The Equaliser

Beverley 3:45
clotherhome
and 
willingtoplease
both win
both drawn to do well.
 
*****************************
five winners on the day runners.possibly something in the last race.
ARABIAN CROWN
Twilight  Dancer
Hint Of The Jungle 
Mister Skeetch
Mia Toretto  (Without the favourite )

Yarmouth 3:35
Skukuza
win
Gtreat form line here

Beverley 2:35
Hint Of The Jungle 
win 
lovely progeny.
ran  well on debut at Windsor and with more improvement after a decent rest might just have enough to win here.
Paul Mulrenan  an interesting booking and although he is marmite  to many, likely to do as instructed here by Ed Dunlop.
watch for Grid Iron Maiden 

Have has a winL15 and ew acca in the daily = 2 pts
4.30 sal Karsavina 0.50 ew at 40/1 4 p skybet
Looking for more L15's today

2.15 Sal Avoriaz 6/1
4.20 Bev On A River 11/2
4.30 Sal Karsvina 40/1
4.50 Bev Dandy's Angel 11/2
1 x .10 w L15 = poss 1889.90 and 1 x 0.25 ew acca 3053.26 = poss 4943.16.  Despite the cumulative odds of 57 the place acca would still only pay about 22 points.

Beverley 2pm
Mia Toretto
win
&
Mia Toretto
win without midnight lir
no suprise to see this decent runner improve now in this company.
ALICES IMPACT is one to watch for a better run after debut blunder last time.

Salisbury 1-45
Twilight  Dancer
win
Will encounter better ground here than last run following a good win at Epsom.

I'm out today so don't have access to computer .....like I said it's work in progress these bets but I have spotted this which has given it a boost so I'm happy to play at 8/1 ....I think that's a value bet fir sure win or lose 

Many thanks for this but is it possible for you to tell us how the selection ranks with your usual ratings so we can get a better idea about having a punt

KEMPTON 7.00
CABARET SHOW 100/1
BET365

Lost
-£258
-£298 10/07/23

2.35 Beverley mist rollin in 25/1 £10 e/w bet365

Beverley 
3.10. L'ennem       coral 5/1   win
Good luck all. 

Just the 20p back for the last one being a non-runner.

Day 28 -£41.70

Bev 2.00    Midnight Lir   WON    &   Sal 2.15    Mister Sketch    WON   .........win double @  2/1   WON  ( as Mister sketch won, couldnt see the 2nd 😎 )
Bev 3.45       Revoquable     13/2 EW           &         Rum runner    17/2  EW                                                       4 places   betfair
Bev 4.20      Craven  5/1           &           Beltane      5/1             &          Metahorse     8/1  EW      2nd
Sal  4.30        Running Lion   9/4                 &         Karsavina   35/1  EW           &         Liftoff     30/1 EW         4 places
Gow 4.35       Asian Daze 10/3    WON     &       Mo Ghille mar     7/2
Gow 5.10       Something nice  11/8          &       Spanish Tenor     6/1     WON
Bev  5.25       Whiskey priest  13/2 EW          &              Saleet   11/1 EW         &           Hardy Angel    10/1 EW     WON  14/1        4 places
Gowran 5.40       Finsceal go deo   7/1 EW        &       Rock Etoile   11/1  EW    4th          &          Manhattan Dandy    20/1  EW            4 places   
 
Great start with WIN double 🏆 followed by 3 wins 🏆🏆🏆 &  2 EW places...last win @ 14/1 has more than paid for our day at Newmarket races on Saturday 🐎💷 

Still testing the speed par angle .....so speculative bets 
730 kemp .
Tahitian Prince is the only horse above the par for this grade and priced 8/1 so I'll try 5pt ew 

Rousay                                          4 30 Sal/                   1/40th of a pt ew    28/1               4th
Botas                                             8 00 Km/                  1/40th of a pt ew    20/1                WON
Red Royalist                                 8 30 Km/                   1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
 
 
 
 
 
P/L  + 168.35

Kempton. 
Single 
6.30. Allonsy     15/2
stk 5.00 rtn 47.00 
Double. 
3.10. Bevl.     L' Ennemi      5/1
6.10. Kemp. Time's Eye       11/2
singles & double 
stk 6.00  rtn 72.00
Good luck all. 
 

Top 2 are 1st and 2nd In betting ....I'll go 5pt ew top 3 8/1 10/1 14/1 

Great st wilfred 
Monsieur kodi 9.0 33 60 66
Summerghand   8.9  92 55 93 
Sophias starlight 8.7 30 38 40 
Witch hunter  8.3  55 69 57 
Equilateral   8.3  67 90 67 
@black rabbitEquilateral is joint 5th only reasons I can see why lower is he prefers g/f and vast majority of best form at 5f .....one to watch if he's showing good form but for me it's top 3 ew 

Fabre is a massive factor in french races he has winners in waves from start of season through to the arc, early season he has a good few fit then he lays off them mid season he doesn't do much with his very good horses but then ramps up to the autumn often although selectively targeting Group races at any time. he has had the first 2 winners today which is a tip in itself. bit more complicated than i have said here but its the general gist.

I wouldn't take much notice of what the Racing Post and ATR say about the going on French tracks they are way off most of the time often saying its much softer than it actually is. Deauville was good ground on Sunday and i believe there has been a couple of light showers since then.
As for pace in race's, you're right you don't see many mention it. I like to look at pace to try predict how a race will unfold but it often doesn't work out how you think.
This race 325 Deauville, Sivka Burka looks like the only front runner and could get easy enough time in front but she is up to a mile for first time. If Sivka Burka doesn't see out the extra furlong you have to like Fancy Me to reverse the form from lto. Also I like Elounda Queen if theres enough pace to run at, she has been held up/slow away last twice and rattled home just beaten a nose lto.
Value has to be Fancy Me @ 16/1
 

14:50 Lingfield - Purple Poppy
20:30 Newcastle - Rockin Rosa
2 Units E/W Singles
5 Units E/W Double