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Smiles Tennis

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Posts posted by Smiles Tennis

    Tennis Data Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Mixed results in the last couple of days. I haven't touched on any of this for a long time so maybe things need a slight tweek. Maybe it's just because it's the early season and routines have been disrupted...we will see. I will keep making the selections and see how it does going forward. Very early days still. 

     

    Few morning picks. 

    Capture.PNG

    Tennis Data Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Tennis Picks

    Hope all of you have been well during these crazy times. I haven't bet on any tennis since last spring (ish). Now I am back to give it another go with the new season. I don't know how things will hold up but let's see. 

    I will start with £1074 (went to put £1000 in but still had £174 left in there so put in £900 and will use that. Nice)

    1% stakes each bet. Previously I increased it to 2% but starting with 1% with a view to increase again in the future. 

    All bets are on Betfair and profit will be with the commission deducted as I will just be copying the amounts from my account. 

    So how do I make selections?

    Same as before. I look at the history of a players results when the market has a certain amount of confidence in them. Long term the market *should* be accurate, but over time some players under/over perform compared to market thoughts. 

    That's the gist of it. 

    Currently in lockdown here so I have the time to post most picks I hope. I can't guarantee I will get every pick shared in time as I am still running my business. 

     

    Two current picks below. 

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    100 Value Bets

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    On 6/16/2020 at 10:02 AM, agourbet said:

    There is an excellent discussion about value betting, together with analysed data from thousands of value bets. These people went that deep that already found value traps created by bookmakers. It is a situation when you think you have value, but in reality you dont. https://arbusers.com/index.php?topic=7205.0 Other bettors also posted their experience, some of them claiming having 100.000 Euros value bets. Very insightful and food for thought. 

    I tried reading that review but nothing happened when i clicked the attachment. Do you have to be a member or is there something else i'm being stupid about?

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