** August Nap's Competition Result : 1st Thebestthere, 2nd Glavintoby, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert, KO Cup Steve75, Most Winners Alastair, York Comp: Thebestthere**
**August Poker League Result : 1st Kevsul £75, 2nd Yossa6133 £45, 3rd Like2Fish £30**
BBBC reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 17th
1.15 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Wanted @ 25/1 Bet365
Has to come on plenty for a poor debut run and has a wide draw here so neither ideal but given the price in a weak race, will give Richard Fahey's runner another go. Is a full sibling to three other racehorses, all of which won races and were fairly useful. Whether coincidence or not, these weren't up to much first time out either and it was soft ground when this one made its debut. Its siblings preferred top of the ground so with better ground on offer here and experience under its belt, hopefully can show more at a big price.
2.50 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Rory And Me @ 10/1 Bet365
May be the outsider of the party here but has plenty of form which ought to give him a chance here. Was an excellent 3rd on seasonal reappearance after wind surgery at Ripon and although flopping there last time, that was in a class 3 handicap on slow ground. This should suit better and is a winning bumper horse who should enjoy the 2 mile trip here around this track. Better ground helps and looks capable of bouncing back.
3.00 Ayr - 1pt e/w Morisco @ 12/1 PP
Still fairly lightly raced and would have a good chance here on his reappearance win at Haydock. Got the job done readily that day ahead of a horse who has run well off higher marks since and Morisco has had excuses on soft ground before running as well as could realistically be expected in a Group 3 last time. This is easier, conditions suit and could find more progress.
3.20 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Benadalid @ 10/1 Bet365
Was outclassed at York a couple of starts back and seemed to find the test too sharp around Haydock last time but was a ready winner at Ripon three starts back off just 1lb lower than what he goes off here and this is an easier assignment today than what he's faced recently. This track ought to suit with a stiff finish playing to his strengths and if getting a decent pace and the splits at the right time, could go close.
4.20 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Irv @ 16/1 Bet365
Hasn't had conditions to suit the last twice, racing over 1m2f which he doesn't seem to stay and in softish conditions. A mile on good ground is much more up his street, as when a good 2nd on seasonal reappearance. Has dropped a few pounds since then having run in those races where he was always likely to struggle and if getting a pace to run at and the breaks from a slightly less than ideal draw, could go well.
BBBC got a reaction from LeMale in £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
Like you i do enjoy reading his column but wouldn't back his tips on the strength of that alone.
His profit reported is inflated as no one could ever get on at the prices he publishes due to the reactions of the bookies. Thats not his fault but for me it undermines his record.
It can be useful to explain market shifts though. I think its one think to look at a race seeing a steamer as someone, somewhere is backing it enough to shift the price but then another to see the money is on as its a Hugh Taylor tip.
You could try and get on before his column came out especially if you had a larger price selection on the AW (his specialism). But if he picks another in the race your selection may well drift. So its a bit swings and roundabouts really.
Now i just tend to make a judgement call on the price if my selection matches his. Sometimes the value has been eroded so I leave it alone. Still its never a great experience seeing a 33/1 shot you fancy going to 16/1!
Best of luck with your selection today @LeMale
BBBC reacted to MCLARKE in £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
I suppose that's the trouble with the few good tipsters out there, very rarely can you get on at the price they advise. I gave up on them a long time ago. You cannot blame the bookies, they are there to make a profit (although I am biased because I have shares in Billy Hills (the company, not the esteemed leader of this site!).
BBBC reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 10th
1.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Golden Melody @ 14/1 Bet365
Have to take a bit of a chance with this filly but was very impressive on debut at Haydock in a race that worked out very well and on that evidence is well handicapped today. Although well held ultimately at Royal Ascot, she ran better than the bare result, travelling best of all and leading a couple of furlongs out before the pace collapsed - nothing that was up with the pace finished within 7 lengths of Dandalla and the first three were all held up so she just did too much too soon that day. Flopped up to 7f on soft last time having raced too freely but she has lots of pace, back to 6f a good thing, quicker ground ought to not inconvenience and has had a break to hopefully get her back to top form. If bouncing back she can go well here off a mark of 84.
2.10 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Dubai Fountain @ 14/1 Bet365
A few of these have plenty of potential and the race won at Ascot by the favourite looked likely to be a good race at the time. That said, I thought the battle-hardened Dubai Fountain could go well from the front. Has been competing in good races over 7f but has been outspeeded late in the day and although you could say she's been vulnerable late on, I think it's more to do with speed than stamina. The step up to a mile can actually suit I believe, especially given the stamina in her pedigree and might be able to grind out a good performance with more experience than most.
2.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Dark Lion @ 9/1 Bet365
Shaped very well on debut against a pace bias at Newmarket when sent off favourite and ran a solid, if slightly odd race at Ascot when not really travelling but coming home okay for 4th on the wrong part of the track. Did comfortably the best of those racing towards the near side and ultimately it was a solid run. Got off the mark at Wolverhampton when travelling well over 7f before being closed on towards the finish and again shaped okay over 7f last time in a Group 3 at Sandown. To me, I think he wants to come back down in trip which he gets today and this 6 1/2f trip might prove perfect for him. Has blinkers on first time which is interesting given he doesn't always travel great and hopefully can come roaring back here.
3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Vivionn @ 11/2 Bet365
Believe in Love is extremely progressive but this is tougher and I like Vivionn here who has rock solid form in the book over 1m4f, typically staying on without the finishing kick of one in front of her and is most interesting stepping up to 1m6f. She's a full sister to a 110 rated filly who saw out 2 miles no problem and this one's running style, including when 2nd last time out, makes her an ideal candidate the extra 2 furlongs today. Expect a rock solid run here.
3.45 Doncaster - 2pts win Cold Front @ 8/1 Bet365
Ran too bad to be true at York and can bounce back here. Thought at the time there were some strange performances that meeting and we've already seen some horses who flopped there bounce right back since, including Favorite Moon. This one is well handicapped on both runs prior to that York appearance and I'm sure will be winning soon off a mark similar to this - hopefully it can be today.
4.15 Doncaster - 1pt win Call Me Ginger @ 13/2 Bet365
Fancied him at Goodwood two starts back when last of all but clearly wasn't quite right that day as he never really went and proved himself to still be in decent nick when going well from behind at Chester last time - couldn't get involved there but came home well and did best of those held up. Conditions suit more today and he's more than capable of going in off this mark.
BBBC reacted to BillyHills in Football : Last Man Standing Comp - Starts Saturday
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BBBC reacted to Zilzalian in Racing Chat - Saturday 5th September
Well last year i did very well backing against Bataash and Enable in france, I top rated Slalom for the Arc was gutted when it was a NR my next top rated was Waldgeist so switched to that, this year Battash looks a different horse although think its always worth backing against it so not for me if it turns up in France again, the good thing about horses like bataash and enable is you get great prices behind them i'm sure it was glass slippers beat it in france at 28/1 for example, Waldgeist was best price 25/1 and i had the double you dont need me to tell you that you dont have to do that very often to produce a big profit even from small stakes, i have the opinion that all favs are beatable so i avoid them so if i do back one it usually wins. basically i work back from the outsider to the fav most people do the opposite. fitting things into ratings systems should be flexible if there is only points between 2 horses say but the price difference is huge then for me its a no brainer go for the biggie, get a winner at 20/1 and you can be wrong 18 times after and still be in profit at level stakes is my view, favs imho your on a hiding to nothing unless you have very few bets and are 90% sure of the ones you do have.
BBBC reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Saturday 5th September
12.45 Ascot - 1pt e/w Siam Fox @ 12/1 Hills
I think those with a run are beatable so chancing a newcomer here and I like the prospects of Richard Hannon's runner. He's the only half brother to the high class horse Fox Champion (who coincidentally also runs today) and is bred to be smart at 2 with Prince of Lir's stud career off to a strong start. The yard can get one ready to go first time out so I think he looks a fair price here.
1.45 Haydock - 1pt e/w Kinross @ 17/2 Bet365
Backed this one in the 2000 Guineas when running a sound enough race without being able to muster up the speed to finish anywhere other than midfield but was far from disgraced on his first outing of the season and ran okay in France last time. Does need to step up but drops in grade here and his only previous experience with ease in the ground was when a very impressive debut winner. Both his sire, Kingman, and his dam enjoyed soft conditions so this could help today and in calmer waters could get back in the groove.
1.55 Ascot - 1pt e/w Concierge @ 17/2 Hills
Quite a few of these look handicapped to their best but Concierge has run off higher marks in the past and got a deserved win at Bath last time out over 5f on soft. Was convincing that day, putting his extra stamina to good use as he stays 6f no problem and I think it could be a similar story here. There looks lots of pace on here and I think this one can come through late to challenge if getting the splits. This will be harder than last time but with question marks over some of the others and their handicap marks, this is one who could eek out some more improvement as is fairly unexposed over the trip.
2.00 Kempton - 1pt win Mighty Gurkha @ 7/1 Bet365
Hasn't done much wrong in his career to date and was a mightily impressive winner on his only start on the all-weather to date. Can write off his effort in France last time when very slowly away and bumped into what looks a very smart horse in Method two starts back. Has the best form in the book to me and whilst others are more unexposed, I'll take the proven form at 7/1 here.
2.30 Ascot - 1pt e/w Look Around @ 12/1 Bet365
The handicapper has relented a bit on this one and she appeals now off a mark of 98 with a further 5lbs taken off by her jockey. Has plenty of form in group races that make this look a fair enough mark and has had excuses when not quite running up to it this season - needing her first run back, outstayed having travelled well over 1m2f next time and then ran well here last time where it paid to come from off the pace - still finished a creditable 3rd having led briefly at the furlong pole and with a more patient ride here I think 10/1 could look a big price.
2.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Just in Time @ 12/1 Bet365
Bounced back from a lengthy absence with two good runs this season over 2 miles but shaped as if a stiff 1m6f would be more up his street. Is only 1lb higher than when winning a good race back in 2018 having displayed a very progressive profile. Looks as if just as good here and has gone well on previous starts on soft. The 2f shorter trip today can be the key and see the progression shown a couple of years ago continue.
3.25 Haydock - The Tin Man @ 14/1 Bet365
Has a bit to find on form but went well last time out when narrowly beaten and will relish the softer conditions here. Has an excellent record in this race - an unlucky second to Hello Youmzain last year, a winner on deep ground in 2018 and a good 3rd in a hot renewal won by Harry Angel in 2017. Never run a bad race at Haydock so a good chance this will be his best run of the season here and looks an each-way chance at a healthy price.