Decookie

May 11
Who can Stop the Whistle?
 

Bet 10 Won : 71.25      (Up £51.25 or 185%)
Completed 10 In A Row !!!!!

Wise words and  to PL @Escaping Captivity   

Cheers bro 

Hi to all interested.
For this run I will try to turn £50 to £5000
I will also be cashing out roughly 50% of my profits and cashing out when necessary.
This is going to be a long slog.
 
 

Bet 1 - Aberdeen u20 vs Celtic u20 - £50 @ 1.035 - u6.5 
Only got £30 matched at 1.04 and £20 at 1.03
 

Above is the brazilian league I compiled odds for below is the results the odds you see above are odds when first released

now my selections in the league all bombed   but looking closer most of the Gremio, Cruzeiro, were predicted to win by myself but the bookmakers odd where a lot shorter. Palmeiras on the other hand I had as the slight outsider but won. So in that case both sides will need looking at in ratings. It's a fine margin between winning and losing.
Hope that brings a little bit more insight into what I do work is now underway in working out which teams ratings are right and which are wrong in Brazil. I sure in the weeks ahead the results in this league will improve. 
 
 

Profit/Loss of the day -45.90PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +187.50PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -22.60pts
Overall Selections 85
Won 54
Lost 31
Strike rate :- 63.52%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +22.06%
where do start here  2/8 won  my worst set of result since these Results
Sligo Rovers to Win @ 2.38 Bet365 Lost (1-1) -10pt
C-Osaka to Win @ 1.83 Betway Lost (1-1) -10pts
Draw/Aalesund @ 1.57 Bet365 Won (1-1) +5.70pts
Pohang @ 2.60 Bet 365 Lost (1-2) -10Pts

Profit/Loss of the day -24.3 pts
recorded on the 17th June 2017
Like I said on twitter I'm not worried by losing runs as I'm 100% confident in what I do but it still hurts when it comes. Reasons for a poor weekend ratings some of the teams are a bit off I would say so over this week I have a bit of time  to look at some teams and get the J-league 2 and MLS going. Some games tonight I will look at just a blip ? time will tell. Hard work ahead 

Hi
I understand the concept of the top 10 tracks, separately for Jumps and Flat season.  But how are the "PL Tips" selected for each race?
p.s.  I am not after trade secrets.  What I am asking is: Are the Tips based on one super PL tipster, a committee of PL tipsters, ......

Interesting, thank you.
I did an exercise on my own bets, working back from the highest odds I had bet.  For me, around 14/1 was the point where I should not bet to, on average, get the best return for the buck.

That's it now for tomorrow's selections Eight selections have been made I hope for a better day then I had today . See you all tomorrow  not sure if I've posted this but the next leagues I'm adding are J-league 2 and MLS hopefully they will be ready by next week. I have a bit of time as through the week no fixtures . 

Results
 
 
 
 
Profit/Loss of the day -4.80PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +233.40PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  +20.30pts
Overall Selections 77
Won 52
Lost 25
Strike rate :- 67.53%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +30.31%
what a day sun is shining but a real struggle today I commented on twitter about the crazy market moves in asia today Guangzhou Evergrande who opened up at 1.30 which was about right then drifted throughout the week by kick off were 2.05 then drifted out to 2.50 after 10 mins with some bookmakers . I've never been so happy losing 4.80pts but to come out of a bad day losing a small amount I'm very happy with. 2/5 on the day a few matches on tonight if any odds move I will post. 
Will take a look at tomorrows games later and post more selections if the odds are right to strike 

Well done again. A very worthy interesting thread. Good luck.

Profit/Loss of the day -5.00PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +238.20PTS
Overall Selections 72
Won 50
Lost 22
Strike rate :- 69.44%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +33.08%
1/2 with a 5pt loss on the day I have struggled a little with the Irish league but so few few things need looking at with ratings. Roll on the weekend 

I think if you created the topic you can, I'd have to check the settings.
Do you see an edit option next to Quote in the bottom of the first post? If so, you do it there.

Is there anyway you can change the topic name.
e.g. change predictions April27th/28th to Season predictions. TIA

MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE  

Odds on Malmo are short 1.70 (1.95)  but sadly not short enough yet. Cut off is 5:30 so if not movement by then no bet for me.
 
p.s 
price in bracket are my odds 

movement already 

Here we go, hold your breath!
bet365
Redcar
210: Tarrzan 5/4
240: Pretty Baby 15/8
310: Mr Gent 9/2
340: Poets Prince 7/2
410: Al Khan 5/2
440: Champarisi EW 20/1
510: Dont Cry About It 3/1
Musselburgh
540: Dawoodi 6/1
610 Amadeus 4/6
640: Soldiers Minute 1/4
710: Artful Rogue 7/2
740: Carpet Time 9/4
810: Scotch Myst 3/1
840: Cosmic Tigress 7/1
 

Profit/Loss of the day +30.10PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +243.20PTS
Overall Selections 70
Won 49
Lost 21
Strike rate :- 70.00%
AVG ODDS 1.95
R.O.I  +34.74%
3/3 today good start to May who were the punters backing Sagan Tosu  backed all the way into 2.20 crazy the blind following the blind honestly don't get why the home team were backed so heavy. Shame I didn't hold off a bit longer 

out even more now to 2.87 big gamble on the home side here 

If you could put your money on a soccer player who would it be?

@Decookie
https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C1/D8/E73407961/F3/G0/H0/I1/P^13/Q^36024809

As I’m sure you are all aware I compile my own odds I work in 7 leagues and each fixture round of each league I compile my odds vs the bookmakers. I’m sure this is straight forward, and everyone can understand this. Let’s look at some examples.
 
My odds

 
Bookmakers odds

Right first things first Price is everything in gambling I’m not betting on team’s that I think are great and oh that team played well last week I need to bet on that team this week because they are going to win. How likely is the outcome of each event (home draw or away win) is the first thing to look for.
 So, let’s go back to my odds

o.k now the odds you see in orange are the odds I've compiled and the odds in blue are from bet 365 in the example above odds taken from Bet 365 are the early prices. from that list above Guangzhou Evergrande, Tianjin Quanjian and Shanghai SIPG are all worth a second look at laying. Shandong Luneng are close to backing the rest I'm not interested in.

now lets have a look at the table above the prices have changed.
Guangzhou Evergrande, Tianjin Quanjian are no longer a price to lay, Shanghai SIPG are still a poor price, Shandong Luneng are now a backable price.
So price is KEY infact price is everything just because you see me betting a selection doesn't mean you should unless you get the right price.
 
This is why I say I do not recommend you follow my selection with your own money as by the time you see the selection 1/2 days after I have posted it it may have turned a back into a lay.
I'm not a tipster I back selections when I believe the outcome of the event has more chance then the bookmakers odds compilers do.
I hope this helps