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vvararu

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  1. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from opole in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Sorry for that. Just felt offended by the way how someone reacted to my analyses, using words "Zero value...". In the end it's all about winning money. If I bet 10.000 eu on 1.5 and I win, for me it has a lot of value.
    And yes. You are right about the other meaning of the value.
    Once again. My apologises.
  2. Sad
    vvararu got a reaction from Rypcio in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Monte Carlo
    Hurckacz H. - Coric B.
    Two players that have not any clay games played in 2019 so far.
    Taking a look back in 2018 statistics, Hurckacz looked to be doing better on clay courts - 14 wins out of 18 games. However, 1 think to be mentioned is that he played mostly against > 100 ranked players. If I'm not mistaken, Sandgren was the highest ranked opponent (61 ATP in 2018). Generally, it looks that the guys plays better on hard courts, probably because of his strong shots and serves. 
    On the other side, Coric did not do so well clay-wise in 2018. He won just 5 games out of 10. However, he played against much stronger opponents (compared to the ones of Hurkcacz): Djokovici, Thiem, Schwartzman, Kohlschreiber, Carreno-Busta... I just think that they played different level tournaments; that's why the difference.
    Being the game on the hard court I would have thought differently, but on clay, I give much more chances to Coric. From what I saw on his twitter account, the guys has been preparing very seriously for this tournament with a new guys in his team - Antonio Veic.
    Coric to win @1.50 unibet
     
  3. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from vicsuna in Serie A & B Predictions > Apr 12th - 15th   
    Roma - Udinese
    Total yellow cards > 4.5 @1.73 (unibet)
    Some preconditions for a lot of yellow cards in this match:
    Both teams are motivated for this game. Roma fighting for a champions league spot and Udinese for a safe distance from the relegation zone. The stakes being high, I expect a rough game.  The referee of the game is  Di Bello M, a guy who spreads yellow cards all around.
  4. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from vicsuna in Serie A & B Predictions > Apr 12th - 15th   
    Spal - Juventus
    Spal to score @1.49 (unibet)
    Juventus won't care too much about this match. First of all the are playing in champions league. Second (see the screenshot) they are resting a lot of important players. Third (from a comment of a guys on another site), Juve needs just one point in order to win the "Serie A" this year and, theoretically, they might want to celebrate on the home stadium and not with all the important players being out.
    On the other side, Spal has scored at home to Lazio, Roma, Inter, Atalanta... They are also only 4 points above relegation zone.
    Having in mind the facts from above, I think it's pretty real for Spal to score at least a goal in this match.

  5. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Well... don't take my opinion as an expert's one, but being considered a favourite (see my post above about why), I think it's Ok 1.7-1.8 agains 2-2.20 on Andujar.
    If they were more even, Simon wouldn't be a favourite
  6. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Marrakech ATP semi-final
    Simon G. - Andujar Alba P.
    Simon to win @1.72 (unibet).
     
    Here is why I think Simon will win:
    Am I the only one who thinks that Andujar Alba cannot perform like this forever ? Almost a game every day. I know he's damn good last 2-3 weeks but I expect some tiredness in the upcoming long game. Long, because Simon is a pusher and, usually, games with him involve many ralleys. Simon is higher ranked (27 VS 70). This is gonna be the highest ranked opponent of Andujar in his loseless series. Simon has a better clay court stats (57.9%) vs Andujar (50.5%). See the screen shot below with Simon on the right. Their H2H is 2:1 for the spaniard, however, last game being 5 years ago, it's not relevant. I think that the odds proposed by the booker are correct. They are leaning towards Simon but not a big gap between them. I'm expecting a long 3 set game ending in 2:1 for the french.... and a french final tomorrow. 
     

  7. Like
    vvararu reacted to money44 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Stan Wawrinka to beat Luca Pouille at odds -154 with Chance
    Scripted early odds but won't change alot. This will be the first meeting between said players. Quality is with the Swiss player, who is also gaining some very decent form right now(even with some early losses here and there) Game is steadily improving. Both players with nice results in this tournament. Stan Wawrinka has not lost earlier than the Round of 16 since 2008. I don't see Pouille with much chances in the match. I think he's still recovering from a long Australian open, and Wawrinka will not want to lose this first encounter with a younger player. Luck! 
  8. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech.
    Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
    Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
    The reasons of this choice are:
    German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.
  9. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech.
    Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
    Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
    The reasons of this choice are:
    German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.
  10. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  11. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from money44 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  12. Haha
    vvararu got a reaction from Torque in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  13. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charlestone WTA final.
    Wozniacki - Keys. Wozniacki at 1.76 (unibet)
    Keys is a powerful player. However, she was broken so many times against Stephens... The big problem of Stephens was her first serve.
    Well, that should not be the case for danish girl. She played so well against Sakkari (powerful player), against Martic (good rally player) that I think she will cause big troubles to Keys. 
    Being a very good returner and having a superb serve I hope she won’t give so many chances to Keys for her “from mid-range” killer shots.
    Long story short, I think that Wozniacki will continue to play great today and will get her first 2019 title.
  14. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
  15. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
  16. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
  17. Like
    vvararu reacted to aussietennisexpert in Tennis Tips - March 25 - March 31   
    Pliskova to beat vondrousova at 1.72 bet365
    i know pliskova is sort of struggling and vondrousova is having the season of her life but I have watched 2 of her matches (Mertens and strycova) and she just seems a level below pliskova, especially her serve can be very weak..
     
    anyone else think at this price it’s a gift ?
  18. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    Me neither, however, I’ve bet on Muguruza hoping that her class and experience will prevail over Andreescu’s power. Not sure why odds on Mugu have increased. Will see in a hour
  19. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    Muguruza - Andreescu
    My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
    Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
    A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
    If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.
  20. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    Muguruza - Andreescu
    My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
    Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
    A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
    If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.
  21. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    Muguruza - Andreescu
    My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).
    Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.
    A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.
    If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.
  22. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    I also have doubts about how good is Wang against players with a strong shot (as Andreescu is). I just remember a past year game of Wang against Yastremska and the chinese just could not do much against those strong shots.
  23. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from money44 in Tennis - March 11 - March 17   
    I also have doubts about how good is Wang against players with a strong shot (as Andreescu is). I just remember a past year game of Wang against Yastremska and the chinese just could not do much against those strong shots.
  24. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from money44 in Tennis Tips - February 11 - February 17   
    WTA Dubai. Muguruza - Yastremska
    Muguruza to win @2.17 (Betano)
    I thing Muguruza has good chances to win if she keeps her morale up and focuses on the game. Yes, Yastremska has a great shot but she is very emotionally unstable sometimes (yes, Muguruza as well  ). I've seen her doing a lot of double errors and Muguruza, being in a good day, might penalise her for it. 
    It will be the 5th appearance of the Spaniard in Dubai, which means she likes this tournament and will take it seriously.
    I don't see Yastremska going with the 3rd win over Muguruza.
     
  25. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis Tips - February 11 - February 17   
    WTA Dubai. Muguruza - Yastremska
    Muguruza to win @2.17 (Betano)
    I thing Muguruza has good chances to win if she keeps her morale up and focuses on the game. Yes, Yastremska has a great shot but she is very emotionally unstable sometimes (yes, Muguruza as well  ). I've seen her doing a lot of double errors and Muguruza, being in a good day, might penalise her for it. 
    It will be the 5th appearance of the Spaniard in Dubai, which means she likes this tournament and will take it seriously.
    I don't see Yastremska going with the 3rd win over Muguruza.
     
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