MaliMisko12

I agree with you but some brave I will try (Half Time-Full Time)=Chelsea-Chelsea 2.75 because Chelsea is playing with high tempo and with high pressure and they are standing so high and try to make opponent error

Alexander Bublik to beat Casper Ruud at 1.83 with Bet365
Ruud has done absolutely nothing indoors so far, so I'm happy to take another Eastern European player in the form of Bublik here. He was very competent during the US Open and it's somewhat hard to trust players that are coming from Davis Cup weekends, so I think that Bublik should be priced at 1.60 or so here.

Watford vs Arsenal
A new era of management begins at Vicarage Road this Sunday for this 4:30pm BST kick-off when Quique Sanchez Flores takes charge of his first game as manager of the club against Arsenal. Wait, haven't we been here before? Oh yes, we have. This will be the Spaniard's second spell in charge of the club after his unceremonious departure a few years back.
Watford sacking Javi Gracia was a bizarre decision that came out of nowhere but it isn't really a surprise given owner Gino Pozzo's trademark knee-jerk reaction to managerial changes. It hadn't been a great start to the season for the Hornets with three defeats and a single draw. Sacking a manager four games into a league season seems harsh. Can the new man galvanise the players?
Arsenal are still trying to find their feet under Unai Emery. There have arguably been more positive signs than negative so far. The two wins to start the season were probably expected. As was the defeat away to Liverpool. The draw against Tottenham was a thriller and undoubtedly a fair result. It feels like the potential is there for this Gunners side but the defensive frailties haven't been fixed and that remains a concern.
Even so, I feel Arsenal should have enough to get the win here. Emery has improved their performances on the road and we shouldn't look too much into that 3-1 loss against Liverpool. I'm keen to see how Flores sets up with this group of players. Not many remain from his time at the club so he'll be starting afresh. I just think this period of things being unsettled at Watford is the exact sort of environment the wise head of Emery will capitalise on.
Arsenal to Win @ 2.10 with Bethead
Anytime Scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @ 2.30 with RedZone

Brighton vs Burnley: Draw
Burnley won both games vs Brighton last season after a run of 5 draws between the two teams. Burnley’s coach Sean Dyche has faced Brighton 11 times, drawing 6 games or more than 50%. Last season’s win at the AMEX stadium was actually Dyche’s first there after 3 draws and 2 losses. 2 out of 4 games between Brighton and Burnley in the Premiership ended as draws.
Brighton have won 80 points in 80 Premiership games since coming back to the elite level of English football. Brighton are the only team in the last 2 seasons besides Southampton whose home matches are more likely to end as a draw than any other outcome. I generally see a little less than 50% chance for a draw in this game so odds above 3 look like value to me.
P.s.: As a Manchester United fan I hope we win vs Leicester. Saw a graph showing that based on expected goals Manchester United should have been second after City this season but maybe this is because of those missed penalties. I just do not think we are as bad as 8-9 place as some say. May bet on Maguire to score anytime as often players score against their former teams.
 

Wolves vs Chelsea
OK, it's already been mentioned that a few of you think this weekend could produce some surprise scores in the Premier League. I'm on board with that and that's why I'm previewing this intriguing clash between Wolves and Chelsea in a 3pm BST kick-off this Saturday afternoon at Molineux. I think we could be in for a shock result but then we have to ask if my predicted outcome would actually be a shock?
Wolves have fast earned a reputation for being the giant killers in the top flight of English football. Nuno Santo's side have picked up an incredible number of points in the league against the reputed top six sides. It's not been an ideal start for Wanderers. Yes, they've only lost one league game so far but they've failed to win a single match in league action. 3 draws and 1 defeat make up their 4 results this season. However, one of those draws did come against one of those reputed top six sides so has the trend from last season continued into this campaign?
Chelsea are in a period of transition under new head coach Frank Lampard. The bounce of the new man at the helm appears to just about be holding steady even though the Blues have only managed one victory in the league this season. Things have improved since the disappointing and harsh 4-0 loss away to Manchester United in the opening weekend but there are still a lot of questions remaining around this youthful Chelsea side.
It's clear that Wolves are suffering from the rigours of the midweek Europa League schedule. That happens to the best of teams. The benefit here is that the international break means the players have had some rest. Well, the non-international players anyway. Wolves are not at a disadvantage this week and I think that could help them. My gut is favouring a draw but there's a nagging feeling that Wolves could snatch this. I'll back my gut on this occasion but I think Wolves are available at a very tempting price.
Draw @ 3.42 with Marathonbet
BTTS @ 1.77 with Redzone
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Medvedev v Dimitrov
For me this match is a total no contest. Gregor has a terrible match-up here. A clash of very similar styles.
Medvedev has more than enough to beat him at his own game, and has had  2 days off, to recover from his slight thigh strain. I don't think the win over Federer was spectacular for Gregor. Fed is 38 years old, so he was quite likely to run outta gas in  the latter part of the 4th and 5th set. 
Look, at this level, players are unbelievably good ... every player can hit the ball. So the game boils down to who makes the right decisions at the right time, and who plays the big points better. In my opinion, Gregor makes bad choices at the worst possible time, while Medvedev does the opposite. Gregor is a great player, but there is some subconcious barrier that stops him from going to the highest level. Medvedev has amazing court craft. He understands what to do and when to do it. You can't teach this stuff. At this stage a player either has it, or doesn't.  It's like a top striker in soccer. He knows, without looking where the goalkeeper is, and what he has to do to score. 
So how to make money here ? 1st set is critical. I think if Medvedev wins it, he wins very easily in 3.  
For me taking Medvedev at 4 to 10 is not to good. Maybe the best bet is to essentially lay the match going to 5 sets, by just betting total sets 3 and 4 for an equal stake.
I see a 1 sided bashing here.
Nadal v Berrittini
Never seen Nadal play this well. He is crushing the ball, with an intensity that is almost inhuman. I would be going under 31.5 total games here, in what should be a blow out. I just don't think Berrittini will get those easy service holds, and could get demolished here.

Berretini played very well but he have problem with some kind of mental issue or otherwise when he is serving for match he started to have unforced errors,at other hand I think Nadal will have problem with his forehand,we all know Nadal with Djokovic one of the best defense players but if Nadal let Berretini to lead the tempo of the game he will have huge problem,also Berretini likes a lot to slice the ball nearly baseline to break opponent rhythm and when opponent return ball little bit high then tennis net its like to watch Juan Martin Del Potro.Serve is also good trough whole US Open rounds so I dont see why he cant at least take a set from Nadal if they will play against each other

Berretini played very well but he have problem with some kind of mental issue or otherwise when he is serving for match he started to have unforced errors,at other hand I think Nadal will have problem with his forehand,we all know Nadal with Djokovic one of the best defense players but if Nadal let Berretini to lead the tempo of the game he will have huge problem,also Berretini likes a lot to slice the ball nearly baseline to break opponent rhythm and when opponent return ball little bit high then tennis net its like to watch Juan Martin Del Potro.Serve is also good trough whole US Open rounds so I dont see why he cant at least take a set from Nadal if they will play against each other

I like Stan's chances also. Medvedev has been the form player recently, but Stan has quietly been improving and he is a confidence player and will take huge confidence after beating Djokovic (some will say that victory was down to Joker being injured but I'm not buying it). If both players are at their best (unlikely with both seemingly having some fitness issues), then Stan's best is just better than Medvedev's best. Looks like a decent price for the 3 times slam winner, and former winner here. Hopefully its a classic match.

Kristie Ahn (+1.5 sets) to beat Elise Mertens at 2.09 with Pinnacle
I have no idea what these odds are all about. Sure, Mertens is the better player of the two, but they've met four times and Ahn has managed to win two of those encounters, so I think that she's going to be biting hard given her form.
Rafael Nadal (-2.5 sets) to beat Marin Cilic at 1.91 with Pinnacle
Fine margins here obviously, but Cilic doesn't seem to be in any sort of form to trouble Nadal. He's given up many break points against Isner and he's going to give up many more against Nadal, who I still see as the main favorite for the title.

Aston Villa vs Everton
The Premier League action kicks off early this weekend with a Friday night match-up between top flight new boys Aston Villa and a side hoping to breach the top six this season in Everton. Kick-off is 8pm BST from Villa Park and there is no doubt that both sides could do with the three points here. The visiting side edge it on paper but is that enough?
Aston Villa were criticised for spending over £100 million on new signings over the summer but many felt they had invested more wisely than Fulham had last season. Dean Smith strengthened where necessary and when his side went 1-0 up away to Tottenham in their opening game it looked like his transfer work had been vindicated. However, that game ended up being a 3-1 win for the home team. It was then followed up by a disappointing 2-1 loss at home to Bournemouth. The pressure is growing for the Villains to pick up their first points of their first season back in the Premier League.
Everton came into this season with inflated expectations. Despite failing to gain consistency under Marco Silva last season the Toffees faithful feel this could be the campaign where they take the next step up the league table. An underwhelming 0-0 draw away to Crystal Palace did little to get the fans buzzing but the well-fought 1-0 win over Watford at home had a more positive effect. The fact the team has now kept two clean sheets shows that Silva has addressed the defensive frailties of previous seasons that looked like being fixed last season and has continued into this one. Scoring goals at the other end remains an issue though.
This game has a dour affair written all over it. Villa still look a slightly disjointed unit with new signings still being bedded in. Everton look like a side labouring to get goals. It's now less than 2.5 goals scored in 8 of their last 10 league games. It's also 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. 4 of their last 5 away matches have seen less than 2.5 goals scored as well. If I was to back a result I'd say a 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 win for the away side.
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.97 with Marathonbet
Everton to Win @ 2.30 with Coral
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Tiafoe to beat Hurkacz at 2.06 with Pinnacle
Tiafoe did not finish any of his two games so far in the tournament against Krajinovic and Chardy after his opponents retired, but it should be noted that he had an advantage in both matches.  Hurkacz also did not finish his last game after Lopes retired and before that he had a difficult win with 2-1 set against Korean Lee. Hurkacz has been making a lot of progress this year, but Tiafoe is playing at home and has also won both his matches against the Pole, which makes me think he will have a slight advantage in this match.

Sheffield United vs Crystal Palace
Firstly, I just want to say how class the posts have been this week. Some outstanding tips but also some great chat too. Really adds to the forum when you guys post stuff like this so thank you. Secondly, we've got newly promoted Sheffield United up against Crystal Palace in a 2pm BST kick-off on Sunday from Bramall Lane and it's one of the more intriguing contests this weekend.
Sheffield United started their Premier League campaign well with a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth last weekend. Chris Wilder's men were tipped to be dragged into a relegation battle this season but the Blades have a well-oiled side coming into this season. The re-signing of goalkeeper Dean Henderson and the loan signing of Muhamed Besic are key plus the further additions of Callum Robinson, Phil Jagielka, Lys Mousset, and Oliver McBurnie have been shrewd amongst others.
Crystal Palace spent the entire summer embroiled in a transfer saga with Wilfried Zaha's proposed move to Everton. It was a transfer that never happened and the pacy winger was restricted to the bench last week in their 0-0 draw with Everton on the opening day. The Eagles have hardly shaken any foundations with their summer signings. The loan signing of Victor Camarasa is probably the stand-out addition with others including Stephen Henderson, Jordan Ayew, Gary Cahill, and James McCarthy. Is it enough business to keep them safe?
It's set to be one of the more fascinating games of the weekend with United showing in their opening game that they can compete at this level and Palace not exactly inspiring their fans at Selhurst Park last week. Palace were more thrilling on their travels last season and we could expect the same in this game. The club has seen at least 3 goals scored in 8 of their last 12 away league games. United have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 league matches. All things considered I think there's value to be had backing United here.
Sheffield United Draw No Bet @ 1.90 with Marathonbet
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 2.35 with Sportingbet

Aston Villa-Bournemouth 2(3.10)bet365
Why I predicted away win?Beacuse man of the match will be Eddie Howie.Why? Beacuse he likes the teams who are playing attacking football against them,Billing and Lerma as DMF will destroy middle of Villa beacuse of they pyshicallity and some much energy.Also Bournemouth is so unpredictable team and my opinion they have problem with some kind of motivation.I remeber last season,they got lost against Fulham at home 0-2 and after that they went at guest against Brighton who played at that time for survial at league at Borunemouth played for nothing at they overplayed them 0-4.So incossestion will be key factor in this match.At other side we have Aston Villa new promoted team which they have just only 2 players who have enough exp to play in PL 

Aston Villa-Bournemouth 2(3.10)bet365
Why I predicted away win?Beacuse man of the match will be Eddie Howie.Why? Beacuse he likes the teams who are playing attacking football against them,Billing and Lerma as DMF will destroy middle of Villa beacuse of they pyshicallity and some much energy.Also Bournemouth is so unpredictable team and my opinion they have problem with some kind of motivation.I remeber last season,they got lost against Fulham at home 0-2 and after that they went at guest against Brighton who played at that time for survial at league at Borunemouth played for nothing at they overplayed them 0-4.So incossestion will be key factor in this match.At other side we have Aston Villa new promoted team which they have just only 2 players who have enough exp to play in PL 

Aston Villa-Bournemouth 2(3.10)bet365
Why I predicted away win?Beacuse man of the match will be Eddie Howie.Why? Beacuse he likes the teams who are playing attacking football against them,Billing and Lerma as DMF will destroy middle of Villa beacuse of they pyshicallity and some much energy.Also Bournemouth is so unpredictable team and my opinion they have problem with some kind of motivation.I remeber last season,they got lost against Fulham at home 0-2 and after that they went at guest against Brighton who played at that time for survial at league at Borunemouth played for nothing at they overplayed them 0-4.So incossestion will be key factor in this match.At other side we have Aston Villa new promoted team which they have just only 2 players who have enough exp to play in PL 

Liverpool vs Norwich
OK, we're finally here, let's do this! The first preview of the 2019/20 Premier League season is the Friday night kick-off between reigning Champions League winners and league runners-up Liverpool and newly promoted Norwich in an 8pm start at Anfield. It's a game where the home team have been installed as the clear favourites but will the top flight new boys spring a surprise?
Liverpool might have won Europe's elite competition last season but it's no secret that the trophy their fans really want is the Premier League. Jurgen Klopp has built a squad that pushed champions Manchester City all the way last season managing to earn 97 points yet still miss out on the title by a single point. No big name signings have been brought in so we can expect much of the same from the Reds this season. Will the lack of proven new additions hold them back though?
Norwich are back in the Premier League for the first time since 2015/16. Daniel Farke has pulled off a miracle by turning this squad around. It seemed as though it was going to end in tears after their 14th placed finish in the Championship two seasons ago. However, the right work in the transfer market saw the German manager construct a team that would go on to win the Championship title. The signings of Josip Drmic, Sam Byram, and Patrick Roberts are particularly exciting. There is still debate about whether the Canaries have strengthened enough or not.
What a game to start the season. I'm not entirely sure Norwich have enough about them to stay up but in this opening game they'll be full of guts and effort. Liverpool have looked just as dangerous as they did last season so we can expect a similar approach by them. I think the score here all depends how long Norwich can hold out for. Liverpool are awesome at home under Klopp so the league schedule couldn't have been tougher for Norwich. I think Liverpool should win by two goals but it won't be the stroll in the park some are predicting.
Draw (Liverpool -2) @ 4.33 with Bet365
Total Goals Scored Over 3.5 @ 2.10 with Betfred
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I am with aphro on this one 
Thiem to beat Cilic 
I have few reasons to think that way
1. Thiem won their only match against each other
2. Thiem is no more that guy who plays only on clay, this year he won Indian Wells masters and beat players like Raonic and Federer en-route to the title.
3.Cilic is nowhere near the form in which he was in his "golden years" when he won US Open, he just it is not the same player.
4. Since Madrid Masters Cilic was not been able to win a 3rd round game
5. Personally for me Thiem right now is the better player.

Ilia Ivashka to beat Kwon Soon-wo at 2.62 with bet365
Im a little bit surprised for the odds. I think Kwon is overrated here (or Ivashka underrated) so I'm gonna take Ivashka here. Both players come from the qualy (Ivashka has won against Harris and Nishioka and Kwon has won against Haase and Millman). Ivashka is clear the better player here so I'm a little bit surprised (if anyone knows something about this match that i don't know please tell me?)

Jan-Lennard Struff to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 2.57 with MarathonBet
I'm not fully behind Tsonga again yet, think he's still got a way to go before he's back to his best. He's winning the H2H but I don't think they've faced much before on hard. Short points are likely so its whether Struff is hitting it clean and whose serving better. Maybe should look at taking the short priced handicap instead.
 
 

Grigor Dimitrov to beat Pella at 1.61 with Bet365
Last couple of months were very tough for Dimitrov, but his biggest problem are his own devils which he face every time he play (double faults and cheap errors). The win against Johnston was very tough one but showed that Dimitrov is on the right way, maybe 1 month ago this match was going to end 7 6  4 6  0 6. The both first and third sets showed that Grigor wants to play tennis on the highest level again so I think Pella is not going to be a challenge for Dimitrov. Since the beginning of 2018 Pella hasn't won 2nd round match on hard (except US OPEN 2018 where he reached 3rd round and in Doha 2018 where he reached Semi-final.) Grigor is the better player and I think the win against Johnston is going to be a boost for him.

I am also with Basilashvili, even being considered a slight underdog by the bookies.
My reasons are:
- Basilashvili has already beaten Rublev once this year
- Basilashvili defends his title so there is no question of motivation.
- Basilashvili has proven a lot of moral strength yesterday with Zverev. I think it will play an important role today as well.
- Rublev will have to fly to Washington where he will play tomorrow or the day after tomorrow and will have to defend his semi-finals. Here, in Hamburg, nothing to defend.
My call Basilashvili @2.07 Unibet

Watford v Wolverhampton; 16:00
Betting suggestion: Both teams to score @1,85 Pinnacle
Short preview: That will be a meeting of two very interesting sides this season in Premier League, who are neighbors on the league table as Watford is 7th with 51 points, and Wolverhampton is just a point behind on the 8th place. Even though we can see they don’t have a chance to enter the top6 and be a part of the European competition, that might not be true. Watford is playing the FA cup final and if they win it, they will get the ticket for the Europa League next season, while if Man City wins, the 7th place in Premier League will lead to Europa League, therefore they have chances of entering this competition on two different fronts. I’ve seen debates about Watford players have their heads at the final already, I think the club knows that there is still much to play and that to count on a win against City won’t be really an easy thing to do. When Wolves are coming in Watford with the full squad, Javi Garcia has some problems as his captain and best scorer Troy Deeney is suspended for this match, and Bertrand and Armstrong are doubtful. In any case, both teams have lots of offensive potentials and I expect both teams to score at least a goal here.

Also, Arsenal should not be favourites to win at Leicester.  They have a big game against Valencia coming up after this game, but even without that, based on their past two performances, they are clearly struggling, as they have done all season away from home.  Aubameyang is likely out of this one so their goal threat is reduced.
Leicester's form has tailed off a bit in the past couple of games, but I think they will be up for this one at home.  Vardy loves a game against a big 6 team and Arsenal's defence is not exactly performing well at the moment!  2.8 on the Leicester win is just about worth taking IMO.

Liverpool vs Huddersfield
The Premier League title race takes centre stage on Friday night when Liverpool host already relegated Huddersfield in an 8pm kick-off from Anfield. Can the Reds leapfrog league leaders Manchester City with a win and maintain the pressure on their title rivals?
Liverpool are doing everything they can to stay in the title race. Jurgen Klopp's men are undefeated in the league since their 3rd January loss to Manchester City. In addition to that, the Reds have now won six league games in a row including keeping back-to-back clean sheets.
Huddersfield are a contradictory tale with Jan Siewert's side having already known their relegation fate for a number of weeks now. The Terriers are in 20th place with just 14 points accumulated so far this season. It's now 20 defeats from their last 22 league matches and that includes 7 league losses on the bounce. Easy to see why the bookies heavily favour Liverpool here. Especially because Huddersfield have only won 1 of their 17 away games in the league this season. It could also be the fact that Huddersfield haven't won at Liverpool since 18th August, 1956.
As everyone has suggested, there's no value in a home win. It seems almost inevitable. However, it's worth noting that despite Huddersfield not getting the results this season they hardly ever get properly turned over by teams. Only on 4 occasions in their last 22 league games has a team beaten them by more than 2 goals. I can see something similar happening here with the Liverpool nerves. The longer Huddersfield dig in, the more nervy the home fans may get. I'm thinking a handicap for Huddersfield might be worth a bet here.
Huddersfield +4 @ 1.62 with Sportingbet
Total Goals Scored Under 3.5 @ 2.48 with 888Sport
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