MCLARKE

The following players have qualified for the KO cup this month.
Starts Saturday 6th March.
Good luck !

AW selections.
Lingfield 2.35
SUBLIMINAL 9/2

AW selections.
Lingfield 2.35
SUBLIMINAL 9/2

@Wanderlustmoves up to 5th with a 13/2 winner on a quiet day.



 

AW selections.
Lingfield 2.35
SUBLIMINAL 9/2

After a frustrating start to the season with a lot of 2nd places things have really picked in the last 2/3 weeks. We have now had 19 races of the season and 11 of the last 13 races where there have been bets have shown a profit (there was one unofficial bet which did also show a small profit). So far I have staked 40pts and there is a profit of 40.83pts. That's a really strong position to be in at this stage of the season and given how tough last season was at this stage I am more than happy. There is now a break until Catterick next Wednesday, but I will look back at yesterday's race first.
Obviously it was frustrating the two horses I didn't think had a chance were withdrawn as they were both helping to make the market, but the thing that matters was the fact there was a decent profit on the race. Both Trio For Rio and Garde Ville were well backed and the former ran out a really impressive winner. He was always up on the pace and bar a mistake 5 out there wasn't really a moments worry. I think the form is useful enough and there was talk of Cheltenham's hunter chase night after the race which seems like a sensible target. It was a big boost to Salvatore's form and I now think he is the stables main hope of their 3 entries at Cheltenham.
Garde Ville got a bit out paced, but stayed on well down the straight to get himself into 2nd place. He couldn't get near the winner and then jumped the last very big and held on for 2nd by a length. He probably isn't quite as good as he was when he won the John Corbet, but it was good to see that he didn't bounce from the Haydock effort. You also have to say it was a boost to the form of Bob And Co.
I said before the race that Diamond King's jockey switch was a huge plus for him and the 13yo ran a cracker. Even with his usual jockey on he would have a chance in one of these based on this effort. Master Dance probably wants a slightly shorter trip, but again I think he's run a good race. Dieu Vivant was given a bit of an odd ride as he was held up in last for a fair way. He got himself into some sort of contention leaving the back, but he certainly never looked like winning. He wasn't far behind the 2nd in 5th in the end, but I just wonder if he is going to continue to be a frustrating type and as I said in the preview this race fell apart last year.
Miss Seagreen was a big disappointment and there wasn't an obvious reason behind it. It doesn't exactly do much for the Hazel Hill form though and as I mention above Salvatore to me looks the stables main hope for Cheltenham although hard to know if they will run more than one.

Some good priced winners yesterday great picking.

RESULTS UPDATE
At least my dutched bet won for me.  It's a pity I didn't catch @Darran's post earlier (excellent analysis and shouldn't be missed by anyone) as I could have saved £3.50 wasted on Dieu Vivant.  The net effect was a profit of £5.81.  My new balance is £602.23 (Bank £500) so I have reached a 20% ROI 🙂
Loads of graded racing at Newbury and Doncaster, hope I can make enough time to find some value bets
 
 

Nice to have a winner after a run of 9 losers on this thread. 
Now 2/13 + 5.43 points.

Nice to have a winner after a run of 9 losers on this thread. 
Now 2/13 + 5.43 points.

Nice to have a winner after a run of 9 losers on this thread. 
Now 2/13 + 5.43 points.

AW selection.
Chelmsford 5.50
SPRING ROMANCE 11/4

AW selection.
Chelmsford 5.50
SPRING ROMANCE 11/4

AW selection.
Chelmsford 5.50
SPRING ROMANCE 11/4

AW selection.
Chelmsford 5.50
SPRING ROMANCE 11/4

Just on this point
The RPR for Jumps are weight adjusted to 12 stones .......... so the 128 is what he would have to run to that day if he'd been carrying 12 stones
That day he was carrying 10-12 so 16lbs under 12 stones. So on that day he actually ran 144 but he would have run 128 if he'd been carrying 12 stones
So today at 11 stone 8lbs he's 6 lbs below 12 stones so he gets 6 points added to his RPR of 128 to give 134 ...... 
If he'd been carrying 12 stones 5lbs today he'd have 5 lbs taken off the 128 and his RPR today would be 123
The RPR for past races is what he would have earned on that day if he'd been carrying 12 stones ...... as this is the same then for all horses in all runs it makes comparing each run of each horse easier because the ratings are adjusted as though they were all carrying the same weight
 
 

Agree with you Richard, how far back in time should we go? If there was these smart cameras in the 80,s I'd be getting arrested this afternoon I'm sure, along with a lot more folk. In no way am I sticking up for him, however,none of us were there (as far as im aware) It seems this day and age you are guilty until proven innocent, rather than the other way round. He should and most probably will get a severe punishment, and that I agree with totally. 
I'm not a religious man but remember, "he who is without sin cast the first stone" 
This is just my opinion and I thought I'd get it in before we are not allowed one.
Take care everyone and good luck at naam.

2nd 
-£48.40
 

As in previous years we will be running a tipsters competition for Cheltenham, Tuesday 16th to Friday 19th March.
 
Rules:
1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers. Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter everyday or every race (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leader-board posted each evening All welcome, good luck.

@trainmad091has another decent priced winner to make it 3 out of 3 but still loses the lead to @rolandcooper's 18/1 winner.

RESULTS UPDATE
I was a bit worried about the number of bets placed today, 10 in total but lucky enough 4 won and this produced a net profit of £21.49.  My new balance is now £596.92 (Bank £500).  Getting close to a 20% ROI so let's hope that I don't have a set back tomorrow
Whilst Hollie Doyle stole the show at Kempton I would like to mention the apprentice jockey Mark Crehan.  Five winners out of his last six rides.  He has obviously got the hang of riding big time now.
Four UK meetings later so I hope I can find some more value bets
 

@trainmad091has another decent priced winner to make it 3 out of 3 but still loses the lead to @rolandcooper's 18/1 winner.

2.40 Wincanton - Peltwell  18/1@Williamhill

I find looking at more races just encourages me to bet more.  Anyway with my main bet going down I have had a few goes today
5.25 Lin Everkylachy £2 win at 7.00 = £11.76 if win (Mark Crehan aboard) Top rated
5.45 Km Della Mare £4 win at 3.75 = £12.13 profit if win (um at 3.60 so far),  Had £1 win insurance bet on Kits Allanah at 7/1 just in case
6.50 Km Oh De Lally (hope I'm not doodleally) l£5 win at 3.45 (um at 3.35) Ryan Moore aboard.  Highland Avenue up in class and odds on
7.20 Km Evasive Power £2 win at 6.2 (um 5.4)
7.50 Km Storm Melody £2 win at 10.0 um 9.2
8.20 Km Be Fair £1 win at 8/1 and an insurance bet of 25p win on Merweb at 9/1
= £18.25 staked + revised stakes of £13.00 earlier = £31.25 total stakes if all bets matched
 
 
 
 
 
 

AW selection.
Kempton 7.20
EVASIVE POWER 4/1