alabomb

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  1. **RESULT & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 11/02/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £13.37 Current % Profit +34% I didn't get a chance to share the last 2 games on here but they were both wins, latest selections added below. Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64) 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2) 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1) 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0) 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2) 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3) 02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-3) 02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - LOSE (-£3.70) 02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-1) 02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - WIN (Score 2-0) 03/02 - Real Betis v A Madrid - £0.71 laid @ 9.4, liability of £5.96 - WIN (Score 1-0) 05/02 - Newport v Middlesborough - £0.67 laid @ 10.5, liability of £6.37 - WIN (Score 2-0) Next Games; 11/02 - Wolves v Newcastle - £0.67 laid at 11.0, liability of £6.70 - 11/02 @ 20:00 11/02 - Vitória Setúbal vs. Belenenses - £0.84 laid @ 9.0, liability of £6.72 - 11/02 @ 20:15
  2. **RESULT & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 03/02/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £11.99 Current % Profit +20% --------------------------- Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64) 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2) 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1) 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0) 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2) 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3) 02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-3) 02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - LOSE (-£3.70) 02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-1) 02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - WIN (Score 2-0) Very unlucky yesterday, Brighton yet again causing me to take a hit. I'm not sure what the odds of them getting 2 x 0-0 games in a row are but what can you do. Still in profit and need a good run now. Next Games; 03/02 - Real Betis v Athletico Madrid - £0.71 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.96 - 03/02 @ 15:15 Just one game today so half of the liability is on the line. This game shouldn't be a 0-0, not with these teams!
  3. **TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 02/02/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £14.72 Current % Profit +47% --------------------------- 02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00 02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - 02/02 @ 15:00 02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00 02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - 02/02 @ 15:00 Liability is spread across 4 games today, a clean sweep would be a 9.1% return.
  4. **TODAYS RESULTS ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £14.72 Current % Profit +47% --------------------------- 29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN 29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN 29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - WIN A comfortable win on all 3 games tonight for a 9.7% return. Heading back up, after the loss a few days ago.
  5. **TODAY SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £13.42 Current % Profit +34% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64) 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2) 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1) 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0) 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2) 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3) Next Games; 29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00 29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00 29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - 29/01 @ 20:00
  6. **YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 28/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £13.42 Current % Profit +34% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64) 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2) 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1) 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0) 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2) 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3) Next Games; TBC
  7. **RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 2/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £12.28 Current % Profit 23% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64) 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN Next Games; 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 The first loss yesterday in the Brighton game, let's see how this goes today.
  8. **RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 26/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £16.87 Current % Profit 69% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2) 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1) Next Games; 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - 26/01 : 15:00 A win on all 3 would result in a net profit of 9%, a little below my target of 10% but close enough given the lineups.
  9. **TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 25/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £15.46 Current % Profit 55% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1) Next Games; 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - 25/01 @ 19:30 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - 25/01 @ 19:45
  10. Espanyol with a goal in the 27th Min, nice early win. WIll update tomorrow with new bets.
  11. **TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 24/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £14.84 Current % Profit 48% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) Next Games; 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - 24/01 @ 18:30 The lay odds are a little higher than I would like, offering an 8.3% return on half my liability but I think that this is still a good bet based on the stats of both teams. I cannot see another game for today that fits the criteria so this is the only bet for today. Lots of Premiership games coming up so will aim to get on 3/4 games per day over the next few days.
  12. **YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED** Was a much closer game last night that I had thought but 1 goal from Getafe is enough to secure a win for the good guys! Summary Update Below; (as of 23/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £14.84 Current % Profit 48% Previous Games; 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4) 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1) 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3) 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3) 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2) 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1) 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2) 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0) Next Games; TBC
  13. **TODAYS SELECTION ADDED** Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £13.88 Current % Profit 39% Latest Games; Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2) Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2) Next Games; Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - 22/01 @ 20:00 I would say this is a higher risk match but the stats suggest that this will be a game with over 2.5 goals so I'm running with it for a 13.9% return on half my liability.
  14. Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019) Start Balance £10 Current Balance £13.88 Current % Profit 39% Latest Games; Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2) Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2) Next Games; TBC
  15. Thanks, I'm with you now. I guess that shows the overall probability of all teams getting 0-0. The data I've been working with takes into account the teams current league position, goals for and against, previous games (against all teams) and previous matchups between the teams. I am also trying to incorporate any related news such as major players out of team, lack of manger / coach etc. Not a perfect science but hopefully I can improve enough to make the odds work and avoid the major losses!