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dr-Lag

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  1. Algeria Potential fix! Belouizdad - DRB Tadjenant Draw 2.80 @Betfair sportsbook Everywhere the match is either removed or around 2.00. Only at Betfair sportsbook is 2.80.
  2. ^ Antonio Vutov is also not in the group of Levski for the match.
  3. Bulgaria Levski – Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv X2 @Bet365 6/5 (2.20 in decimal odds) Levski will play cup final vs. Slavia in a few days. That’s why today they are going to play with many reserves. 7 first team players are not in the group for the match. 5 out of them are given rest by the coach – Prochazka, Jablonsky, Gomez, Nascimiento, Thiam. Sergiu Bus is suspended and Cvetković is injured. Jablonsky is the top goal scorer of the team and Sergiu Bus is the third top scorer. Just a month ago Botev won against Levski. Moreover Botev was with 10 players in this match (red card in 41 minute). Clearly there is a value in these odds. I guess most people just don’t know yet that Levski will play with many reserves. Tonight the starting odds before the game should be very different.
  4. Vitosha - Cherno More Bulgaria 1x double chance 2.80 Betfair sportsbook Cherno More don't care about this match. They will be without 7 first team players (some of them are injured, some are suspended and some will get a rest. The odds will change for sure.
  5. Beroe – Levski Under 2.5 goals Betfair sportsbook 1.91 (10/11 fractional odds) 29/04/2018 I know most people don’t like to bet early, but you better hurry, because the odds for under 2.5 goals will drop for sure. Under Delio Rossi the visitors are one of the most underish teams in the league. Levski have 8 unders and 4 overs this spring. And in pretty much all these matches the bookmakers have made the same mistake – early odds for under around 2.00 and then huge drop till 1.50-1.60 on the the day of the match (you can check this easily in oddsportal.com). These two teams have played against each other 20 days ago and the odds for under 2.5 dropped till 1.47. Now most likely will happen something similar. For me it’s a great value bet/ opportunity to make an arbitrage.
  6. I will bring this thread back to life with two value picks: Levski – Ludogorets Under 2.5 @2.05 Bet365 Levski is one of the most underish teams in Bulgarian league and it’s understandable considering the fact that they have experienced Italian coach (Delio Rossi - former Lazio coach). 4 unders in their last 5 matches. The bookies always open their matches with very high odds for under. Then odds drop to 1.50-1.60. Here it will happen the same thing. It’s will be a nervous match as this is one of the biggest matches in Bulgaria and no doubt this is a great value bet if you take these early (and wrong) odds. Dunav – Septemvri Home win @2.70 Betfair sportsbook 13 points difference between Dunav and Septemvri, but these points are misleading. No real difference in classes here. Both teams have conceded 42 goals and Septemvri have score just 6 goals more than Dunav. More importantly Dunav should more motivated to win than Septemvri. The rules of our league are very complicated, but Dunav must finish 3rd in this group to play against Vitosha Bistritsa (the weakest team in the league) in the next phase. For Septemvri doesn’t matter if they are going to finish 1st or 2nd in the group. It’s ridiculous to see Septemvri as favourites in this macth, the odds for home win definitely will drop till Sunday.