PercyP

Week 5 Picks
1. Jets to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Jets have played some strong opponents. Denver will be a nice change. Their defence will enjoy feasting on Russell Wilson and in a low scoring game give me the Jets with the points.
2. Bengals to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
I shall stick with the Bengals even after last week’s poor performance. A loss in this game would mean their season is over.
3. 49Ers to win ATS -3.50 points @ 10/11
The 49Ers are extremely talented. At home they are almost invincible.
4. Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11
I cannot believe I am picking the Steelers again after last week’s inept performance. Previous games against the Ravens have always been close. Home advantage, a mean defence and injuries to the Ravens gives the advantage to the Steelers.
5. Dolphins to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11
Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. The Giants could not stop Seattle sacking Daniel Jones 11 times last week. I am expecting Miami to go big (32-35 points).
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 5 Picks
1. Jets to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Jets have played some strong opponents. Denver will be a nice change. Their defence will enjoy feasting on Russell Wilson and in a low scoring game give me the Jets with the points.
2. Bengals to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
I shall stick with the Bengals even after last week’s poor performance. A loss in this game would mean their season is over.
3. 49Ers to win ATS -3.50 points @ 10/11
The 49Ers are extremely talented. At home they are almost invincible.
4. Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11
I cannot believe I am picking the Steelers again after last week’s inept performance. Previous games against the Ravens have always been close. Home advantage, a mean defence and injuries to the Ravens gives the advantage to the Steelers.
5. Dolphins to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11
Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. The Giants could not stop Seattle sacking Daniel Jones 11 times last week. I am expecting Miami to go big (32-35 points).
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 4 Results
As soon as Deshaun Watson was ruled out just before kick-off, I knew the bets were in trouble. Add to that Joe Burrow’s poor performance and the Steelers inept display, week 4 is best forgotten about.
ATS - Won 2 Lost 3 Staked 30 points. Returned Nil for a loss of -30.00 points
ATS YTD record - Picks 20 = W9 D2 L9 - staked 120.00 points – returned 15.54 resulting in a seasonal  2023 loss of -104.46 points
1. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 Browns lost Deshaun Watson before kick-off it was game over. Baltimore win 28-3 LOST
2. Bengals to win ATS -2.0 points @ 10/11 No signs of form this week 3-27 LOST
3. Vikings to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 No luck about this performance Vikings won easily 21-13 WON
4. Steelers to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 10/11 Steelers hammered 30-6 LOST
5. Rams to win Moneyline @ 1/1 Rams win in overtime 29-23 bet WON
Lets hope week 5 is better.

Week 4 Results
As soon as Deshaun Watson was ruled out just before kick-off, I knew the bets were in trouble. Add to that Joe Burrow’s poor performance and the Steelers inept display, week 4 is best forgotten about.
ATS - Won 2 Lost 3 Staked 30 points. Returned Nil for a loss of -30.00 points
ATS YTD record - Picks 20 = W9 D2 L9 - staked 120.00 points – returned 15.54 resulting in a seasonal  2023 loss of -104.46 points
1. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 Browns lost Deshaun Watson before kick-off it was game over. Baltimore win 28-3 LOST
2. Bengals to win ATS -2.0 points @ 10/11 No signs of form this week 3-27 LOST
3. Vikings to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 No luck about this performance Vikings won easily 21-13 WON
4. Steelers to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 10/11 Steelers hammered 30-6 LOST
5. Rams to win Moneyline @ 1/1 Rams win in overtime 29-23 bet WON
Lets hope week 5 is better.

Aldershot v Dagenham & Redbridge I was not impressed at all with Aldershot on Tuesday night and whilst they were a goal up and you hope any team you are on can hold on from there, it would have been harsh on Southend if they hadn't got something from the game. Granted Dagenham are struggling for wins and struggling for goals. They haven't scored in 4 games now, indeed they have featured in two 0-0s and two 1-0 defeats so there have been few goals full stop. Prior to those 4 games we were on them to beat Chesterfield and until they went a man down I thought they looked pretty comfortable at 1 up so they are more than capable of beating a side like Aldershot and they are a bit of value to do so.   Bromley v Gateshead Two of the form sides in the division as Bromley haven't lost since losing their first 2 games of the season and Gateshead are unbeaten in 7 having also just lost twice all season. They have looked very good putting 3 past Kidderminster and Maidenhead and on Tuesday 4 past Oxford City. The thing is though they are pretty much the 3 worst teams in the division and when they beat Eastleigh 6-0 recently, they were truly awful. That isn't to say that Gateshead aren't a good side because they are, but for me the kind fixture list has helped them and it has meant the are stupidly short to win this. Again that's not to say they can't win, but I just don't see how they can be odds on to beat a Bromley side who as highlighted have been impossible to beat since the opening two games of the season. If Gateshead were at home I could understand the odds on quote more, although even then I wouldn't have them that short. I think at home Bromley have to be favs and in some ways that should mean given the odds they are that we should be having a decent bet on them, but like I say this is a game between two in form sides and thus it is more a bet because of the odds rather than being really confident Bromley will win.   Hartlepool v Dorking In some ways I was surprised to see Dorking being backed and I did think I might be on my own in wanting to back them at 6/1, but that price has long gone although I still think they are a value bet. Only Rochdale have beaten them in their last 6 games and that was with 2 injury times as well. Hartlepool have gone off the boil in recent weeks having only beaten Wealdstone and Dagenham in their last 7 games. Again like above in some ways any of the 3 results wouldn't surprise, but I don't think Dorking should be as big as they are and I am happy to take a chance on them again on them to win for us for the 2nd consecutive game.   Maidenhead v Chesterfield Granted in previous seasons Maidenhead have perked up when playing the top sides and have caused all sorts of issues for them, but they are just woeful at the moment and as much as I think Chesterfield are still beatable in the title race, they should have way too much for the home side. The intensity that they started the game with at Rochdale on Tuesday was incredible and they fully deserved to be 1 up early doors. As much as Rochdale didn't cause them too many problems in the 2nd half, Chesterfield actually only managed 1 shot which is something for the other sides to cling on to. That shouldn't be an issue here though and they really should cover the -1 handicap.   Double Oldham actually got a higher xG than Kidderminster on Tuesday night, but make no bones about it Oldham were fortunate winners as Kidderminster once again played well at home but failed to win. That has been the story of their season and they just don't have the strike force to score goals. Barnet were very good at York on Tuesday and they do have the fire power to score goals. I do think though the price only has marginal value in it which is why I am sticking them in a double with Altrincham who feature in the live game against Oxford City. Oxford did have a very good spell which includes beating Hartlepool and Boreham Wood, but they were very lucky to get a point at Eastleigh and they were hopeless in their last two games against Oldham and Gateshead. Altrincham didn't create as much as I thought they would against Maidenhead on Tuesday and that is why like Barnet I think they are only marginal value, but I do think they will win.   Scunthorpe v Buxton Given what happened in the 1st game and what is happening off the field I do think Buxton are worth a bet here. If you aren't aware of what happened in the 1st game there was a torrential downpour in the 2nd half and the pitch became unplayable, but the ref only decided to call it off in injury whilst Buxton were 2-1 up. Buxton will be hoping to get the 3 points they deserve and who knows where the heads of the Scunthorpe players will be. Possibly they will want to give their fans a performance in what might be their last ever game at their home, but they might also be thinking they will be needing to look for a new club soon. At the prices again Buxton are worth a value play.   Prices from around 8.30pm on Thursday Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365, Skybet and Betfred (take up to 7/4) Bromley 1pt @ 13/5 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor and William Hill (14/5 with Coral and 11/4 with Skybet take up to 6/4) Dorking 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365 and Coral (take up to 3/1) Chesterfield -1 1pt @ 8/5 with Skybet, Bet365 and Coral (take up to 5/4) Barnet/Altrincham 1pt double @ 3.4/1 with Bet365 and Coral (take up to 11/4) Buxton 1pt @ 7/2 with Skybet and Paddy Power (Betfair are 18/5 and take up to 5/2)

Well played to all the prize winners as always

I have been monitoring the situation at Scunthorpe very closely and as much as I wanted to give the bet every chance I do think with the latest update the best advice now has to be to cash out of our bets. Here is a link to the latest update if you want to read it for yourselves https://t.co/F0BXSDv8lf. The fact the owner is not putting anymore money in worries me given the huge wage bill they have and as much as it mentions they don't want the playing staff to be affected I'm not sure how it can't not be. The fact they are moving to Gainsborough to play their games is going to make this worse as crowd numbers are going to drop massively. I also don't like the mention of bringing in an outside company to run the club as that could mean administrators and if that happens they will be docked 10 points straight away. To be honest it just looks like one huge mess and I just can't be certain they will see out the season let alone win the league anymore. Given we can cash out for a profit I would rather do that now than be worrying what is going to happen especially as it is a 4pt bet. We still have the Spennymoor bet and that looks a huge player at this stage. Apart from Scunthorpe's game against Buxton on Saturday there are no more games until the following Saturday so I will give it some thought about who if anyone I want to add to the bets as there is time to do so. This isn't something I like doing, but I just think it has got to the stage where it is the best thing to do.

6.00 Newcastle. - Hougoumont 14/1 Bet365 

Week 4 Picks
1. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21
Home advantage, a mean defence and injuries to the Ravens give the advantage to the Browns.
2. Bengals to win ATS -2.0 points @ 10/11
Whilst QB Burrow is still playing through his injury, there were signs at the weekend of the Bengals returning to form.
3. Vikings to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings are 0-3 this season, however the luck has gone against them. Time for the Vikings to get their first win.
4. Steelers to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 10/11
The Steelers have only lost to the 49Ers. The Texans beat a Jags team which just could not hold on to the ball. Steelers are the better team.
5. Rams to win Moneyline @ 1/1
The 2021 Super Bowl Champions LA Rams can take care of the colts, thanks to QB Matt Stafford and clever coaching plays by Sean McVay. 
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 3 Results: 
1.      Dolphins to win ATS -6.5 points @ 10/11 - Record performance by the Fins (70-20)  - WON
2.      Dallas to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11 - What a shock losing to the Cardinals (28-16) - LOST
3.      New England Patriots to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23 - Patriots tough it out (15-10) - WON
4.      Jacksonville to win ATS -9.5 @ points 10/11 - Another big shock, Jags lose at home (17-37) - LOST
5.      Detroit to win ATS -3.00 points @ 20/23 - Lions comfortable win (20-6) - WON
ATS - Won 3 Lost 2 Staked 30 points. Returned 6.67 for a loss of -23.33 points
ATS YTD record
Picks 15 = W7 D2 L6 - staked 90.00 points – returned 15.54  resulting in a seasonal loss 2023 of -74.46 points
 

Week 4 Picks
1. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21
Home advantage, a mean defence and injuries to the Ravens give the advantage to the Browns.
2. Bengals to win ATS -2.0 points @ 10/11
Whilst QB Burrow is still playing through his injury, there were signs at the weekend of the Bengals returning to form.
3. Vikings to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings are 0-3 this season, however the luck has gone against them. Time for the Vikings to get their first win.
4. Steelers to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 10/11
The Steelers have only lost to the 49Ers. The Texans beat a Jags team which just could not hold on to the ball. Steelers are the better team.
5. Rams to win Moneyline @ 1/1
The 2021 Super Bowl Champions LA Rams can take care of the colts, thanks to QB Matt Stafford and clever coaching plays by Sean McVay. 
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 3 Results: 
1.      Dolphins to win ATS -6.5 points @ 10/11 - Record performance by the Fins (70-20)  - WON
2.      Dallas to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11 - What a shock losing to the Cardinals (28-16) - LOST
3.      New England Patriots to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23 - Patriots tough it out (15-10) - WON
4.      Jacksonville to win ATS -9.5 @ points 10/11 - Another big shock, Jags lose at home (17-37) - LOST
5.      Detroit to win ATS -3.00 points @ 20/23 - Lions comfortable win (20-6) - WON
ATS - Won 3 Lost 2 Staked 30 points. Returned 6.67 for a loss of -23.33 points
ATS YTD record
Picks 15 = W7 D2 L6 - staked 90.00 points – returned 15.54  resulting in a seasonal loss 2023 of -74.46 points
 

4.55 Wolverhampton - Surprise Picture = E.way 12/1 Bet365 

Congratulations to @silver fox with a comprehensive victory in the final. Well done to the runner up @Like A Roughie

4.55 Wolverhampton - Surprise Picture = E.way 12/1 Bet365 

The underdogs have made a good start to the 2023 season. However, this will change in week 3.
 1.      Dolphins to win ATS - 6.5 points @ 10/11
Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. Playing the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson should make it easier.
2.      Dallas to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11
I still think the Cardinals are the worst team in football.
3.      New England Patriots to win ATS - 2.5 points @ 20/23
The Patriots have beaten the Jets 22 times in the last 24 H2H meetings.
4.      Jacksonville to win ATS - 9.5 @ points 10/11
Jacksonville was defeated by Kansas last week. The Texans are not that quality.
5.      Detroit to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 20/23
Atlanta will have a hard time keeping up with Detroit.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

First the Week 2 results:
All my picks were in close games in week 2, but unfortunately the results went against me.
1.      Kansas City Chiefs to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Chiefs win 17-9  = WON
 2.      Eagles to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11 – Eagles win by six (34-28) = PUSH / DRAW  
 Eagles let a 27-7 lead diminish to just six.
 3.       Chargers to win ATS – 3.0 points @ 20/21 – Chargers lose in overtime = LOST
 Chargers were not helped by Ekeler being unable to play. The running game stalled with just 61 yards on the ground.
 4.      NY Giants to win ATS @ -5.5 points @ 10/11 – NYG make a record comeback to win (31-28 ) but fail to beat the spread = LOST
 5.      New Orleans Saints to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – Saints win (20-17) by three = PUSH / DRAW 
Saints led  20-9 with 3 minutes left.
Week record W1 D2 L2 staked 30.00 points - returned 1.91 for a loss of - 28.09 points
YTD record 10 Matches ATS - W4 D2 L4 staked 60.00 points – returned 8.87  YTD Loss = - 51.13 points

The underdogs have made a good start to the 2023 season. However, this will change in week 3.
 1.      Dolphins to win ATS - 6.5 points @ 10/11
Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. Playing the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson should make it easier.
2.      Dallas to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11
I still think the Cardinals are the worst team in football.
3.      New England Patriots to win ATS - 2.5 points @ 20/23
The Patriots have beaten the Jets 22 times in the last 24 H2H meetings.
4.      Jacksonville to win ATS - 9.5 @ points 10/11
Jacksonville was defeated by Kansas last week. The Texans are not that quality.
5.      Detroit to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 20/23
Atlanta will have a hard time keeping up with Detroit.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

The underdogs have made a good start to the 2023 season. However, this will change in week 3.
 1.      Dolphins to win ATS - 6.5 points @ 10/11
Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. Playing the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson should make it easier.
2.      Dallas to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11
I still think the Cardinals are the worst team in football.
3.      New England Patriots to win ATS - 2.5 points @ 20/23
The Patriots have beaten the Jets 22 times in the last 24 H2H meetings.
4.      Jacksonville to win ATS - 9.5 @ points 10/11
Jacksonville was defeated by Kansas last week. The Texans are not that quality.
5.      Detroit to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 20/23
Atlanta will have a hard time keeping up with Detroit.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

First the Week 2 results:
All my picks were in close games in week 2, but unfortunately the results went against me.
1.      Kansas City Chiefs to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Chiefs win 17-9  = WON
 2.      Eagles to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11 – Eagles win by six (34-28) = PUSH / DRAW  
 Eagles let a 27-7 lead diminish to just six.
 3.       Chargers to win ATS – 3.0 points @ 20/21 – Chargers lose in overtime = LOST
 Chargers were not helped by Ekeler being unable to play. The running game stalled with just 61 yards on the ground.
 4.      NY Giants to win ATS @ -5.5 points @ 10/11 – NYG make a record comeback to win (31-28 ) but fail to beat the spread = LOST
 5.      New Orleans Saints to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – Saints win (20-17) by three = PUSH / DRAW 
Saints led  20-9 with 3 minutes left.
Week record W1 D2 L2 staked 30.00 points - returned 1.91 for a loss of - 28.09 points
YTD record 10 Matches ATS - W4 D2 L4 staked 60.00 points – returned 8.87  YTD Loss = - 51.13 points

Fantastic tipping Roughie 3 out of 3.
Good luck in the final.

Hard luck @PercyP but hats off to @Like A Roughie with a 79/1 treble

Fantastic tipping Roughie 3 out of 3.
Good luck in the final.

2.25 Doncaster - Room Service = E.way 9/1 Bet365 

As usual week one of the NFL season threw up some shocks. Kansas City Chiefs, the Bills, the Chargers and the Bengals all lost. At the end of the season all of these teams will be in the play-offs. You must not forget one game does not make a season.
1.      Kansas City Chiefs to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Wheels have not come off the super-bowl champions golden carriage. They will be angry to lose to the Lions, but with ten days to game plan, they will take it out the Jags.
2.      Eagles to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11
The Eagles were many people’s choice for this year’s super-bowl. They appeared to take their foot of the gas allowing the Patriots back into the game last week. The Eagles will show their true form this week.
3.       Chargers to win ATS – 3.0 points @ 20/21
The Chargers had a real shoot out with the Dolphins last week. They should be able to beat the Titans who look very one dimensional relying on keeping the matches very close and low scoring.
4.      NY Giants to win ATS @ -5.5 points @ 10/11
Despite losing 40-0 against the Cowboys in week one, the Giants played well until falling behind to a blocked field goal. After that the Dallas defence was superb. This week they play the Cardinals who in my opinion are the worst team in the NFL.
5.      New Orleans Saints to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23
The Saints will not fear the panthers, with Bryce Young finishing with a QB rating of just 48.8, 3.8 yards per attempt and two interceptions.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
 YTD W3 L2 – Loss of 23.04 points