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The Equaliser

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Everything posted by The Equaliser

  1. 12.45 Chelt Treasure Dillon 1.15 Chelt Diesel D'allier 1.50 Chelt Rouge Vif 2.05 Font Colnel Custard 2.25 Chelt Politilogue 2.40 Font Shanroe Santos 3.00 chelt Monsiieur Lecoq 3.30 Chelt Eden Du Houx 4.0 chelt Hogos Other horse
  2. 12.45 Chelt Treasure Dillon one point win at 23 with Betfred
  3. 5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today: Doubles and trebles: Selections: A 1.40 Weth Sakhees City 4/1 (hope it holds its form) B 1.50 Chelt Ramses De Teillle 11/4 C 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel 15/2 D 3.0 Chelt To Be Fair 11/2 (drifting like a barge : Mat chapman) E 3.20 Weth Dali Mail 5/1 F 3.30 Chelt Legends Gold 5/1 Doubles: At £3 AB £56.25 BC £95.63 CD £65.75 DE £117.00 EF £108.00
  4. 5 doubles,two trebles and 6 win bets today: Doubles and trebles: Selections: A 1.40 Weth Sakhees City 4/1 (hope it holds its form) B 1.50 Chelt Ramses De Teillle 11/4 C 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel 15/2 D 3.0 Chelt To Be Fair 11/2 (drifting like a barge : Mat chapman) E 3.20 Weth Dali Mail 5/1 F 3.30 Chelt Legends Gold 5/1 Doubles: At £3 AB £56.25 BC £95.63 CD £65.75 DE £117.00 EF £108.00
  5. 2.25 Chelt Count Meribel one point win at 11 with Bet365
  6. Well OK; I did wonder how Rolemat came up with the 1/2 probability, especially as the horse had a known breathing problem previously. There were two other contenders including mine that finished last. Eliana was pulled up and did not run well at all. However, it was still sent off 15/8 favourite which meant that the market thought it would run well. All I am wondering is, if it is still kept in training, will it run a better race next time at better odds because sometimes a horse will run better on the second occasion after a wind op?
  7. Haha, I missed it when looking through the racecards today. Should have watched out for it as I had no winners today. You are very eagle eyed. Three favourites won at Newcastle and then some outsiders. Very difficult to truly work out which horses will perform to their best on Heavy going unless they are stand out performers. This is a problem for tomorrow though because Uttoxeter is forecast Heavy going and both Cheltenham and Wetherby are forecast Soft, Heavy in places. Cheltenham has the class action whilst Wetherby isn't too bad with class 4 races being the lowest. Wolverhampton has
  8. Not enough qualifying races for doubles and trebles today. Gone for three win bets instead Three win bets today. (1) 1.05 Nc Fyfin Patsey £6 win at 10.0 with Bet365 (2) 3.25 Nc Trooper Turnbull £6 win at 8 with Ladbokes (3) 3.45 Sou Zamoyski £8 win at 7.0 Skybet = £20 staked NB I place my bets on Betfair Exchange and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
  9. Not enough qualifying races for doubles and trebles today. Gone for three win bets instead Three win bets today. (1) 1.05 Nc Fyfin Patsey £2 win at 10.0 with Bet365 (2) 3.25 Nc Trooper Turnbull £2 win at 8 with Ladbokes (3) 3.45 Sou Zamoyski £2 win at 7.0 Skybet NB I place my bets on Betfair Exchange and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked) Results update: Multiples: Two winners yesterday but not coupled. I was disappointed with Templepa
  10. Hi Graham; I place my win bets on the Betfair Exchange and my multiples on Sportsbook. Betfair used to have a "multiples" section on their menu which meant that I could achieve returns at Betfair SP but they no longer show this option. I used to have a number of bookmakers accounts open but I didn't like using them because this meant having deposits spread over a number of accounts which rather waters down the ability for individual bets. I now just have one account with Betfair (I can't get on with Betdaq). I only state that I place my win bets on Betfair Exchange out of being honest. I
  11. 3.45 Sou Zamoyski one point win at 7 with skybet
  12. Very many thanks for sharing the principles of your strategy with the Forum. Just wondering if your method works on the All Weather flat and since you now have to use the Betfair Exchange do you choose the E/W option or do you select the win market for the win bet and the place market for the place bet separately? Also I know succesful traders who regularly win money on the Betfair Exchange, they suffer from Betfair Premiums for their success. Do you get adversley affected by this?
  13. Four double, one treble and one win bet today. Odds are a bit skinny, so I am hoping to get better returns with BOG Doubles and trebles: Selections: A 12.30 Sedg Millie The Minx 5/2 B 1.00 Sedg Ringarinarosie 9/4 C 1.50 Lud Seenanythingyouwant (a better price would be nice) 9/4 D 3.40 Taun Templepark 3/1 (up 8lbs but hopefully can beat Overland Flyer) E 3.50 Sedg Kingrullah 4/1 Doubles: At £3 AB £34.13 BC £31.69 CD £39.00 DE
  14. Four double, one treble and one win bet today. Odds are a bit skinny, so I am hoping to get better returns with BOG Doubles and trebles: Selections: A 12.30 Sedg Millie The Minx 5/2 B 1.00 Sedg Ringarinarosie 9/4 C 1.50 Lud Seenanythingyouwant (a better price would be nice) 9/4 D 3.40 Taun Templepark 3/1 (up 8lbs but hopefully can beat Overland Flyer) E 3.50 Sedg Kingrullah 4/1 Doubles: At £3 AB £34.13 BC £31.69 CD £39.00 DE
  15. 3.50 Sedg Kingrullah one point win at 5.0 with Skybet (couldn't find a decent outsider today)
  16. No Doubles and trebles today; I still have to complete my home project. Besides the going is forecast as Heavy at two tracks which only leaves Exeterfor me as a betting proposition Single win Bets: One win bet today. (1) 2.0 Exeter In Arears £20 win at 23 with Bet365 NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
  17. No Doubles and trebles today; I still have to complete my home project. Besides the going is forecast as Heavy at two tracks which only leaves Exeterfor me as a betting proposition Single win Bets: One win bet today. (1) 2.0 Exeter In Arears £2 win at 23 with Bet365 NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked) Results update: Multiples: No bets yesterday so balance remains the same Multiples: opening
  18. 2.00 Exeter In Arrears one point win at 23 with Bet365 .
  19. You don't seem to realise that you get your stake money back on a placed bet when a horse gets placed. I cancelled out the win bets in my example at break even and showed that a profit could be made if one achieves an 80% strike rate on the place bets. Hence, a £10 bet placed at 6/4 = £15/5 = a Profit of £3 with the £10 stake returned. 80 winning bets at £3 = a profit of £240 with £800 stake retuned. However, 20 x £10 = £200 stake money was lost. Hence the net profit is £240 less £200 = £40. I am only replying to this because you said my figures were wrong. Although this strategy is
  20. I freely admit that I do not have the magical numeracy skills of a Labour Party manifesto writer however I believe that I can resolve this issue once and for all by way of an example. Let's assume that MClarke achieves on average an SP of 6/4 about all his selections. This equates to a probability of a 40% success rate in real terms(let's ignore the over-round factor, though MClarke chooses races where this is minimised). Let's also assume that the actual results throw up a 40%win strike rate. We further assume that MClarke achieves an 80% place strike rate. This is not unreasonable s
  21. No Doubles and trebles today; I have a domestic chore to attend to today Single win Bets: One win bet today. (1) 4.0 Hereford = £20 win at 21 with WilliamHill NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked)
  22. No Doubles and trebles today; I have a domestic chore to attend to today Single win Bets: One win bet today. (1) 4.0 Hereford = £2 win at 21 with WilliamHill NB I place my bets on Betfair and usually get better odds but show best bookies odds as they can easily be checked) Results update: Multiples: No bets yesterday so balance remains the same Multiples: opening balance £800 + £119.10 = £919.10 C/forward ROI 14.875% Single bets One
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