PercyP

Not doing anytime TD scorers so stuck it on both of the back up QBs managing 2+ passing TDs at 10/1. Expires tomorrow so can’t really save it for a better game.

Week 15 Picks
1. Raiders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – THURSDAY NIGHT
The Raiders let me down last week failing to score against a Vikings defence ranked in the top 10. Against a Chargers defence ranked 29 out of 32, they should score plenty. I would like their chances even more if Jimmy Garoppolo starts at QB.
The Chargers have little to play for as their hopes of reaching the play-offs are limited. They are super reliant on Justin Herbert, so without him (out injured for the rest of the season) and against a strong Raiders defence I cannot see them keeping this competitive.
2. Steelers to win Moneyline @ 21/20
The Steelers have lost their last two home games, however the money continues to come for the Steelers. Colts QB Gardener Minshew is regressing and will find no rest from the aggressive Steelers defence. Whilst the Colts cannot stop the run, so Harris & Warren will keep the Steelers on the front foot.
 3. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 23/20
A win for the Bills against the Chiefs last week will see the public jumping on the Bills. Since week four, the Bills have only beaten one team by seven points or more. Their games are usually close affairs. The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they and the Eagles fight for first place in the NFC East.
4. Titans to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6
The Titans pulled off a major shock beating Miami last week. However this selection is more about the Titans home form (4-2) against a Texans team fading as the season progresses. There are also doubts about CJ Stroud playing (right shoulder injury).
5. Eagles to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
The Eagles will be desperate to win the NFC East. After games against the Chiefs (won), Bills (won), 49Ers (lost) and Cowboys (lost) this game against Seattle should be easier.
 Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 14 Results
Another profitable week, despite the Ravens missing by one point and the Raiders bet being a push.
Picks 5 Won 3 Drew 1 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 41.39 points for a profit of 11.39 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 70 = W37 D5 L28 – staked 420.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +470.54 points
1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11 – Ravens win by 6 in overtime = LOST
Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment. The Ravens won but their defence was poor allowing 410 yards of total offence.
2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11 – The lost scoring game of the season saw the Vikings win 3-0 = DRAW
The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings. The Raiders defence was excellent, but their offence was dreadful.
3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 –  Lawrence suits up but Browns win by 4 (31-27) = WON
The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home. Trevor Lawrence didn't look like himself, which is understandable given the fact that he was playing on one good leg. With Lawrence compromised, the Browns defence pressured him forcing several wayward passes.
 4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1 – Bears win 28-13 = WON
In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and dreading facing this team again. The Bears defence dominated the Lions in the second half holding them to just 76 yards offence.
5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1 – Bronco’s win 24-7 = WON
Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?
 The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form. The Bronco’s defence continues to be excellent, with the Chargers 0 from 12 on third downs.

Week 15. How time flies! Let's see if we can muster up a profit between us on this lot.

£19 up for the season. Still £34 down for the calendar year so let's see if I can wipe that deficit out next!

Steelers lost last week leaving the results as,
Home Teams: 6/12, -2.40pts
Just gone with the odds boosted bet builder from Hills this week as follows:
Denver Broncos To Win
Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Justin Herbert Under 256.50 Total Passing Yards
Odds boosted to 20/1
 🤞
 

Tonight's game looks like an easy "no bet" for me barring the fact that I've got a free bet to use that doesn't last until Sunday. Two back-up QBs in a game tipped to go under the points line.
I've gone for Zappe and Trubisky both to throw for 2+ TDs at 24/1 (a double up boost) as I can't find anything I like more with Lads.

Week 14 Picks
1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11
Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment.
2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11
The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings.
3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23
The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home.
 4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1
In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and must be dreading facing this team again.
5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1
Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?
The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 14 Picks
1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11
Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment.
2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11
The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings.
3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23
The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home.
 4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1
In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and must be dreading facing this team again.
5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1
Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?
The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 13 Results
Only Washington failing to keep it close against the Dolphins prevented a full house in week 13. Still a weekly profit of 39.06 points was achieved.
Picks 5 Won 4 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 69.06 points for a profit of 39.06 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 65 = W34 D4 L27 – staked 390.00 points – returned 849.15 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +459.15 points
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 - 49Er’s comfortably win 42-19 = WON
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective. Eagles could afford to lose this game and still be in the playoff hunt.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Rams come good, winning 36-19 = WON
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win. Browns started well but injuries told in the end.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11 – Dolphins thrash Washington 45-15 = LOST
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close. I got that wrong.
 4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Lions win in a close one 33-28 = WON
Both the Lions and Saints have been poor recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week. The Lions led 21-0 early but their defence allowed the Saints back into this game.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Texans win 22-17 = WON
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans. Russell Wilson throws a season-high three interceptions, including the final play of the game which could have given the Broncho’s victory. Thank you, Russell.

Week 13 Results
Only Washington failing to keep it close against the Dolphins prevented a full house in week 13. Still a weekly profit of 39.06 points was achieved.
Picks 5 Won 4 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 69.06 points for a profit of 39.06 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 65 = W34 D4 L27 – staked 390.00 points – returned 849.15 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +459.15 points
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 - 49Er’s comfortably win 42-19 = WON
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective. Eagles could afford to lose this game and still be in the playoff hunt.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Rams come good, winning 36-19 = WON
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win. Browns started well but injuries told in the end.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11 – Dolphins thrash Washington 45-15 = LOST
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close. I got that wrong.
 4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Lions win in a close one 33-28 = WON
Both the Lions and Saints have been poor recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week. The Lions led 21-0 early but their defence allowed the Saints back into this game.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Texans win 22-17 = WON
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans. Russell Wilson throws a season-high three interceptions, including the final play of the game which could have given the Broncho’s victory. Thank you, Russell.

6.00 Wolverhampton - Lewis Barnes = E.way 80/1 Bet365

6.00 Wolverhampton - Lewis Barnes = E.way 80/1 Bet365

Thank you all for the 'likes'  much appreciated.  Thank you MC for running the comp , again much appreciated. 
Well done to all , commiserations to mick33 leader from day one .
Good luck everyone for  the December comp. 

Week 13 Picks
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective.
After week ten I wrote “49Ers are back to form. With their best players available the 49Ers appear bound for the Super Bowl”. Nothing has changed my mind.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close.
 4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Both the Lions and Saints have been disappointing recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Results
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 60 = W30 D4 L26 – staked 360.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +420.09 points
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT – Jets outgunned by Dolphins 34-13 = WON
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective. Dolphins won easily.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT – Packers win straight up 29-22 = LOST
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11. Unfortunately he did! Jared Goff lost three fumbles, including one that was returned for a Packers TD in the first quarter. Goff now has six turnovers over his past two games. 
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11 – Colts win 27-20 = WON
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5. The Colts gave Baker Mayfield, nightmares sacking him six times.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11 – Falcons beat Saints 24-15 = LOST
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times. It doesn’t help when Saints QB Derek Carr gives away a 92-yard pick-six. The Saints offence was the problem. The Saints made five trips into the red zone and they came away with zero touchdowns
 5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Worst game ever, Giants win 10-7 = LOST
 I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday. Bill Belichick’s time at New England is coming to an end.

Week 13 Picks
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective.
After week ten I wrote “49Ers are back to form. With their best players available the 49Ers appear bound for the Super Bowl”. Nothing has changed my mind.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close.
 4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Both the Lions and Saints have been disappointing recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Results
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 60 = W30 D4 L26 – staked 360.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +420.09 points
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT – Jets outgunned by Dolphins 34-13 = WON
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective. Dolphins won easily.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT – Packers win straight up 29-22 = LOST
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11. Unfortunately he did! Jared Goff lost three fumbles, including one that was returned for a Packers TD in the first quarter. Goff now has six turnovers over his past two games. 
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11 – Colts win 27-20 = WON
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5. The Colts gave Baker Mayfield, nightmares sacking him six times.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11 – Falcons beat Saints 24-15 = LOST
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times. It doesn’t help when Saints QB Derek Carr gives away a 92-yard pick-six. The Saints offence was the problem. The Saints made five trips into the red zone and they came away with zero touchdowns
 5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Worst game ever, Giants win 10-7 = LOST
 I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday. Bill Belichick’s time at New England is coming to an end.

Broncos won last week leaving the results as,
Home Teams: 5/10, -1.95pts
One Selection this week and having another go with the odds boosted bet builder with Hills
Home Team: Tennessee Titans 1.55 Bet365
The Titans host the Carolina Panthers who are struggling for form currently as are the Titans as well admittedly. Though I can forgive the Titans as they have had three games on the trot away from Home and so a return to Home soil will preferably see an upturn in fortunes for the Titans.
 
The Bet builder is based on the same game, with three legs:
Tennessee Titans To Win
Will Levis Over 1.50 Passing Touchdowns
Nick Folk Under 1.50 Field Goals
Odds boosted to 11.20

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 11 Results
The week 11 bet was over when Joe Burrow picked up a season ending injury when giving the Bengals a 10-7 lead against the Ravens. Without Burrow in the second half the Ravens were able to win at their leisure. Cowboys and Browns win but the Lions lost ATS and the Titans played like a team that has given up for the season.
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 55 = W28 D4 L23 – staked 330.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +450.09 points
49Ers, Dolphins, Bills, Commanders and Chargers all appear nailed on this week according to the pundits. However this is the NFL and surprises do and will happen. I would not be surprised to see 2+ upsets ATS, so I have purposefully avoided these games. I was happy to avoid the three upsets involving the Dolphins, Commanders and Chargers.
1. Bengals to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11 – THURSDAY NIGHT = Burrow injury scuppers bet. Ravens win 34-20, - LOST
Defeat against the Texans last week, makes this a must win game for the Bengals. Injuries to key players in the Ravens line up helps the Bengals cause. Injury to Joe Burrow puts paid to the Bengals chances.
2. Titans to win ATS +7.0 points @ 10/11 = Titans poor losing 34-14 - LOST
The Titans are an extremely physical team. Just the type of team Trevor Lawrence hates to play. It is time for Derrick Henry to show his talent. What shocking performance from the Titans. Derrick Henry is a mere shadow of his former self. Are they losing to get a top draft pick?
3. Dallas Cowboys to win ATS -10.5 points @ 10/11 = Cowboys easy win 33-10 - WON
Dallas has a habit of beating up on bad teams and the Panthers are bad (1-8).  Dallas should win big. They did, the Panthers are bad.
4. Browns to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11 = Browns win 13-10 - WON
Despite winning for me last week, the Steelers are by far the luckiest team in the NFl.  However their best form comes at home. The Browns also excel at home (4-1), with their one loss coming against the Ravens when their QB was injured. The Steelers luck will run out this week. Browns win an ugly game.
5. Lions to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11 = Lions won by 5 (31-26) - LOST
Even with Justin Fields back, I cannot see how the Bears keep this close. The Lions are better in all positions. Jared Goff the Lions QB is usually “Mr reliable” but was terrible for most of the game giving away 3 turnovers. But in the final four minutes he was able to lead the Lions to victory taking the Lions down the field to score two touchdowns. Pure class by Goff.

Good job winners! Thanks avongirl once more for everything...

Well done all winners! As always a big thanks to @avongirl for all the hard work 🙂