MkayaGG

Leicester vs Manchester City
The live televised EFL Cup Quarter-Final tonight is the all-Premier League tie between mid-table Leicester and second placed Manchester City in a 7:45pm kick-off from the King Power Stadium. A place in the semi-finals is up for grabs but can the host side cause an upset?
Leicester have had a tragic and emotional couple of months. Things are starting to settle down once again after that traumatic period but questions still remain over the impact the death of the club's owner, Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha, but the club now face their sternest test since that awful day in this clash with City.
The Foxes have already disposed of Fleetwood, Wolves, and Southampton. Interestingly, Claude Puel's side haven't conceded a goal in regulation or extra-time play in this competition this season. If they manage that again tonight then they'll be only the second team this season to pull off that feat.
Manchester City are performing as expected. Pep Guardiola's side might not be top of the Premier League table but that's purely down to Liverpool's excellent early season form. They are still pushing Jurgen Klopp's men and have reached the last 16 of the Champions League as a seeded team.
So far in this competition, the Citizens have demolished Oxford United and Fulham without conceding a goal. It is no wonder the bookies are favouring them to win this game and win it well. It can never be certain what side Guardiola will send out for a game like this with a congested fixture schedule coming up. Maybe that offers the chance for some cheeky value backing the underdog to perform better than expected.
It should be remembered that even though Manchester City have the superior record in this head-to-head over recent times with 3 wins and a draw from the last 4 encounters, Leicester did actually take the scalp of City during 2016. The two clubs were in two completely different places back then mind.
I'm finding it hard to bet against Manchester City but I'm not sure it'll be as easy for them as the bookies are making out. Guardiola has frequently dismissed any real desire to try and win the EFL Cup. It seems to be a trophy he'd be happy to win but won't put much emphasis on it. I wouldn't be surprised if Leicester push them all the way losing by just a single goal or even taking the visitors to extra-time.
BTTS @ 1.95 with Bet365
Leicester +2 @ 1.83 with Ladbrokes
@Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Dave1X2, @canaries91, @jazzman02, @sajtion, @Darran, @postmanplod69, @eddiem, @bartonbank, @yossa6133, @Teodore, @thinkpink63, @Roy The Boy, and @AndreBR, what bets are you guys tempted by for these games?

My little go at catching a big Shark 
 
As it looks like the original poster has gone spending his 450k 
 
 

EPL 15-16Th DEC PREDICTIONS
Manchester City - Everton
1 (1.23) 2-1 FT
Tottenham - Burnley
1 (1.19) 4-0 FT
Watford - Cardiff City
2 (5.60) 2-3 FT
Wolves - Bournemouth
1 (1.98) 2-1 FT
Crystal Palace - Leicester City
1 (2.58) 2-0 FT
Huddersfield Town - Newcastle Utd
2 (3.00) 1-2 FT
Fulham - West Ham
2 (2.47) 1-2 FT
Brighton - Chelsea
2 (1.50) 0-2 FT
Southampton - Arsenal
2 (1.98) 0-3 FT
Liverpool - Manchester Utd
1 (1.56) 2-0 FT

I have been bet in football since 2010,and become a long term winner for above 5 years.I stats my latest 10 betting accounts,and my yield is 10% in over 4000 bets, is that good enough?

Atalanta vs Lazio
Firstly, great group of tips in this thread this week. @the bastardian, @betcatalog, and @thinkpink63 particularly delivering the goods in terms of quality. I've ballsed it up this week. My personal circumstances mean I'm left with having to predict the Atalanta versus Lazio match this Monday night at 7:30pm at the Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. I bloody hate getting involved with Atalanta!
Atalanta are a team that, if you've been with us for a while, you'll know love to screw us over. Don't trust the form books or statistics when it comes to these guys. In other words, this is personal. Gian Piero Gasperini's team are 10th in Serie A but such is the tightness of the league that they're only 5 points off the Champions League qualification places.
Lazio are one of the great Italian sides but recent years have been dry for the club. Simone Inzaghi has turned them back into a top four competing side. They are in 5th place right now but it could have been so much better than it is. The club are just 1 point behind 4th placed AC Milan but have drawn their last four league matches.
You can certainly expect goals in this encounter. The past five meetings between these two sides have seen 21 goals scored and both teams have scored in every one of those matches. This prospect of goals is further inflated by the fact that Atalanta and Lazio are the two teams that have had the most touches in opposition team's box in Serie A since the start of 2018. They love their attacking pressure!
I know I'm going to regret this but I'm going to go against my gut and back Atalanta for the win. They've been inconsistent at home but have generally struggled against the teams that have shut up shop or sneaked a single goal win. Against a team like Lazio that come to attack I think they'll grab the win. If they don't, then I'm officially declaring them an enemy of Punters Lounge! No offence to their fans. They're still welcome here. Just not the players... or management... or coaching staff.
Atalanta to Win @ 2.25 with MarathonBet
BTTS @ 1.59 with SportPesa

was so close to an epic day oh well

Al Ettifaq
Al Wehda Mecca
My bet here Al Wehda Mecca DNB @ 1.75
Al Wehda Mecca one of best teams in saudi league , very experience players , they are very attacking side who can score easy anytime 
Al Ettifaq suffer again , no manager , no money inside the club , missing more players , things inside the team not healthy 
 

I know it's hard to stay glued to the computer when life is happening.
NO/BOSS at 5.50 score 186 under was 212.5- Loss
CLE/MIL at 5.50 score 175 under was 203.5 - Win
SAC/CHI at 5.50 score 180 under was 208.5- Win
UT/OKC at 5.50 score 194 under was 233.5- Loss
ORL/DAL at 5.50 didn't record score but under was 183.5-Win
MEM/DEN at 5.50 score 182 under was 209.5-Win
LAC/PHX at 5.50 score was 199 under was 229.5-L (this was a big winner until they tied it up in the final seconds and went into OT)

Great caution by the way
Great caution by the way, spot on. thanks

Pro Piacenza - Arezzo
Tip: 2 (Draw No Bet)
Odds: 1.50 @ Bet365
Stake: 3/10
Serious problems for Pro Piacenza. The Rossoneri of Pro Piacenza have entered a vortex of negative results that are heavily undermining the standings, the defeats are 8 in the last 9 matches with a row of 4 consecutive losses. Marchesi (midfielder 4/0), Magraviti (midfielder 11/0), Quaini (midfielder 4/0) and Zaccagno (goalkeeper 8), left the club to return to their own teams, while Zanchi (defender 11/1) and topscoprer Nolè (forward 12/5) are still unavailable due to injury. One more huge problem is that Piacenza Calcio mainly terminated their contract to use the Stadio Leonardo Garilli and they were about to move to Valentino Mazzola Stadium in Santarcangelo di Romagna which is 2.5hours away from Piacenza, but after the long talks and agreements Piacenza Calcio let them extend the rent of their stadium. It does not help the overall financial situation and the thing is that in view of the January market there will be a revolution in the Pro Piacenza as their heaviest contract are about to get terminated.

yes
yes
yes
no
no
yes
no
GOOD LUCK!

I would be very cautious with Roma. They are in a big mess right now, bad domestic campaign and manager Di Francesco at big risk to be sacked. If the players aren't with him this is the right chance to get rid of him..
More while Roma is already through as 2nd Plzen can still reach a spot in the EL. They just need a point unless CSKA Moskow win in Madrid.
Roma miss Dzeko, De Rossi and El Shaarawy and some regulars will surely be benched, keeping an eye on the upcoming must win game in Rome vs Genoa.
Another game where I'll keep an eye on for some in-play opportunity.

For Starters i will have a  Roma  (0) handicap @ 1.91 (1xbet) 
and BTTS & Over 3.5  on the Lyon Match @ 2.44 as mains ( 1xbet).
Ajax DC looks inviting too as a dessert @ 1.86.
Thats my take for the day (8.6) for the 3 combined but i will take each course on its own.
 

Hi all, Im here to share my success bet system with this wonderful punters, enjoy.
Last few months I got over 4,500£ from betting on EPL, thats over 500£ a week. Wondering how? 
The system is simply: a week have 10 games to bet on, right? I go for BTTS guessing em' all, thats over 300\1 odds. Smart research & investing buged +-30£ weekly can bring you up to 500£, how? Simply split your bets. 30 BTTS differents bets using 1£ will do the job. 
Last week EPL BTTS results:
Yes (Cardiff - Wolverhampton)
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No (Liverpool - Everton)
Good luck!

Staines v Dorchester (Southern Premier South)
Just the one bet for me this mid-week and I fancy the away side to carry on their recent good form. They hadn't won in 5 league games and had suffered a couple of heavy defeats, but they have been much improved since having won both league games and beating National League South side Hungerford in the FA Trophy. That was a really good effort even for allowing for the fact that Hungerford aren't doing well in the league above. They won 4-1 on Saturday and should be confident of picking up another 3 points here. They might have one eye on the FA Trophy tie against Eastbourne on Saturday, but Staines are a bad side. In their last 10 league games they have lost 9 and won one. They haven't played a game since November 24th so there is every chance they will be pretty ring rusty coming into this as well. I'd back anyone at odds against to beat Staines at the moment so Marathon's 129/100 makes a fair bit of appeal on an away win.
Dorchester 2pts @ 129/100 @ Marathon

Barcelona vs Tottenham
It's the big one in the Champions League this Tuesday. In amongst all the chat about which teams have something to play for in this final round we have Barcelona versus Tottenham in an 8pm kick-off at the Nou Camp where the visitors need to equal or better Inter Milan's result against PSV to qualify for the last 16.
Barcelona have already taken care of business at their end with 13 points from their 5 group games so far. It means they have already sealed qualification to the knockout stage. Ernesto Valverde's side have also confirmed top spot in the group so will be seeded for the next phase. It's simply about pride for them now.
Tottenham have a slightly more complex situation. If they earn the same result as Inter Milan do against PSV at the San Siro then they will progress. Unfortunately, that is likely to mean that Tottenham have to beat Barcelona on their home turf. PSV haven't won a single point away in the group stage and have only picked up a single point in the whole group phase... and that was at home to Tottenham.
The home side dominate the recent head-to-head record in this clash. Barcelona have won 2 and drawn 1 against Spurs. The last meeting being the Lionel Messi masterclass in a 4-2 win at Wembley earlier in the group stage. It doesn't get much better for Tottenham when you look at Barcelona's European record against English clubs.
It is now just 1 loss in their last 12 meetings with English sides in the Champions League. Furthermore, Barcelona have lost just 1 of their 30 European home games against English clubs. That solitary defeat was a one-goal win for Liverpool in the 2006/07 campaign.
The small seed of hope that Mauricio Pochettino's side can take into this game is that it was only 11th November when Barcelona were last beaten at home and that was a 4-3 loss to Real Betis in La Liga. It is also true that Tottenham have never lost a game on the final round of group stage games in the Champions League. You might also want to place a cheeky anytime scorer bet on Harry Kane because the striker has bagged 7 goals in 7 Champions League matches.
I would love to see Tottenham pull this off. Unfortunately, I think they might have left themselves with too much work to do. The damage was done in the first three group games where they lost 2 and drew 1 of their games. It's a mammoth task. I am a hopeless football romantic though. The form Tottenham are in they stand a chance and that's enough to go into this game. I've witnessed bigger miracles happen in football before. Barcelona are likely to rest players and Tottenham are irresistible right now. Screw it, I'm backing Tottenham Draw No Bet! Let's do this Tottenham!!! 
Tottenham Draw No Bet @ 2.55 with Betfair
Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 2.12 with Unibet
@vasilli07, @Xcout, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @DrBetter, @Duuc, @DrO, @immortal--, @Notorious, @betcatalog, @KingSoccertips, @discipline, @Pep004, @HastGill1, @ElPrincipito007, @salmonman, @DW_United, @allthethings, @MightyWell, @liamcorrigan86, @mijOsim, @dorleywilliams, @soccerprediction123, @TOTTI3, @LePapo, @seifer365, @MPLouis, @Jack A, @JJG, @Pipoca, @neilovan, @wcz, @newjack, @matt-e-matticle, @EBTA, @cluelessG, @mtom, @Marek76, @allyhibs, @alani42, @jazzman02, @hristofor, @fhuefdsa @Gedkip, @Carovie, @money44, @Donvitz, and @WinningAdvice, what are you all looking to bet on this week? What do you think of my tip?

Great stuff. I used it last night on USA college basketball and even women's college basketball. It works. Pretty amazing. However, living in the states we are unable to set up an account with Bet365. Have to settle for watching and testing until gambling becomes legal in all of US.

Hi Swasya and cheers,
Sorry my screen seems to freeze when I try to reply.
I have noticed it works for all Basketball games although be careful because sometimes the Bookies will only give 20 points diff to the game score and the Bookies total, for example the game may have 137 points and the Bookies total may be 157, those games I would look more for overs because it's too low with c6 minutes left in the game.
The numbers in bracket above is the diff between the game total and the Bookies total, my number is 29, anything higher will be a slight advantage for us punters., 
 

Hi everyone
I would like to share something I have noticed in Basketball games that you may be able to improve,
I have only started recently playing 62 games for 44 wins & 18 losses giving c70% win rate.
It all starts in the 4th quarter with 5.50 left on the clock, what the Bookies have for the total you take the Unders,
So for example if the score is 150 with 5.50 left and the Bookies have the total for the game at 184.5 then you will take 
Under 184.5 @ $1.85
Check it out, you won't be disappointed.
Good Luck
I'm waiting for the Korean Basketball League - KCC Egis v Seoul Knights, they are midway through the 3rd quarter now.
Update - 
The game has finished and at 5.50 the score was 124, the Bookies had 148.5 and the final total was 145

LEICESTER (X) 3.50
WEST HAM (X) 3.30
CARDIFF (X) 3.20
50% desperation draw treble!
 

Another winning Nap on Tuesday night and December has got off to a solid start. I have bets in 7 games across the 3 National League divisions on Saturday.
Boreham Wood v Leyton Orient
In typical style the only game Orient have failed to win in their last 5 league games was when I put them up against Aldershot and they drew 0-0. It was frustrating as it is the only recent good performance Aldershot have put in in the league of late. They are now unbeaten in 9 league games and have won 6 of them. I have long said the league title will go to either them or Salford and it is games like this they need to make sure they are picking up 3 points in. Now Wood are quite hard to beat at home and have only lost twice in the league at home all season, but they have both come in their last 5 games including in their last one against Dover. Overall though they have won just 2 of their last 10 league games and beating Maidenhead and Bromley at home hardly suggests they are capable of beating Orient here. They look a fair way off the side who reached the play-off final last season. Orient should be odds on and Betfred are 21/20 about the away side picking up 3 points in the game live on BT Sport at 12.35
Chesterfield v Salford
Draw!
Well like in the Bromley game I think it is wise to cover two results here. Martin Allen has let a few players either go or put on the transfer list this week as he looks to change things around. They didn't do too badly against Grimsby in the FA Cup and they will be disappointed by the goals they conceded as both were a bit fortunate. What it did show yet again though is they struggle to get goals despite the fact they are putting in a fair bit of effort. I know they have been drawing games, but you don't go on an unbeaten run like this by being a bad side and they are capable of making life hard for Salford. I have to back the draw again as I said I would until they stopped drawing league games. However, Salford should really be winning this and they ought to be odds on really like Orient in the game above. Betfred are 11/10 about them and I will have the bigger bet on that whilst also covering the draw at 5/2 with Bet365 and Betway.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Halifax
Well Dagenham's win for us last week was rather dramatic and hopefully they won't need two 90th minute goals to win this week, because I really fancy them to beat a poor Halifax side. Halifax's only win in their last 10 league games came in a 1-0 win at home to Dover. Away from home they have been mainly poor. I put them up to get a point in their last away game against Ebbsfleet and they stunk the place out losing 4-0. Their only away win came on the opening day of the season when they beat a Braintree side who have basically been in the bottom two all season. They have managed the odd good point on the road including at Solihull, but I think they will struggle to get anything out of this. Now we got away with the Dagenham bet last week as Hartlepool deserved to win, but it meant Dagenham kept their great run going. They have won 6 of their last 7 league games including their last 4 and hopefully it will be another one here. They are obviously nothing like the side they were earlier in the season. Dagenham should be odds on for me and the 23/20 with Betfred and Betway looks cracking value.
Gateshead  v Bromley
Another one at the shorter end of the market as I like Gatshead at even money in this game. Gateshead have only lost 3 home games this season and they came back to back. At least one of them they shouldn't have lost and they were all by 1 goal. Now they have only won once in their last 5 league games and have lost 3 of them, but strangely enough only one of those games was played at home and I am expecting them to improve for being back at the International Stadium. Bromley have only won once in their last 6 games and that was a 4-0 drubbing of Harltepool at home. Bromley's only two away wins in the league have come against sides who are poor at home in Ebbsfleet and Maidstone. Also both sides are fellow Kent teams and who knows their might be something in that. Gateshead should be capable of racking up another home win here.
Sutton v Solihull
Sutton stopped me from getting 3/3 in the league bets last week when getting a late equaliser at Fylde, but hopefully we can get them beat here. Granted they have only lost 2 of their last 8  home league games and only 4 in the league all season, but they have also only won 2 in that same spell and the 3g pitch doesn't seem to be in their favour this season. One of those wins as well was the freak 3-0 victory over Wrexham. As Solihull proved against Blackpool in the FA Cup last week they really are a very good side this season. I am just kicking myself for not having backed them on the handicap or something at the start of the season, because the quality of their squad meant they should never have been favourites to go down. I was concerned about Tim Flowers because his managerial career prior to this has not been good, but he has done a superb job. Now their away form doesn't always quite match their home form, but the 4 defeats have come at Fylde, Harrogate, Orient and Barnet so there is no disgrace in that. Marathon are a quarter of a point bigger than anyone else at 11/4 and that price is way too big as for me they are the better side and despite Sutton not losing all that often they have a much better chance of beating them than those odds suggest.
Bradford Park Avenue v Southport
Southport have been doing good things for us of late and they were superb against Tranmere in the FA Cup last weekend more than deserving their replay. I am sure the prospect of possibly meeting Spurs could be distracting, but their league form has not dipped despite the Cup run and given the replay is still going to be over a week away hopefully they can put it to the back of their minds here. They did need a late goal to beat Boston last time, but they have proven they have the quality to beat the best in the division and BPA are currently the best in the division. They haven't lost in 7 league games having won 5 of them and usually I wouldn't really oppose a team in that sort of form, but I just don't think Southport are as far away from them as the betting suggest so I am happy to take a chance at 7/2 with Bet365.
Kidderminster v Brackley
Hard to know what is going on at Kiddie as they have had a real dip in form. Maybe a couple of weeks off will help iron out the issues, but they have lost their last 3 home games in the league and then you can add a defeat at home to York in the FA Trophy into the mix as well. They have only won 1 of their last 6 league games as well. Brackley have only lost two league games in their last 10, including last week against Altrincham, but they have also drawn half of them so they aren't quite winning as many as maybe they should be. After losing their first two away games they have only lost one more so they are solid on the road and with Kiddie not performing well at the moment I am happy to take a chance on the away win here at 23/10 with Marathon and Bet365.
Hemel Hempstead v Dulwich Hamlet
Final bet of the day comes in the National League South and the away team look over priced here. Hamlet are only in 17th place in the league, but I do think they are better than that and sometimes they aren't quite getting the points their performances deserve. They lost 2-0 to Torquay last week although they held their own against the league leaders. Dulwich have only won once in their last 7 league games, but they beat Welling in the FA Trophy and Torquay are the only team to beat them by more than one goal. In their last 4 games Hemel have managed to beat Gloucester and East Thurrock which is hardly saying an awful lot and then lost to Wealdstone and Concord. As I have mentioned a few times when talking about the National League South this is a league with very small margins between winning and losing and I have seen nothing to suggest that Hemel should be odds on shots to beat Dulwich. Bet365 are over half a point bigger than anyone else at 15/4 and that is value for me.
Leyton Orient 2pts @ 21/20 with Betfred
Salford 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfred and 1pt on the draw @ 5/2 with Bet365 and Betway
Dagenham & Redbridge 4pts @ 23/20 with Betfred and Betway
Gateshead 2pts @ Evs with Bet365, Betfred and Betway
Solihull 1pt @ 11/4 with Marathon
Southport 1pt @  7/2 with Bet365
Brackley 1pt @ 23/10 with Marathon and Bet365
Dulwich 1pt @ 15/4 with Bet365

Roy, you're right. That's the problem with us at the moment. We're not making the small moments count. Every time we concede the first goal away you can guarantee we have missed a golden chance literally seconds before. It's the brutal reality of the Premier League. The most annoying thing about the whole penalty issue is that Victor Camarasa wanted to take it but Joe Ralls refused to let anyone else have it. Camarasa was the player everyone, including Warnock, wanted to take it.
I'm torn over Ralls. Never been his biggest fan. I've always felt he's had a fair share of lenience from fans (the same as Harris) because he's spent time in the club's youth set-up before coming into the first team. However, I felt he just about coped at Championship level. In the Premier League, he's out of his depth. He let us down by getting sent off against Tottenham and now he's missed this pen so the fans have finally lost patience with his attitude and performances.
The key thing here is that after a disappointing display Warnock always has us bouncing back. You've all seen his changing room rants. I dread to think what he said after that West Ham game to the players. He was raging during the game. Everyone's talking about the Southampton new manager bounce. Watch out for our angry Warnock bounce!
P.s. I apologise if we let you down! 

Very good point Darran, there's a sizeable minority out there that would call someone's tipping 'unrealistic' if they could 'only' get 11/5 on what was put up as 9/4 This also happens with the PL Horse Racing Tips, some have shortened by a point or two by the time I back them, some drift and end up winning. These 'terribly misleading' prices have ended up making us over £27k, shocking stuff by these so called tipsters that cost us nothing
Darran's tips have made roughly +27pts of profit since the first week of November, amazing knowledge of the lower leagues !

Chelsea vs PAOK
The penultimate game of Chelsea's Europa League group stage campaign is up tonight when they face Greek side PAOK in an 8pm kick-off at Stamford Bridge. The Blues have already qualified for the last 32 but PAOK still have everything to play for heading into this game.
Chelsea have been faltering lately after a 0-0 draw to Everton at home before being dismantled 3-1 by Tottenham away. Maurizio Sarri's team are still top of Group L in this competition and it could well be a great opportunity for the manager to field a strong side and get his team back to winning ways. On the other hand, it could be a chance for fringe players to prove themselves and stake a claim for a first team spot on the weekend.
PAOK are flying high in the Greek Super League this season. Razvan Lucescu's side have won 10 of their 11 league matches so far. Having drawn the remaining game they are top of the league and 5 points clear of 2nd placed Atromitos. Unfortunately, it's not quite so positive in this competition with just 1 win, a 4-1 victory away to BATE Borisov, and 3 losses so far.
I am struggling to see beyond a Chelsea win here. PAOK made it difficult for Sarri's men out in Greece in the opening game with the Blues securing a tight 1-0 win courtesy of Willian's 7th minute strike. I can see Sarri making a few changes but generally he'll want to keep a base of consistency and avoid dropped points in a third competitive game in a row.
PAOK have been a team that are hard to beat in the Europa League but still get beat. If MOL Vidi get a point away to BATE Borisov then defeat here will leave PAOK eliminated. So they have plenty to play for here but it's too tall an order to come and get the win. The draw is a possibility but I think Chelsea will be too strong.
Chelsea HT/FT @ 1.95 with BetStars
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.68 with MarathonBet

Basically reflects as if it was a league table; yellow = champions, orange = automatic promotion, green = play offs and red = relegation