aussietennisexpert

Grigor Dimitrov -1 game @2.00 Dafabet 3/10
I like Dimitrov here for some reasons. He's living in Monte-Carlo for years now and so this is kind of a home tournament for him. He prepared well in MC last two weeks hitting with a lot of good training partners and apparently he looked pretty good. My contact in MC told me he's looking strong and pumped and i think he can deal with a guy like Berrettini on clay who is - to be fair - a really good prospect who can make it to the Top 20/30 soon. Berrettini had good tournament in Phoenix and Sofia but overall more an average year so far with a lot of early losses. 

@CzechPunter - Milojevic is playing quite well, and I don't recognize much of a homecourt advantage.. The crowd seems to be cheering when he scores points also.

Good call !

@alani42Sorry I cannot post the excel
1. It is all generated in VBA (so it will only update from the user form)
2. It also contains lots of other data which I am unwilling to reveal (currently)
If you require help in creating your own sheet and need help with formulas then please ask and I will assist where possible
if you checkout the link posted 13th March this should give you a good starting point

Is it just me chuckling a bit at this; the notion of a potential new sports competition's organisers being keen to have their event available on Betfair just screams match fixing! 

As i wrote it it wasn't 0-6...i think it wasn't even started but didn't follow the scores tbh.
And no, Arneodo took the MTO mate not Londero! But good luck!

Opole strikes again with Ocleppo today. If somebody doesn't cage him up .. He's going to tear down the betting walls, and we'll be back to playing chinese checkers for coins on the street. 

hello,
my thoughts;
- sixes/4s should have a lot of value, some bookies have problems getting them right (sportsbet for example). Earlier on we had bets almost hitting the numbers in just the first innings.
- top batsmen has some value, teams might appear stacked with stars but if you pick 2 out of the top order / middle+ order (dre..) consistent ones you can hit it fairly often..
obv picking 2 lowers potential earnings..
head 2 head ive dropped that market, even during live games. retarded.
- over/under runs you can pick some with in plays

ATP Monte Carlo taro Daniel to beat Yannick maden at 1.66 bet365
seems good value on Daniel who although isn’t an exciting player has ok results on clay
maden is just a somewhat in form challenger player that hasn’t done much on clay since Budapest last year and hasn’t played on clay this season yet ..?

This week we have 1 point on under 5.5 AH cards in A Madrid v Celta Vigo at 1.975 with 365.

Monte Carlo qualification
Mischa Zverev vs. Julian Ocleppo @3.35 Pinnacle 8/10
Zverev in horrendous form and shape. Looked horrible vs. Daniel in Marrakech. Clay was always his worst surface. Don't see him winning many matches next few weeks. Might cash out some bigger tournaments though and looking forward to grass court. I doubt you can make him a favorite right now vs any decent claycourt player out there. Ocleppo looking solid enough to take advantage of Zverevs bad form. Ocleppo once was a good prospect, beat guys like Auger-Aliassime or Yibing Wu as a junior for example.

Ferro is a good young propsect from France, played quite good against voegele for her rankings .. lots of winners and not many unforced errors in comparison .. although hercog has less passive game than voegele ..
She was mixing well dropshots and powerful strokes .. voegele was not really close anytime even when leading 3-0 first set it looked she was probably not going to make it
a small plus the coach gave very good advice when he came in vs voegele ..
i haven’t seen hercog play this tour so I don’t know.. but ferro has had a few good matches in a row now.. although the level difference should prove too big. She especially got broken / in danger on her serve 0-40 more than a few times..
 
a note on paire .. he didn’t get WC to Monte Carlo and can’t play the qualifications due to playing semi finals here .. he’s shown some anger on social media and will try his very best against Tsonga to show the world he deserved wc/ hé will miss 1 tour. Not that I think it’s enough to beat Tsonga but you never know.
tsonga did look very good against a somewhat quality opponent .. choosing his moment to put pressure on the others serve to break and most often winning his serve comfortably ..
paire looked very good on serve but we all know how fast he can turn .. all in all I’d still back Jo but at these odds maybe I’d just put him in a parlay

Ferro is a good young propsect from France, played quite good against voegele for her rankings .. lots of winners and not many unforced errors in comparison .. although hercog has less passive game than voegele ..
She was mixing well dropshots and powerful strokes .. voegele was not really close anytime even when leading 3-0 first set it looked she was probably not going to make it
a small plus the coach gave very good advice when he came in vs voegele ..
i haven’t seen hercog play this tour so I don’t know.. but ferro has had a few good matches in a row now.. although the level difference should prove too big. She especially got broken / in danger on her serve 0-40 more than a few times..
 
a note on paire .. he didn’t get WC to Monte Carlo and can’t play the qualifications due to playing semi finals here .. he’s shown some anger on social media and will try his very best against Tsonga to show the world he deserved wc/ hé will miss 1 tour. Not that I think it’s enough to beat Tsonga but you never know.
tsonga did look very good against a somewhat quality opponent .. choosing his moment to put pressure on the others serve to break and most often winning his serve comfortably ..
paire looked very good on serve but we all know how fast he can turn .. all in all I’d still back Jo but at these odds maybe I’d just put him in a parlay

It seems to me that Ossorio Serrano has a chance today vs Anisimova.. I'm probably going to bet an NHL hockey game, and use that as a back to cover the action on the NHL game.. Still trying to decide the best course of action my next bet.. Did win on Griekspoor tho.. @Czech fyi.. I think Griekspoor is a goldmine for bettors to keep in mind for the future

You should just post them. Always interesting to see if someone fancy opposing the fave that you’ve picked.

You should just post them. Always interesting to see if someone fancy opposing the fave that you’ve picked.

Yep was so close to take Zverev for a big stake and thought better of it after reviewing his latest form and also Munar can be dangerous ..

The Vesely situation is a bit different because I already won him last time as a favorite, and this is a follow up play.. So I could potentially make exceptions for that @aussietennisexpert
I have a plan in mind if 'Vesely wins to possibly hammer Munar right after on the next match.. I don't know how well Paire has been playing, and that scares me a little bit, but I was really tempted to bet Munar yesterday.. Made a big mistake, and did not risk anything on him. I think someone even posted here asking about Munar to win... A member that I don't recall their name, but nobody commented much about it.. Its amazing how many times Zverev loses.. It was the first match between the two young stars, and clearly value was laced all over Munar with Zverev still recovering physically. 

You should just post them. Always interesting to see if someone fancy opposing the fave that you’ve picked.

Georgiou @1,88 Unibet
He is leading the H2H with 2-0 and is normally the better player of the 2, as you can see on the ranking. Both didn't win a lot of matches lately. I expected odds of around 1,65-1,7 for Georgiou.

H2H between Pablo and Delbonis is malicious.
5-0 Pablo only tells the half of the story.
Delbonis was up a set and a break in the last three encounters and he regained some momentum, form and confidence after having a good run in Miami + he usually plays very good in Morocco (won the tournament in Marrakech in 2016). He was struggling a lot with the lefty serve in the past vs. Delbonis IMO and it was probably PRIME Pablo who had those problems....
Now Pablo is getting old. You can see that He was struggling with athletic players who let him run a lot like Martinez Portero or Domingues and he played two full weeks (10 matches in 12 days, only three days off in last two weeks).
I think this is a bit of a trap: Andujar defending title + 5-0 H2H....i would not bet on Pablo here tbh. I would wait for inplay odds and then deciding what to bet after seeing Andujar on court. Could be literally deadly tired and looking awful. 

solid day in the office. ouahab lost a close match in three sets but fiona ganz saved me with a nice bagel in the final set. she's looking like a decent prospect. odds dropped to 1.4 on her, the opening odds were absolutely unreal. 
we've got interesting prospect playing in murcia tomorrow.
carlos lopez montagud born 200km away from murcia, had some good success in murcia last month on itf tour level where he reached the semifinal and lost to alvaro lopez san martin in three sets. lopez san martin beat bagnis this week in alicante. looked also like a great prospect.
his opponent is roberto ortega-olmedo who is more adapted to hardcourt, he didn't do much on clay last year. he looks in bad shape in monterrey vs young, i think he was a bit off because he didn't play for few weeks recently.
i think lopez montagud could be a living dog here, i am risking a bet on him
carlos lopez montagud @3.15 5dimes 4/10

Right, here we go, good luck everyone .

we're good here, galdos/varillas won 75 62

ouahab won 62 60
walk in the park for the legend. i took some more of ouahab this morning, no idea why some books had him aroiund 2.7....strange one, ouahab dominated from the first point as expected.