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i1_principe

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  1. Like
    i1_principe reacted to vvararu in Tennis Tips - October 14 - October 20   
    Antwerp ATP
    Kwon Soon - Pella
    Against my prediction, Kwon Soon succeeded to beat Gasquet. In my opinion, that happened because of the poor physical form of Gasquet. He played well first set and a part of the second but later, in longer rallies, he started to go from offensive to defensive more and more often.
    Kwon Soon looks good looking at the stats. This year he played a lot of games on hard court a won almost all of them. To be noticed that almost all of the opponents, excepting a few (Gasquet himself, Pouille, Londero) were either outside top 100.
    Pella does not look so impressive statistically. He played less hard-court games and his favourite surface seems to be clay. Starting with august, he played 12 hard-court games and won 6 of them. To be noticed that almost all the opponents were < top 50. He lost to guys like Basilashvilli, Careno-Busta, Schwartzman but also beat Goffin, Albot, Dimitrov.
    These two guys played against each other on hard court a couple of months ago and Pella won 2:1, taking last 2 sets 6:1, 6:2. I count on Pella's slightly superior quality and experience of games against better players. Pella to win @1.83 Unibet.
  2. Like
    i1_principe reacted to FrenchPunter in Tennis Tips - October 14 - October 20   
    Lukas Rosol to beat Dusan Lajovic at 2.15 with Parions Sport
    It will be the 3rd time that these two players will compete, after Indian Wells in 2014 and Bucarest in 2015. Rosol has won these two previous matches. Lajovic took advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round. The Serbian will participate in this Moscow ATP 250 for the 7th time of his career. He has never managed to go further in this tournament. Rosol meanwhile comes out of qualifying. He then won his 1st round against Londero (less striking on this surface, but still annoying to play). This is the 6th time he has participated in this tournament. He had not managed to pass this 2nd round in 2018 and his best performance was a quarterfinal in 2012.
    Rosol is far from his good years when he managed to integrate the Top 30 (in 2014). Since 2016, the Czech has emerged from the Top 100 and is running after his best level (and obviously lacks speed). I must admit to being surprised to see Lajovic be the favorite of the bookies to leave with the victory. Indeed, apart from his ranking (currently 32nd), he is far from offering an incredible level of play (especially on this surface). The Serb has only won 2 of his last 10 games and he is clearly out of pace.
    In my opinion, Rosol will have the advantage of the surface. The Czech is also in much better shape and has already made his mark in Moscow. I think we all agree that he is not the most regular player on the circuit (far from that, by the way lol). But I had the opportunity to see part of his match against Londero and I loved it. Rosol was very solid at the service and was able to execute his excellent forehand to take speed an opponent supposed to be comfortable in trading.
  3. Like
    i1_principe reacted to FrenchPunter in Tennis Tips - October 14 - October 20   
    Roberto Carballes Baena to beat Andreas Seppi at 3.05 with Parions Sport
    It will be a 1st between these two players. This is the 7th time that Seppi participates in this Russian tournament. The Italian has often achieved great performances here: 2 x 1/4 finals, 2 x 1/2 finals and one victory (in 2012). In summary, he was eliminated once at this level of the competition. This week, the Italian won against Garin, in 3 sets including 2 tie-breaks. For his part, Carballes Baena also won his 1st match of the week in 3 sets. It was against Berankis. Moreover, this is the first time he plays this ATP 250 Moscow.
    Carballes Baena has significant qualities, a good first ball, an interesting return and a mobility that can be difficult to overflow. I sincerely believe that the Spaniard has the opportunity to embarrass Seppi. The Italian may have the advantage of the surface, but he is much less striking lately. He is more feverish about his service games (a 1st ball that hardly exceeds 50% and another 12 break points conceded in his last match) Carballes Baena does not concede so many opportunities. This tenacious player has the ability to oppress his 35-year-old opponent to generate fouls.
  4. Like
    i1_principe reacted to CzechPunter in US Open 2019   
    Elina Svitolina (+1.5 sets) to beat Serena Williams at 1.93 with Pinnacle
    This should finally give Williams some problems after she had none in her previous match and it's also the only bet that I like for today. Svitolina has been surprisingly solid so far, none of her usual tantrum sets have appeared, and she's had zero issues dealing with the power of Keys and Venus. It's not going to be easy with all the pressure, but Serena isn't particularly threatening at the moment on pure tennis quality and has had the much easier draw of the two so far.
  5. Like
    i1_principe reacted to CzechPunter in US Open 2019   
    I do like Wawrinka's chances tomorrow as well, but I still have that bet on Medvedev going on, so there's that.
    Grigor Dimitrov (+2.5 sets) to beat Roger Federer at 2.20 with Pinnacle
    I do understand why the odds for this are so long, but I nevertheless feel that there's some value in them. The result Federer got against Goffin was way too flattering, the Belgian just didn't show up at all. Before that, Nagal and Dzumhur did show up and got some sets, while Dimitrov has been creeping up with some very nice results of his own, crushing De Minaur in a very easy fashion and just surprising everyone in general. He's got nothing to lose, he seems to be enjoying himself, and Federer can have some Olderer moments nowadays, so I'd have this at 1.83 myself.
  6. Like
    i1_principe reacted to Sterphyle in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > Aug 30th - Sep 2nd   
    Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig 
    This will be a high scoring match like a typical Bundesliga clash and i can see RB winning the match. With their current form this season which they carried from last season most  likely they are aiming for the top spot.. Burrusia MG have one one game this new campaign.. 
    RB Leipzig win 2.30 sportpesa
    Leipzig HF/FT 3.30 
     
  7. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in Europa League Predictions > Aug 29th   
    Wolves vs Torino
    The second preview for this final round of Europa League qualification games is the match between Premier League club Wolves and Serie A side Torino in a 7:45pm kick-off from Molineux. The English side hold a 3-2 lead from the first leg. It was a game that had everything. Goals, penalties, own goals, and plenty of drama. If this second leg even comes close to the thrills and spills of that game then we're in for a treat.
    Wolves continue to impress in this competition. It's a breath of fresh air after Burnley's lacklustre approach to the competition last season. Nunto Santo is keen to take his side as far as possible. Seeing the past winners of this competition associated with great clubs like Sevilla, Manchester United, Ajax, Atletico Madrid, Porto, and Inter Milan over recent years. It's no surprise that Santo is keen to try and add his club's name to that prestigious list.
    Torino have done well to get to this stage of the competition. Walter Mazzarri's side finished above the likes of Lazio and Sampdoria to qualify for this competition last season and they weren't far off finishing higher than the likes of Roma and AC Milan. This is a Torino side that shouldn't be taken lightly and even though they are a goal down on aggregate they still pose an attacking threat in the shape of Andrea Belotti and Simone Zaza that will cause the Wolves defence problems.
    It was a first leg where Torino had the better of their opponents in terms of shots, shots on target, and expected goals but ultimately the score-line is the only statistic that matters. The issue for Mazzarri's side is they haven't really impressed on the road in this competition so far. Conceding against Hungarian minnows Debrecen was disappointing in the 2nd Qualifying Round and then failing to beat Belarus club Shakhtyor Soligorsk with a 1-1 draw out in Belarus was another underwhelming display. I have a feeling Wolves should have enough to get through this but Torino will fire everything they have at the Premier League side so we could see some goals again.
    Wolves to Win @ 1.91 with Blacktype
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.91 with Blacktype
  8. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 31st & Sep 1st   
    Leicester vs Bournemouth
    This round of Premier League matches throws up a fair amount of hard-to-call fixtures with teams fairly evenly matched heading into their games. One game where I think the home team certainly has a bit of value of this clash between Leicester and Bournemouth that's scheduled to take place at the King Power Stadium this Saturday afternoon at 3pm BST.
    Leicester were tipped by many before the season started to do well in their first full campaign under Brendan Rodgers. The Foxes had a cracking pre-season and haven't started too badly in the league. Two draws against Wolves and Chelsea were satisfactory and then the 2-1 win away to new boys Sheffield United was a potential banana skin averted. It also saw Jamie Vardy finally open his tally for the season. Rodgers getting the best out of his striker will be key if the club is to build on last season.
    Bournemouth have become a solid top flight side under Eddie Howe. I watched some video footage of their pre-season training camp and it was impressive stuff. A mixed bag of results in pre-season have continued into the league campaign. The Cherries were held to a 1-1 draw at home in their opening game to a dogged Sheffield United. A 2-1 win away to Aston Villa secured their first win of the season but then the 3-1 loss to Manchester City was anticipated but still disappointing.
    Coming into this game, the home side are just one of four teams, alongside Liverpool, Manchester City, and Wolves, to remain undefeated so far. However, they've only won 1 of their last 4 league games at home. On the flip side, Bournemouth have only lost 1 of their previous 4 away league games. The advantage is certainly with Leicester in the head-to-head as they have won 5, drawn 5, and lost just 2 of the previous 12 meetings. I think Leicester will capitalise on home advantage but I'd be surprised if more than one goal separates the two teams.
    Leicester to Win @ 1.74 with Marathonbet
    Leicester HT/FT @ 2.70 with Betfair
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  9. Like
    i1_principe reacted to sajtion in Premier League Predictions > Aug 31st & Sep 1st   
    man utd cannot be trusted at all after previous two games. the players cannot handle the pressure or expectation and it seems solskjaer is putting a lot of faith on rashford scoring goals but he is young player and still needs a lot of experience. i think from now on man utd is going to bust a lot of coupons. i don't see them winning many games. pogba is also playing defensive role which will limit their chances to create in front of goal. 
    chelsea has got a lot of youth with plenty of energy and that's their good asset however they don't convince me that they can keep a clean sheet in matches which is a problem. the promotion side like sheff utd typical like to play open games and that could mean goals in this match. i also think sheff utd has maturity in them to get something like a draw
    it was shock to me that crystal palace won last week but then i knew they are deadly on counter attack. it's only when they need to boss the match they are useless. they sat back and beat man utd in the end but honestly if zaha leaves this teams is heading for relegation.
    i think bournemouth are overpriced. you can always rely on bournemouth scoring at least once. leicester is a lot weaker this season. their only saving grace is vardy and his pace but if he doesn't get the service they don't win. it will be close but bournemouth to claim a score draw seems to me like a good bet
    i hated watching newcastle beat tottenham last week. they won't it after defending very deep when they got ahead. they will be back to their useless self here. i like watford and i think they have a lot of creative ability and energy. the cup game will give them the boost and could win this
    norwich had a flying start this season but i feel west ham are coming into form right now. they've had two decent results on their travels and 3 goals in the back of the net of brighton last week will give them confidence. i think this when they go on unbeaten run and have some consistency. they fact they are playing this match at home suggests to me a solid three point in the bag
  10. Like
    i1_principe reacted to CzechPunter in US Open 2019   
    Right, so it's apparently time for the last Grand Slam of the season. Usually, I'd be rather excited and thrilled for the event, but, somehow, I find it really hard to get my hopes up, as I've been a bit disappointed by this season so far. Not results-wise, not betting-wise, I don't know what it is, but I just found it really hard to like a lot of matches. Some of the finals were great and the Grand Slams were quite nice as well, but the smaller tournaments...meh. Anyway, we now have a full set of matches ahead of us on Monday and Tuesday, so I suppose that I should just shut up and get right to them, eh? On another note, good luck to everyone who participates and an even better luck to everyone who gets a few posts in!
    Day One
    Let's start with the obvious one here, which is Williams to beat Sharapova. I've been looking at that bet pretty much ever since the draw was published and I think that there's every chance we're going to see a quick win for the American here. She's not at her best, of course, but there's still a lot of bad blood between the two and Sharapova is in an even worse form, so Serena should just get the job done in what should be an exciting night session. Sharapova doesn't have enough power to compete with ball-bashing right now, it really is that simple.
    The second bet that I like is Muchova to recover from her defeat against the in-form Linette with a good win over Rybakina, who just doesn't have enough experience at this level and who will probably need a year or two before becoming competitive in Grand Slams. Muchova is solid, did well in the tournament last time out, and has enough match practice under her belt.
    In terms of upsets, I wouldn't be shocked to see Martincova being fairly competitive against Pliskova, who tends to have slow starts and who might not fancy trying really hard against a compatriot that she knows isn't particularly strong. Martincova is coming off the qualifiers and should get the 17.5 games line covered much more often than not imo.
    Finally, on the acca side of things, I'm picking Berdych to beat the young American Brooksby, the in-form Nishioka to beat the very average Giron, and Kerber not to mess up against Mladenovic.
    Serena Williams (-4.5) to beat Maria Sharapova at 1.87 with Pinnacle
    Karolina Muchova (-2.5) to beat Elena Rybakina at 1.83 with Bet365
    T.Martincova/K.Pliskova - Over 17.5 games at 1.72 with Bet365
    Berdych + Nishioka + Kerber at 2.08 with Bet365
    Day Two
    On day two, I very much fancy Linette to continue her good form and beat Sharma, who hasn't been doing all that well recently and who doesn't have much Grand Slam experience either. The fact that Linette has an extra day off should be of a great help and she is a solid type that doesn't have too many letdowns.
    Apart from that one, I also like two underdogs, Guillermo Garcia-Lopez and Andrey Rublev. The latter was naturally very good lately, while Tsitsipas is one of those players that blow hot and cold and who's blowing cold at the moment by the looks of everything. He's obviously somewhat better and more composed, but he's also sliding into some sort of a Zverev situation and could be ripe for a loss in what is a not particularly ideal first round draw. The outright price is juicy and appeals. Meanwhile, GGL seems to be going through a nice patch with a good run in the qualifiers, while Isner has been very disappointing recently. He would in an even poorer form without the serve to fall back on and this is the factor that isn't exactly making me love the outright option, but we're getting a nice price for four or more sets and that's what I'm going to go for.
    Magda Linette (-2.5) to beat Astra Sharma at 1.88 with Pinnacle
    Andrey Rublev to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at 2.92 with Pinnacle
    J.Isner/GGL - Over 3.5 sets at 1.83 with Unibet
    Outrights
    In terms of outrights, there are only a couple that I fancy. First, I like the odds for Nadal to win the entire thing, as he's been the most convincing of the bunch in the lead-up tournaments and as he still has what it takes to win. Second, Medvedev looks a juicy price to go further than Federer, as I think that the latter might suffer some sort of a Millman accident again after looking mentally beaten after Wimbledon. And, even if that doesn't happen, Medvedev's form might be good enough to carry him further on its own.
    Rafael Nadal to win US Open 2019 at 4.00 with Bet365
    Daniil Medvedev (vs. Roger Federer) at 3.00 with Bet365
  11. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Tottenham vs Newcastle
    The Premier League action continues into Sunday and even though there's no real stand-out matches at first glance I think some of the odds flying around in the Tottenham versus Newcastle game are quite interesting. Kick-off is 4:30pm BST on Sunday afternoon at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and already the wolves are out for Steve Bruce after just a couple of games of the season.
    Tottenham didn't have the best of starts to the season when they went 1-0 down at home to newly promoted Aston Villa. Things have improved since then for Mauricio Pochettino's side with Spurs winning that game 3-1 and then getting a credible, yet controversial, 2-2 draw away to Manchester City. This will be a game where Pochettino's men will feel they can take all 3 points and potentially bolster their goal difference.
    Newcastle are adapting to life after Rafa Benitez. Bruce wasn't a popular choice and after seeing shots being fired by former players such as Michael Chopra on Twitter against the current manager it suggests that everything is already starting to rot up on Tyneside. The Magpies have lost both of their league games so far. The 1-0 loss at home to Arsenal can be forgiven but the 3-1 defeat away to newly promoted Norwich was berated by the fan base. One statistic that Chopra highlighted on social media was the fact Newcastle are yet to complete a pass inside the opposition team's box after 180 minutes of league football. Something is clearly wrong with the tactics under Bruce and it's clear to see even at this early stage.
    I'm going to have to state the obvious and back a convincing Tottenham win here. Pochettino is one of the best managers around right now and if him out-thinking the archaic tactics of Bruce wasn't enough of an incentive to back the home win then the vast difference in quality between the two squads will be. Tottenham to make light work of this winning by 2-3 goals at least.
    Tottenham -1 @ 1.80 with Bet365
    Tottenham HT/FT @ 1.87 with Coral
  12. Like
    i1_principe reacted to Ulrik in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Tottenham x Newcastle 
    Tottenham have a very balanced team and have already established themselves as one of England's greatest and a team that really wins big games, it was against City, Ajax, and last season's Premier League, despite as many problems as the World Cup. from Asia, Kane injury, lack of stadium, the team still managed to be solid as far as possible, reaching the Champions League final.
    Newcastle have always had problems with Rafa Benitez, and the coach had a lot of prestige with the fans and you could clearly see why, since the team yielded a lot more than expected, and still without the coach who assembled this squad and rose with the team for the first division, to hire Steve Bruce, a very weak, underworked coach, who won't add anything to this weak team that still sold Ayoze Perez to Leicester.
    I see one more misguided line here. Newcastle must be a punching bag in this Premier League season, and unlike the team with Rafa Benitez who parked the bus, this team has conceded a lot of goals, and must suffer a lot here against such a strong Tottenham and at home. I see no way for Newcastle to hold a 1-0 loss here and I see a full-blown Spurs scenario.
    Tottenham -1.5 @1.85 Pinnacle 3 units
     
  13. Like
    i1_principe reacted to Ulrik in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Bournemouth x Man City
    Bournemouth is a totally low profile team, nobody talks a lot about it, it doesn't have very trendy players, much less a stadium that fills the eyes. It's a very small team in a giant league like the Premier League, although it looks helpless, the Bournemouth team is a great team and really hard to play against, especially in their stadium.
    With Lerma and Billing in midfield, the team gains much more security in defense of the defense, and I find it difficult for the team to be scored by 3 goals right here with Manchester City on the other side. In such cases a bet is really quite difficult, because it is such a high handicap and such a discrepant difference between the teams, but I can see value here.
    With Fraser and Harry Wilson on the tip and King and Wilson on the offense they make a team, in addition to the midfielders already mentioned. I see Bournemouth a much better-balanced and better-trained team than many Premier League teams, such as West Ham, who at home were beaten and had no chance of a draw.
    I see this safe +2 line here, and a very possible push scenario, but on a shorter field, and with pieces that can protect well from the machine that is this Manchester City, I can see value in going lay on such a strong team. like Pep Guardiola's team here.
    Bournemouth +2 @2.05 Pinnacle 2 units
  14. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Leganes vs Atletico Madrid
    The second week of La Liga games gives us a chance to take advantage of some decent value in a couple of games. I've picked out the game between Leganes and Atletico Madrid that's kicking off at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque in Leganes at 6pm BST on Sunday evening. The price on an away win seems very reasonable and I do love backing Diego Simeone's side.
    Leganes finished a satisfactory 13th place last season but this season has already started on a negative after a 1-0 home defeat to Osasuna. As @i1_principe said, it was a game where Osasuna showed nothing yet still ended up winning. What does that say about Mauricio Pellegrino's side? The red card to Oscar Rodriguez will be a blow to Los Pepineros and the fact they couldn't hit the back of the net in 90 minutes of pressure will leave their fans worried.
    Atletico Madrid began this season in familiar fashion with a typically hard-working 1-0 win over Getafe. Simeone's no frills football is effective and has showed that Atleti are rightfully considered title contenders once again even after the departures of Antoine Griezmann, Rodri, Gelson Martins, and Lucas Hernandez. The arrivals of Joao Felix, Marcos Llorente, and Mario Hermoso plus others have gone a long way to filling the voids. Early signs are positive but it's early days.
    I don't think there's really a lot of debate in this. I'm expecting this well-oiled Atletico Madrid side to do their thing and grind out a result here. If Leganes couldn't score against newly promoted Osasuna at home then will they manage against this well-structured Atletico defence? I can't see it. I wouldn't be surprised to see another tight display at the back from the away side to earn a second clean sheet win of the season.
    Atletico Madrid to Win @ 1.86 with Betfair
    Atletico Madrid HT/FT @ 3.00 with Coral
    @Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, @i1_principe, @dinero, @Sterphyle, @SPACEGHOST87, @Odyssey, and @derbent, what bets are you all thinking of for this week's games?
  15. Like
    i1_principe got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Osasuna v Eibar- Eibar (0 AH) to win at 2.15 with Bet365
    Osasuna showed nothing in the first round, not even worth a point against Leganes, but in the end they left with 3. With such a game I do not think they can win a second game in a row and I do not believe the luck will cover them again. Eibar on the other hand played quite strongly against Mallorca and deserved something from that match, but lost. I expect a new strong performance for the guests and this time a positive result for them.
  16. Like
    i1_principe got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Granada v Sevilla- Sevilla to win at 1.98 with Pinnacle
    Sevilla outplayed and deservedly won against Espanyol in the first round. If they manage to repeat their performance from last week, they should have no problem with Granada. The hosts in this match made a great comeback from 2-4 against Villarreal to 4-4. This was largely due to the poor play in defense of their opponent. Sevilla is posting big ambitions this season and away visits like this should be taken without problems.
  17. Like
    i1_principe got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - August 19 - August 25   
    Paire to beat Hurkacz at 2.42 with Marathonbet
    I'm with Paire once again. He has already won 2 ATP titles this year in Marrakech and Lyon and in those weeks he has shown exceptional play. When he wants to play tennis the Frenchman looks like a player in the top 10 and I hope that in this final he will show his best again.
  18. Like
    i1_principe got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - August 19 - August 25   
    Paire to beat Johnson at 2.52 with Pinnacle
    I just can't ignore these odds. I don't see Johnson as a big favorite here, OK, he's won 4 games here already, but we can't say he played against top form players. On a good day Paire can play incredible tennis and personally I like to bet on him when he is an outsider.
  19. Like
    i1_principe reacted to dylanphan in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Been a pretty good start to the season for me.  Although I've been dead wrong on some teams, the bets I've put in have been so far, so good.
    early game, someone up top found Norwich +1 at evs and well, I need that line available to me because I've seen nothing close to that. I like Norwich and put a small play on them at +0.75 at -110.  Norwich seem to get goals for fun.  They led the championship in goals last year at just over 2gpg and seem to picked up right where they left off.  Chelsea a bit of a team in flux imo. Jury still out on Lamps as a manager and it's going to take him a bit to find his best 11.  I'll tell you right now, they have major questions at the back.  Seen both their games in full and they have issues.  Midfield is strong for Chelsea but I'm not convinced they have any finishing power up front to score goals.  I think Norwich hangs around and this one has 1-1, 2-2 written on it - I'm very happy taking the home team with +0.75 here.
    I'm not getting involved in the Brighton/Southampton game at all, but said it before, I've got Saints tipped for the drop, so I'd again back the home side gun to my head.  
    Leicester seems a good play to me at Sheffield, but tbh, I can't get a great read on them at all, and I have to think home team will be doing all it can to scrape for points here.  Pass again.
    I absolutely think United will win at home vs Palace, but that's a heavy price to pay there.  I wouldn't mind a United -1.25 at evs, but I'm not finding it, so I may play ingame with a slow start.  United start the season in good form and I just don't think Palace has the pieces to challenge them here.  I do like the 2-0 final score prop and may take a poke on that.
    West Ham been one of those teams I've been dead wrong on this year, and well, I'm going for it again.  It appears to me they should have a full roster to choose from and the talent they have I don't think I can pass them again getting +250 to win at +150 or so for DNB.  Fool me once, shame on you.  Fool me twice, shame on me but I'm on West Ham again here.  Watford is nothing special and there'll be pressure on both teams here to get a result. More pressure for the home side, I'll take + odds all day long.
    Game of the week is the late game Saturday, and unfortunately I'm not going to be around to watch or see lineups.  But, to me this game is all about goals and o3 is worth a punt.  Liverpool obviously has plenty of gk woes and that will be trouble.  VVD can only do so much, and in my eyes, Arsenal are exactly the kind of team that will give Liverpool fits in the back.  Massive pace in the likes of PEA and Pepe. Lacazette is a clinical finisher.  And Dani Ceballas has been just lights out terrific so far.  All that said, Liverpool is always a tough nut to beat at home and well, they still have a few great players in attack.  Arsenal's defense is suspect at best.  David Luiz certainly not the answer.  This one just screams end to end action with plenty of chances.  
    ?
  20. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Liverpool vs Arsenal
    The big game this weekend is undoubtedly to be found at Anfield when Liverpool play Arsenal in a 5:30pm BST kick-off. This fixture has produced some memorable moments over the years such as Robbie Fowler's 4-minute hat-trick back in 1994 and Andrei Arshavin's four goal haul back in 2009. What will this latest encounter between the two sides deliver on the pitch?
    Liverpool managed to take consolation from a narrow miss in the Premier League last season by winning the Champions League. Jurgen Klopp hasn't added any real quality to his squad during the summer except for Adrian and that has already proved a vital move after the injury to Alisson against Norwich in their opening game. The main concern for the Reds so far this season has been the drop in quality of their defence. Losing the FA Community Shield, underwhelming displays against Norwich (in the second half at least) and Southampton plus shipping two goals against Chelsea in the UEFA Super Cup suggests there is work to do for Klopp's men yet.
    Arsenal are being tipped as the one side to qualify for the Champions League this season alongside the favourites of Manchester City, Liverpool, and Tottenham. This is a huge acid test for Unai Emery's men who have looked much improved so far with two business-like wins over Newcastle and Burnley. The additions of Nicolas Pepe, Dani Ceballos, Kieran Tierney, and David Luiz have been warmly welcomed by the Gunners faithful. Are they enough to get them back into the title picture?
    This battle between the top two is arguably a clash of two of the best front three in European football. Would you rather have Sadio Mane, Mohamed Salah, and Roberto Firmino, or Pepe, Alexandre Lacazette, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang? Both sides have scored in 10 of the past 12 meetings between the teams. A big problem for Arsenal is their away form in the league. They've only kept two clean sheets in the league under Emery. On the flip side, Liverpool have scored in all but one of their home games in the same period. I'm anticipating a goal fest again with Liverpool perhaps edging the win.
    Liverpool HT/FT @ 2.30 with Betfair
    BTTS @ 1.60 with Betway
  21. Like
    i1_principe reacted to sajtion in La Liga Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    it was good start by sevilla. i hope they can continue their winning run.
    without reading too much into atletico bilbao win over barcelona last week, i think they will find getafe very hard at home. getafe was a solid side last season and at home they should narrowly win maybe 1-0
  22. Like
    i1_principe got a reaction from sajtion in La Liga Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Granada v Sevilla- Sevilla to win at 1.98 with Pinnacle
    Sevilla outplayed and deservedly won against Espanyol in the first round. If they manage to repeat their performance from last week, they should have no problem with Granada. The hosts in this match made a great comeback from 2-4 against Villarreal to 4-4. This was largely due to the poor play in defense of their opponent. Sevilla is posting big ambitions this season and away visits like this should be taken without problems.
  23. Like
    i1_principe reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Aston Villa vs Everton
    The Premier League action kicks off early this weekend with a Friday night match-up between top flight new boys Aston Villa and a side hoping to breach the top six this season in Everton. Kick-off is 8pm BST from Villa Park and there is no doubt that both sides could do with the three points here. The visiting side edge it on paper but is that enough?
    Aston Villa were criticised for spending over £100 million on new signings over the summer but many felt they had invested more wisely than Fulham had last season. Dean Smith strengthened where necessary and when his side went 1-0 up away to Tottenham in their opening game it looked like his transfer work had been vindicated. However, that game ended up being a 3-1 win for the home team. It was then followed up by a disappointing 2-1 loss at home to Bournemouth. The pressure is growing for the Villains to pick up their first points of their first season back in the Premier League.
    Everton came into this season with inflated expectations. Despite failing to gain consistency under Marco Silva last season the Toffees faithful feel this could be the campaign where they take the next step up the league table. An underwhelming 0-0 draw away to Crystal Palace did little to get the fans buzzing but the well-fought 1-0 win over Watford at home had a more positive effect. The fact the team has now kept two clean sheets shows that Silva has addressed the defensive frailties of previous seasons that looked like being fixed last season and has continued into this one. Scoring goals at the other end remains an issue though.
    This game has a dour affair written all over it. Villa still look a slightly disjointed unit with new signings still being bedded in. Everton look like a side labouring to get goals. It's now less than 2.5 goals scored in 8 of their last 10 league games. It's also 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. 4 of their last 5 away matches have seen less than 2.5 goals scored as well. If I was to back a result I'd say a 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 win for the away side.
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.97 with Marathonbet
    Everton to Win @ 2.30 with Coral
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  24. Like
    i1_principe reacted to thfc in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    Also tempted by Burnley +1 vs Wolves at around evens.  This is the kind of game Wolves didn't do so well in last season, and coming off a EL game vs Torino on Thursday and the Man Utd game on Monday there will be one or two tired legs. 
    Burnley played quite well in defeat vs Arsenal, and they do have some capable players (Barnes/Wood etc).  I think they will score at least once, and if they can do that, it might well be enough to get at least a draw as Wolves aren't often that prolific in front of goal.
  25. Like
    i1_principe reacted to thfc in Premier League Predictions > Aug 23rd - 25th   
    My main bet this weekend is Norwich +1 vs Chelsea at evens.  Chelsea at odds on in their current state instinctively feels wrong to me and I think they are being priced up on reputation rather than the ability of their team.
    Norwich look like they will score goals this season, although Pukki's form will drop off at some point.  I like the fact Norwich are giving a chance to most of the team from last season.  Team spirit must be good, and they will be confident after the Newcastle win.  
    Chelsea to me look short of a top striker.  Giroud has never been prolific, Abraham is unproven at this level and Batshuayi blows hot or cold (mostly cold).  I watched the game vs Leicester last week and they gave up so many good chances to Leicester they were lucky to draw in the end. 
    Norwich can score at least once against them, and given I don't think Chelsea are likely to score more than 1 themselves, that makes Norwich capable of getting at least a draw in my book. 
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