevas here. He looked decent in R1, not clowning and joking vs. a guy he should beat without problems - and he did beat that guy without any problems. He served well and his groundgame was on point. Andy Murray is kind of a surprise to me. I can remember betting on Matteo Viola to beat Andy Murray and he really beat him. It was probably one of the worst defeats Murray has suffered in his whole career but to be honest i thought Andy Murray is about to be done. Now he's back with decent results on a decent level. He beat guys like Norrie, Berrettini, Londero and Sandgren. Losing to names like De Minaur, Fognini or Thiem is no shame either. I think we can expect him to be even better in 2020 with a decent camp and prep. I watched his first round encounter with local wild card Coppejans closely and i think Murray is a bit off this week. He had a tough time in Asia with a couple of really exhausting matches, he travelled a lot last few weeks, now his wife is getting a baby this week, he already told the media that he's playing in Belgium because of the fact he can travel home quickly. He definitely looked off in the first round, Coppejans had many, many chances to take the second set but was wasting leads all over again. I think Cuevas is a tough matchup for Murray right now. Murray will need to run a lot, Cuevas playing a good mixture. He's serving well, hitting groundstrokes very hard but playing also with angles. I think Murray will have to work very hard and i'm not sure if he can. He still has two big tasks ahead apart from supporting his wife while getting a baby: There is a Masters tournament in Paris, a big tournament and a good chance for him to get some points as usually the Top players not playing that well there because it's the last official tournament of the season. And second, maybe even more important, Davis Cup Final in Spain. I really think Murray will play Singles there. I know it isn't confirmed but GB doesn't have many options right now. It will come down to Murray, Norrie, Edmund or Evans. Considering Edmund is in really bad form right now and Murray beating Norrie recently i think the final decision might be Evans/Murray for singles. Anyway, i think Murray isn't at 100% and he might not be too sad if he loses early this week. To get some rest before he's heading into Paris and Davis Cup. I take my chance here at that price, i think Cuevas is a living dog in here.
  2. Thanks
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to vvararu in Tennis Tips - September 30 - October 6   
    Beijing WTA
    Andreescu - Osaka
    Osaka to win @2.3 Unibet or Osaka +1.5 set @1.49 Unibet.
    I think that Osaka is the perfect candidate to disappoint Andreescu. She has the power in serve and the power in return. Andreescu bases her game mostly on power and that works great against the players with weak serve/shot. Well, Osaka has beef on her as well and is fully capable of beating canadian, against of what odds say.
  3. Thanks
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to neilovan in US Open 2019   
    Medvedev v Dimitrov
    For me this match is a total no contest. Gregor has a terrible match-up here. A clash of very similar styles.
    Medvedev has more than enough to beat him at his own game, and has had  2 days off, to recover from his slight thigh strain. I don't think the win over Federer was spectacular for Gregor. Fed is 38 years old, so he was quite likely to run outta gas in  the latter part of the 4th and 5th set. 
    Look, at this level, players are unbelievably good ... every player can hit the ball. So the game boils down to who makes the right decisions at the right time, and who plays the big points better. In my opinion, Gregor makes bad choices at the worst possible time, while Medvedev does the opposite. Gregor is a great player, but there is some subconcious barrier that stops him from going to the highest level. Medvedev has amazing court craft. He understands what to do and when to do it. You can't teach this stuff. At this stage a player either has it, or doesn't.  It's like a top striker in soccer. He knows, without looking where the goalkeeper is, and what he has to do to score. 
    So how to make money here ? 1st set is critical. I think if Medvedev wins it, he wins very easily in 3.  
    For me taking Medvedev at 4 to 10 is not to good. Maybe the best bet is to essentially lay the match going to 5 sets, by just betting total sets 3 and 4 for an equal stake.
    I see a 1 sided bashing here.
    Nadal v Berrittini
    Never seen Nadal play this well. He is crushing the ball, with an intensity that is almost inhuman. I would be going under 31.5 total games here, in what should be a blow out. I just don't think Berrittini will get those easy service holds, and could get demolished here.
  4. Thanks
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - August 12 - August 18   
    Madison Keys to beat Garbiñe Muguruza at 1.67 with 888
    Muguruza is in a very bad form. No matches played since Wimbledon where she lost her first match there against Beatriz Haddad Maia and broke with her coach after that. Keys has played 2 matches on hard this season. The first one was in Washington where she lost against Baptiste and the second one was in Toronto where she lost against Vekic in an incredible 3 set match (6-3, 6-7, 6-7). I watched that match and both players played incredibly well. Keys was superb on serve (15 aces 1 DF) conceding the first BP in the sixth game of the second set!
    Yulia Putintseva to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 1.81 with 888
    Putintseva only played 1 match on hard this season and it was a lost in straight sets against Wozniacki but I liked how she played the beginning of the first set. Ostapenko has played 4 matches since Wimbledon (2 wins and 2 loses). To be honest im not impressed with her 2 wins. I watched her win in straight sets against Garcia and that match was absolutely horrible. Both players played awful (the face of Caroline’s father was like “what the f**k is my daughter doing?). After that match she won against Pavlyuchenkova in a 3 set match and then was destroyed by Bouzkova (6-2, 6-2). Putintseva has the style of game that can trouble a lot Ostapenko.
    Alison Riske to beat Maria Sharapova at 2.10 with 888
    I see that Riske is still being underrated by the bookies despite her great state of form. She reached QF in Wimbledon losing in a tight match against Serena. After that she won Carol Zhao, Lepchenko and Sakkari in Toronto and finally lost against Karolina Pliskova in a 3 set match. The last time Sharapova won a match was in Mallorca against Kuzmova in June. She’s in a 3 losing streak: Kerber in Mallorca (6-2, 6-3), Parmentier in Wimbledon (6-4, 6-7, 0-5) and Kontaveit in Toronto (6-4, 3-6, 4-6). Riske is in better form and will play in home.
    Maria Sakkari to beat Camila Giorgi at 1.72 with 888
    This year has been horrible for Giorgi despite her recent Final in Washington. Im a little surprised for these odds considering the great form of Sakkari. Sakkari played in San José beating there Alexandrova, Mayo Hibi and Svitolina and losing in the Semifinals against the winner of the tournament: Saisai Zheng. Giorgi is one of the most aggressive players of the WTA and I expect that she will dominate Sakkari in some parts of the match but I see Sakkari too solid and I think that finally she will prevail.
  5. Thanks
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to vvararu in Tennis Tips - July 22 - July 28   
    Today's parlay @1.90 Unibet
     
    ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals 
    Moroni M.    -    Sousa J.   Sousa @1.50 Unibet
    Sousa clay 2019 - 8/19. Moroni clay 2019 - 18/32. Even if Moroni has better statistics for 2019, he played mostly in Challengers and against players out of 100ATP ranking. Sousa, on the other side, played in ATP tournaments against much better players from inside of 100 ATP. According to my expectations, it won't be an easy win for Sousa, but he will take it, being a more qualitative player overall.
     
    ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay    
    Delbonis F. - Zverev A. Zverev @1.27 Unibet 
    I expect an easy win (probably 2:0) for Zverev because of the next reasons:
    more qualitative player according to achievements and ranking plays at home  won Jarry who is a clay court player, so seems motivated Delbonis should be tired, having played 10 matches in last 15 days.
  6. Thanks
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 22 - July 28   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Hugo Dellien at 2.00 with William Hill
    While I do understand the reasons for Basilashvili being the underdog in this one, I don't really agree with them. Basilashvili is still the classier player of the two and he's the defending champion, so I think that he's going to be prepared for the event after taking a break after Wimbledon. Dellien is having an excellent season in terms of win and losses, but most of his successes came on the lower level and he's had some weak performances recently, so I'd have Nikoloz as the favorite here and I'm quite surprised that we're getting evens for him.
  7. Like
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to South_African_Punter in Wimbledon 2019   
    Rafael Nadal to beat Roger Federer @ 1.68
    From reports that I have read, the courts are playing slower than usual, which has and will benefit Nadal. Besides Kyrgios, Nadal has more-or-less demolished his opponents, including the big server Sam Querrey, who is not bad on grass. On the other hand, Federer has had a few lapses, losing a set each to Harris and Nishikori. A better player than Nishikori (i.e. Nadal) could have won that QF I reckon. Based on the form in this tournament, I reckon Nadal is in a better shape than Federer.
     
  8. Like
    OyA OyA Oya reacted to South_African_Punter in Wimbledon 2019   
    Bautista Agut (-5.5) v Pella @ 1.65 with SportingBet
    Bautista-Agut has somewhat slipped under the radar at this tournament. He has not dropped a set this tournament and has breezed through to the quarter-finals. His opponent, Guido Pella, came back from 2-0 against Raonic and might be feeling the effects of a 5-setter. In addition, Bautista-Agut has a 2-0 against Pella, and in many of the sets he won against Pella, he won 6-1 or 6-0.
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