alexmarius

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  1. US Open 2018

    Don't worry is Fabio...He will start next sets...(if he will not become nervous due to the referee, etc.)
  2. US Open 2018

    CzechPunter it would be great if you could put a line (an update with a different color) for each predicted match in your initial post to explain what do you think it went wrong... Also on the good predictions, if you could add a short update regarding if everything was as you have predicted or you have seen additional things. Of course, if this is not a big effort for you. Thanks in advance.
  3. US Open 2018

    Novak to beat Paire at 2.30 with Unibet (UPDATE: Lost 6-7(6) 6-3 5-7 6-7(5) ) Update: Prediction issues: not to consider the poor serve of Novak and mainly, he's mental lability... In the first and last sets, he served for the set at 5-4 and loose both sets in the tie-break. In the third set, he had 4-2 and have lost the set with 5-7. He won the second set. As any match above 2.00 this has for sure an elevated risk. However I consider it, having (on the paper) the lowest "high risk", among today matches with the odds above 2.00. This is the reason that I propose it. So for the punters that "always" play the odds above 2.0, this is one of the main choice of today. 1. Even he is not an extraordinary player, Novak D. (140 ATP) is not a bad player, he is relatively young (24) and he plays well on all the surfaces. Despite this, on the hard courts he didn't play yet this year with a solid player. However he performed well at Wimbledon against some good players. US Open Round Result H A 24.08. Novak D. - Giustino L. Q-3R 7-5, 6-4 1.23 3.96 23.08. Novak D. - Vatutin A. Q-2R 6-0, 6-4 1.30 3.33 21.08. Novak D. - Halys Q. Q-1R 6-1, 6-3 1.85 1.88 Bundesliga - men Round Result H A 12.08. Novak D. - Bellotti R. 9K 6-2, 6-3 Portoroz challenger Round Result H A 06.08. Setkic A. - Novak D. 1R 6-4, 6-2 3.18 1.32 Kitzbühel Round Result H A 01.08. Lajovic D. - Novak D. R16 6-2, 6-4 1.35 3.16 30.07. Novak D. - Rodionov J. 1R 6-4, 0-6, 6-1 1.81 1.98 Bundesliga - men Round Result H A 22.07. Novak D. - Heller P. 3R 6-0, 6-4 20.07. Novak D. - Pancaldi L. 2R 6-2, 7-6 15.07. Novak D. - Woerner P. 1R 6-4, 6-1 Wimbledon Round Result H A 07.07. Raonic M. - Novak D. 3R 7-65, 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 1.07 8.30 04.07. Novak D. - Pouille L. 2R 6-4, 6-2, 68-7, 3-6, 6-2 3.77 1.27 02.07. Novak D. - Polansky P. 1R 6-2, 6-3, 7-67 1.55 2.44 28.06. Novak D. - Bachinger M. Q-3R 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 1.98 1.79 26.06. Novak D. - Young D. Q-2R 6-2, 7-5 1.87 1.86 25.06. Novak D. - Gerasimov E. Q-1R 6-2, 6-2 1.75 2.00 Poprad challenger Round Result H A 21.06. Kolar Z. - Novak D. QF 6-2, 6-2 2.33 1.54 20.06. Novak D. - Neuchrist M. R16 6-2, 6-4 1.21 3.98 19.06. Novak D. - Rosol L. 1R 6-1, 7-5 1.56 2.29 Caltanissetta challenger Round Result H A 16.06. Munar Clar J. - Novak D. SF 3-6, 7-5, 7-66 1.28 3.44 15.06. Novak D. - Vesely J. QF 3-6, 7-64, 7-64 2.51 1.48 13.06. Novak D. - Caruso S. R16 6-3, 6-4 2.04 1.70 11.06. Novak D. - Moroni G. 1R 66-7, 6-2, 7-64 2.53 1.47 2. After Wimbledon, Paire (ATP 56, 29 years) beat on hard only Ferrer (that has "an age" and is out of form) and Donaldson (that has some issues with his form too). The defeat against Struff is the main indication of Paire current level...Paire also comes here with no match in the last 8 days, and with a single match in the last 13 days... Winston Salem Round Result H A 20.08. Struff J. - Paire B. 1R 7-65, 6-3 2.18 1.67 Cincinnati Round Result H A 15.08. Goffin D. - Paire B. 2R 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 1.43 2.79 13.08. Paire B. - Ferrer D. 1R 6-2, 6-2 1.62 2.29 Toronto - Masters Round Result H A 09.08. Nadal R. - Paire B. 2R 6-2, 6-3 1.09 7.43 06.08. Paire B. - Donaldson J. 1R 6-3, 6-4 2.02 1.78 Washington Round Result H A 01.08. Baghdatis M. - Paire B. 1R 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 1.79 2.00 Hamburg Round Result Paire has some problems to engage on a long effort on court, so for him the short points with good serves and 1-2 forehands is a must for this match, especially when he has in front a "full of energy" player like Novak. So for Paire is a must to take the first set, and to try to take in a row, the second one too....(I say this, looking of his poor performances in the last set of his last matches) You can compare his situation, with the last sets of Novak... Viewing this, probably, a long match, can slowly go on Novak direction... The main risk of this bet, is that we didn't see this summer season, Novak playing on hard with a player at least at Paire's level. All we know is that he plays well at Wimbledon and he beat some low level players on hard too, in this summer season. --- Let's see the reality... ...
  4. US Open 2018

    Impressive your prediction CzechPunter "Teichmann to beat Jakupovic at 1.67" ....6-3 6-0
  5. US Open 2018

    I know sorry... I have just arrived at home...the matches started at past :10...but even so I posted it a little bit too late I also put the same accumulator before for me.
  6. US Open 2018

    I propose a combination with small odds (Update : LOST) P.Lorenzi·K.Edmund 2 1.10 J.Del Potro·D.Young 1 1.08 S.Vickery·E.Svitolina 2 1.10 O.Jabeur·A.Barty 2 1.20 C.Giorgi·W.Osuigwe 1 1.17 --- Total Odd: 1,83 with Unibet
  7. Tennis Tips - August 20 - August 26

    Proposal: would be great if each one would will update his own predictions with the final result. Not for the record, but because is much more easier when somebody read the posts, to follow and to learn what happens different from the initial assumptions. A prediction is not only : won or lost. Is mainly why "was won" and why "was lost"? This will help everyone. So maybe also, more "post-match" discussions are needed, regarding what happened different from the initial prediction and what happened accordingly. This can follow too, to help the future predictions.
  8. Tennis Tips - August 20 - August 26

    Sabalenka to beat Suarez Navarro at 1.50 with Unibet (Update: WON 6-1 6-4) 1. Sabalenka deserves this title. She plays very well on this tournament and on the previous one. She beat in a row : Georges, Bencic, Gavrilova, Stosur in this tournament and Keys, Garcia, Pliskova Ka. and Konta on the previous one (Cincinnati) and also Wozniacki and Bogdan in Montreal Only Halep and Mertens beat her in the last 12 games. 2. Suarez Navarro is a very clever player, and she will try to stop Sabalenka attacks with a lot of spin and with a lot of low and high balls on both corners and especially, very often placed on backand corner. But is not sure that such a tactic will work, and will arrive to put Sabalenka under a complete control, on a whole match. Especially against an aggressive Sabalenka and at the speed of a hard court. However this tactic is the main risk raised by this bet, and would be good to follow at what extend will work.. Also, Suarez Navarro is not the player that was few years ago. She arrived in the final, mainly due to a lot of abandons.
  9. Tennis Tips - August 20 - August 26

    Bemelmans to beat Facundo Bagnis at 1.45 with Unibet (Update: LOST 3-6 7-6(2) 2-6) Reason? 1. Bemelmans (129 ATP) "doesn't play" on CLAY Year Summary Clay Hard Indoors Grass Not set Summary: 505/345 73/70 164/110 215/115 48/40 5/10 2018 26/22 4/6 12/7 5/3 4/4 1/2 2017 35/31 4/4 9/15 15/8 6/4 1/0 2016 42/27 3/5 17/11 19/8 3/3 - 2015 45/29 2/4 24/11 15/7 4/5 0/2 2014 39/32 8/6 15/13 14/7 2/4 0/2 2013 35/28 3/4 12/11 11/8 8/4 1/1 2012 48/30 2/3 19/11 19/12 7/4 1/0 2011 37/32 3/4 5/6 21/16 8/4 0/2 2010 46/31 3/4 21/9 20/13 2/4 0/1 2009 44/28 3/7 4/7 33/10 4/4 - 2008 39/24 18/11 0/3 20/10 - 1/0 2007 56/23 20/10 14/3 22/10 - - 2006 12/5 0/1 12/3 0/1 - - 2. Bagnis (150 ATP) "doesn't play" on HARD. Previously, on HARD, Bagnis beat Londero (123 ATP) 7-6 7-6(7) that is a "clay player" too (Londero played with Bagnis his first match on HARD in 2018), and Korda (544 ATP) 6-4 6-4. Year Summary Clay Hard Indoors Grass Not set Summary: 461/319 436/278 25/35 0/1 0/5 - 2018 27/19 25/17 2/1 - 0/1 - 2017 27/29 25/21 2/7 - 0/1 - 2016 60/25 60/23 0/1 - 0/1 - 2015 42/26 40/23 2/2 - 0/1 - 2014 39/29 34/26 5/3 - - - 2013 45/27 44/24 1/3 - - - 2012 20/26 18/22 2/4 - - - 2011 41/27 41/24 0/2 - 0/1 - 2010 39/29 35/22 4/7 - - - 2009 53/26 52/25 1/1 - - - 2008 41/31 35/26 6/4 0/1 - - 2007 25/22 25/22 - - - - 2006 2/2 2/2 - - - - 2005 0/1 0/1 - - - - 3. The match is on HARD. 4. But of course, everything is possible in this world...
  10. Tennis Tips - August 20 - August 26

    Why surprisingly? If Karlovic wins, you have won this week, 4 bets from 6 (even they weren't very high ones, they were very good ones)
  11. Tennis Tips - August 20 - August 26

    Dulgheru A. to beat Bardosa 1.81 at Unibet (Update: WON 6-2 6-3) Dulgheru performed well in the last qualifs. (see Wimbledon and French Open qualifs) Bardosa doesn't have some performances at this level.(she plays most at the ITF level)