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Blackroses

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  1. Like
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - August 12 - August 18   
    Madison Keys to beat Garbiñe Muguruza at 1.67 with 888
    Muguruza is in a very bad form. No matches played since Wimbledon where she lost her first match there against Beatriz Haddad Maia and broke with her coach after that. Keys has played 2 matches on hard this season. The first one was in Washington where she lost against Baptiste and the second one was in Toronto where she lost against Vekic in an incredible 3 set match (6-3, 6-7, 6-7). I watched that match and both players played incredibly well. Keys was superb on serve (15 aces 1 DF) conceding the first BP in the sixth game of the second set!
    Yulia Putintseva to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 1.81 with 888
    Putintseva only played 1 match on hard this season and it was a lost in straight sets against Wozniacki but I liked how she played the beginning of the first set. Ostapenko has played 4 matches since Wimbledon (2 wins and 2 loses). To be honest im not impressed with her 2 wins. I watched her win in straight sets against Garcia and that match was absolutely horrible. Both players played awful (the face of Caroline’s father was like “what the f**k is my daughter doing?). After that match she won against Pavlyuchenkova in a 3 set match and then was destroyed by Bouzkova (6-2, 6-2). Putintseva has the style of game that can trouble a lot Ostapenko.
    Alison Riske to beat Maria Sharapova at 2.10 with 888
    I see that Riske is still being underrated by the bookies despite her great state of form. She reached QF in Wimbledon losing in a tight match against Serena. After that she won Carol Zhao, Lepchenko and Sakkari in Toronto and finally lost against Karolina Pliskova in a 3 set match. The last time Sharapova won a match was in Mallorca against Kuzmova in June. She’s in a 3 losing streak: Kerber in Mallorca (6-2, 6-3), Parmentier in Wimbledon (6-4, 6-7, 0-5) and Kontaveit in Toronto (6-4, 3-6, 4-6). Riske is in better form and will play in home.
    Maria Sakkari to beat Camila Giorgi at 1.72 with 888
    This year has been horrible for Giorgi despite her recent Final in Washington. Im a little surprised for these odds considering the great form of Sakkari. Sakkari played in San José beating there Alexandrova, Mayo Hibi and Svitolina and losing in the Semifinals against the winner of the tournament: Saisai Zheng. Giorgi is one of the most aggressive players of the WTA and I expect that she will dominate Sakkari in some parts of the match but I see Sakkari too solid and I think that finally she will prevail.
  2. Like
    Blackroses reacted to aphro in Tennis Tips - August 5 - August 11   
    I've explained it here several times, this is math system that has ROI more than 20%. I don't give more info not just because i'm greedy or lazy - don't have that info.
    When it comes to coincidence with some user's tips - ROI can reach 50 and more percents, that's why i'm posting my picks here
  3. Like
    Blackroses reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 22 - July 28   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Juan Ignacio Londero at 1.98 with Pinnacle
    Nothing deep in this. Basilashvili looked ready today, Londero after a long week. Hoping the Hamburg magic stays with the man from Georgia.
  4. Like
    Blackroses reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 22 - July 28   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Hugo Dellien at 2.00 with William Hill
    While I do understand the reasons for Basilashvili being the underdog in this one, I don't really agree with them. Basilashvili is still the classier player of the two and he's the defending champion, so I think that he's going to be prepared for the event after taking a break after Wimbledon. Dellien is having an excellent season in terms of win and losses, but most of his successes came on the lower level and he's had some weak performances recently, so I'd have Nikoloz as the favorite here and I'm quite surprised that we're getting evens for him.
  5. Haha
    Blackroses reacted to vvararu in Tennis Tips - July 22 - July 28   
    I like it. For me it's tomorrow's banker as well.
  6. Like
    Blackroses reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2019   
    Barbora Strycova to beat Konta 2/1 paddy power 
     
    I can see this happening as she is a better player on grass and Konta will have the pressure of making another grand slam semi final 
  7. Confused
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2019   
    I don't know how that got put there but I asked that...
  8. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from Hermes in Wimbledon 2019   
  9. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from kempazzo in Wimbledon 2019   
    Sieg win
    Parm win
    Had a good feeling on those two.
  10. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2019   
    Sieg win
    Parm win
    Had a good feeling on those two.
  11. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from Smiles Tennis in Wimbledon 2019   
    Forgot the main point of what I was saying:
     
    Siegemund my 3rd underdog
  12. Confused
    Blackroses reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Ok black rose.. I don’t recommend but good luck thanks for reading
  13. Thanks
    Blackroses got a reaction from Smiles Tennis in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    I have enjoyed reading your input but I'm going to disagree with u here. Cornet will come to play and the price is so short because of Watson's 'home' advantage and familiarity. I really think Cornet takes her out in 2 sets. Something like 6-4, 6-4. Cornet wants momentum going into Wimb, she's going to be taking this seriously IMO.
     
     
     
     
  14. Like
    Blackroses reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Feliciano Lopez to beat (-1.5 sets) Gilles Simon at 2.60 with Betfair
    @money44 I'm with you on Feli all the way here. He's gonna beat Gilles in two tomorrow without a doubt. I'm fully confident. I base my confidence on Feli having a 5-2 record in this matchup and they've met 4 times on grass and Feli has won all 4 times and dropping just one set in the process. Feli looked superb today when he beat the teenager Felix A-A and this Queens club final has all the signs of a two set win for Feli.
  15. Thanks
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Petra Martic to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 1.94 with Marathonbet
    I will go against the general opinion here. I think Ostapenko will not maintain the level of playing that she had against Konta. Martic is player with a lot of variety and that can frustrate Ostapenko.
    Krystina Pliskova +10,5 Games (vs Strycova) at 1.57 with bet365
    Krystina is on a 5 winning streak (Sofia Zhuk, Pegula, Bouzkova, Tomova and Karolina Pliskova) and her serve is working so well. I think this match is a flip coin but this but this bet can be won even with a 2-0 for Strycova (if we have tight sets).
    Julia Gorges to beat Putintseva at 1.61 with Marathonbet
    Not impressed with the win of Putintseva against Osaka (I see her so mentally weak since Sascha Bajin and her broke their professional relationship. Putintseva will struggle on every game on serve so if Gorges is accurate with her serve she will have a big advantage against her.
     
  16. Like
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Félix Auger-Aliassime to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.75 with bet365
    I took Félix in the last round but Raonic retired because he was not at his best physically. Now we have Félix priced almost at 3.00 again so I think the value is on him. Both players have not too many matches on this surface but their conditions make them very dangerous players here (aggressive players with good serve). I think the match will be decided by minor details so i prefer the better priced player.
    Alison Riske to beat Kiki Bertens at 3.06 with Marathonbet 
    Personally i have Riske to win this tournament at 15.00 but i post this one anyway because i think the value is on the american. Kiki is an excelent player but we all know that grass is not her best surface (she has a W/L record of 15-15). She has win against Johanna Larsson (W/L record on grass of 7-19), Arantxa Rus (13-20), Vikhlyantseva (11-10) and Rybakina (5-1) so she had an easy way (Vikhlyantseva and Rybakina have the conditions to play really well on grass but not the experience). Now she will face a player that had more wins on grass than all these players together (Riske W/L record of 72-30 on grass). Riske is on a 9 winning streak and she has win here against Muchova, Hercog, Alexandrova and Kudermetova.
    I have to say that Riske has a terrible record in Finals (1-6).
  17. Like
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP and that is a fact. For example, do you know that we have 10 different woman players that have won RG in the last 12 years? We only have 3 male players that have won RG in the last 12 years. During this RG Halep was paid very similar than Nadal to win RG (that is ridicolous considering that Halep has won only 1 GS and Nadal has 18 including 12 RG..). Everytime a GS is coming we all know that the men's title will be disputed by 3 or 4 players but the women's title has become a lottery. Probably this will change when some players take a step but now this is the situation. Obviously im not saying that there are no suprising results in the ATP im just saying that the WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP.
  18. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    I like Vikhlyantseva over Bertens for the big upset today. It's a longshot yes, but I'm giving it a try. She's played great, looking nearly flawless so far. Granted vs inferior opponents but she's gained confidence. Let's face it, there's a reason why she's such a big underdog. 
    Vikhlyantseva for the win! +230
    To win a set -115 is a nice play too IMO
  19. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    I like Vikhlyantseva over Bertens for the big upset today. It's a longshot yes, but I'm giving it a try. She's played great, looking nearly flawless so far. Granted vs inferior opponents but she's gained confidence. Let's face it, there's a reason why she's such a big underdog. 
    Vikhlyantseva for the win! +230
    To win a set -115 is a nice play too IMO
  20. Like
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Jordan Thompson to beat Alex De Miñaur at 2.65 with 888
    Alex is absolutely far from his best form after the injury he had. He has win against Seppi in his first match here in 2 sets. Jordan has win against Tommy Paul in a 3 set match and he has destroyed Tiafoe in 2 sets. Considering that Alex is so far from his best form I think Jordan can take this.
  21. Like
    Blackroses reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Marton Fucsovics to beat (+1,5 Sets) to beat Milos Raonic at 1.72 with 888
    We have another player here who is so far from his best form. Raonic has dropped a set in his 2 matches here against Popyrin and Tsonga. Fucsovics has win against Munar and Basilashvili. I think he can win this but will take the Sets Handicap.
  22. Like
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Columbus 
    John Mcnally @2.71 Pinnacle 4/10
    Theoretically this is a must-win for prospect like Mcnally playing at home in Ohio. I know his current form isn't the best, he had some major problems in the last few College matches losing sets to some players he should beat easily. But now he had few weeks off and maybe recovered a bit after a long season for Ohio State and this is a big chance here.
  23. Thanks
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    ATP s'Hertogenbosch doubles
    S. Arends/M. Middelkoop @2.68 5dimes 4/10
    For me this is basically a pick em' match so i am happy to take the two local guys at a very good price. Arends and Middelkoop had a decent run on grass in 2018. They reached qf. in s'Hertogenbosch, final in Antalya and the second round in Wimbledon (close match and loss vs. Bryan brothers). Ram/Salisbury coming off a very decent run on clay in Paris (although they had some real luck out there for sure). They're having a good year together and i think they will do fine on grass but this is close matchup, no real fav should be named.
  24. Thanks
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    ATP s'Hertogenbosch
    Robin Haase @2.47 Pinnacle 4/10
    Haase looked great vs. Humbert in the first round. Was serving very well. Grass is maybe his favorite surface, personally of course, he's a former junior Wimbledon finalist (losing to Chardy in 2005). I think he can be dangerous to anyone on grass and especially in the early stages of the grass season he's very dangerous as he is adapting quickly. I don't think Garin should be the favorite. I like my action on Haase here, in my opinion he has good chances to reach the quarterfinal at his home tournament.
  25. Like
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Matteo Berrettini 2.910 Pinnacle 4/10
    So we do trust Kyrgios again only because it's grass court tennis now? No, man, i do not trust him for 1% even if it's grass in Australia in front of his house. Kyrgios is a joke and i really love to fade him right now as he's looking like a mental nutcase who is also struggling with physical issues left and right. Berrettini is a guy who is always reliable as he is delivering solid performances and he has the tools to play well on grass. His serve is big and he has crushing groundstrokes. At some point Kyrgios might quit again. If not it's still close matchup.
    Shelby Rogers -1.5 games 2.03 Dafabet 4/10
    Rogers looked incredible good recently considering the fact she is coming back from long injury layoff. She won sets vs. Suarez Navarro, Garcia and Ostapenko during her first comeback trail on clay and now she's playing on grass where she had some solid success in the past (R3 in Wimbledon, should have beaten Kerber there but lost close match in the third). On the other hand Sorribes Tormo finished her match vs. Zidansek in Bol late Sunday evening. She caught a flight from Split to the UK on Monday but there is no direct flight so she had at least one stop and might arrived in Nottingham late in the evening, a couple of hours ago. I doubt she could hit on grass as weather was really bad in Nottingham. The whole week shows tough weather conditions and it'll be tough for her to get any match practice on grass before she has to play the match while Rogers already had a few hitting sessions on the outdoor grass. I like Rogers here. 
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