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yossa6133

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Posts posted by yossa6133

  1. Ward Castle 2:00 Newmarket (10/1 bet365). Open race but this looks to have as good a chance as any at a decent price. Good 2nd on the AW at Kempton, only lost on the head bob and winner since scored in a handicap off 76, suggesting today's mark of 71 is fair enough. Probably needed Redcar reappearance and pulled too hard last time in 1st time blinkers, still ran well enough though.

     

    Settled and travelled well but not good enough.

  2. Friary Rock 3:30 Southwell (3.4/1 SBK). Just following the move on this one, sustained money from as big as 18/1 last night into 2/1 generally, can still get 3.4/SBK so I've followed in!

     

    Much improved effort but not good enough to win.

  3. On 6/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, richard-westwood said:

    420 ascot 

    Corebus  9.3  4/5 

    Mighty ulysses  8.6   16/1 

    My Prospero  8.4 

    New energy   8.1 

    Berkshire shadow  7.9 

    Corebus will be hard to beat if holding form ....of the rest ...mighty ulysses is overpriced with frankie on board so looks the ew value ....20pt win top rated... 2pt ew mighty ulysses 

    Agree with Mighty Ulysses, jockey seemed to panic last time, should be more to come with better handling. 13/2 e/w (bet365) without the fav might be a way to go for the cautiously inclined.

     

    Bit gutting to get chinned for the E/W when he was there with a chance of the win.

  4. Minella Mojo 5:41 Newton Abbot (37/1 SBK). First run for new yard, a small outfit but she gets the occasional winner.

    He rarely runs a bad race and imo has spent most of his career running over too far. Likes to front run on fast ground and has dropped 20lbs from his peak handicap mark. Showed he retains plenty of ability when 2nd to a well weighted winner at Exeter in October. Not run for 222 days so fitness might be an issue, but will risk a few quid at the price. 

    Also taken top 4 finish with Skybet at 9/2.

     

    Prominent until tailing off very quickly.

  5. Had a flick though Fontwell and like the look of a few. Not done any singles yet but done a small acca in case the stars align!

    Fortunate Fred 1:00 9/4. Looks to have the best form in the book with 2 solid efforts at Sedgefield. 

    Floy Joy (nap) 1:35 7/2. Dropped to a good mark judged on jumpers bumper win and 2nd at Newton Abbot. Good ground looks key.

    Sammylou 3:20 5/1 (bet365). 4lb below last year's course and distance win and will be ready to go after break. Main rivals don't look that well handicapped.

    Belle Jour 3.55 (price gone, don't bother!). I like CD form for chases here, won easily last time and this looks weak.

     

    Underwhelming runs from Fortunate Fred and Floy Joy, I thought Sammylou looked the winner all the way round and was 1/7 on the run in but got worn down close home :cry

  6. Fireworks 2.35 Epsom (23/2 SBK). Could be plenty to come this season, lightly raced big sort. Often been slowly away but looks to have plenty of ability, probably wants some give in the ground. Might be more interesting next time with a run under his belt over slightly further, but having a few quid at a big price here. 

     

    Not great, but will still be interested next time.

  7. Mellow Ben 1:30 Ludlow (8/1 SBK). I wasn't going to back this but the drift is tempting me in! 9 year old has been on the downgrade for a while now but handicapper is giving a major chance switched to hurdles. Ran well last time when 3rd at Plumpton, got an RPR of 114 for that and the runner up has won both races since. Runs off 103 today, minus 7lb claim and cheek pieces added. Guessing they will try and force the pace over this shorter trip.

     

    Forced the pace but never really looked to be travelling well enough to win.

     

  8. Obey the Rules 5:13 Worcester (7/1 bet victor). Was fav when I looked last night and seems the most solid option, so surprised he's drifted to 7/1. Jumps well and finds plenty for pressure. Would not be the first horse to dislike Fakenham, so I can easily forgive his last run.

    A lot of the others are making chase debuts or first runs after an absence. School for Scandal is joint fav at the moment but looks like he wants further, Serjeant Painter only seems fairly handicapped on chase debut.

     

    Poor run, set a slow pace but faded tamely 3 out ?

  9. Shaws Bridge 5:33 Hexham (15.5/1 SBK). Back over hurdles after a failing over fences (can't jump). Either of his last 2 efforts over hurdles a year ago would put him right in the mix here, was only beaten by a well handicapped horse at Perth. Claimer takes 10lb off and he's ridden a couple of winners.

    Fav is up 4lb for winning last time and didn't have 4lb in hand there, so looks vulnerable. 

     

    Jumped the last in front but faded on the run in, maybe didn't quite stay.

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