Zico10

Today's football bet...
£25 staked hoping for a return of £76.40 and a profit of £51.40 ⚽️💷
Good luck if you follow 🤝🏼

I can't see myself hitting 4 any time soon 🤣
The bore draws were great especially as it is easier to look at potentially low scoring matches. 
Really it's a bit of fun and I'm enjoying tracking it on here. 

Bet 13
Yankee £2.20
Bank 
-£28.60

Bet 12 - Still yet to find a winner 🫣
Yankee £2.20
Bank
-£26.40

Both bets landed, returning an overall profit of £80 for the day 👍🏼

I had an extra fiver Ew after a read a great write up this morning .....I was hoping for the place but 25/1 is good enough .....get in you beauty 🤩

Had no time to write previews as I’m currently on holiday in Australia. Prices from yesterday morning.
  Altrincham to beat Dorking 2.5pts @ 11/10with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 4/5) Halifax to beat Kidderminster 1pt @ 23/10with Skybet (take up to 15/8) Warrington Rylands to be Guiseley 1pt @ 13/10 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to 11/10) Gainsborough to beat Lancaster 1pt @ 7/4 with Betfred (take up to 6/4) Salisbury to beat Chesham 1pt @ 7/2 with Betfred and Skybet (take up to 5/2) Dorchester to beat Haynes & Yeading 1pt @ 15/8 with Betfred and Skybet (take up to 6/4) Merthyr to beat Poole (being played at Dorchester) 1pt @ 23/20 with Betfred and Skybet (take up to Evs)

Hi everyone, 
Usually do pretty well on the football and as a rule of thumb just do home trebles. 
It's short, only paying 6/4 but my idea is to start with £20 and see what I can build it up to. If I lose the bank will be -£20 and I'll start with a fresh £20 and so on. 
Today...
AC Milan, Leicester & Portsmouth @ 6/4 - £20 stake = £50 return.
Not tracking the bet below but also going to do this today for a bit of fun as it pays 5/1 and I have a free £10 bet.
AC Milan, Leicester, Portsmouth & Falkirk - all home wins and over 1.5 goals in the match. 
£10 stake = £50 return (don't get free bet stake back)
Good luck if you follow, be interesting to see if I can build a nice profit 🤞🏼

I want a trip around Italy and I don't want to use my own money. 
Going to be doing High odds Yankees (correct scores/ HT/FT / Bet Builders / Goal scorers)
Starting with 20p stakes (£2.20 a bet). If I can get a few winners I would like to up the stake but realistically with these bets you're looking for a one or two lucky days! 
Using Bet365 as it is convenient. 

This is a lucky 15 of some outsiders from selection from the lucky 15 comp none of them are mine I think you know your one @Zilzalian 💰💰

To show how easy ( or not ) it actually is to make a profit on a  'system' ( as such ).
.....and because it's fairly simple, we'll use the 'one goal' system.
At random most days I'll put up a list or league of games to choose from and the bet will be the first person who comes on to pick a number which will be the bet..
Could be fun. We'll start with a tenner and see where we get to........All profits to the bank of Skittle. 😁
Huddersfield - Sunderland         
Plymouth - Coventry         
Preston - Middlesbrough         
Stoke - QPR         
Millwall - Ipswich
Lazio - Bayern Munich            
PSG - Real Sociedad
Pick a number.....1-7, in order, it's your choice.
Bet 1 will be ........................
 
 

Boreham Wood v Maidenhead Wood have got Tshimanga back, but hard to know how good he still is. They did win at Woking last week, but they only had 3 shots in the game and were probably fortunate to hold on with just 10 men. We know Maidenhead can throw in a stinker and their last 3 losses were to Ebbsfleet, Wealdstone and Dorking. They did beat Wealdstone on Tuesday night though and I think they look in better shape than Wood at the moment.   Chelmsford v Weymouth I'm going to go for a hat-trick on Weymouth after we have been on them the last twice. Clearly last weeks win was a rather dramatic 4-3 victory, but I think it shows how high confidence is with them at the moment that they could come back from losing positions to win the game. Chelmsford can certainly blow hot and cold as they showed when losing to Havant last week. For me Weymouth are too big a price.   St Albans v Taunton No idea why the price on St Albans has drifted as they look good things to continue their superb form. Great 4-0 win over Torquay last week for us and they should have beaten Hampton on Tuesday night as well. They have only lost once in their last 11 games. Taunton have only won once in 18 games and that came 11 games ago. They have drawn 4 of their last 5, but only 1 of those was an away game which was the draw at Welling. St Albans are way better than Taunton and it really should be a home win.   Hungerford v Walton & Hersham (Southern Premier South) The only team to beat Hungerford at home this season are probably champions Chesham. Walton did win away last week at Sholing, but they struggle away on the whole and I think Hungerford are better than them anyway.   Bishops Stortford v Coalville Into the FA Trophy now and I like Coalville here to cause an upset. God knows what has gone on with them last season as they should be near the top. I'm surprised it took them so long to sack their manager which they finally did this week. I know the home side hammered Aldershot in the previous round, but that was a freak result and they looked a poor side when I went to watch them play Gloucester a couple of weeks ago. Coalville are more than capable of winning this.   Peterborough Sports v Kidderminster I was surprised that both these sides opened up at 6/4 and I'm not surprised the away side are being backed. They look a totally different side under Phil Brown and I'm sure he is eyeing up a Wembley trip which looks a realistic aim given the sides still in the competition. Sports have done well enough at home recently, but I think they will struggle to contain the new and improved Kidderminster.   Welling v Barnet Welling got lucky in the last round as Chesterfield played the youth team and even then they struggled a bit to win the game. Barnet have been putting out some strong teams in the competition so far and they went and won at Radcliffe in the last round which would have been a tougher game.   Prices from Friday 10.30am   Maidenhead 1pt @ 5/2 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and Ladbrokes (Coral are 27/10 and take up to 2/1) Weymouth 1pt @ 17/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 13/5) St Albans 5pts @ 17/20 with Bet365 (take up to 4/6) Hungerford 2pts @ 11/10 with Bet365 (take up to 10/11) Coalville 1pt @ 21/10 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 7/4) Kidderminster 3pts @ 13/10 with Paddy Power, Betfair, Betfred and Bet365 (29/20 with Skybet and take up to Evs) Barnet 3pts @ 6/5 with Bet365 (take up to 10/11)

The Newest One 14/1 bet 365 - 14:40 Doncaster - 3 places
Erne River 14/1 bet 365 - 15:15 Doncaster - 6 places
2 x singles - each way double

Hello, would you like me to open another thread with doubles/trebles of BTTS YES/NO? Please comment.

Ebbsfleet v Hartlepool Happy to oppose Hartlepool again especially away from home. I'm hoping that the Ebbsfleet we saw beat Wealdstone in their last game will be out again here as well.   Kidderminster v Aldershot Still can't believe Altrincham missed that penalty last week, but I am happy to oppose the home side again. Obviously Aldershot were even worse, but I think the fact they played WBA the week before clearly had a part to play. I admit they haven't always been great away from home, but they are over priced for me to win this as I can't have Phil Brown at all.   Haringey v Folkestone (Isthmian Premier) Surprised by the drift on the away side who are much improved in recent weeks and were very good in beating Enfield last week. They look better than their hosts at the moment.   prices from 9pm Friday 
  Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 6/4 with Bet365 (take up to 6/5) Aldershot 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365, Skybet, William Hill and BetVictor (take up to 7/4) Folkestone 2pts @ 21/20 with Bet365, Skybet and Betfred (take up to 10/11)

BET365 used to be very good but they now seem to be as bad as the rest of them.
The salary of the boss has fallen from £400m to £300m so they need to do something to recoup the £100m back !
As @The Brigadier suggests, take it as a sign of success and open other accounts, there are plenty out there with good offers, I have just opened an account with BETMGM and they have been excellent with plenty of offers, I have made over £1,200 without any restrictions. Alternatively use the exchanges.

Gateshead v Weston Super Mare I'm not surprised there has been some money for Weston because Gateshead looked a mess on Wednesday night, which is no surprise given the overhaul of players. However, whilst I am going to back Weston here, it is worth adding that they were playing by far the best side in Non-League this season. Chesterfield were really impressive and put them to the sword. Weston are clearly no Chesterfield and with a few days training they might be able to improve enough to win this, but I will take a chance that Weston can beat them.   Kidderminster v Altrincham One person I didn't expect to see back in management at this level was Phil Brown given how badly he did at Southend, but he has appeared at Kidderminster and I can only see them going down from here. To be fair I suspect they would have gone down anyway and they were awful at Rochdale last week. I wasn't the only one who backed them though because they were really well backed and even at half time when it was 0-0 they were still a shorter price than the one I put them up at. Altrincham had a tough Christmas as they got very lucky to get a point at Bromley before only picking up a point in the 2 games against Halifax. What was much better though was the win over Barnet last Saturday and they are way too big a price here to beat Kidderminster.   Hartlepool v Hampton & Richmond I don't often regret bets, but having watched how poor Darlington and Hartlepool were on Tuesday night I did regret those two. I thought they might both have turned a corner, but both were awful. Maybe back at home Hartlepool might be able to outplay Hampton in the same way they did Oxford last week, but this might even be a harder tie for them. Hampton did finally lose last week, but I guess it had to come eventually and for me they have a real chance of causing an upset here.   Bishops Stortford v Aldershot and Welling v Chesterfield I was surprised to see Aldershot at around 5/6 when I first looked at the fixtures because they really should be too strong for the side currently bottom of the National League North. I am going to add Chesterfield to them to make a double. Now I fully expect plenty of changes from the side who faced Gateshead on Wednesday and it is likely to be a similar team to the one who hammered Southport in the previous round. Apart from being away from home this game is no tougher for me and that Southport match highlighted the depth Chesterfield have right now.    St Ives v Nuneaton Very keen on the home side here. They have won 6 of their last 7 and in those 6 wins they have scored a huge 26 goals, having not scored less than 3. They were very impressive in the 2nd half last week to beat an in form Leiston side 5-0. Nuneaton have lost their manager, have no home and have lost players. They have won just one of their last 7 games and if St Ives can repeat their recent home performances then they really ought to be winning this.
Prices from around 10.30 Friday morning    Weston Super Mare 1pt @ 17/5 with William Hill (bigger with Betfair and Paddy Power take up to 3/1) Altrincham 2pts @ 9/5 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 15/8 and take up to 11/8) Hampton & Richmond 1pt @ 18/5 with Betfair, Ladbrokes and Coral (take up to 3/1) Aldershot/Chesterfield 1pt double @ 2.19/1 with Betfred (bit bigger with Betfred and take up to 7/4) St Ives 4pts @ 6/5 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to 8/11)

I have looked at it but it seems too fragmented with threads divided up by country, league, competition ...... basically far too many sub-forums
It's not clear where to post your daily bet which might a 5 team acca across four different countries, 5 different divisions and three different competitions !
 

I'm obviously glad I made a profit but a bit disappointed that it is due to using bookies bonuses and that I have lost money when using my "skill" on the horses
I made an excellent start with profits in 8 out of the 1st 9 months before big losses in October and November followed by a big profit in December, mostly thanks to a £5 160/1 football acca which was nore down to luck than skill
I have made almost as much on football as I have done on racing this year despite not being very knowledgeable about football

Just over 2800 points profit this year, almost 80% of it from spread betting. Let's say it's going to be difficult to replicate that next year given recent changes in the spread betting landscape. Spread profits would have been just over 3 times as much if it weren't for stake limitations.
Spread betting is the closest thing you'll find to a long-term can't lose betting proposition provided you're willing to accept big potential short term losses. Imagine a market where the bookies think something is a coin toss but they routinely price one side of it at 5/4 because "everyone" wants to bet on the other side. You can't lose in the long term blindly taking that sort of value. The only question is how much the firms will allow you to win before limitations and/or closure kicks in. 
Fixed odds bets weighed in with a modest profit. Individual bet types that showed a 100+ point profit were anytime system bets and anytime "studied" bets, first goalscorer bets and bet builders. Given the reliance on goalscorers there it's either a nice reward for specialising or I'm a one trick pony! Bookings and rugby league were the worst losing categories but I pretty much called time on both part way through the year. Football "specials" were the only other category to cost me a 3 figure loss.
365 were my most profitable fixed odds bookie by a long way, with only the exchange coming close. Sky Bet were easily the worst (I lost more than I won with 365 and more than my overall fixed odds profit amount). Could just be random or they could have the best odds compilers!

Dagenham & Redbridge v Eastleigh Granted Eastleigh have not always been great away from home this season, but Dagenham continue to put some very limp performances in at home and as I highlighted in Saturday's preview even lost to Wealdstone in their last home game. I'm sure Paul McCallum will be keen to get on the scoresheet given he used to be at Dagenham and he continues to be in fine form. I'd be even more confident if Eastleigh had been better on their travels, but the price makes little sense to me and looks the best bet of Boxing Day.   Ebbsfleet v Bromley Bromley should have won with ease last night, but a mix of good defending and not being clinical enough cost them. Play like that again and they should eat an Ebbsfleet side who are struggling for wins. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but enough for me to play.   Dover v Aveley Granted Dover have won just once all season and they have picked up 11 draws, but I am happy to continue opposing Aveley and Dover are surely going to edge a game at some point given how close they are from gaining the 3 points.   Havant & Waterlooville v Farnborough Farnborough have only won once away all season and they were very lucky to get 3 points on Saturday against Braintree. Their goal was a penalty and they created little else whereas Braintree's xG was 2.05. Havant were unfortunate not to pick something up at Truro as it was a 30 yard wonder strike which proved to be the only goal of the game. Back at home I think they can get back to winning ways.   Torquay v Truro Torquay had a few players missing on Saturday and were poor losing at Chelmsford. Their home form has been strong to be fair and they might well bounce back, but with Truro in picking up wins I will take a chance that they can pull off a victory.   Eastleigh 2pts @ 11/5 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 6/4) Bromley 1pt @ 23/20 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to Evs) Dover 1pt @ 15/8 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 2/1 and take up to 6/4) Havant 2pts @ 6/4 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 13/8 and take up to 11/10) Truro 1pt @ 13/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 11/5)   Prices from 3pm Christmas Eve   Eastleigh 2pts @ 11/5 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 6/4) Bromley 1pt @ 23/20 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to Evs) Dover 1pt @ 15/8 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 2/1 and take up to 6/4) Havant 2pts @ 6/4 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 13/8 and take up to 11/10) Truro 1pt @ 13/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 11/5)

Dorking v Woking I wish Woking were playing someone better than Dorking as I think it would be a lump on job, but hopefully taking them on will still pay off tomorrow. Woking still don't have a manager and have lost their last 7 games in all competitions. Away from home their have lost their last 4 and in three of those they took the lead. They were a goal up against Ramsgate and lost 2-1, they lost 3-2 to Oxford City, they were 2 up at Boreham Wood and lost 4-2 and then on Tuesday night they were 2 up against Weston-Super-Mare and lost 3-2. I've got no idea why they haven't got a manager yet as it's been about a month now and clearly confidence is rock bottom right now. Dorking have had some poor performances on the road of late. They lost 6-0 to Gateshead and were very lucky to get a 3-3 draw on the TV at Fylde. At home though it has been better and they have won 3 of their last 4 including beating Maidenhead 3-0 in the FA Trophy last week. On paper Woking do have the better team, but they aren't playing like it and I'm not sure going to Dorking's dodgy 3G pitch is going to be what they need right now.   Solihull v Oldham Nearly got paid out by opposing Oldham last week and I will take them on again here although again I sort of wish it wasn't Solihull they were playing. To be fair they beat Scunthorpe in the Trophy last week which is a good effort given their side, but they have lost their last 3 league games. Oldham are still far from convincing as highlighted by that Ebbsfleet loss in their last league game and hopefully Solihull can pick up the 3 points.    Banbury v Farsley Celtic The only game Celtic have lost in their last 7 games was to Radcliffe in the FA Trophy and they incredibly scored two goals in injury time to overturn a 1-0 deficit against Curzon on Tuesday. That was just their 2nd win at home (they have drawn 6), but away from home they have won half of their away matches. Banbury are also doing very well away from home as they showed at Kings Lynn on Tuesday, but at home they have won just twice. Don't think there is much between these two sides and given their respective home and away form I think there is value in backing Celtic.   Bishops Stortford v Hereford Taking a bit of a chance here and it would be typical after backing them in a couple of away games recently if Hereford did win this, but they lost both those games and then drew at Farsley. They have won just twice on the road, yet at home they have won 8 times. Bishops Stortford have done pretty well at home this season. Yes they have conceded 4 goals 3 times, but in their other home games they have lost it has been very close and they have won 4 times. At the prices I am happy to take a chance on the home side.   Braintree v Aveley Usually I wouldn't only go a point on a team at this sort of price, but I do think they are slight value still so worth a point. I mentioned last week I thought Aveley were beginning to struggle and again we just failed to get paid out as they drew with Hungerford. Braintree had superb home form last season and it is the same again this time around having won 6 times and losing just the once to Maidstone. If they can keep up the good home performances then I think they will get the 3 points here.   Havant & Waterlooville v Taunton I was very surprised that the Steve King era was a massive failure at Havant given his CV, but for whatever reason it didn't work and you can't ignore the fact they have won both games since he left. I watched a fair bit of the game on Wednesday against Hemel and I thought they deserved the win and scored two goals. Their squad is much better than their league position and they are finally showing it. Taunton are good at home, but away from home they have won just once. Now they have drawn most of their away games so that is a possibility, but now Havant have found that winning grove I think they are value to beat Taunton.   Canvey Island v Potters Bar Happy to back Potters Bar again here as I did at the start of the month. In the league only Hornchurch have beaten them since they lost to Margate on September 9th. Canvey have only lost a couple of times at home and did beat Chatham in their last home game, but Potters Bar just shouldn't be as big as they are given their superb run.    Prices from 6pm Friday Dorking 1pt @ 12/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 15/8) Solihull 1pt @ 7/4 with Bet365, Skybet and Coral (take up to 11/8) Farsley 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365 (take up to 7/4) Bishops Stortford 1pt @ 16/5 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 5/2) Braintree 1pt @ 19/20 with Bet365, Betfred, Skybet and William Hill (take up to 5/6) Havant & Waterlooville 1pt @ 6/4 with Bet365 Potters Bar 1pt @ 16/5 with Skybet and Betfred (Hills are 100/30 and take up to 9/4)

That’s better that will get the first wave of wine for Xmas shame old Galway never won 😂

Aveley v Hungerford I watched a bit of the Aveley game against Welling on Monday night and when Welling had their keeper sent off I thought they would win quite comfortably. The player who they put in goal looked pretty ropey when he failed to deal with a cross along the floor in what was a slightly bizarre 2nd goal. Aveley struggled in the 2nd half though and in the end conceded again and ended up with just a point. This came on the back off losing 4-3 on Saturday to Farnborough, a side who hadn't won away all season, having been 3-1 up. I just get the feeling that after their very strong start they are beginning to reach their natural level squad wise and that for me gives Hungerford a chance here. They are in the play-offs in their division and haven't lost in 9 games in the league. They knocked out Truro in the previous round and could well knock out another NLS side here.   Barnet v Maidstone Two sides I took on last week in the FA Cup unsuccessfully with Barnet getting a draw late on (which they by all accounts did deserve) and Maidstone getting a victory over a disappointing Barrow. I'm pretty keen on Maidstone here because I think they will be taking this more seriously than Barnet will. Barnet have their replay live on TV on Tuesday night and given the winner plays Eastleigh it is a really good chance to reach the 4th Round. They will surely be putting in their effort for that and of course the league campaign and making sure they finish in the top 3. I think Brennan will rest players for this with the replay and a busy Christmas schedule in mind. Maidstone don't have another game until the following Saturday so there is no real reason why they would rest players and no doubt they will want to go and cause another Cup upset.    Chippenham v Gloucester Fair bit on the line here as both sides have players who used to play for the other team and Gloucester's manager used to manage Chippenham. As I put last week ahead of the Chester game which was called off, Gloucester's last two performances have seen a big improvement which were a 3-0 win over Braintree in this and a 4-2 win over Spennymoor in the league. They do still have to prove they can do it away, but I think they are over priced to win this given those last two efforts.   Curzon Ashton v Macclesfield I know Curzon are 6th in the National League North at the moment, but I think you can make a case for Macclesfield having a stronger side than their hosts. They have done well since Alex Bruce took over and are scoring lots of goals as well. They put 4 past Alfreton in the previous round which made up for the fact Alfreton had beaten them in the FA Cup earlier in the season. Curzon are unbeaten in their last 5 league games, but they haven't had the hardest fixtures in the world and this will be a tough test for them. I think Macclesfield are way over priced for this.   Dagenham & Redbridge v Peterborough Sports Taking a bit of a flyer here, but Dagenham haven't been overly convincing at home so far this season and Sports have been in good form on the whole in recent weeks. In the last 10 games form table they are 5th and I think they are the type of side who could potentially beat a misfiring side like Dagenham. They have only won 3 at home in the league, whilst losing the other 8 games and that has to be concerning so I give Sports a chance of causing an upset.   Oldham v Mickleover Taking even a bigger flyer here, but given how poor Oldham were against Ebbsfleet in their last game I will take a chance that high flying Mickleover can cause an upset. I'm not sure how seriously Mellon will take the FA Trophy and he might use the game to rest some of his first team, even so they are still very up and down regarding their performances. Fair to say Mickleover aren't in as strong form as they were earlier in the season and they have only won once in their last 7 league games, but they had an impressive 3-1 win at Spennymoor in the previous round. Obviously Oldham are the most likely winners, but at a huge price it is worth taking a chance on Mickleover.   Prices from Thursday 6pm   Hungerford 1pt @ 15/4 with Paddy Power and Betfair (21/5 with Coral and take up to 3/1) Maidstone 2pts @ 4/1 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (19/5 with Hills and take up to 5/2) Gloucester 1pt @ 29/10 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 2/1) Macclesfield 2pts @ 100/30 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 2/1) Peterborough Sports 1pt @ 9/2 with Paddy Power, Betfair, William Hill, Betfred and Bet365 (take up to 7/2) Mickleover 1pt @ 15/2 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and William Hill (take up to 6/1)

Hello,
I will post 2 trebles daily. One for over 2.5 goals in match and one for under 2.5 goals in match. All bets are 1 unit.
Wish you all the best and many, many winning bets. ;)