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aussietennisexpert

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Posts posted by aussietennisexpert

  1. 5 hours ago, darko08 said:

    Kudermetova and Jabeur could have won

    Jabeur has just been more and more solid. Just a little more consistency and better serve and she might climb to top 20. I would have never thought she could be capable of that to be honnest. 

     

    Small multi for tonight:

    Karolina Pliskova to win, Anett Kontaveit to win @ 2.21 bet365

    ;

    I agree with Darko re Pliskova vs Rybakina, Rybakina has been excellent but not good enough yet to trouble elite players.

    Last week she was just obliterated by Bertens. Her return game is just not good enough yet to trouble big servers. With that in mind, I think it will be extremely unlikely for her to find enough break points to trouble Pliskova.

    I do feel that a game is coming where she will be able to create something against better players, which is why I am only taking a straight win.

    ;

    I have backed Martic in the last two rounds and I haven't found the wins as easy as the score reflects. Especially considering that Hsieh has been transparent this season, and strycova won an extremely tight match vs a 50% Anisimova

    Martic had to face many break points (over 1.33 BP faced per game in average so far) against these not in form/lower players. A better player will punish her - no matter how good her serve can be.

    Not much to say on Kontaveit side. Her win against resurgent Pavlyuencha was by no mean an easy win. But I believe this is more of a testimony to current Pavlyuencha level than anything else. Kontaveit service has been pretty solid.

     

  2. 10 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

    Alex Bolt to beat Goncalo Oliveira at 1.76 with Pinnacle

    One more shot for me against Oliveira. Jung had enough chances and Bolt was able to beat the wind with his serve today, so he should be a slightly bigger fav imo. Not much more to say honestly, I just don't rate Oliveira at all despite his win against Jung,

    I don’t think bolt wants to win this match ..

  3. Watched both Medvedev matches thinking he would drop a set, mainly because of his results so far on clay.

    Well, didn’t go too well for me..

    He’s  been serving great only dropping serve once.

    Been very consistent in his baseline rallies against both [although Sousa played super bad].

    Hit many big shots, his dangerous short cross court backhands Or drop shots whenever needed.

    Grain of salt is his opponents weren’t top players super in form (albot sort of but) .. he definitly looked great.. and has been having a pretty good season so far

    Definitely potential against tsitsips 

     

  4. Atp Monte Carlo

    j Sousa +1.5 set vs d Medvedev @ 1.53 bet365 5/10

    Medvedev with a great start of the season has slowed down after Rotterdam.

    He hasnt done much on clay on the big stage yet And has not played on clay this season yet. 

    Stopped twice @ Monte Carlo by “clay specialists” before and only passed first round once in 3 appearances.

    ===

    sousa Not great start of the season but ok at Miami. 

    Good clay court player, with a few clay matches under his belt already this season

    passed Monte Carlo first round 3 times already 

    has already beaten medevedev on clay last year at estoril

    I can see a 3 sets match with a very slight chance for an upset

    ===

    ewww not even close

  5. hello,

    my thoughts;

    - sixes/4s should have a lot of value, some bookies have problems getting them right (sportsbet for example). Earlier on we had bets almost hitting the numbers in just the first innings.

    - top batsmen has some value, teams might appear stacked with stars but if you pick 2 out of the top order / middle+ order (dre..) consistent ones you can hit it fairly often..

    obv picking 2 lowers potential earnings..

    head 2 head ive dropped that market, even during live games. retarded.

    - over/under runs you can pick some with in plays

  6. Ferro is a good young propsect from France, played quite good against voegele for her rankings .. lots of winners and not many unforced errors in comparison .. although hercog has less passive game than voegele ..

    She was mixing well dropshots and powerful strokes .. voegele was not really close anytime even when leading 3-0 first set it looked she was probably not going to make it

    a small plus the coach gave very good advice when he came in vs voegele ..

    i haven’t seen hercog play this tour so I don’t know.. but ferro has had a few good matches in a row now.. although the level difference should prove too big. She especially got broken / in danger on her serve 0-40 more than a few times..

     

    a note on paire .. he didn’t get WC to Monte Carlo and can’t play the qualifications due to playing semi finals here .. he’s shown some anger on social media and will try his very best against Tsonga to show the world he deserved wc/ hé will miss 1 tour. Not that I think it’s enough to beat Tsonga but you never know.

    tsonga did look very good against a somewhat quality opponent .. choosing his moment to put pressure on the others serve to break and most often winning his serve comfortably ..

    paire looked very good on serve but we all know how fast he can turn .. all in all I’d still back Jo but at these odds maybe I’d just put him in a parlay

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