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aussietennisexpert

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Everything posted by aussietennisexpert

  1. Quick question for Doha.. do you guys factor in the wind when making your picks ? so far the strongest players seem to win but holding serve is very hard and on some shots the ball seems to move a good 3 meters to the side.. There seems to be less wind into the evening...
  2. Medvedev looked fed up just before the end of the first set. After that it was like he just expected Simon to return everything and he slowly died out. halep - rybakina on the other side. What a match! Night and day with the match against bertens - although halep May be a better matchup for her. will be siding with rybakina A lot in the future weeks !
  3. What to make of Medvedev’s performance vs Simon? Simon played excellent but the final score is .. o_O
  4. Jabeur has just been more and more solid. Just a little more consistency and better serve and she might climb to top 20. I would have never thought she could be capable of that to be honnest. Small multi for tonight: Karolina Pliskova to win, Anett Kontaveit to win @ 2.21 bet365 ; I agree with Darko re Pliskova vs Rybakina, Rybakina has been excellent but not good enough yet to trouble elite players. Last week she was just obliterated by Bertens. Her return game is just not good enough yet to trouble big servers. With that in mind, I think it will be extremely unlikely for her to find enough break points to trouble Pliskova. I do feel that a game is coming where she will be able to create something against better players, which is why I am only taking a straight win. ; I have backed Martic in the last two rounds and I haven't found the wins as easy as the score reflects. Especially considering that Hsieh has been transparent this season, and strycova won an extremely tight match vs a 50% Anisimova Martic had to face many break points (over 1.33 BP faced per game in average so far) against these not in form/lower players. A better player will punish her - no matter how good her serve can be. Not much to say on Kontaveit side. Her win against resurgent Pavlyuencha was by no mean an easy win. But I believe this is more of a testimony to current Pavlyuencha level than anything else. Kontaveit service has been pretty solid.
  5. But apparently he is injured. Not sure what’s the go to be honest.
  6. Linette to beat Tig 1.5 @ bet365 I know the odds are pretty low but I’ve watched the last 2 rounds of each players and Tig’s level is pretty shocking. Linette has had a slow start the last 2 matches - so hard to take a 2-0 win - but she should still win comfortably.
  7. If no upsets ... do you guys think Medvedev can do something vs Nadal ? all betting aside it should be an interesting match if he can keep his current levels
  8. Herbert to win a set vs Coric at 1.72 bet365 great price. He can easily usually hold his serve Well and chances end of set / tie break Coric dropped a set in both previous matches against similar quality players Herbert coming out of 2 great wins in straights + public cheering what do you guys think?
  9. Challenger anning k majchrzak to beat R. RamanathaN 2-0 @1.57 bet365
  10. Whenever odds come out and depending.. Challenger anning k majchrzak to beat R. Ramanathan Ramanathan looked god damn awful against a future player. There was a lot of wind but not an excuse..
  11. Watched both Medvedev matches thinking he would drop a set, mainly because of his results so far on clay. Well, didn’t go too well for me.. He’s been serving great only dropping serve once. Been very consistent in his baseline rallies against both [although Sousa played super bad]. Hit many big shots, his dangerous short cross court backhands Or drop shots whenever needed. Grain of salt is his opponents weren’t top players super in form (albot sort of but) .. he definitly looked great.. and has been having a pretty good season so far Definitely potential against tsitsips
  12. Atp Monte Carlo j Sousa +1.5 set vs d Medvedev @ 1.53 bet365 5/10 Medvedev with a great start of the season has slowed down after Rotterdam. He hasnt done much on clay on the big stage yet And has not played on clay this season yet. Stopped twice @ Monte Carlo by “clay specialists” before and only passed first round once in 3 appearances. === sousa Not great start of the season but ok at Miami. Good clay court player, with a few clay matches under his belt already this season passed Monte Carlo first round 3 times already has already beaten medevedev on clay last year at estoril I can see a 3 sets match with a very slight chance for an upset === ewww not even close
  13. 275 and under , and top amateur (although I had to cash out 3rd round for smaller profit because it was so close !) great tips !
  14. Milojevic definitly plays better and should’ve won the first set...
  15. hello, my thoughts; - sixes/4s should have a lot of value, some bookies have problems getting them right (sportsbet for example). Earlier on we had bets almost hitting the numbers in just the first innings. - top batsmen has some value, teams might appear stacked with stars but if you pick 2 out of the top order / middle+ order (dre..) consistent ones you can hit it fairly often.. obv picking 2 lowers potential earnings.. head 2 head ive dropped that market, even during live games. retarded. - over/under runs you can pick some with in plays
  16. ATP Monte Carlo taro Daniel to beat Yannick maden at 1.66 bet365 seems good value on Daniel who although isn’t an exciting player has ok results on clay maden is just a somewhat in form challenger player that hasn’t done much on clay since Budapest last year and hasn’t played on clay this season yet ..?
  17. Ferro is a good young propsect from France, played quite good against voegele for her rankings .. lots of winners and not many unforced errors in comparison .. although hercog has less passive game than voegele .. She was mixing well dropshots and powerful strokes .. voegele was not really close anytime even when leading 3-0 first set it looked she was probably not going to make it a small plus the coach gave very good advice when he came in vs voegele .. i haven’t seen hercog play this tour so I don’t know.. but ferro has had a few good matches in a row now.. although the level difference should prove too big. She especially got broken / in danger on her serve 0-40 more than a few times.. a note on paire .. he didn’t get WC to Monte Carlo and can’t play the qualifications due to playing semi finals here .. he’s shown some anger on social media and will try his very best against Tsonga to show the world he deserved wc/ hé will miss 1 tour. Not that I think it’s enough to beat Tsonga but you never know. tsonga did look very good against a somewhat quality opponent .. choosing his moment to put pressure on the others serve to break and most often winning his serve comfortably .. paire looked very good on serve but we all know how fast he can turn .. all in all I’d still back Jo but at these odds maybe I’d just put him in a parlay