vvararu

@sajtion
Who do you thing has more chances to not upset tomorrow? RM against Brugge or Juve against Bayer Leverkusen. I believe in both of them but Juve has better odds on win - 1.56 unibet vs 1.3 for RM. 

I like Stan's chances also. Medvedev has been the form player recently, but Stan has quietly been improving and he is a confidence player and will take huge confidence after beating Djokovic (some will say that victory was down to Joker being injured but I'm not buying it). If both players are at their best (unlikely with both seemingly having some fitness issues), then Stan's best is just better than Medvedev's best. Looks like a decent price for the 3 times slam winner, and former winner here. Hopefully its a classic match.

Stan Wawrinka to beat Daniil Medvedev at 1.80 with bet365
Medvedev has played 20 matches in 30 days. Wawrinka is playing very well recently so if Medvedev is really a human being this should be the end for him. Too many matches on his legs, the crowd against him and Wawrinka playing in a great level again, I expect Stan to take this one.

Townsend to beat Andreescu @4.25 unibet.
Andreescu has shown some great results last months. It's true. But Townsend has proven that she is hot right now having won against Halep, Cirstea, Kozlova... She said at US Open press conference that she feels very good and in shape. 
I dont believe those unbalanced odds. They should be much closer. Both are powerful players with pretty much beef on them and big shot power. I think the odds are false and Townsend has big chances, being the crowd's favorite as well.

Probably should expand a bit... First thing Evans has to do is get into a winning position which I don't think happens. Then, having got into a winning position he's got to close out and in a pressure cooker situation I don't think he's able to do it. I'm thinking back to Wimbledon and also a bit further back when he got to the Delray Beach final. 

Thoughts on Paullie - Khachanov? The betting public are betting the shit ouf of Khachanov because he beat Kyrgios yesterday. Don't you think there's value on Paullie at 2.80? I would think this is a 50/50 match..

This thread is for tennis, guys. As for myself, I'm happy with Zverev getting the job done against Kokkinakis and I'm sticking with just the one bet for today.
 

Hey guys,
What do you think about Pliskova - Andreescu? I'm trying to catch the loss of Andreescu but history shows that when she is in a good run, it's hard to stop her. 
Will be Pliskova abla to stop her? I tried yesterday with Bertens and failed

I am with aphro on this one 
Thiem to beat Cilic 
I have few reasons to think that way
1. Thiem won their only match against each other
2. Thiem is no more that guy who plays only on clay, this year he won Indian Wells masters and beat players like Raonic and Federer en-route to the title.
3.Cilic is nowhere near the form in which he was in his "golden years" when he won US Open, he just it is not the same player.
4. Since Madrid Masters Cilic was not been able to win a 3rd round game
5. Personally for me Thiem right now is the better player.

I think I'm just going to let Thiem run. A brilliant week no matter what happens there.

Yeap... incredible how Ruud could lose first set having the set game on his side. 
Now, I'm gonna catch next loss of Ramos in one of his next games

A Ramos to beat C Ruud @1.65 with Pinnacle.
Not much of a value but confident that Ramos will continue to play at his high level showing no fatigue since playing day in day out on clay after the Wimbledon for almost a month now. H2H Ramos leading by 3-0.

J.Pegula vs I.Swiatek
Take Pegula with Marathon Bet @ 2.02
It's a 50-50 match-up...... taking Pegula with local fans' support and should be more motivated
?

Yoshihito Nishioka to beat Daniel Evans at 3.50 with Unibet
I'm not too thrilled to be backing Nishioka, as he's been largely disappointing so far in this season, but 3.50 is just too much imo. The Japanese guy always plays with a lot of determination and he has a lot to prove, while Evans might want some rest after a decent run in Atlanta. Nishioka also beat him the one time they met before, so it's not like he can't beat him. Don't go overboard with the stakes here, but I think there's value at these odds.

I am also with Basilashvili, even being considered a slight underdog by the bookies.
My reasons are:
- Basilashvili has already beaten Rublev once this year
- Basilashvili defends his title so there is no question of motivation.
- Basilashvili has proven a lot of moral strength yesterday with Zverev. I think it will play an important role today as well.
- Rublev will have to fly to Washington where he will play tomorrow or the day after tomorrow and will have to defend his semi-finals. Here, in Hamburg, nothing to defend.
My call Basilashvili @2.07 Unibet

NIkoloz Basilashvili to beat Andrey Rublev at 1.92 with 1xBet
Take everything above 1.70. No further explanation needed.
 

I am also with Basilashvili, even being considered a slight underdog by the bookies.
My reasons are:
- Basilashvili has already beaten Rublev once this year
- Basilashvili defends his title so there is no question of motivation.
- Basilashvili has proven a lot of moral strength yesterday with Zverev. I think it will play an important role today as well.
- Rublev will have to fly to Washington where he will play tomorrow or the day after tomorrow and will have to defend his semi-finals. Here, in Hamburg, nothing to defend.
My call Basilashvili @2.07 Unibet

I am also with Basilashvili, even being considered a slight underdog by the bookies.
My reasons are:
- Basilashvili has already beaten Rublev once this year
- Basilashvili defends his title so there is no question of motivation.
- Basilashvili has proven a lot of moral strength yesterday with Zverev. I think it will play an important role today as well.
- Rublev will have to fly to Washington where he will play tomorrow or the day after tomorrow and will have to defend his semi-finals. Here, in Hamburg, nothing to defend.
My call Basilashvili @2.07 Unibet

Today's parlay @1.90 Unibet
 
ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals 
Moroni M.    -    Sousa J.   Sousa @1.50 Unibet
Sousa clay 2019 - 8/19. Moroni clay 2019 - 18/32. Even if Moroni has better statistics for 2019, he played mostly in Challengers and against players out of 100ATP ranking. Sousa, on the other side, played in ATP tournaments against much better players from inside of 100 ATP. According to my expectations, it won't be an easy win for Sousa, but he will take it, being a more qualitative player overall.
 
ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay    
Delbonis F. - Zverev A. Zverev @1.27 Unibet 
I expect an easy win (probably 2:0) for Zverev because of the next reasons:
more qualitative player according to achievements and ranking plays at home  won Jarry who is a clay court player, so seems motivated Delbonis should be tired, having played 10 matches in last 15 days.

Today's parlay @1.90 Unibet
 
ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals 
Moroni M.    -    Sousa J.   Sousa @1.50 Unibet
Sousa clay 2019 - 8/19. Moroni clay 2019 - 18/32. Even if Moroni has better statistics for 2019, he played mostly in Challengers and against players out of 100ATP ranking. Sousa, on the other side, played in ATP tournaments against much better players from inside of 100 ATP. According to my expectations, it won't be an easy win for Sousa, but he will take it, being a more qualitative player overall.
 
ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay    
Delbonis F. - Zverev A. Zverev @1.27 Unibet 
I expect an easy win (probably 2:0) for Zverev because of the next reasons:
more qualitative player according to achievements and ranking plays at home  won Jarry who is a clay court player, so seems motivated Delbonis should be tired, having played 10 matches in last 15 days.

Today's parlay @1.90 Unibet
 
ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals 
Moroni M.    -    Sousa J.   Sousa @1.50 Unibet
Sousa clay 2019 - 8/19. Moroni clay 2019 - 18/32. Even if Moroni has better statistics for 2019, he played mostly in Challengers and against players out of 100ATP ranking. Sousa, on the other side, played in ATP tournaments against much better players from inside of 100 ATP. According to my expectations, it won't be an easy win for Sousa, but he will take it, being a more qualitative player overall.
 
ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay    
Delbonis F. - Zverev A. Zverev @1.27 Unibet 
I expect an easy win (probably 2:0) for Zverev because of the next reasons:
more qualitative player according to achievements and ranking plays at home  won Jarry who is a clay court player, so seems motivated Delbonis should be tired, having played 10 matches in last 15 days.

Today's parlay @1.90 Unibet
 
ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals 
Moroni M.    -    Sousa J.   Sousa @1.50 Unibet
Sousa clay 2019 - 8/19. Moroni clay 2019 - 18/32. Even if Moroni has better statistics for 2019, he played mostly in Challengers and against players out of 100ATP ranking. Sousa, on the other side, played in ATP tournaments against much better players from inside of 100 ATP. According to my expectations, it won't be an easy win for Sousa, but he will take it, being a more qualitative player overall.
 
ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay    
Delbonis F. - Zverev A. Zverev @1.27 Unibet 
I expect an easy win (probably 2:0) for Zverev because of the next reasons:
more qualitative player according to achievements and ranking plays at home  won Jarry who is a clay court player, so seems motivated Delbonis should be tired, having played 10 matches in last 15 days.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Hugo Dellien at 2.00 with William Hill
While I do understand the reasons for Basilashvili being the underdog in this one, I don't really agree with them. Basilashvili is still the classier player of the two and he's the defending champion, so I think that he's going to be prepared for the event after taking a break after Wimbledon. Dellien is having an excellent season in terms of win and losses, but most of his successes came on the lower level and he's had some weak performances recently, so I'd have Nikoloz as the favorite here and I'm quite surprised that we're getting evens for him.

I like it. For me it's tomorrow's banker as well.

Please try to post the bookies you're taking the picks with @Anaxagoras!
Martin Klizan to beat Daniel Altmaier at 1.53 with Pinnacle
A fairly premium price for Klizan and I think it's worth taking, as Hamburg has always been among his better events. He's a class above Altmaier if he puts some focus into his work and I think that he will, as he looked really disappointed after losing against Bagnis last time out.