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*** Punchestown Festival Competition: Well done to 1st. Craig Bluenose, 2nd. Lee Grays & 3rd. Carole Dawney ***
** May Poker League Result : 1st McG, 2nd muttley, 3rd GirlyWirly **
** Football Tipster Competition Result : 1st CertiF, 2nd PercyP, 3rd adamross, 4th Joelavfc, 5th Chris P **
** May Naps Competition Result: 1st Internetmails, 2nd Rug, 3rd Rolandcooper, 4th Adamross. KO Cup Winner: Xtc12, Most Winners: Mickyftm32 **

PercyP

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  1. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from MCLARKE in ROYAL ASCOT TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 1 selections   
    2.30 - 3.05 - Tolstoy 3.40 - Liberty Beach 4.20 - Poetic Flare 5.00 - Elysian Flame 5.35 - Fox Tai 6.10 - Brilliant Light
    Thank you for running the Comp = MClarke. Good luck all.
     
  2. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from Donnyflyer in Naps - Tuesday 15th June   
    Elysian Flame 5.00 Ascot E.Way 16/1 Bet365
  3. Like
    PercyP reacted to Fader in Euro 2020 Competition - Format & Rules   
    The 2020 (In 2021) European Championships start on June 11th and concludes with the Final on the 11th July
    The Punters Lounge will award cash prizes totalling £200 via Paypal.
    First £80
    Second £60
    Third £40
    Fourth £20
    * Deadline for any entries therefore is 8pm on June 11th *
    ** If any multiple registrations are found to try and manipulate the competition, they will not receive any prizes **
    Format
    1) Entrants will be required to predict the Correct Score of the 36 group matches
    2) Players will also nominate four teams from the competition in order of their main fancy being the No 1 choice
    Scoring
    In the group matches, by predicting a correct score you are in effect forecasting 3 main outcomes :
    : - the actual result, whether or not both teams will score and if the game has under or over 2.5 goals
    Points will be awarded as follows for all the 36 group matches :
    3pts for the correct result of the game (1, X, 2)
    1pt for correctly predicting if both teams score (or not)
    1pt for correctly predicting under or over 2.5 goals
    1pt BONUS for every correct score predicted
    E.G,
    Prediction 2-1 - actual result 3-0 = score 4pts (3pts for home win, 1pt for over 2.5)
    Prediction 0-0 - actual result 0-1 = score 2pts (1pt for under 2.5, 1pt for both teams to score? No!)
    Prediction 3-1 - actual result 4-2 = score 5pts (3pts for home win, 1pt over 2.5, 1pt both teams to score? Yes!)
    Prediction 1-3 - actual result 1-3 = score 6pts (3pts for away win, 1pt over 2.5. 1pts both teams to score? Yes!, 1pt correct score)
    Knock Out Phase
    5pts if any of your nominated teams win their group
    5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Last 16 match
    5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Last 8 match
    5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Semi Final match
    5pts if any of your nominated teams wins Euro 2020
    BONUS 5pts if your number 1 team nominated team wins Euro 2020
    Any ties will be decided by how many correct scores predicted, then how many top 4 teams nominated correctly
    Rules
    Please post the matches in the order given in the selection thread, easy just to copy and paste.
    If games are out of order they may be miscalculated.  Please use the format given
    All predictions must be in the same post (before deadline)
    Only 1 entry accepted per member, any duplicate entries will not count towards prizes.
    No editing of posts, once you have posted your predictions they will be transferred to the master sheet so I will NOT see any edits.
    Any mistakes contact me by PM or post on the forum (i.e, if you have missed a game out)
    Latest table will be published on a regular basis through the tournament
    ENTER HERE - 
     
    Good luck
    Fader

     
  4. Thanks
    PercyP got a reaction from avongirl in Final League Tables (Season 4)   
    Thank you for running the competition Avongirl much appreciated.
    PercyP 
  5. Like
    PercyP reacted to avongirl in Final League Tables (Season 4)   
    Overall positions.  Top 5 will get PL merchandise. 
    Very well done to our overall leader and new participant CertiF   and runner up PercyP who was in the top 5 last season too.   4th place Joelavfc is also a new player this season, and 3rd and 5th placed adamross and Chris P also both finished last season in profit.   Looks like true class shining through at the top.  Honourable mention must also go to Zidane123 who had a winning bet every week (other than a couple of no show weeks). 
     

  6. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Monday 17th May   
    Somewhere Secret 1.35 Carlisle E.way 30/1 Paddypower 
  7. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from waggy in Division 1 - Final Week 9 Selections   
    £30 Treble all matches over 2.5 goals please
    Braga Friday night Portugal 1.67
    Genoa Italy 1.40
    Eastleigh National league 1.91
  8. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from Jnmarc in Naps - Monday 17th May   
    Somewhere Secret 1.35 Carlisle E.way 30/1 Paddypower 
  9. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from avongirl in Division 1 - Final Week 9 Selections   
    £30 Treble all matches over 2.5 goals please
    Braga Friday night Portugal 1.67
    Genoa Italy 1.40
    Eastleigh National league 1.91
  10. Like
    PercyP reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > May 15th   
    The handicap bets lost on Tuesday although the winning acca meant we came out as level on the night. Onto Saturday and I have two handicap bets and a treble.
    Solihull v Woking
    I thought Woking were given way too much credit by the BT Sport pundits on Tuesday night. Yes they worked hard especially in the first half, but 2nd half Sutton were all over them and Woking barely got a look in. The 2nd goal was a long range strike from nothing and Sutton's victory was much more comfortable than the score line suggests. It was always going to be easier for Woking's players to get up for a live game against title contenders and now they travel to Solihull for a game with nothing riding on it. As I pointed out on Tuesday Solihull have been strong at home and they came from a goal behind to win 2-1 against Weymouth. Woking looked ropey from set pieces again on Tuesday night and I fancy Solihull to make up the -1 handicap.
    Yeovil v Kings Lynn
    In their last 10 away games Kings Lynn have conceded at least 2 goals in all bar 2 of those games and in 7 of them it has been 3 or more goals. That sums them up perfectly and Yeovil really ought to add to that figure on Saturday. Granted their last home game on Bank Holiday Monday saw them lose 3-0 to Halifax, but apart from that they have been very good at home and again I think they can cover the -1 handicap.
    Treble
    I am going to add Chesterfield to Solihull and Kings Lynn. They host Wealdstone and you don't really need me to tell you that it really ought to be a home win. The fact that it nearly pays 2/1 with William Hill looks a cracking bet as it really ought to be shorter for them all just to win their games.
    Solihull -1 2.5pts @ 7/5 with Bet365
    Yeovil -1 3pts @ 7/4 with Bet365
    Chesterfield, Solihull and Yeovil 2.5pts treble @ 1.93/1 with William Hill
     
  11. Like
    PercyP reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > May 11th   
    2 out of 2 on Saturday and there was never a moments worry in either bet collecting really. Not surprisingly opposing Weladstone and Woking are the main bets on Tuesday night.
    Sutton v Woking
    For my ante-post bet on Torquay I really hope Sutton drop points here, but it would be one of the biggest shocks of the season if they did. Possibly because the game is live on BT Sport we might see Woking put in a good performance, but it is clear they are pretty hopeless especially in defence. Chesterfield didn't even play well on Saturday and still scored 4 past them. 3 of them came from corners so you would imagine Sutton might get some joy on that front. Sutton were dominant against Weymouth on Saturday and will be disappointed only to have scored twice. Hopefully they can cover the -2 handicap as that does look attractively priced at 5/2.
    Wealdstone v Bromley
    Dagenham had 3 very good chances within the first 4 minutes against Wealdstone on Saturday and they scored 2 of them which pretty much sums up what Wealdstone are like at the moment. It could easily have been more than the 5-0 it ended up being. Bromley ought to have a field day here especially as they need the goals to boost their goal difference which could prove crucial for their play-off chances. Again it is them to cover the -2 handicap.
    Acca
    I don't put accas up that often but Bromley, Sutton and Chesterfield (who host Kings Lynn) all look bankers. I will add Solihull to them who host Weymouth. They have been in very good form at home in recent weeks and didn't play on Saturday which will help considering Weymouth were chasing shadows at Sutton. The 4 fold pays around 5/2 with William Hill.
    Sutton -2 2pts @ 5/2 with Betfair
    Bromley -2 3pts @ 21/10 with Betfair
    Bromley, Sutton, Chesterfield and Solihull 2pts 4 fold @ 5/2 with William Hill
  12. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from Donnyflyer in Naps - Saturday 8th May   
    5.30 Thirsk Tenth Century 6/1 BetVictor
    Bought for just £1,000 the owners let Tenth Century run at Royal Ascot. Now running in a selling race.
  13. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from MCLARKE in PUNCHESTOWN TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Leaderboard   
    Thanks MCLARKE for all your efforts. It is appreciated.
    Congratulations to all the winners (certainly not me, doing better with the football). 
  14. Like
    PercyP reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > May 1st   
    Another profitable night on Tuesday which ended a very good April. Just the one bet for me on Saturday's National League action.
    Wealdstone v Yeovil
    Granted Yeovil have been pretty hopeless away from home, but then Wealdstone have just been shocking in general of late. They have been conceding goals for fun and have let in 7 and 6 goals in their last two home games. Yeovil have goals in them and I can see them covering the -1 handicap here.
    Yeovil -1 2pts @ 9/5 with Betfred
  15. Like
    PercyP reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > May 1st   
    In April there were 15 bets. Stakes were 25.5 and returns were 46.8 which meant the profit was 21.3pts
  16. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from avongirl in Division 1 - Week 7 Selections   
    16 point BTTS yes treble please
    Rochdale & Doncaster BTTS yes 1.73
    Orient & Carlisle BTTS yes 1.80
    St Mirren & Hamilton BTTS yes 2.05
  17. Like
    PercyP reacted to calva decoy in PUNCHESTOWN TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 1 Selections   
    340 - HALLOWED STAR 
    415 - BLUE LORD 
    450 - MAGIC TRICKS 
    700 - SAINT BENEDICT 
    735 - HARA KIRI 
    Good luck to all & thanks to PL & collators for running comp 👍
     
  18. Haha
    PercyP got a reaction from Kingdom for in Division 1 - Week 5 Selections   
    15 point treble
    Bournemouth to win 4.00
    Birmingham to win 2.75
    Orient to win 2.60
  19. Like
    PercyP reacted to bartonbank in Non-League Predictions > April 24th   
    I've already mentioned to Darran what I'm putting up here, although he hasn't expressed a view (probably out of kindness!) but bet365's goalscorer market on the Wrexham v Chesterfield market is just jaw droppingly laughable. I won't criticise them for not having Chesterfield's new signing Danny Rowe listed (and we know that, if they listed him at the likely short odds they wouldn't push the others out anyway) but whoever set the odds has done NO research at all, and I mean none.
    Leading the market is Chris Sang, with first/last scorer odds of 6.00 and anytime odds of 2.87. He has played no more than 10 minutes since he joined us (Wrexham) a couple of weeks ago! Following him is Asante (out for 9 months), Dior Angus (he will start but odds are pretty short) and then Scott Boden (who plays for Torquay now!). There are more errors like that but, as such, there are now a couple of players you may want to take a look at.
    The first pick is Jordan Davies. He was the "next big thing" when we sold him to BHA but things didn't work out there for him, although he was a regular in their u23s. Coming back to us and then having to play out of position in "grown up" football has seen him take time to adjust, but he is showing what we know he has now he is playing as an attacking midfielder supporting the fornt two. He has scored 4 in the last 2 games and is known to hit a free kick. He has also hit the post and the bar and the goals have come from his head and both feet. He is brimful of confidence right now. His odds are 17.00 first/last and anytime 7.50
    The second pick, at shorter odds, is another midfielder, Luke Young. He also takes free kicks, is our penalty taker and likes to take a shot if he has sight of goal. He's scored 8 so far and, at odds of 12.00 first/last and 5.00 anytime. Odds are obviously nowhere near the value of JD though.
  20. Like
    PercyP reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > April 24th   
    1 bet 1 winner again on Tuesday night and hopefully the good run can continue with these 3 bets on Saturday.
    Altrincham v Barnet
    Barnet are unbeaten in 3 games since the new management team came in and they look an improved side. They have only conceded once in those 3 matches which is huge given the goals they were conceding before that. Granted they have only score in one of those games albeit they got 3 against Aldershot, and their lack of goals is a concern, but they look too big a price so I have to back them. Alty aren't scoring goals either and haven't scored in their last 3 which they have all lost. 4 games back they beat Maidenhead 1-0, but that was a fluke goal which went straight in from a corner and with Barnet now improving at the back Alty will find it tough to score here. I think these two teams are much closer together right now than the odds suggest and I would make Barnet around 9/4 shots.
    Boreham Wood v Stockport
    You would have made a small fortune backing Wood to draw in recent months and no doubt they won't draw now I have actually put them up as a bet. They drew again against Barnet last week and it almost doesn't seem to matter what level of opposition they are facing. Stockport got two good wins over Kings Lynn and Wrexham, but then they weren't great again against Maidenhead last Saturday in a 2-2 draw. This could easily be another game where the points are shared.
    Maidenhead v Woking
    Opposing Woking has been a nice money earner in recent weeks and I am happy to do so again. At their best I think Maidenhead can beat pretty much anyone in the division and they are finding their form again after a run of poor performances. They put 6 past a hopeless Wealdstone on Tuesday and with Woking continuing to look off the pace I think the home side can pick up another 3 points.
    Barnet 1pt @ 24/5 with William Hill
    Boreham Wood v Stockport draw 1pt @ 23/10 with Bet365
    Maidenhead 2.5pts @ 6/5 with William Hill and Betfred
  21. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from MABS in Division 1 - Week 5 Selections   
    15 point treble
    Bournemouth to win 4.00
    Birmingham to win 2.75
    Orient to win 2.60
  22. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from avongirl in Division 1 - Week 5 Selections   
    15 point treble
    Bournemouth to win 4.00
    Birmingham to win 2.75
    Orient to win 2.60
  23. Like
    PercyP reacted to silver fox in Last Man Standing - Week 8 (Deadline 3pm Sat)   
    Good luck Redno and Glavin 🙂
  24. Like
    PercyP reacted to The Brigadier in Grand National Preview   
    Disappointingly we don’t have the opportunity to see Tiger Roll re-write the record books by attempting to win three back to back Grand Nationals - a feat never achieved before. His owners, Michael & Eddie O’Leary seem to have a bee in their Gigginstown bonnets about the handicap mark allotted to their superstar but the way he won the Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham it does seem a real shame he’s not given the opportunity to at least have a go here.   The race is run over 4m 2f 74yds of the unique Aintree course and although the fences have been modified of late it still remains a fine spectacle and a race which puts our great sport in the shop window for a Saturday in April.   Interestingly 10 of the past 12 winners were having their first start in the race and 19 of the past 24 winners were aged 8-10. That last stat is quite interesting as prior to Many Clouds victory in 2015 there had been only three winning eight year olds in the previous 40 years but in the last five years there’s been three. Maybe the increased prize money and slightly easier fences have attracted a better class, younger type to the race.  Just two favourites has won in the last ten years (Tiger Roll @ 4/1 in 2019 and Don’t Push It @ 10/1 joint in 2010)   40 go to post and here’s my horse by horse guide. The ground with further watering overnight is likely to be good to soft.   BRISTOL DE MAI (Nigel Twiston Davies 10 years old) Classy chaser who’s seem unbeatable at Haydock which is a track not un similar to Aintree. Has to shoulder top weight here and would like plenty of juice in the ground. Jockey Daryl Jacob has been talking him up recently but for me he has a big task under a big weight. Yet to race behind 3m 2f.   CHRIS’S DREAM (Henry De Bromhead 9 years old) Stamina big issue with him. Ran well in last years Gold Cup but appeared to run out of petrol close home. Pulled up in Ryanair over 2m 5f at Cheltenham on latest run.   YALA ENKI (Paul Nicholls 11 years old) Stays well and likes to be ridden prominently so likely to give regular rider Bryony Frost a good spin round here. Has made the occasional bad blunder and getting old now at 11.   BALLYOPTIC (Nigel Twiston-Davies 11 years old) Not shone in four outings this season, including over hurdles when last seen at Haydock. Outsider who’s hard to fancy.   DEFINITLY RED (Brian Ellison 12 years old) Age catching up with him. Pulled up in 2017 renewal when only 10/1 but not as good now and was way behind favourite Cloth Cap at Kelso last time.   LAKE VIEW LAD (Nick Alexander 11 years old) In the same ownership as favourite Cloth Cap. Shock winner of Many Clouds Chase here on the Mildmay course in December last. Not shown anything since (last time behind Cloth Cap). 14/1 when pulled up in 2019 National won by Tiger Roll.   BURROWS SAINT (Willie Mullins 8 years old) 2019 Irish National winner as a novice. Good 2nd in Bobbyjo Chase last time and has been trained for this race. All the recent stats point to him and he looks sure to run a big race though has been well found in the market at single figure odds.   MAGIC OF LIGHT (Mrs J Harrington 10 years old) Was runner up to Tiger Roll at 66/1 back in 2019. Has mixed hurdling and fencing this season though was a bit under par in the Mares Chase at Cheltenham last time. Previous experience invaluable in this race and can run well each way at a big price.   ACAPELLA BOURGEOIS (Willie Mullins 11 years old) Stamina looks his forte with a 3rd in the 2019 Irish National to Burrows Saint on his CV. 7lb better off now for 7 1/4L. Turned the table on stable companion Burrows Saint last time out when beating him 4 3/4L in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse and 7lb better off. On the form book should be bang there with Burrows Saint but is 4 times the price. Looks good ew value.   TALKISCHEAP (Alan King 9 years old) Winner of the Bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown in April 2019. Not shown the same form since and easy to put a line through here.   TOUT EST PERMIS (Noel Meade 8 years old) Yet to race beyond 3 miles and looks totally exposed having raced 21 times over fences. Held by the Mullins pair in the Bobbyjo and very hard to make a case for him.   ANIBALE FLY (Tony Martin 11 years old) Ran well when 5th (beaten 16 1/2L) in 2019 National behind Tiger Roll. Shown very little since including when behind Acapella Bourgeois and Burrows Saint in Bobbyjo Chase (first run mind for a year). Races here off of a 16lb lower mark than his 5th two years ago and presumably been trained with this race in mind. There’s worse 33/1 chances than him in race.   MISTER MALARKEY (Colin Tizzard 8 years old) Ascot winner in December and good 3rd at Kempton last time out. Has yet to race beyond 3 miles and has stamina to prove here.   KIMBERLITE CANDY (Tom Lacey 9 years old) An out and out stayer who won the Warwick Classic in January 2020 by 10L. Has been runner up in the last two renewals of the Becher Chase over these fences, was extremely easy to back on latest run suggesting he badly needed his first run for 329 days and is a player here although all his best efforts have been gained on very deep ground so the softer the better for him.   ANY SECOND NOW (Ted Walsh 9 years old) Trainer has won race before with the gambled on Papillon in 2000. Has been very well backed ante-post and comes here on the back of a 10L victory of a Grade 2 contest at Navan over 2 miles. Stamina is an issue mind and at the current price is no value what so ever.   OK CORRAL (Nicky Henderson 11 years old) Has been trained for this race but ran no sort of race in the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham when a 33/1 chance and pulled up. Went off 4/1 favourite for the then 4 miler at Cheltenham back in March 2019 when suffering interference and pulling up. Stamina not a gimme here and hard to fancy much.   TAKINGRISKS (Nicky Richards 12 years old) Stays well (won Scottish National back in 2019 over 4 miles) and prefers drying ground. Bounced back to form when a 40/1 winner of the Skybet Chase at Doncaster in January and raised only 4lb. Not without a top 6 chance though at 12 hard to see him winning.   SHATTERED LOVE (Mrs Denise Foster 10 years old) Has yet to prove her stamina for a test like this (pulled up in Burrow Saints Irish National win). Comes here in decent enough form with placings behind smart mares Elimay and Colreevy over 2m and 2m4f this year. Her best form has come on very soft ground and conditions unlikely to suit this year.   JETT (Mrs Jessie Harrington 10 years old) Well beaten in Becher Chase back in December and shown little since including over hurdles on latest - easy to put a line through him.   LORD DU MESNIL (Richard Hobson 8 years old) Stays well and comes here on the back of a hard fought win of the Grand National Trial at Haydock in February. Loves the mud however and any softening of the ground would bring him into the equation but as it stands at present may be run off of his hooves on this better terrain. Officially 5lb well in here.   POTTERS CORNER (Christian Williams 11 years old) 2019 Welsh National winner and only rated 4lb higher now. Has been trained for this and been given a couple of outings over hurdles this year to get him spot on for this. Could possibly do with some easing in the ground but cannot be ruled out and has definite ew claims.   CLASS CONTI (Willie Mullins 9 years old) Placed in the Thyestes Handicap Chase and Leinster National on last two outings. Still has stamina to prove mind and has yet to race beyond 3m1f. Mullins has better chances than this one in the race. In same ownership as top weight Bristol De Mai.   MILAN NATIVE (Mrs Denis Foster 8 years old) Kim Muir winner at Cheltenham in 2020 but could only finish 9th when well backed in recent renewal. Pulled up in only attempt at a marathon trip and has stamina as well as ability to answer to.   DISCORAMA (Paul Nolan 8 years old) Has some decent back form as a novice including when runner up in the then 4 miler at the Cheltenham Festival to Le Breuil in 2019. Not seen since flopping at Cheltenham in 3m3f handicap last November but trained for race and it would not be a shock if he runs well as he is an out and out stayer.   VIEUX LION ROUGE (David Pipe 12 years old) Loves these unique fences and his course form reads 7167920951 including a 24L win in the latest renewal of the Becher Chase from Kimberlite Candy looked as good as ever at 11. Flopped since in Welsh National and though he should run well it’s hard to believe he’s well handicapped enough at 12 to win this. He’s finished 7th, 6th, 9th and 15th in his four previous attempts in this race.   CLOTH CAP (Jonjo O’Neill 9 years old) Has everything in his favour. Impressive when winning the Ladbrokes Trophy by 10L in November where he made all and jumped well. Given a 98 day break he was next seen up at Kelso when taking a listed chase over 3m by 7 1/2L from Aso. He was wrong at the weights with his rivals that day and with no penalties incurred after the weights are released is officially 14lb well in here. He stays well as he proved when 3rd in the Scottish National in 2019 and prefers good ground. He ticks all the boxes and whatever way you play this famous race I urge you to have him as part of your staking plan.   CABARET QUEEN (Willie Mullins 9 year old) Yet to run at marathon trips and comes here on the back of two uninspiring efforts in the Thyestes Chase and Mares Chase at Cheltenham. Easy to scrub out.   MINELLACELEBRATION (Katy Price 11 years old) Has run in the last two renewals of the Becher Chase - well beaten 10th and unseating at the 7th at big prices. Stamina to prove and hard to give any chance to.   CANELO (Alan King 8 years old) Been running well all season. Was third in the Grimthorpe at Doncaster last time over 3m 2f - that’s the furthest he’s ever raced over and has his stamina to prove.   THE LONG MILE (J P Dempsey 7 years old) One of the youngest in the field and wasn’t disgraced when third beaten 7 3/4L in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse last time. Only 3L behind Burrows Saint that day at level weights and 9lb better off here. Has only run on very soft ground ground but if handling this better surface could be a lively outsider for leading owner JP McManus who is likely to have 7 runners here in the green and gold colours.   GIVE ME A COPPER (Paul Nicholls 11 years old) Lightly raced for his age and part owned by Alex Ferguson. Good ground suits and has a 4th in the 3m 5f Bet365 Chase in his profile so chances are he’ll stay ok. Whether he’s good enough to worry some of these I doubt though.   FARCLAS (Mrs Denise Foster 7 years old) Excellent effort at Cheltenham when chasing home the progressive The Shunter but that was over 2m 4 1/2f and stamina looks a major issue with him here. The furthest he’s run at was when 3rd in the Paddy Power Chase over 3m last Christmas.   MINELLA TIMES (Henry De Bromhead 8 years old) Subject of an ante post gamble. Likely to be ridden by Rachael Blackmore. Consistent sort who’s been runner up in two valuable handicap chases in Ireland this season rising 9lb. Yet to race beyond 3 miles mind and although with the right connections isn’t certain to need a marathon trip.   SUB LIEUTENANT (Georgie Howell 12 years old) 2nd over these fences in the 2019 Topham. Now trained by Georgie Howell who has yet to train a winner. Likely to be ridden by Tabitha Worsley. Hard to fancy at all.   HOGANS HEIGHTS (Jamie Snowden 10 years old) Easy winner of the Grand Sefton (beat Wishfull Dreaming 16L) in December 2019. Shown absolutely nothing since in two handicap hurdles and a cross country race. On recent form he’s a no hoper.   DOUBLE SHUFFLE (Tom George 11 years old) 33/1 when pulled up in the 2017 Grand National. Won at Kempton in January over 3 miles. Yet another one who has to prove he needs a thorough test.   AMI DESBOIS (Graeme McPherson 11 years old) Has run well in second place in two handicap over 3 miles this year. Last won in December 2017 and it will be a major surprise were he to oblige here.   BLAKLION (Dan Skelton 12 years old) Fourth in 2017 and brought down at the first in 2018. Not shown a great deal since and a top ten finish would be a result for his enthusiastic owners.       Summary:-   The one to beat is without doubt Jonjo O’Neill’s Cloth Cap who has everything in his favour (unless the weather forecast is wrong and it turned soft) officially a stone well in, a sound jumper and stays well. Tom Scudamore has a poor record in this race but his family is steeped in the tradition of the race (his Grand Father won it on Oxo back in 1959) and I have no reservations about the man on top who has been riding at the top of his game all season. Current quotes of 4/1 may seem stingy and I’m hoping as we get closer to the big day his price may lengthen as he will certainly be my main bet.   Willie Mullins looks likely to have four runners with his Irish National winner Burrows Saint the shortest in the betting. If you fancy him though then you surely must give Acapela Bourgeois a good chance also. His form ties in nicely with his stable mate and at four times the price is worth backing each way. Although the younger horses have come to the fore in recent years 11 year old’s won this in 2012,2013 & 2014 so I’m not put off by his age.   Were the ground to turn soft then the likes of Kimberlite Candy and Secret Reprieve would come into the reckoning but for the time being I’ll stick with just the two selections in the hope that Cloth Cap will drift later in the week and I’ll take the 33/1 Acapella Bourgeois which looks good ew value to me.   CLOTH CAP 3 points win @ best price on day   ACAPELLA BOURGEOIS 1 point each way @ 33/1 1/4 odds 12345 Bet365              
  25. Like
    PercyP got a reaction from silver fox in Last Man Standing - Week 8 (Deadline 3pm Sat)   
    Sorry Silver Fox but I have to agree Manchester City Please.
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