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** August Nap's Competition Result : 1st Thebestthere, 2nd Glavintoby, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert, KO Cup Steve75, Most Winners Alastair, York Comp: Thebestthere**
**August Poker League Result : 1st Kevsul £75, 2nd Yossa6133 £45, 3rd Like2Fish £30**

yossa6133

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  1. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Saturday 19th September   
    1.20 Ayr - 2pts win Recovery Run @ 4/1 Bet365
    A few in here with chances but Andrew Balding's runner has been going well despite races not quite going his way in my eyes. Won from a smart type in a novice two starts back and was narrowly held in a slowly run race at Kempton last time. Looks like he wants a stronger test - no surprise being by Nathaniel - and hopefully a better pace here and the slightly more testing ground will help with that. Still looks fairly handicapped and hopefully can outstay these at the finish. 
    1.40 Newbury - 1pt win Wise Words @ 7/1 Bet365
    I backed Equilateral at York and whilst clearly has a chance, I'm not convinced by him to be honest. Travelled well and despite not having a lot of room, didn't exactly pick up when in the clear. I think he needs a real fast pace to run at so I'm just going to side against with the progressive Wise Words. Plenty of good form last year and although in handicaps, was narrowly beaten by Tinto giving 8lbs away when running off a mark of 90, with the pair 6 lengths clear, so was not just any old handicapper. Was a big eyecatcher last time out when having to fall back towards the rear having found a wall of horses in front but stayed on powerfully late on. Hopefully this doesn't come too soon today as if it doesn't, looks a live contender.
    2.15 Newbury - 1pt e/w Kingbrook @ 10/1 Bet365
    Shaped very well when 3rd after a long absence, just behind Tenbury Wells and was always likely to come into his own over middle distances. Plenty of worthwhile form over 7f and a mile last year but ought to come on for reappearance and conditions suit off a fair mark so ought to go well.
    2.30 Ayr - 2pts win King's Lynn @ 4/1 Bet365
    Nothing original about selecting the short price favourite in a huge field but if he's on the right part of the track will take the world of beating in my eyes. Looks more than fairly handicapped on form to date, still unexposed and ought to come on for his clear 2nd to a now 111-rated rival last time out. Done nothing wrong so far, any give in the ground won't inconvenience on pedigree and looks the one to be on here.
    3.40 Ayr - 1pt e/w Another Batt @ 18/1 Bet365
    Hung right throughout last time in Ireland and is worth giving him another chance on the basis of his smooth reappearance win. I thought a testing 6f would help him and he ought to relish the big field pace on offer here. Has enough speed to live with these and get into the race if the gaps appear and back down to 6f off a mark that still looks fair on old form, could bounce back, especially as that win came from off the pace with the next few home all racing prominently throughout.
  2. Like
    yossa6133 got a reaction from Odee in Punters Lounge Exclusive £150 added Poker League - August Leg 4 - Wed 26th August   
    Thanks, think I've used all my luck up there 😄 Might have to play the omaha leg now!
  3. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Zilzalian in Racing Chat -Friday 18th sept (ayr bronze cup)   
    Away from Ayr thoughts from this quarter...There is a race in france today (3:40 chantilly) Legal Attack (crisford n crisford) even if this horse wins by 10 lengths its got to be the worst value/price (4/5) i have come across all year i was actually going to post this last night when it was 11/8 My figures don't even put it in 1st 3.
  4. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat -Friday 18th sept (ayr bronze cup)   
    1.10 Catterick - 1pt win Crown Princess @ 6/1 Bet365
    I don't think the favourite is thrown in here and the drop back to a sharp 5f might not be ideal either so is worth taking on. I think Crown Princess could be the one to take advantage - couldn't get involved from off the pace when not having the clearest of passages at Wolverhampton last time but would have a good chance on any of her prominent efforts over 5f including when winning comfortably here. Hopefully will not get as far back today and can burn them off late in the day I hope.
    2.30 Newbury - 2pts win Humanitarian @ 4/1 Bet365
    Very interesting runner having run well in last year's Derby and if returning in anything like that form would go very close off a mark of 102. Flopped at Ascot subsequently but had excuses that day and returns here still relatively unexposed and for a powerful yard who can ready one after an absence. On any run other than his last effort he'd look well handicapped off this mark so worth chancing at a backable price.
    3.40 Newbury - 2pts win Jumby @ 4/1 Bet365
    Ran a very good race to win on debut and then didn't have the race to suit last time out - racing keenly off a modest gallop before keeping on without threatening. I thought he was the best horse in the race despite only coming home in 4th and is well worth another chance today.
    3.20 Ayr - 1pt e/w Magical Journey @ 7/1 Bet365
    I think these conditions will really suit Magical Journey who did well when coming off the pace at Pontefract last time to do best of those held up and I just think the extended 5f with a bit of give in the ground could be the making of him. Has run many sound races to make his handicap mark look fair, and even running to his mark here would see a good run. I think a few extra pounds can be eked out under these conditions and looks a good e/w bet. 
    3.55 Ayr - 1pt e/w Abstemious @ 14/1 Bet365
    Consistent type who has been running well and again these conditions look spot on. Has run respectably over 7f and 6f including on quicker ground but a slower surface and a strong test over 6f looks absolutely perfect for this one and has cheekpieces added for this afternoon. Looks sure to run his race and is a decent price now getting perfect conditions if getting the necessary luck with a clear run and being on the right part of the track. 
    4.15 Newbury - Kinross @ 4/1 Bet365
    Has found his feet again back down in class and looked the likely winner 2f out last time out when kicking for home early on soft ground over a mile. I came out of that thinking better ground would help him and shouldn't have a problem back down to 7f either. This is another drop in class to listed level and he gets a handy weight for age allowance here too.
  5. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat -Friday 18th sept (ayr bronze cup)   
    Ayr bronze cup 
    Call me ginger   227 +2 
    Roundhay park 225 +3 
    Music society 224 +1 
    Tricky cavalry charge as youd expect with currently 25 runners but these 3 are a few points clear of next horse so I'll take the tag team and try and get some profit 
    Call me ginger 5pts win 8/1 willh
    Roundhay park 5pt win 11/1willh
    Music society 5pt win 11/1 willh 
    6x1pt forecasts 
  6. Like
    yossa6133 got a reaction from Zico10 in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 17th   
    What's the best way of sticking all of Ruperts selections into an each way acca type bet? (Heinz, Lucky 15 type bet). I plan on retiring if they all win 😁
  7. Like
    yossa6133 got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 17th   
    What's the best way of sticking all of Ruperts selections into an each way acca type bet? (Heinz, Lucky 15 type bet). I plan on retiring if they all win 😁
  8. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to BillyHills in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 17th   
    Start of the Ayr Western meeting
    Best race on Day 1
    300 Ayr


    1pt EW Morisco 10/1 Hills
     
    Other main bet
    5.35 Ayr
    Herman Hesse 7/1 bet635
     

  9. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 17th   
    1.15 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Wanted @ 25/1 Bet365
    Has to come on plenty for a poor debut run and has a wide draw here so neither ideal but given the price in a weak race, will give Richard Fahey's runner another go. Is a full sibling to three other racehorses, all of which won races and were fairly useful. Whether coincidence or not, these weren't up to much first time out either and it was soft ground when this one made its debut. Its siblings preferred top of the ground so with better ground on offer here and experience under its belt, hopefully can show more at a big price.
    2.50 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Rory And Me @ 10/1 Bet365
    May be the outsider of the party here but has plenty of form which ought to give him a chance here. Was an excellent 3rd on seasonal reappearance after wind surgery at Ripon and although flopping there last time, that was in a class 3 handicap on slow ground. This should suit better and is a winning bumper horse who should enjoy the 2 mile trip here around this track. Better ground helps and looks capable of bouncing back.
    3.00 Ayr - 1pt e/w Morisco @ 12/1 PP
    Still fairly lightly raced and would have a good chance here on his reappearance win at Haydock. Got the job done readily that day ahead of a horse who has run well off higher marks since and Morisco has had excuses on soft ground before running as well as could realistically be expected in a Group 3 last time. This is easier, conditions suit and could find more progress.
    3.20 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Benadalid @ 10/1 Bet365
    Was outclassed at York a couple of starts back and seemed to find the test too sharp around Haydock last time but was a ready winner at Ripon three starts back off just 1lb lower than what he goes off here and this is an easier assignment today than what he's faced recently. This track ought to suit with a stiff finish playing to his strengths and if getting a decent pace and the splits at the right time, could go close.
    4.20 Pontefract - 1pt e/w Irv @ 16/1 Bet365
    Hasn't had conditions to suit the last twice, racing over 1m2f which he doesn't seem to stay and in softish conditions. A mile on good ground is much more up his street, as when a good 2nd on seasonal reappearance. Has dropped a few pounds since then having run in those races where he was always likely to struggle and if getting a pace to run at and the breaks from a slightly less than ideal draw, could go well.
  10. Like
    yossa6133 got a reaction from Odee in Pokerstars Chests   
    Had to tell someone lol.
    So I had been getting crushed every time I've played for the last few weeks. Not getting outplayed so much as just not making many hands and taking lots of bad beats. Until I played today and had a nice little session (+30 bb). Then I had a gold chest to open and it gave me 5000 points and $50 cash! + a freeroll ticket (so worth over $100). Never had such a lucky box. Anyone else been lucky?
  11. Thanks
    yossa6133 reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Tuesday Sep 15th   
    get in there won 33/1 glad i got 40/1 if only the 100/1lol
  12. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Tuesday Sep 15th   
    My nap today was 100/1 I backed it at 40/1 ten mins later 14/1 might be worth a punt still. 3.05 Tipperary na caith tabac bet365 👍
  13. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Sep 11th & 12th   
    Birmingham vs Brentford
    The Championship action continues on Saturday with the televised game being shown at 12:30pm BST when Birmingham face Brentford at St Andrew's. Both teams endured campaigns that ended in disappointment last season and will be hoping for going a step better this time around. Can either side get things off to a winning start or will we see both teams cancelling each other out?
    Birmingham have long been a side that appear intent on self destruction. Owners Trillion Trophy Asia have already dismissed a number of high-profile and capable managers including Gary Rowett, Harry Redknapp, and Garry Monk preventing any sense of progress. Aitor Karanka has now been tasked with taking the Blues to the promised land and he's wasted no time in bringing in new faces. Goalkeeper Neil Etheridge from Cardiff, left back George Friend from Middlesbrough, midfielder Jon Toral from Hull, winger Ivan Sanchez from Elche, forward Jonathan Leko from West Brom, and midfielder Adam Clayton from Middlesbrough have come in to boost the ranks. The only major departure being the hot prospect Jude Bellingham to Borussia Dortmund. Even with those additions, Birmingham are going to need every bit of Karanka's defensive nous to tighten up their back-line and defy many pundits who feel mid-table mediocrity is the best this club can hope for.
    Brentford had looked like a side ready for the Premier League last season. Unfortunately, Thomas Frank's side missed several opportunities to pip West Brom to the second automatic promotion spot and eventually lost to Fulham in the play-off final. Preparations for this season have taken a blow with star striker Ollie Watkins departing to Aston Villa for £28 million. This transfer wasn't exactly a surprise so the Bees had already acted to bring in his replacement in the shape of former Peterborough front man Ivan Toney. Frank will be delighted to still have Said Benrahma and Bryan Mbeumo on his books but for how long? The signing of centre back Charlie Goode has also been made in an attempt to shore up that defence.
    The elephant in the room for this game is how Brentford will adapt to life after Watkins. It's not easy to replace 25 league goals at the drop of a hat. Will Toney score that many in his first season back playing at this level? It seems unlikely. So where will the other goals come from? Or will Frank be hoping to keep more out at the other end? Birmingham will be a difficult side to play this season. Karanka is notoriously progressive with his style of play. I think it's still too early for Karanka to have Birmingham playing the way he'd like so I think Brentford should sneak this one.
    Brentford to Win @ 1.93 with BetVictor
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.77 with VBet
  14. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Saturday 12th September   
    1.15 Doncaster - 1pt e/w King Ottokar @ 20/1 Bet365
    Has plenty of decent form in listed and group races but hasn't been as good this season. That said, travelled best of all at Windsor last time on his first run since being gelded but was keen throughout and didn't pick up when asked. Hasn't been raced much over a mile but they'll go a decent gallop here and hopefully he can settle and be stronger at the finish today,
    2.25 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Danzeno @ 9/1 Bet365
    Should have won last time when hampered and has a handy 5lbs taken off his back today. Conditions are absolutely perfect - 5 1/2f is spot on and a flat track suits. Needs a bit of luck but if getting the splits and is on the right side of the track, should go very well.
    3.00 Doncaster - 2pts win One Master @ 7/2 Bet365
    Wichita has to bounce back but could well do so but there looks plenty of pace on here and that should play into the hands of Limato and One Master especially. The former had the race fall in his lap on his return and I think the mare can stay on best here off a fast pace. Won despite everything at Goodwood and although would prefer softer ground, ought to be going close from off the pace here.
    3.35 Doncaster - 2pts win Galileo Chrome @ 4/1 Bet365
    Deserting horses that have done well for me has worked so far in the 3yo ranks having backed Highland Chief at Ascot, Mogul at Goodwood and Pyledriver at York and again I'm going to take on Pyledriver who is a lovely horse but isn't short of speed and will just take him on as although he's hit the line yard over 1m4f, this is another 2 and a half furlongs to contend with and there are no stamina issues with Galileo Chrome. Most progressive, has form that looks strong on a line through Group 2 winning filly Pista and could land this having kept his powder dry so far this season.
  15. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to The Equaliser in Racing chat -friday 11th sept   
    One Trixie today
    1.40 Don Alfaatik 15/8
    2.10 Don Ghalyoun 3/1
    3.15 Don Spanish Mission 2/1
    £1 win Trixie = £4 v £64.32
    Other bets
    1.10 Don Albaflora £1 win at 6/1
    1.40 Don Sleeping Lion 70p win at 5/1
    1.40 Don Alfaatik 80p win at 2/1
    1.40 Don Hiochfield 50p win at 14/1
    2.10 Don Ghalyoun £1 win at 11/4
    2.10 don Tranchee 50p at 6/1
    2.10 Don Musicality 50p win at 7/1
    2.40 Don Frenetic £1 win at 5/1
    2.40 Don Steel Bull 50p win at 5/1
     
    3.15 Don Spanish Mission 50p at 2/1
    3.15 Don Eagles By Day £1 win at 11/2
    3.15 Don Selino 50p win at 11/1
    3.45 Don One Riler £1.20 at 13/8
    3.45 Don Spycatcher £1 win at 7/2
    3.45 Don Round Six 50p win at 28/1
    3.45 Don Darvel 50p win at 40/1
    4.15 Don Cardouan 50p win at 10/1
    4.15 Don John Leeper 50p win at 9/1
    4.15 Don Taravara 50p won at 10/1
    4.15 donm Tromso 50p win at 16/1
    No cover bet on the favourite
    Multiples = £4
    Singles = £13.70
    Total stakes = £17.70
    This should be an entertaining afternoon if nothing else.
    Good luck everyone
    ==========================================================================================================
    Two more favourites let me down for my Trixie.  Hence a £4 loss.  The balance C/Fwd is now £684.69 (£800 Bank)
    With the singles I was just having some fun with Jockey bookings today.  I had two winners and the return was £5.00 This meant a loss of £8.70 on the day.  The balance C/Fwd is now £282.70 (£400 Bank) Can't laugh that off.
    From tomorrow I will be back to some sort of normal, however, all my bets, multiples or singles will be on selections where I can obtain a minimum price of 7/2.    
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
  16. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing chat -friday 11th sept   
    1.10 Doncaster - 1pt win Albaflora @ 6/1 Bet365
    Taking on the favourite here for all she won well last time - her two main rivals couldn't get involved from off the pace when it favoured being up with the gallop and the horse in second has let the form down since so I'm siding with Albaflora. For all she ran okay at York and even on that effort would go close here, I did think she'd run better than that and can bounce back here. She's not the quickest so I hope she goes forward and makes the running today in a small field and tries to dominate from the front. 
    1.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Hochfeld @ 14/1 Bet365
    Despite successfully backing the favourite at York, I'm happy to take on at a short price given the potential bounce factor returning quite quickly after his first start in a long time and also with the extra couple of furlongs taking him into the unknown. In fact, a few of these have something to prove and I think at the price, it could be worth siding with the battle hardened Hochfeld who won at Goodwood under these conditions recently and has been higher rated in the past. Not been as good on soft since but his best form has come on a sound surface and with 8 runners set to go to post here, has a decent chance of making the frame.
    2.10 Doncaster - 3pts win Ghalyoon @ 11/4 Hills
    Some will remember that I put this one up last time as an absolute handicap blot but was incredibly weak in the betting on his first run after a lengthy absence. In the end he defied that to go very close and is just 1lb higher here. Looks very much primed to strike and I think will win today if not bouncing.
    3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Eagles by Day @ 11/2 Hills
    Backed this one a few times this season and I really think he's got a big staying prize in him and today is an easier race than what he's competed in recently. Race wasn't run to suit at York and I can see this one travelling into this nicely and wrapping it up late on - I hope at least.
    4.00 Chester - 1pt e/w Lincoln Park @ 8/1 Bet365
    Will enjoy the return to Chester where much of his best form has come after fading late on at Haydock over a testing 7f on soft ground last time. I think 7f around Chester is his ideal conditions and especially if he can go forward and race prominently throughout - couldn't get the position when last running over c&d and had to settle for a staying on 2nd from off the pace and despite going forward over 6f here the next time, just didn't have the speed late on. If bouncing out from stall 5 and racing handily, think he could take some pegging back today. 
  17. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Striker in Strikers Horses To Follow   
    Has a entry next Thursday at Naas
  18. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 10th   
    1.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Golden Melody @ 14/1 Bet365
    Have to take a bit of a chance with this filly but was very impressive on debut at Haydock in a race that worked out very well and on that evidence is well handicapped today. Although well held ultimately at Royal Ascot, she ran better than the bare result, travelling best of all and leading a couple of furlongs out before the pace collapsed - nothing that was up with the pace finished within 7 lengths of Dandalla and the first three were all held up so she just did too much too soon that day. Flopped up to 7f on soft last time having raced too freely but she has lots of pace, back to 6f a good thing, quicker ground ought to not inconvenience and has had a break to hopefully get her back to top form. If bouncing back she can go well here off a mark of 84.
    2.10 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Dubai Fountain @ 14/1 Bet365
    A few of these have plenty of potential and the race won at Ascot by the favourite looked likely to be a good race at the time. That said, I thought the battle-hardened Dubai Fountain could go well from the front. Has been competing in good races over 7f but has been outspeeded late in the day and although you could say she's been vulnerable late on, I think it's more to do with speed than stamina. The step up to a mile can actually suit I believe, especially given the stamina in her pedigree and might be able to grind out a good performance with more experience than most.
    2.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Dark Lion @ 9/1 Bet365
    Shaped very well on debut against a pace bias at Newmarket when sent off favourite and ran a solid, if slightly odd race at Ascot when not really travelling but coming home okay for 4th on the wrong part of the track. Did comfortably the best of those racing towards the near side and ultimately it was a solid run. Got off the mark at Wolverhampton when travelling well over 7f before being closed on towards the finish and again shaped okay over 7f last time in a Group 3 at Sandown. To me, I think he wants to come back down in trip which he gets today and this 6 1/2f trip might prove perfect for him. Has blinkers on first time which is interesting given he doesn't always travel great and hopefully can come roaring back here.
    3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Vivionn @ 11/2 Bet365
    Believe in Love is extremely progressive but this is tougher and I like Vivionn here who has rock solid form in the book over 1m4f, typically staying on without the finishing kick of one in front of her and is most interesting stepping up to 1m6f. She's a full sister to a 110 rated filly who saw out 2 miles no problem and this one's running style, including when 2nd last time out, makes her an ideal candidate the extra 2 furlongs today. Expect a rock solid run here.
    3.45 Doncaster - 2pts win Cold Front @ 8/1 Bet365
    Ran too bad to be true at York and can bounce back here. Thought at the time there were some strange performances that meeting and we've already seen some horses who flopped there bounce right back since, including Favorite Moon. This one is well handicapped on both runs prior to that York appearance and I'm sure will be winning soon off a mark similar to this - hopefully it can be today. 
    4.15 Doncaster - 1pt win Call Me Ginger @ 13/2 Bet365
    Fancied him at Goodwood two starts back when last of all but clearly wasn't quite right that day as he never really went and proved himself to still be in decent nick when going well from behind at Chester last time - couldn't get involved there but came home well and did best of those held up. Conditions suit more today and he's more than capable of going in off this mark. 
  19. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Striker in Racing Chat - Wednesday Sep 9th   
    WON 
    Nice start to the new season
  20. Like
    yossa6133 got a reaction from Striker in Racing Chat - Wednesday Sep 9th   
    Great pick Striker! What sites do people us for Happy Valley?
  21. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to calva decoy in Racing Chat - Wednesday Sep 9th   
    I use Hong Kong Jockey Club site , loads & loads of info albeit they've changed the format a bit from last season , good luck with your picks 👍
  22. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Wednesday Sep 9th   
    Last day working before a week off so no time to write things up today unfortunately:
    1.30 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Giga White @ 9/1 Bet365
    1.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Power Station @ 10/1 Bet365
    2.10 Doncaster - 1pt win Urban Beat @ 13/2 Bet365
    2.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Flying Dragon @ 8/1 Bet365
    3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Cloak of Spirits @ 9/2 Bet365
    3.35 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Theclockisticking @ 12/1 Bet365
    3.45 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Hypothetical @ 10/1 Bet365
  23. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Striker in Racing Chat - Wednesday Sep 9th   
    Good luck today
    Nice to see Happy Valley new season start again
    12.45-Faithful Trinity
    Each Way @ 33-1 [4 places] Skybet
    Could spring the upset
  24. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Monday Sept 7th   
    1.00 Lingfield - 3pts win Power of States @ 11/2 Bet365
    I think this horse wins today. Conditions are ideal, he's in form and this isn't the strongest of races. 1m2f is his trip having faded late on over 1m4f in decent races this year and you can draw a line through his run at Chester last time. Travelled well off the pace but had a wall of horses in front when the race developed turning in and then found traffic everywhere he went up the straight. Was eased down late on despite being full of running and shouldn't have the same difficulties finding a clear run at this venue. Looks primed to strike.
    1.30 Lingfield - 1pt e/w Abound @ 11/1 Bet365
    Interesting to see the market support for this one on handicap debut with the blinkers applied. Hasn't been up to much to date but ran in a couple of decent novice races that worked out quite well. Goes handicapping off a lowly mark and having failed to travel last time, the blinkers make sense to try and liven it up a bit today. Dam was a useful enough middle distance horse so conditions suit and given the nibble in the market, better seems to be expected today off a lowly mark.
    1.50 Leicester - 1pt win House Deposit @ 6/1 Hills
    Has been shaping as if ready to win again recently and although form has dipped the last twice I think there are excuses there - certainly over a mile where he's failed to convince on the stamina front and again couldn't quite go through with his effort at Redcar last time over 7f on soft. Although he handles cut in the ground, both his soft ground wins have come over 6f and the combination of 7f and deep conditions was probably just a touch too much for him there. The ground today is riding quicker and under similar conditions he's gone very close off this mark earlier on in the season so should be able to bounce back with a better run today.
    2.40 Perth - 1pt win His Dream @ 8/1 PP
    The first two in the market here have to prove they stay the trip and the third comes here quickly off the back of a shock win last week so I'm looking further afield and siding with chasing debutant His Dream who has plenty of form under similar conditions over hurdles and has a chance if jumping well here. Picked up a cut when disappointing last time but otherwise is fairly consistent and if not losing out at his fences, can go well.
    3.30 Lingfield - 0.5pts e/w Lily Beach @ 33/1 Bet365
    Certainly have to take a bit of a leap of faith with this one but you can totally put a line through her handicap debut over 1m2f on soft as she wouldn't stay that trip at all and for all her form in novice races isn't great, her mark reflects that and hasn't been totally devoid of promise. Was never going to threaten the prominent racers at Kempton three starts back and that race has worked out pretty well with the first 5 home comfortably rated in the 70s or above now. Lily Beach wasn't given a hard time and was still beaten less than 10 lengths all in. Again was down the field at Yarmouth but travelled well and ended up racing a bit of a solo out on the far rail which didn't seem to be the place to be, so can mark that up a bit too. This is weak and with 9 runners, I thought she was worth a chance with the tongue tie on and back to a more plausible race in a handicap.
    3.50 Leicester - 1pt e/w Dusk Art @ 18/1 PP
    Does have a bit to find on figures here but hasn't been disgraced on two 5f runs to date and can improve on its mark upped to 6f I think. The form of that debut race has worked out well when Dusk Art made some progress from last late on and again wasn't disgraced last time. That was on soft ground, however, so it might be that the return to a sounder surface helps too and the extra furlong in a weak race will help. Has a chance of making the frame at a big price I hope.
  25. Like
    yossa6133 reacted to Valiant Thor in Racing Chat - Monday Sept 7th   
    I dont get BOG with most firms unless my lad puts it on his account but as he's at work these are the best prices I'll get, regardless whether I wait till 10am or whatever time BOG kicks in.
    Giacomo 30.95 @ 4.33
    El Astronaute 22.35 @ 6
    Dhabyah 46.70 @ 2.87
    100pts staked
    1 winner returns 134pts ish