vvararu

Marrakech ATP semi-final
Simon G. - Andujar Alba P.
Simon to win @1.72 (unibet).
 
Here is why I think Simon will win:
Am I the only one who thinks that Andujar Alba cannot perform like this forever ? Almost a game every day. I know he's damn good last 2-3 weeks but I expect some tiredness in the upcoming long game. Long, because Simon is a pusher and, usually, games with him involve many ralleys. Simon is higher ranked (27 VS 70). This is gonna be the highest ranked opponent of Andujar in his loseless series. Simon has a better clay court stats (57.9%) vs Andujar (50.5%). See the screen shot below with Simon on the right. Their H2H is 2:1 for the spaniard, however, last game being 5 years ago, it's not relevant. I think that the odds proposed by the booker are correct. They are leaning towards Simon but not a big gap between them. I'm expecting a long 3 set game ending in 2:1 for the french.... and a french final tomorrow. 
 

Stan Wawrinka to beat Luca Pouille at odds -154 with Chance
Scripted early odds but won't change alot. This will be the first meeting between said players. Quality is with the Swiss player, who is also gaining some very decent form right now(even with some early losses here and there) Game is steadily improving. Both players with nice results in this tournament. Stan Wawrinka has not lost earlier than the Round of 16 since 2008. I don't see Pouille with much chances in the match. I think he's still recovering from a long Australian open, and Wawrinka will not want to lose this first encounter with a younger player. Luck! 

ATP Marrakech.
Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
The reasons of this choice are:
German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.

ATP Marrakech.
Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
The reasons of this choice are:
German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.

ATP Marrakech
Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
Simon @1.62 (unibet).
Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
 
 

ATP Marrakech
Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
Simon @1.62 (unibet).
Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
 
 

ATP Marrakech
Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
Simon @1.62 (unibet).
Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
 
 

Charlestone WTA final.
Wozniacki - Keys. Wozniacki at 1.76 (unibet)
Keys is a powerful player. However, she was broken so many times against Stephens... The big problem of Stephens was her first serve.
Well, that should not be the case for danish girl. She played so well against Sakkari (powerful player), against Martic (good rally player) that I think she will cause big troubles to Keys. 
Being a very good returner and having a superb serve I hope she won’t give so many chances to Keys for her “from mid-range” killer shots.
Long story short, I think that Wozniacki will continue to play great today and will get her first 2019 title.

Charleston WTA
Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 

Charleston WTA
Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 

Charleston WTA
Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 

Pliskova to beat vondrousova at 1.72 bet365
i know pliskova is sort of struggling and vondrousova is having the season of her life but I have watched 2 of her matches (Mertens and strycova) and she just seems a level below pliskova, especially her serve can be very weak..
 
anyone else think at this price it’s a gift ?

Me neither, however, I’ve bet on Muguruza hoping that her class and experience will prevail over Andreescu’s power. Not sure why odds on Mugu have increased. Will see in a hour

Muguruza - Andreescu
My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.

Muguruza - Andreescu
My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.

Muguruza - Andreescu
My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.

I also have doubts about how good is Wang against players with a strong shot (as Andreescu is). I just remember a past year game of Wang against Yastremska and the chinese just could not do much against those strong shots.

I also have doubts about how good is Wang against players with a strong shot (as Andreescu is). I just remember a past year game of Wang against Yastremska and the chinese just could not do much against those strong shots.

WTA Dubai. Muguruza - Yastremska
Muguruza to win @2.17 (Betano)
I thing Muguruza has good chances to win if she keeps her morale up and focuses on the game. Yes, Yastremska has a great shot but she is very emotionally unstable sometimes (yes, Muguruza as well  ). I've seen her doing a lot of double errors and Muguruza, being in a good day, might penalise her for it. 
It will be the 5th appearance of the Spaniard in Dubai, which means she likes this tournament and will take it seriously.
I don't see Yastremska going with the 3rd win over Muguruza.
 

WTA Dubai. Muguruza - Yastremska
Muguruza to win @2.17 (Betano)
I thing Muguruza has good chances to win if she keeps her morale up and focuses on the game. Yes, Yastremska has a great shot but she is very emotionally unstable sometimes (yes, Muguruza as well  ). I've seen her doing a lot of double errors and Muguruza, being in a good day, might penalise her for it. 
It will be the 5th appearance of the Spaniard in Dubai, which means she likes this tournament and will take it seriously.
I don't see Yastremska going with the 3rd win over Muguruza.
 

WTA Dubai. Muguruza - Yastremska
Muguruza to win @2.17 (Betano)
I thing Muguruza has good chances to win if she keeps her morale up and focuses on the game. Yes, Yastremska has a great shot but she is very emotionally unstable sometimes (yes, Muguruza as well  ). I've seen her doing a lot of double errors and Muguruza, being in a good day, might penalise her for it. 
It will be the 5th appearance of the Spaniard in Dubai, which means she likes this tournament and will take it seriously.
I don't see Yastremska going with the 3rd win over Muguruza.
 

WTA - SINGLES: St. Petersburg (Russia), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals
Azarenka Victoria    -    Gasparyan Margarita
Azarenka Victoria @ 1.83 - 2.00
I expect Azarenka to win because
Azarenka (51) is higher in ranking than Gasparyan (81) Azarenka won more hardcourt games (percentage-wise) in 2018 (6/12) than Gasparyan (8/24) Both are russian speakers so no one will feel a foreigner (still advantage for Gasparyan because of her residence in Russia) Odds on Azarenka decreases on most of the bookmakers I haven't seen Gasparyan's last games but, as I know, she had a knee injury at the end of last year. Probably it won't influence a lot, but still, good to know.

WTA - SINGLES: St. Petersburg (Russia), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals
Azarenka Victoria    -    Gasparyan Margarita
Azarenka Victoria @ 1.83 - 2.00
I expect Azarenka to win because
Azarenka (51) is higher in ranking than Gasparyan (81) Azarenka won more hardcourt games (percentage-wise) in 2018 (6/12) than Gasparyan (8/24) Both are russian speakers so no one will feel a foreigner (still advantage for Gasparyan because of her residence in Russia) Odds on Azarenka decreases on most of the bookmakers I haven't seen Gasparyan's last games but, as I know, she had a knee injury at the end of last year. Probably it won't influence a lot, but still, good to know.

@vvararu Please try to always post the bookmaker you're betting with so that we know where to get the listed odds! 

WTA Hua Hin (Thailand), hard
Minella Mandy - Zheng Saisai
Zheng Saisai @ 1.48 - 1.59
I expect Zheng to take her first 2019 win.
Zheng (24 years) is younger than Minella (33 years) Zheng (42) is higher in ranking than Minella (101) Zheng (39 games in 2018) plays much on on hardcourts than Minella (5 games in 2018) Thailand is much closer to Zheng than to Minella It seems that odds for Zheng decreases on most of the bookmakers Of course Minella may still win this but there are lot of arguments that speak in favor of the chinese.